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The effect of improved reproductive performance on
genetic gain and inbreeding in MOET breeding schemes
for beef cattle
B Villanueva, Ja Woolliams, G Simm
To cite this version:
Original
article
The
effect of
improved reproductive
performance
on
genetic gain
and
inbreeding
in
MOET
breeding
schemes for beef cattle
B
Villanueva
JA Woolliams
G Simm
1
Scottish
Agricultural College,
West MainsRoad, Edinburgh,
EH9,!JG;
2
Roslin
Institute(Edinburgh),
Roslin, Midlothian,
EH259PS,
UK(Received
9 November1994; accepted
6 March1995)
Summary - The effect of
improved reproductive techniques
ongenetic
progress andinbreeding
wasinvestigated
in MOET(multiple
ovulation andembryo
transfer)
schemes for beef cattle. Stochastic simulation was used to model a closed scheme withoverlapping
generations.
Selection was on a trait measured in both sexes, withheritability
0.35, and wascarried out for 25 years. The number of
breeding
animals was 9 sires and 18 donors.Embryo
production
was modelledusing
a Poisson distribution with the parameter distributedaccording
to a gamma distribution. The mean number of transferableembryos
per flushand per donor was
5.0,
with a coefficient of variation of 1.28 andrepeatability
betweenflushes of 0.22. This model was
compared
with models used inprevious
studies(fixed
number of
embryos
per flush or variable number ofembryos
but with zerorepeatability
between
flushes).
The coefficient of variation and therepeatability
ofembryo yield
influencedinbreeding
rates. The rate ofinbreeding
was underestimatedby
up to 17% whenvariability
ofembryo production
wasignored.
Without a constraint on the numberof calves born per year,
improved
success rates forembryo
collection andembryo
transfertechnologies
led to notable increases ingenetic
progress.However,
the rate ofinbreeding
was also increased with
improved techniques.
When the number of calves born per year wasfixed, genetic
progress was maintained butinbreeding
rates weresubstantially
reduced(by
up to11%)
withimproved techniques
due to theopportunity
ofequalizing family
sizes.There was no benefit from sexed semen with constrained number of calves per year.
beef cattle
/
MOET/
embryo/
genetic gain/
inbreedingRésumé - Effet de l’amélioration des techniques de reproduction sur le progrès
génétique et sur la consanguinité dans des schémas MOET pour bovins à viande.
Notre
investigation
avait pour but d’étudierl’effet
detechniques
dereproduction
amélioréessur le
progrès génétique
et sur laconsanguinité,
dans le cadre de schémas MOET(ovulation
multiple
ettransfert
d’embryon)
pour les bovins à viande. Grâce à une simulationstochas-tique, un schéma
fermé
a été modélisé avecgénérations
chevauchantes. La sélection a étél’héritabilité était de
0,35.
Les nombres dereproducteurs
mâles et de donneuses étaient de 9 et 18 respectivement. Laproduction d’embryons
a été modélisée en utilisant une dis-tribution de Poisson dont leparamètre
avait une distribution gamma. Le nombre moyend’embryons transférables
recueillis par collecte et par donneuse était de5,0
avec uncoef-ficient
de variation de 1,28 et avec unerépétabilité
de 0,22 entre collectes. Ce modèle aété
comparé
avec d’autres modèles utilisés dans des études antérieures(qui
utilisaient unnombre déterminé
d’embryons
parcollecte,
ou un nombre variabled’embryons
mais avec unerépétabilité
nulle entrecollectes).
Lecoefficient
de variation et larépétabilité
de laproduction d’embryons infLuencent
le taux deconsanguinité.
Si on ne tient pas comptede la variabilité de la
production d’embryons,
la sous-évaluation du taux deconsanguinité
peut atteindre 17%. Sans contrainte sur le nombre de naissances de veaux par an, un
plus
grand
pourcentage de réussite dans la collected’embryons
et l’amélioration destechnolo-gies
detransfert
contribuent ensemble à augmenter considérablement leprogrès génétique.
Cependant,
l’amélioration destechniques
a aussi poureffet d’augmenter
le taux deconsanguinité. Quand
le nombre de veaux nés par an est,fixé,
leprogrès génétique
peut être maintenu, tout en réduisant le taux deconsanguinité
(jusqu’à
13%),
enemployant
les
techniques améliorées,
à cause de lapossibilité d’égaliser
la taille desfamilles.
Iln’y
a aucunbénéfice
à utiliser du sperme sexéquand
le nombre de veaux par an estfixé.
bovin à viande/
schéma à ovulation multiple et transfert d’embryon(MOET) /
embryon
/
gain génétique/
consanguinitéINTRODUCTION
The value of
multiple
ovulation andembryo
transfer(MOET)
inbreeding
schemes forincreasing genetic gain
has beenwidely
studied indairy
cattle(see
reviewby
Dekkers, 1992;
Ruane andThompson,
1991)
and to a lesser extent in beef cattle(Land
andHill,
1975;
Gearheart etal, 1989;
Keller etal, 1990; Wray
andSimm,
1990)
andsheep
(Smith,
1986; Wray
andGoddard,
1994).
Early
studies concentrated on extragenetic
progressexpected
with MOET. More recent studies have also consideredpossible
risks associated with the use of MOETtechniques.
By greatly increasing
the numbers of progeny to beproduced by individuals,
genetic
progress can beimproved
due to increased intensities of selection.However,
the extragains
can beaccompanied by
increasedinbreeding
since fewerparents
contribute to the next
generation.
The adverse effects ofinbreeding
(loss
ofgenetic
variability,
loss ofpredictability
ofgenetic gain
andinbreeding
depression)
should be taken into account whenoptimum
schemes forgenetic improvement using
reproductive
technologies
areinvestigated.
One of the main
shortcomings
in earlier studies was theassumption
of constantfamily
size,
or theassumption
of a variablefamily
size,
but with no correlationbetween the number of
embryos produced
in successive recoveries. In fact there isa wide range in the size of families
following
MOET andanalyses
of MOET datahave indicated a non-zero
repeatability
ofembryo production
(eg,
Lohuis etal, 1993;
Woolliams et
al,
1995).
The increase in the variance ofembryo
yield
can lead toincreased rates of
inbreeding
and reductions ingenetic gain. Recently,
Woolliamsassumption
of zero correlation between flushes isremoved)
and describes veryaccurately
the number ofembryos
obtained per donor and per flush. Villanuevaet al
(1994)
have used this model in a simulationstudy
toinvestigate
differentstrategies
forcontrolling
rates ofinbreeding
in MOETbreeding
schemes for beef cattle. With current values ofparameters
describing
success rates ofreproductive
technologies,
rates ofinbreeding
were veryhigh
for schemes with 18 donors and 9sires,
even when the most efficientstrategies
forcontrolling
inbreeding
were used(factorial
mating designs
and selection on best linear unbiasedprediction
(BLUP)
breeding
valuesassuming
an inflatedheritability).
In this paper weinvestigate
ratesof progress and
inbreeding
obtained when different models forsimulating
embryo
production
are utilized.Advances in
embryo
manipulation techniques
have beenrapid
in thepast
fewyears and these are
likely
to continue. One of the mainproblems
in thepractical
application
ofembryo
transfer inbreeding
programmesusing superovulation
is thehigh variability
among donors in the number ofembryos
collected. Thisproduces
a
high
variance infamily
size which in turn leads to ahigh
variance in the numbers selected from eachfamily
(and,
therefore,
high
inbreeding).
Research isbeing
addressed atreducing
thisvariability
andincreasing
the mean number ofembryos
per collection.Embryo
survival rates andfrequency
of collection are alsolikely
to beimproved.
Luo et al(1994)
havegiven
bothpessimistic
andoptimistic
predictions
for future success rates ofembryological
techniques.
The effect thatimproved
future success rates forembryo
recovery andembryo
transfer could haveon rates of response and
inbreeding
isinvestigated
in this paper.Also,
thetechniques
for
sexing
ofembryos
or semen arealready
used on a small scale. Semen andembryo
sexing
may become commercial in the near future and so the value ofsexing
of semento increase
genetic
progress is also examined.Hence,
the results areexpected
to be useful inidentifying
those advances inreproductive technologies
which arelikely
tobe of most value in
breeding
schemes.METHODS
Description
of simulationsThe stochastic model to simulate a MOET nucleus scheme for beef cattle has been
described in detail
by
Villanueva et al(1994).
The trait under selection was assumed to be recorded in both sexes and around 400 d of age(between
385 and 415d),
at the end of a
performance
test. The trait was simulatedassuming
and additiveinfinitesimal model with an initial
heritability
of 0.35. The nucleus was establishedwith 9 males and 18 females of
2,
3 and 4 years of age. The number of animals in each age group wasapproximately
the same. These unrelated individuals constituted thebase
population.
Truebreeding
values of basepopulation
animals were obtained from a normal distribution with mean zero and variance(
QA
)
0.35(different
agegroups had the same
genetic
mean).
Phenotypic
values were obtainedby adding
anormally
distributed environmentalcomponent
with mean zero and variance 0.65.Selection was carried out for 25 years. The number of
breeding
males andfemales was constant over years and
equal
to the number of base males and femalesperiod
= 6months).
Estimatedbreeding
values(EBVs)
were obtainedusing
anindividual animal model BLUP. The overall mean was the
only
fixed effect includedin the model. Males and females with the
highest
EBVs were selected andrandomly
mated
according
to a nesteddesign.
Each sire was used the same number of timesin 1 evaluation
period.
Animals were selectedirrespective
of whetherthey
had been selected inprevious
periods
and animals not selected were culled from the herd.True
breeding
values of theoffspring
born every year, weregenerated
aswhere
TBVI,
TBV,
andTBV
d
are the truebreeding
values of the individuali,
its sire and its damrespectively,
and mi is the Mendeliansampling
term. The Mendelian term was obtained from a normal distribution with mean zero andvariance
(1/2)(1 -
(F
i
+!d)/2]cr!,
whereF
s
andF
d
are theinbreeding
coefficientsof the sire and
dam, respectively.
Theinbreeding
coefficients of the animals wereobtained from the additive
relationship
matrix.Values for
reproductive
success rates(parameters
ofembryo yield, frequency
ofembryo
collection and survival rate of transferredembryos)
were varied in differentschemes. The number of transferable
embryos
collected per flush and per cow wasobtained from a Poisson distribution whose
parameter
was distributedaccording
to a gamma distribution(Woolliams
etal,
1995).
This model is described in the nextsection
(Model 1).
Different values for the mean number of transferableembryos
perflush and per
donor,
the coefficient of variation andrepeatability
ofembryo yield,
thefrequency
offlushing
and theembryo
survival rate were considered. Currentvalues were obtained from
analyses
of extensive data onembryo
recovery(Woolliams
et
al,
1995).
Potential future values were obtained from a survey of internationalexperts
inreproductive
technologies
(Luo
etal,
1994).
All calves were born fromembryo
transfer,
ie there were no calves from naturalmatings.
The survival tobirth of a transferred
embryo
wasassigned
at random with differentprobabilities
in different schemes(0.55,
0.65 or0.75).
The sex of theembryos
was alsoassigned
atrandom with
probability
1/2
ofobtaining
a male(expected
sex ratiod’/Q
=1:1)
for most schemes. In order to evaluate thepossible
benefit ofusing
sexed semen, theratio was
changed
to 1:2 and 1:3. In these cases, theprobability
ofobtaining
a male was1/3
and1/4,
respectively.
Males were assumedcapable
ofbreeding
afterbeing
performance
tested. The minimum age of donors was 15 months. At all ages afterbirth,
individuals weresubject
to amortality
rate that varied with age. Survivalprobabilities
from birth to 3weeks,
6 months and2, 5,
10 or 15 years were0.98,
0.97, 0.96, 0.93,
0.86 and0.00, respectively. Thus,
the maximum age of the animalswas 15 years. Survival rates were assumed to be the same for both sexes.
Models for
embryo production
In the
present
study,
the number ofembryos
produced
per flush and per donorwas
generated using
the modelproposed by
Woolliams et al(1995).
In order toinvestigate
the effect ofincluding
extra variation inembryo production
on rates ofresponse and
inbreeding
this model wascompared
with models used inprevious
collection but with zero
repeatability
betweenflushes).
Four different models wereanalysed.
Model 1
The model
proposed by
Woolliams et al(1995)
generates
the number ofembryos
produced
from anegative
binomial distribution(Poisson
distribution whosepa-rameter is distributed
according
to a gammadistribution).
The number ofembryos
collected from the ith donor in the
jth
flush wassampled
from a Poissondistri-bution whose
parameter
.!2!
wassampled
from a gamma distribution withshape
parameter
/!2
and scaleparameter
v. In that way a correlation between the numberof
embryos
produced
in successive flushes of a cow is included in the model. Thenatural
logarithm
of#i
(parameter
specific
for eachdonor)
wassampled
from anormal distribution with mean 1L and variance
Q
2
.
Thelogarithm of !3i
is taken toavoid
negative
numbers. The maximum value ofA
ij
was set to 30.Let y
2
be thenumber of transferable
embryos
obtained at thejth
collection. Then theexpected
value and varianceof
Yi
areE(y
2
)
_
!2v
andVar(y
i
) =
{3
i
v(1
+ (3’f),
respectively
(Woolliams
etal,
1995).
In order toexplore
the effect ofchanging
thesekey
pa-rameters,
a simulation program was written to simulateembryo
production using
this model. The number of donors simulated was 100 000 and the number of flushes was 3 for each donor. Therepeatability
was calculated as R =u2/(a2
+Q
w),
where
QB
is
the variance inembryo production
among donors anda#
is thevari-ance among flushes
(within donors).
The coefficient of variation was calculated asCV =
(or2
/2 IM
AN
E
1
)
2
+
where MEAN is the overall mean ofembryos
collectedper flush and per donor. The estimates of
Q
B
and
o-w
were obtained from ananal-ysis
of variance of simulated data. Current values forembryo production
(Luo
etal,
1994)
correspond
to thefollowing
parameter
values: >
=1.46,
a
2
= 0.4 and v = 1.0. These values led to a mean number of transferableembryos
per flush andper donor of
5.0,
with a coefficient of variation of 1.28 andrepeatability
of 0.22.Model 2
The number of
embryos
collected was obtained in the same way as described inModel 1 but now the
logarithm of
{
3
i
wassampled
from a normal distribution withmean > and variance zero. Since
parameter
{3i
is aconstant,
there is novariability
among donors and the
repeatability
ofembryo production
is zero. The values forthe
parameters
of the distributions were > =1.61,
0
-
2
= 0.0 and v = 1.0. Thesevalues lead to the same mean number of
embryos
collected as in Model 1 but to alower coefficient of variation
(CV
=1.09,
R =0.00).
Model 3
The number of
embryos
collected per flush and per donor wasgenerated by sampling
Comparison
amongbreeding
schemesThe scheme with current
values
forreproductive
parameters
was used as apoint
of reference for
comparisons.
Average
truebreeding
values(G
i
)
andinbreeding
coefficients
(F
i
)
of individuals born at the ith year were obtained. Annual rate ofresponse between
years j
and
i was calculated asAG
I
-
j
=
(Gj — G!)/(j - z),
wherej
> i. Ratesof inbreeding
were obtained every year ast1F
i
=(!—7!_i)/(l—!_i).
The rate of
inbreeding
betweenyears j
and
i(t1Fi!j)
was obtainedby
taking
the average of annual rates.
Also,
thefollowing
parameters
were calculated in thesimulations:
1)
genetic
variance of animals born every year;2)
accuracy of selection(correlation
between the truebreeding
values and selection criteria of the candidates forselection); 3)
genetic
selection differentials(difference
between the mean valuesof selection criteria of selected individuals and candidates for
selection)
and selection intensities for males andfemales;
4)
generation
intervals(average
age ofparents
whenoffspring
areborn)
for males andfemales;
and5)
variance offamily
sizes for male and femaleparents.
The latter was calculated as described in Villanuevaet al
(1994).
Each scheme wasreplicated
200 times and the valuespresented
arethe average over all
replicates.
The criteria forcomparing
different schemes werethe rates of response
(AG
15
-
25
)
andinbreeding
(AF
15
-
25
)
at the later years(from
year 15 to year25).
The cumulative response)
25
(G
andinbreeding
at year 25(F
ZS
)
RESULTS
Models for
embryo
production
Table I shows the
genetic
progress and theinbreeding
obtained under different models used togenerate
the number ofembryos
per collection. The results showthat the
inbreeding
obtaineddepended
on the values of the coefficient of variationand the
repeatability
ofembryo
yield. By
making
the correlation betweenembryo
production
at different recoveriesequal
to zero(R
=0.00),
the rate ofinbreeding
decreasedby
4%
(Models
1 and2).
The effect of the coefficient of variation ofembryo yield
on the rate ofinbreeding
was notable.By increasing
the coefficientof variation
by
a factor of 2.4 the rate ofinbreeding
increasedby
14%
(Models 2
and
3).
The rate ofinbreeding
obtained when the number ofembryos
collectedwas fixed
(Model
4)
was between 2 and14%
lower than that obtained when there wasvariability
inembryo yield
but therepeatability
was zero(Models 3
and2).
The
genetic
progress decreased asvariability
ofembryo production
increased. Thedecrease in response was however small. The
genetic gain
obtained with Model 1was around
2%
lower than that obtained withModel
4 (fixed
number ofembryos).
Improved
embryo
recovery andembryo
transferValues for
reproductive
parameters
utilized in different schemes are shown intable II. Two different situations of
improved
technology
forembryo
production
were considered.
Firstly,
the coefficient of variation ofembryo yield
was decreasedand the mean was maintained.
Secondly,
the coefficient of variation was decreasedand the mean was increased. Under Model
1,
the coefficient of variation can bewas increased whereas J-L was
kept
constant. Values used forembryo
distributionparameters
as well as theresulting MEAN,
CV and R are shown in table III.The rates of response and
inbreeding
obtained withimproved
values forparame-ters of
embryo
recovery andembryo
transfer are shown in table IV. The first row ofthe table
represents
the current situation and is used as a reference. Theexpected
number of
embryos
transferred for each scheme is shown in the last column.De-creasing
the coefficient of variation ofembryo
production
whilekeeping
the meanapproximately
constant did not have an effect on rates of response andinbreeding.
This may be due to the increased
repeatability
thataccompanied
the decrease inCV in the model. The influence of the
repeatability
ofembryo yield
has been shownin the
previous
section.Increasing
the mean number ofembryos
transferred led to a notable increase in the rates of response, due to increased selection intensities and accuracy and decreasedgeneration
intervals. In this case, the number of calvesborn per year
(N
CB
)
was unrestricted and the number of donors wasconstant,
soincreasing
embryo yield
led to more candidates for selection. Male and femalese-lection intensities
(i!
andiy)
andgeneration
intervals(L
«
andL
Q
)
are shown intable V. The rate of
inbreeding
(per
year and pergeneration)
was also increased(particularly
when the mean number ofembryos
produced
was9.6)
due to increased full-sibfamily
sizes and intensities of selection and decreasedgeneration
intervals.The assumed current
frequency
of collection ofembryos
(FC)
was 60 d(3
flushesflushing
to 45 d(4
flushes in a 6 monthperiod)
on rates of response andinbreeding
are also shown in table IV. The increase in
flushing frequency
to thisoptimistic
future value
produced
a clear increase ingenetic
progress. This increase ingenetic
progress was due to increased selection intensities and accuracy of selection and
decreased
generation
intervals(table
V).
Inbreeding
wasslightly higher
when donors were flushed 4 times perperiod. Finally, by increasing
theprobability
that anembryo
survives untilcalving
(ESR)
from 0.55 to 0.65 and0.75,
cumulativegenetic
response was increased
by
4 and8%, respectively.
The rate ofinbreeding
wasalso increased. Table V indicates increases in selection intensities and decreases
in
generation
intervals withimproved
viability
of theembryos.
Tables IV and V show results obtained without a constraint on the number of
calves born in the scheme.
By increasing
the mean number ofembryos
per flushand per
donor,
thefrequency
offlushing
or theembryo
survivalprobability,
theexpected
number ofoffspring
is increased. Genetic progress obtained at year 25 wasdirectly proportional
to the number of calves born each year(table IV).
With moreoffspring
born,
the selection intensities and the accuracy of selection were increasedand the
generation
intervals were decreased(table
V).
Also,
the rate ofinbreeding
(per
year and pergeneration)
was increasedby improving
embryo
transfer andembryo
recoverytechniques.
For a fixed number of sires anddonors,
the increase inthe number of
offspring
born per year led to an increase in the variances offamily
sizes.
Comparing
schemes which differwidely
in the number ofoffspring produced
isunfair. This is because
genetic gains
areexpected
to behigher
(and
inbreeding
isexpected
to belower)
inlarger
schemes, irrespective
of the use ofbreeding
technologies. Also,
inpractice,
there willusually
be a limitation on the numberof
embryo
collections or transfers which can bemade,
the number ofrecipients
available,
or the number oftesting
places
available for calves. These constraints areSimulations were therefore also run with a restriction on the number of
offspring
born every year and the results are
presented
in table VI.When the mean number of
embryos
collected per flush and thefrequency
ofcollection were
increased,
someembryos
were discarded in order to transfer afixed number. In these cases, the
expected
average number ofembryo
transfers per year was 540(this
is theexpected
number of transfers with current values forreproductive
parameters
and 18donors).
Embryos
were not discarded atrandom;
most were discarded from donors
producing
moreembryos,
in order toequalize
family
sizes. The decision on whichembryos
were transferred was made withinindividual flushes.
First,
the number ofembryos
recovered from each donor wasobtained
using
Model 1. Afterthat,
1embryo
from each donor(if
available)
wasallocated
(for
transfer)
in succession and this process wasrepeated
until the desiredtotal number of
embryos
was reached. In these cases, the maximum number ofembryos
transferred after asingle
flush was 18 x 5 = 90. When the survival rateof
embryos
from transfer until birth wasincreased,
the number of transfers wasdecreased in order to obtain a fixed number of calves born per year.
Again,
moreembryos
were discarded from donors withhigher embryo production.
Table VIshows that with these
strategies,
the number of calves born per year(N
CB
)
wasapproximately
constant in all schemes.Increasing
the mean number ofembryos produced
per flush and per donor from5.0 to 7.4 and 9.6 decreased the rate of
inbreeding by
up to10%
even with theincreased
repeatability
(table
VI).
Thus, restricting
family
sizes nullified the effect ofrepeatability.
The decrease ininbreeding
rates was due to decreased variances offamily
sizes. The increase infrequency
offlushing
also led to a decrease in the rateof
inbreeding
(by 11%)
whereas thegenetic
progress was not affected.Finally, by
increasing
theprobability
ofembryo survival,
the rate ofinbreeding
was reducedby
up to
5%
with no effect on response. These latter schemes(ESR
>0.55)
were notcompared
on anequal
basis with theothers,
since fewerembryos
were transferredand less
recipients
were used.Sexing
of semenTable VII shows the results obtained when sexed semen was used to
change
the sexratio from 1:1 to 1:2 and 1:3 in favour of
females,
in order to increase the selectionintensity
in this sex. The number ofembryos
obtained per flush and per donor was simulatedusing
Model 1. The number of transfers per year wasexpected
to be the same for all schemes(540
transfers peryear).
There was no benefit fromusing
sexed semen when the number of progeny tested per year was fixed. Table VIII
shows
generation
intervals and selection intensities for schemes with different sexratios. As
expected,
the selectionintensity
of females increases as theproportion
offemale
offspring
increases.However,
at the sametime,
there is a reduction in theselection
intensity
of males and the average selectionintensity
is not increased. This led to similar rates of response when different sex ratios were simulated. GenerationDISCUSSION
Two novelties of the
present
study
are that the coefficient of variation ofembryo
yield
usedcorresponds
to that observed in real data(and
ishigher
than that used inprevious
studies)
and that therepeatability
ofembryo
yield
has been included. Studiesevaluating
the use of MOET forgenetic improvement
of ruminants havefrequently
assumed a fixed number ofembryos
per collection(Land
andHill, 1975;
Nicholas and
Smith, 1983;
Juga
andMaki-Tanila, 1987;
Gearheart etal, 1989;
Kelleret
al, 1990; Meuwissen, 1991;
Ruane andThompson, 1991;
Toro etal,
1991;
Bondoc andSmith, 1993;
Leitch etal,
1994).
Several studies have considered variablefamily
sizes butusing
hypothetical
distributions.Ruane
(1991)
simulated variablefamily
sizesby
obtaining
the number ofembryos
recovered per donor from a normal distribution with mean 16 and variance up to64
(he
assumed 4 flushes pergeneration
and an average of 4embryos
perflush).
Thus the
highest
coefficient of variation forembryo
production
simulated was 0.50.His results showed a small effect of variation in
family
sizes on rates of responseand
inbreeding.
The reduction in responseby including
variation in the number ofembryos
collected per donor was around4%
whereas the increase ininbreeding
wasup to
3%.
Colleau(1991)
used a ’scaled’ binomial distribution to modelembryo
production.
Theproportion
of treated cowsresponding
tosuperovulation
(p)
was0.7 and the number of
embryos
collected per flush and per treated cow(m)
was4 or 5. Thus the number of
embryos
collected per flush and per donor wasm8,
where 0 is a random variable
having
a binomial distribution with theparameters
n = 1
(flushes)
anddistribution is mnp and the variance is
m
2
np(1 -
p)
which leads to a coefficient ofvariation of
[(1- p)/pj
I/2
= 0.65. Poisson distributions(with
constantparameters)
have been used also for
modelling
the number ofembryos
recoveredfollowing
superovulation.
Schrooten and van Arendonk(1992)
used a Poisson distributionwith
parameter
5 to obtain the number of live calves per flush. Thisimplies
acoefficient of variation of 0.45.
More realistic models have been
proposed
togenerate
embryo yield
distributions(Foulley
andIm, 1993; Tempelman
andGianola,
1993;
1994).
In a simulationstudy,
Tempelman
and Gianola(1994)
generated embryo yields
in MOET nucleusherds
using
a model which includesrepeatable
variation among donors.Within-dam variation was modelled
using
a Poisson distribution.However,
Woolliams et al(1995)
have shown that extra-Poisson variation is observed inpractice.
Actual dataon ovulation rates and
embryo
recoveries are better describedby negative
binomialdistributions than
by
Poisson models. In the model ofTempelman
and Gianola(1994),
more within-donor variation could begenerated
by
including
an additional random term.Wray
and Simm(1990)
used a distribution based on commercial data togenerate
the number of calves per flush in beef cattle. The coefficient of variation used was
1.15. The coefficient of variation of the number of calves born per flush can be
obtained from the mean and the coefficient of variation of
embryo yield
as!ESR(1 -
ESR)MEAN
+ESR
2
CV
2
MEAN
2
]
1
/
2
/[ESR
xMEAN]
The value used in the
present
study
(1.34)
ishigher
than that used inprevious
studies.
Changes
ininbreeding
alsodepend
on the value ofrepeatability
ofembryo
yield
(table
I).
With increasedrepeatability
ofembryo yield,
an increase in the variance offamily
size isexpected
(since
the variance between donorsincreases),
with the
potential
for fewer families to make agreater
contributions to successivegenerations. Thus,
models usedpreviously
(which
have assumed a constant number ofembryos
per collection or a variablenumber,
but with lower coefficient of variationand no correlation between different
recoveries)
have underestimated the rate ofinbreeding
and overestimatedgenetic gain.
Improved
embryo
recovery and transfer success rates lead tohigher
rates ofresponse and
inbreeding
than current successrates,
providing
the number of calvestested per year is unconstrained. This is due to
higher
selection intensities andaccuracies,
lowergeneration
intervals andhigher
and more variablefamily
sizes.However,
it is unrealistic to assume unconstrained number of calves bornsince,
incentralized nucleus
herds,
costs willdepend
of the total number of animals in the scheme. When different schemes arecompared
at a constant number ofoffspring
born per year,improved
success rates do not increase progress, since selection intensities andgeneration
intervals are maintained.However,
inbreeding
rates canbe
markedly
reducedby discarding
moreembryos
from donors with thehighest
embryo
production,
toequalize
family
sizes.Although
the resultspresented
are forthe later years of
selection,
rates of response andinbreeding
were also obtained forthe
early
years(from
year 5 to year15).
There was nosignificant
effect of time onthe results of
comparisons
among schemes.Schemes which assumed
improved embryo
transfertechniques
(improved ES’R)
schemes
(see
E(ET)
in tableVI).
An alternative basis formaking
faircomparisons
would be to transfer 540
embryos
and,
from the 351(ESR
=0.65)
and 405(ESR
=0.75)
calvesexpected,
choose forperformance testing
the 297 animalswhich would best
equalize
family
sizes. In this case, schemes withimproved
ESRcould benefit from
selling
surplus
calves. On the otherhand, improved embryo
recovery
techniques
(increased
MEAN andFC)
give
theopportunity
ofselling
surplus embryos
(see E(ER)
in tableVI).
However,
this benefit is difficult toquantify
as there is notcurrently
alarge
or stable market for beef cattleembryos.
Variation in response to selection can be an
important
limitation of MOETnu-cleus schemes. Nicholas
(1989)
suggested
that the maximumacceptable
coefficientof variation of response after 10 years of selection
ranged
from 5 to10%.
For the schemes considered in this paper, the coefficients of variation of response over a10 year
period
varied from 10 to14%.
Thus,
the size of the nucleus needs to belarger
than that consideredhere,
orstrategies
forcontrolling inbreeding
should beapplied,
to have a reasonable level of risk.In
breeding
programmes,sexing
ofembryos
or semen could be used to increase the selectionintensity applied
to females.However,
there seems to be no benefit fromsexing
whenperformance
information is available on both sexes andcomparisons
are made at a fixed number of individuals tested per year(table VII).
Asexpected,
the selection
intensity
of females increased as theproportion
of femaleoffspring
increased.
However,
at the sametime,
there was a reduction in the selectionintensity
of males and the overall selectionintensity
wasunchanged
(table
VIII).
Wray
andGoddard
(1994)
haveinvestigated
a differentstrategy,
insheep
MOETschemes,
which used sexed semen
(female)
to inseminate the selected dams with lower EBVs whereas thetop
selected dams were inseminated with unsexed semen(to
avoiddecreases in male selection
intensity).
However,
in MOETschemes,
the overallselection
intensity
did notchange. They
found a benefit fromsexing
in conventionalschemes
(without
MOET),
suggesting
thatsexing
can be beneficial when the maleand female selection intensities differ
greatly.
On the other
hand,
Colleau(1991)
reported,
fordairy
cattle,
slightly higher
gains
for adult MOET schemes withsexing
ofembryos
than forjuvenile
MOET schemes withoutsexing.
Sincejuvenile
schemes areexpected
to besuperior
to adultschemes without
sexing
(with
respect
togenetic
progress),
his resultssuggest
a clearbenefit from
sexing.
Whereas the studies discussed in theprevious
paragraph
have considered fixed numbers oftransfers,
sires anddams,
Colleau’s model allowed thenumber
of dams to vary. The nucleus considered assumed femalesdispersed
acrossmany recorded herds. For his adult
scheme,
the overall number of dams used forreplacements
was muchhigher
than in thejuvenile
scheme. This allowed selectiondifferentials in the adult scheme to be
high enough
tocompensate
for thelonger
generation
intervals. In centralized nucleusschemes,
a constraint on the number of dams would be also nParlarl, In these circumstances theadvantage
ofsexing
wouldbe doubtful.
In
conclusion,
the values of the coefficient of variation and therepeatability
ofembryo
yield
areimportant
indetermining
rates ofinbreeding.
When the number oftesting
places
isconstrained, improved technologies
cangreatly
decrease the rate ofis available on both sexes and
comparisons
are carried out at a fixed number ofindividuals tested per year, there is no
apparent
benefit in response fromsexing.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
We would like to thank Drs B
McGuirk,
RThompson
and a referee for their valuablesuggestions.
This work was fundedby
theMinistry
ofAgriculture,
Fisheries andFood,
the Milk
Marketing
Board ofEngland
and Wales and the Meat and LivestockCommis-sion. SAC receives financial support from the Scottish Office
Agriculture
and FisheriesDepartment
and the Roslin Institute receives financial support from theBiotechnology
andBiological
Sciences Research Council and theMinistry
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