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E-poster animation for: A modular simulation tool to help designing epidemics surveillance

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Academic year: 2021

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(1)

Hello, I am an electronic Vet!

BEWARE!

Laugh is an infectious disease!

Do not worry, I will use this poster To do a model

> ******* MODEL DEFINITION ******* > Disease: Laugh

> System: A conference room > Epidemic unit: The participant > Infectious contact: Proximity

> Surveillance system: A Shh ! Report > Control: Bad look from the presenter > _

E-poster animation for: A modular simulation tool to help designing epidemics surveillance

(2)

Each sec.

“Proba get serious" EPIDEMIC UNIT: S L R model

If neighbour laugh Each sec.

Proba laugh Each sec.“Proba reconcentrate" If bad look

Serious Laughing Re- concentrated

SURVEILLANCE: Shh! repport

+ Proba shh!

Shh!

Shh! Repport from participant

CONTROL

(3)

Result:

If no one says SHH!,

35 % of the assistance will Be laughing during the Whole presentation..

The more people say SHH, the less people laugh.

Conclusion:

Please say SHH! as much as you can

(4)

But do I have the good Epidemic model ?

I learned that infectious periods usually have a normal distribution.. Let’s try a new Epidemic unit model !

EPIDEMIC UNIT: S L R model If neighbour laugh Each sec.

Proba laugh

After a fixed laughing period

If bad look

After a fixed Re-concentrated period

(5)

Results:

If Nobody says SHH! :

wave of Laughing lasts 2 min.

Few people say SHH! : Laughing do not stop!

Conclusion:

(6)

Conclusion of conclusions

A good tool should enable to test both: Policies AND Models

A simulation with NO Shh!

and fixed periods A simulation with Shh! (p= 0.2)and fixed periods

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