Organisation de Coopération et de Développement Economiques
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development 16-Feb-2006
___________________________________________________________________________________________
English - Or. English DIRECTORATE FOR EDUCATION
PROGRAMME FOR INTERNATIONAL STUDENT ASSESSMENT
Governing Board
OUTLINE OF THE PISA 2006 INITIAL REPORT AND QUESTIONNAIRE INDICES 21st Meeting of the PISA Governing Board
Seoul, 6-8 March 2006
Contact: Andreas Schleicher, Head of the Indicators and Analysis Division
[ Tel: +33 1 4524 9366; Fax: +33 1 4430 6177; Email: [email protected]]
JT00201194
EDU/PISA/GB(2006)4 For O ffi ci al Use Eng lis h - O
TABLE OF CONTENTS
OUTLINE OF THE PISA 2006 INITIAL REPORT AND QUESTIONNAIRE INDICES ... 3
Introduction ... 3
Outline of the report with initial results from PISA 2006... 3
Reader’s guide ... 3
Chapter 1: Introduction to PISA ... 3
Chapter 2: A profile of student performance in science ... 4
Chapter 3: A profile of student engagement in science... 4
Chapter 4: Contexts for the Learning of Science... 5
Chapter 5: Trends in reading, mathematics and science since 2000... 6
Chapter 6: Background and school factors related to student performance since 2000 ... 6
Questionnaire indices for PISA 2006... 8
Student-Level Simple Indices... 9
Student-Level Scale Indices ... 13
School-Level simple INDICES ... 25
School-Level Scale Indices... 29
Parent Questionnaire Simple Indices... 32
Parent Questionnaire Scale Indices ... 33
OUTLINE OF THE PISA 2006 INITIAL REPORT AND QUESTIONNAIRE INDICES
Introduction
1. This document describes the proposed student, school and parent variables that could be computed for PISA 2006 and outlines how these could be utilised in the initial report to be published on 4 December 2007. The PISA Governing Board is invited to:
• REVIEW the outline for the PISA 2006 initial report and ADVISE on its further development.
Outline of the report with initial results from PISA 2006
2. This section provides a first outline of the report with initial results from PISA 2006. Note that it does not (yet) include data from the international options (parent questionnaire and ICT familiarity questionnaire). Parent questionnaire data might be used in the chapters on student engagement and on the context of science learning. ICT questionnaire data, which are now available for three cycles, could possibly be used to describe trends in computer use and familiarity (which would be the focus of Chapter 5 in this proposal).
Reader’s guide
3. This section describes important caveats to help readers understand the PISA 2006 results. The descriptions concern:
• Notes and symbols for the table (m, a, x, etc denoting the reasons why country data is missing)
• Methods for the calculation of international average (including OECD average and OECD total)
• Criteria for using different indices of central tendency (i.e. mean and median)
• Definition of student and school
• Rounding of the figures
• Explanations for the various abbreviations used in the report (i.e. S.E., S.D.)
• PISA 2006 data source on the web Chapter 1: Introduction to PISA
PISA – An overview
What PISA measures and how
• Literacy in PISA – what is measured
• The PISA instruments – how measurement takes place
• The PISA student population What is new in the PISA 2006 survey?
• It establishes a detailed understanding of student performance in science
• It provides information about students’ views on significant science pursuits
•
Chapter 2: A profile of student performance in science Introduction
• The PISA approach to assessing science performance
• How science is defined
• How scientific literacy is measured
• How the PISA tests were constructed
• How the tests were designed, analysed and scaled
• How proficiency levels are defined in PISA
• How results are reported
What students can do in the three areas of science
• Student performance in identifying scientific issues
• Student performance in explaining phenomena scientifically
• Student performance in using scientific evidence
• Overall performance in science
• The relative strengths and weaknesses of countries in different areas of science
• A summary picture of science performance Policy implications
4. Note that the selection of science subscales will still need to be confirmed through analyses of main study data (for example, the alternative suggestion of subscales in living systems, physical systems, Earth and space systems and knowledge about science). It is also possible to extend this chapter by including the scales (interest in science topics and support for scientific inquiry) derived from embedded items. This might give more weight to these constructs and the title could then be changed to “a profile of student learning outcomes in science”, however, as both constructs are related to student engagement it might be more consistent to report both scales in the next chapter.
Chapter 3: A profile of student engagement in science
5. As an alternative to this chapter, it would also be conceivable to publish results concerning science attitudes in a separate report.
Introduction
• How student engagement is defined
• Measuring interest and support within the science assessment
• Measuring engagement in the student questionnaire
To what extent are students interested in learning scientific topics and do they support scientific inquiry?
• Described scales
• Student interest across countries
• Student support across countries
To what extent do students believe they can succeed in science?
• Science self-efficacy
• Student self-concept
To what extent do students value science?
• General value of science
• Personal value of science
• Relative importance of science
To what extent are students interested in science and why?
• Interest in science subjects
• Enjoyment of science
• Instrumental motivation to learn science
• Students’ future-oriented science motivation
How much time do students spend on science-related activities?
• Science activities (not school-related)
• Students’ learning time
• Out-of-school lessons
What are students’ perceptions and attitudes regarding environmental issues?
• Awareness of environmental issues
• Perception of the importance of environmental issues
• Sources of information about environmental issues
• Optimism regarding environmental issues
• Responsibility for sustainable development
Analysis of relationships between engagement constructs and with background variables:
• Correlations between the engagement constructs, and between engagement constructs and student performance
• Gender differences associated with engagement constructs
• SES differences associated with engagement constructs
• Between-school variation in engagement constructs Implications for policy
6. In previous PISA reports, attitude scales have mainly been reported by describing the mean performance of students within each quartile of the attitudinal indices. This has suggested that these variables are predictors of performance without establishing causality. An alternative to this would be to report descriptive statistics for these scales (means, standard deviation and percentiles across countries, possibly also by gender) and describing their relationship with performance, gender and social background only in the last section. There, effect sizes could be used to depict the relationships between these variables.
Chapter 4: Contexts for the Learning of Science Introduction
• The importance of educational policies and systems for the learning of science
• What can PISA tell us about school organisation and learning of science (age and grade-based samples)?
• Discussion of the problems with measuring science learning constructs How science learning is organised
• Science course taking across countries
• Instructional time across countries How science is taught at school
• Science teaching: Interactive
• Science teaching: Hands-on activities
• Science teaching: Student investigations
• Science teaching: Models and applications How well are schools prepared to teach science?
• Availability of science teachers
• Teaching of environmental topics at school
• Activities to promote science learning
How well are students prepared for taking up science-related careers?
• School preparation for science-related careers (student perception)
• Teacher emphasis on science-related careers (school reports)
• Student information about science-related careers
• Student sources of information about science-related careers Implications for policy
7. In view of the substantial variation in how science is taught and learned across participating countries, it is suggested to include a description of the contexts for the learning of science in the initial report. At present, it is proposed to draw solely on the PISA data to generate a broad profile of how science instruction is organised across countries. For the analyses presented in this chapter, it is proposed to make use of the grade-based sample data. Where they are available it would be useful to contrast results with those from the age-based sample. Learning context may vary substantially across grades (in particular between lower and upper secondary programmes) and grade-based data may provide a clearer picture. In addition, indicators of science learning contexts might be broken down by ISCED orientations to give clearer information on how science is taught in PISA countries with non-comprehensive educational systems.
Chapter 5: Trends in reading, mathematics and science since 2000
8. The technical feasibility of computing trend data would need to explored before the outline for this chapter could be further developed.
Introduction
• Describing literacy definitions for each domain across cycles
• Technical information on how trends are measured in PISA Student performance across cycles (including reporting by gender)
• Reading Literacy
• Mathematics Literacy
• Scientific Literacy
Chapter 6: Background and school factors related to student performance since 2000 Introduction
• Comparability of contextual variables across cycles
• Description of indices used in cross-cycle analysis Gender differences in student performance since 2000
• Gender and Reading Literacy
• Gender and Mathematics Literacy
• Gender and Science Literacy
Student background and student performance in reading, mathematics and science
• Parental education
• Parental occupational status
• Family Wealth
• Books at home
• Cultural Possessions
• Home educational resources
• Language
• Immigrant background
School factors and student performance in reading, mathematics and science
• Between- and within-school variance
• School policies and practices
• Study programmes
• School management (private/public, autonomy)
• Quality of school resources
Multivariate and multi-level analyses of student performance Implications for policy
9. It would be possible to report analyses of predictors of performance not only for science in 2006, but both across cycles and domains. To allow comparison across domains and cycles it is suggested that the analyses take a meta-analytic orientation and focus on effect sizes. Each section should also analyse the relationship between country-level aggregates of performance (at least some of the) predictors.
10. The last section would focus on modelling of effects: Particular emphasis could be given to the
analyses of common and unique variance explanation regarding student background and school-level
factors. Furthermore, it is proposed to give more emphasis in the multi-level modelling to explore country
differences in effects (for example by modelling interaction effects of country-level factors like GDP or
aggregates with within-country effects).
Questionnaire indices for PISA 2006
11. This section describes the indices that will be computed for PISA 2006 for use in the initial report as well as subsequent thematic reports. The section will distinguish between two types of indices will be distinguished:
• Simple Indices: Variable construction through the arithmetical transformation or recoding of one or more items: Here, item responses are used to calculate meaningful variables; examples are the recoding of ISCO-88 codes into ‘Highest parents’ Socio-economic index (SEI)’ or the calculation of teacher-student-ratio based on information from the school questionnaire.
• Scale Indices: Variable construction through the scaling of items. Most of these indices will be derived via IRT scaling of either dichotomous (Yes/No) or Likert-type items. The proposed scale scores for these indices are Weighted Likelihood Estimates.
12. In addition, there are a number of variables from the questionnaires which correspond to single items which used for the construction of indices. Many of them would be analysed in their ‘raw’ form but there are also other where decisions about the construction of indices will require analysis of the main study data. Variables which will be available in addition to the indices described in this document include:
− StQ2: Student gender
− StQ20: Sources of information about science topics
− StQ23: Sources of information about environmental issues
− StQ31: Students’ learning time
− StQ32: Out-of-school lessons
− StQ33: Science courses taking (last year/current year)
− ICQ2: Experience with using computers
− ICQ3: Frequency of computer use by location
− ScQ4: Grades available at school
− ScQ5: Percentages of grade repetition
− ScQ6: Average size of test language classes
− ScQ7: School location
− ScQ10: Availability of science teaching staff
− ScQ12: Influence of bodies on decision-making
− ScQ15: School accountability to parents
− ScQ16: Parental expectation towards school
− ScQ17: Use of achievement data for accountability procedures at school
− ScQ18: Extent of parental choice of schools
− ScQ21: Location of environmental topics in school’s curriculum
− ScQ23: School activities to inform about labour market
− ScQ24: Existence of career guidance at school
− ScQ25: Influence of business and industry on school curriculum
− ScQ26-27: Skill and knowledge development in pedagogical activities at school (regarding science-related careers and tertiary education)
− ScQ28: Main responsibility for career guidance at school
− PAQ9: Expenses for education
− PAQ10: Age of child’s parents
− PAQ15: Annual household income of parents
Student-Level Simple Indices Student Background
Age
13. Age is calculated as the difference between year and month of the testing and the year and month of a student's birth and reported in months?
Study programme
14. In PISA 2006 study, programmes available to 15-year-old students in each country will be collected both through the student tracking form and the student questionnaire. All study programmes will be classified using ISCED (OECD 1999). In the final database, all national programmes will be included in a separate variable (PROGN) where the first three digits are the ISO code for a country, the fourth digit the sub-national category and the last two digits the nationally specific programme code.
15. The following indices will be derived from the data on study programmes:
− Programme Level (ISCEDL) will indicate whether students are on the lower or upper secondary level (ISCED 3 or ISCED 2).
− Programme Designation (ISCEDD) will indicate the designation of the study programme: (1)
= "A" (general programmes designed to give access to the next programme level); (2) = "B"
(programmes designed to give access to vocational studies at the next programme level); (3)
= "C" (programmes designed to give direct access to the labour market); (4) = "M" (modular programmes that combine any or all of these characteristics).
− Programme Orientation (ISCEDO) will indicate whether the programme's curricular content is general (1), pre-vocational (2) or vocational (3).
Occupational Status of Parents
16. Occupational data for both the student’s father and student’s mother were obtained by asking open-ended questions. The responses were coded to four-digit ISCO codes (ILO, 1990) and then mapped to Ganzeboom et al’s SEI index (Ganzeboom, de Graaf and Treiman, 1992). Three indices are obtained from these scores.
Q9a/Q9b on father's occupation have similar wording.
17. Recoding of ISCO codes into SEI results in scores for the Mother's occupational status (BMMJ) and Father's occupational status (BFMJ). The Highest Occupational Level of Parents (HISEI) will correspond to the higher SEI score of either parent or to the only available parent's SEI score. Higher scores of SEI will indicate higher level of occupational status.
Educational Level of Parents
18. Parental education is a second family background variable that is often used in the analysis of educational outcomes. Theoretically, it has been argued that parental education has a more direct influence on student’s outcomes than parental occupation Like occupation, the collection of internationally comparable data on parental education poses significant challenges, and less work has been done on internationally comparable measures of educational outcomes than has been done on occupational status.
The core difficulties with parental education relate to international comparability (education systems differ widely between countries and over-time within countries) and response validity (students are often unable to accurately report their parents’ levels of education).
19. Parental education is classified using ISCED (OECD 1999). Please note that the question format
for school education in PISA 2006 differs from the one used in PISA 2000 and 2003.
Q9/Q104 on father's education have similar wording.
20. As in PISA 2000 and 2003, indices can be constructed by selecting the highest level for each parent and then assigning them to the following categories: (0) None, (1) ISCED 1 (primary education), (2) ISCED 2 (lower secondary), (3) ISCED Level 3B or 3C (vocational/pre-vocational upper secondary), (4) ISCED 3A (upper secondary) and/or ISCED 4 (non-tertiary post-secondary), (5) ISCED 5B (vocational tertiary), (6) ISCED 5A, 6 (theoretically oriented tertiary and post-graduate). Indices with these categories will be provided for mother (MISCED) and father (FISCED) of the student. Highest Educational Level of Parents (HISCED) corresponds to the higher ISCED level of either parent.
Immigration Background
21. Information on the country of birth will collected in a similar way as in PISA 2000 and PISA 2003. As in PISA 2003 national centres were encouraged to collect more detailed information on countries of birth, for example by including a list of countries where higher frequencies (2% or more) were expected.
A variable with ISO (country) codes (where applicable) will be added to the international database.
22. The index on immigrant background (IMMIG) was already used in PISA 2000 and PISA 2003 and will have the following categories: (1) ‘native’ students (those students born in the country of assessment or who had at least one parent born in the country),
1(2) ‘first-generation’ students (those born in the country of assessment but whose parent(s) were born in another country, and (3) ‘non-native’
students (those students born outside the country of assessment and whose parents were also born in another country). Students with missing responses for either the student or for both parents, or for all three questions will be given missing values.
Learning and Instruction
Relative Grade
23. Data on the student’s grade are obtained both from the Student Questionnaire and from the Student Tracking Forms.Inconsistencies between both sources are reviewed and resolved during data cleaning.
24. In order to account for between-country variation the Relative Grade Index (GRADE) will indicate whether students are at the modal grade in a country (value of 0), or whether they are below or above the modal grade (+x grades, - x grades).
Expected Occupational Status
1