A NNALES DE L ’I. H. P., SECTION B
A MINE A SSELAH
P AOLO D AI P RA
First occurrence time of a large density fluctuation for a system of independent random walks
Annales de l’I. H. P., section B, tome 36, n
o3 (2000), p. 367-393
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First
occurrencetime of
alarge density
fluctuation for
asystem of independent
random walks
Amine
ASSELAH,
Paolo DAIPRA
a C.M.I., Universite de Provence, 39 Rue Joliot-Curie, F-13453 Marseille cedex 13, France
b Dipartimento di Matematica, Politecnico di Milano, Piazza Leonardo da Vinci 32, 20133 Milano, Italy
Received in 30 April 1999, revised 1 October 1999
@ 2000
Editions
scientifiques et médicales Elsevier SAS. All rights reservedABSTRACT. - We obtain
sharp asymptotics
for the first time a"macroscopic" density
fluctuation occurs in asystem
ofindependent simple symmetric
random walks onZd. Also,
we show the convergence of the moments of the rescaled timeby establishing
tail estimates. @ 2000Editions scientifiques
et médicales Elsevier SASKey words: Independent random walks, Exponential approximation, Tail estimates RESUME. - Nous obtenons des estimees
asymptotiques
de la distribu- tion dupremier temps d’ apparition
d’une fluctuation"macroscopique"
endensite pour un
systeme
departicules independantes
surZd. Aussi,
nousobtenons la convergence des moments du
temps
renormalise en etablis- sant des estimees de queue de sa distribution. @ 2000Editions
scienti-fiques
et médicales Elsevier SAS1 E-mail: asselah@gyptis.univ-mrs.fr.
2 E-mail:
daipra@mate.polimi.it.1. INTRODUCTION
We consider a
system
ofindependent, simple symmetric
random walkson the lattice
7ld.
We assume that thesystem
is inequilibrium,
with adensity
ofparticle
p E(0, +00).
Westudy
the distribution of the first time more thanp’nd particles
arepresent
in ahypercube
ofvolume nd
with
p’ > p. Also,
we obtainsharp asymptotics
in the limit n - oo.The
problem
offinding asymptotics
for the first occurrence time ofa rare event for a Markov process has a
history
which traces backto Harris
[14].
Hisresults,
as well as more recent ones in[8,16,17],
are restricted to Markov chains
satisfying strong
recurrenceproperties (Harris recurrence).
The related
problem concerning
the exit time from the basin of attraction of a metastable state for certainparticle systems [7,9,19-21 ],
has in
part
stimulated thestudy
of occurrence time of rare events forinteracting particle systems.
For non-conservativespin-flip dynamics
theproblem
is rather well understood in the case of attractivesystems [ 18]
and
systems
whoseequilibrium
measure satisfies alogarithmic-Sobolev inequality [2].
In both cases, the fast convergence toequilibrium implies
that the
system performs
several almostindependent attempts
beforereaching
the rare event; thisguarantees
that the distribution of the firstoccurrence time is close to
exponential.
A subtler
question
is whether thequasi-exponentiality
holds forsystems possessing
a conservation law.Typically,
weexpect
apositive
answer, even
though
themultiplicity
of invariant measuresprevents ergodicity arguments
to beexploited.
Infact,
in mostinteresting systems,
the time needed to "recover" from alarge
scale fluctuation islarge,
butmuch smaller than the time needed for such fluctuation to occur. It is therefore natural to
conjecture that,
afterrescaling
the timeaccording
tothe
larger
timescale,
thesystem
"looks like" anergodic
process.So
far,
nogeneral technique
fortranslating
this idea intorigorous
mathematics has been
developed
andanalysis
hasproceeded
caseby
case. The first model to be studied was the zero-range process
[ 11 ],
followed
by
thesymmetric simple
exclusion(SSEP)
in one dimension[12],
the SSEP in any dimension[3]
and the contact process[22].
Forthese models a
quite sharp
result has beenproved. Namely,
that there is a constantf3n
such thatTn/03B2n
converges to anexponential
variable of mean1, and f3n
is estimated up to a constant.A
key
technicalargument
in most of the cited studies isduality:
whenwe estimate the
probability
of an eventAt
whichdepends
on the stateof the
system
at time t in a finite spaceregion
A CZ~,
we need inprinciple
to control the evolution of the entire infinitesystem;
whenduality holds, P (At )
is determinedby
a finite number ofparticles
whichevolve backward in time
according
to the dual process.Although
we follow thestrategy
of[12]
to prove convergence indistribution,
the absence of asimple
dual processpresented
amajor difficulty. Moreover,
unlike[11,12,3],
we show convergence of the moments ofTn /,8n
to the moments of anexponential
variable of mean1,
in dimensionlarger
than two. For moments convergence, we follow anapproach
of[ 1 ]
which relies on aninequality
of Varadhan[23].
2. MODEL AND MAIN RESULTS
We consider
independent particles evolving
assimple
random walkson
Z~.
Denoteby 17t (i)
the number ofparticles
that occupy the site i at time t. The process is a Markov process withgenerator
where
r~i ~ ~ (k)
= +8kj - 8ki.
The extremal invariant measures for this process are theproduct
measures, vp, whosemarginals
have Poissondistribution with
parameter p >
0(see [10]).
We denoteby
P~ the law of17(t)
started with and E~ thecorresponding expectation.
For p and
p’
> pgiven,
we define the event~ ,-.,,
Also,
letTn
= 0: r~t EAn ),
and[x]
=min{n
E N: n >x}.
Ourmain results are
THEOREM 1. -
Suppose
0 pp’.
There arepositive
constantsC,
c, c’ and a sequence such thatwhere
,Bn satisfies
THEOREM 2. -
Suppose d >
3.Then, for
everyk >
1The
proof
of Theorem 1 consists into three mainsteps:
the lower bound forTn
is treated in Section3,
the upper bound in Section 4 and theindependence property
in Section 5. Theproof
is thencompleted
inSection 6. The
proof
of Theorem2, given
in Section7,
relies on uniform estimates on the tails of the distribution ofTn /fIn.
In Section 8 we listsome
problems
left open.3. LOWER BOUND We define
For
any i ~ ~ n
there isexactly one j ~ n,
sayji ,
such thatdist(i, ji )
=1. For
simplicity,
we let l =[p’nd],
and we will oftendrop subscripts n
or p. For 0 s t let
N (s , t )
be the number ofparticles that,
in the time interval(s, t),
enterAn
while there are l - 1particles
inAn .
Note thatN (s , t )
can be written in the formwhere
J:
is the process that counts the number ofparticles
that movefrom the site i to the
site ji during
time[0, r],
andwhere X
(A)
is the characteristic function of A.PROPOSITION 1. - There is a constant a > 0 such that
for
every t > 0By using (3.1 )
and that~
hasintensity ~(~)/2J,
we haveNow
and,
so that
(3.2)
follows at once. D4. UPPER BOUND
A
system
ofindependent
random walks can be realized as follows.Suppose
that for any site i Etld
there is a sequence 1 ofindependent
Poisson processes ofintensity
1. Processes associated todifferent sites are
independent.
We call these processes clocks. If t is ajump
timefor ni,k,
then we say that the clock of level k at site irings
attime t.
Suppose 17t (i)
= r,i.e.,
there are rparticles
in i at time t. Weimagine
that these
particles
occupy r different levels. These levels at site i arecalled boxes and can be identified with
pairs (i, k), i
E~d, k >
1. Sothe event = r can be described
by saying
that the boxes(i, k),
1
x k x
r, areoccupied,
while all other boxes at site i areempty.
We now describe the
dynamics. Suppose
the clock ni,krings
at timet. If the box
(i, k)
is notoccupied
thennothing happens.
Otherwisethe
particle
at(i, k)
moves to the lowestunoccupied
level of a sitej, randomly
chosen with uniformprobability
among the 2d nearestneighbors; also,
theremaining particles
in boxes(i, k’)
for k’ > k moveback one level. It is easy to check that each
particle
evolves as asimple
random
walk, independently
of all others.We define
N(s, t)
to be the number of times the clocks of level 1 in the sites ina An ring
withintime s and t,
while there areexactly
lparticles
in
An, i.e.,
We denote
by 1/03B3n
= =l).
PROPOSITION 2. - There are constants
B,
D > 0 suchthat, for
alln > 0, t > 0
Proof. -
For any T >0, (Tn T) D { N (o, T) ) 1 } . Thus, Cauchy-
Schwarz
inequality gives
which
implies
Now, using (4.1)
and the fact that ni, is a Poisson process ofintensity 1,
we have
Therefore,
all we need to show is that there are constantsB,
D > 0 such thatFirst note that for any T > 0
where
M;
is amartingale. Therefore, using
theinequality (a -f- b)2
2(a2
+b2),
we obtainThus, by stationarity
and Theorem 15 in[6],
weget
Thus,
it remains to show that there are constantsB,
D > 0 such thatWe denote
by Ok (t)
the event thatexactly k particles
among those which were in A at time zero, are at time t in We denoteby Ik (t )
theevent that
exactly k particles
among those which were in A C at time zero,are at time t in ~1. We have
where is the measure
corresponding
to lindependent particles uniformly
distributed in A.Let qt
be theprobability
that oneparticle
is outside A at
time t,
if at time 0 it isuniformly
distributed in 11.Then,
Moreover, by reversibility,
Case 1:
t > n4.
In this case, for some M >0,
Thus, writing q
for qt , we havewhere the
inequality
comes
easily
from 1- q x Therefore,
when tYn >n4
Case 2: t
n4.
We defineUsing
anargument
similar to[2],
there is aconstant f3
> 0 such thatIndeed,
consider twoindependent
random variablesX,
Y withP (X
=k)
= ak andP ( Y
=k) = bk. Then,
for any 8 ER,
By elementary
calculusuniformly for q
E[0, 1]. Thus,
for 03B8 0 smallenough,
theexpression
in(4.6)
is boundedby e-{3ndq
for some,8
> 0.Thus,
In the
case d > 2,
we havefor some k > 0.
Indeed,
define~int
={i
E A:dist(i, AC)
=1}. Now, 11n
is a lower bound for theprobability
that aparticle uniformly
distributed in
lln,
be inaintA
c A at time zero. Consider now aparticle
that is in
aintA
at time zero, and denoteby xt
itsposition
at time t. Let ibe the first
jump
time for thisparticle. Clearly,
Moreover, by
reflectionIt follows that
and
(4.7)
follows.Thus, using
that for t E[0,1],
1 -t/2,
for suitable y,
À,
C > 0. Thatcompletes
the upper bound ford >
2.For the case d =
1,
letX t (i )
be a random walkstarting
at i .Then,
Therefore, using
the factthat,
for some c >0, n),
weget
which
completes
theproof
of the upper bound. D5. THE INDEPENDENCE PROPERTY
PROPOSITION 3. - For any a > 0 small
enough
and s >~Yn~
there are constants
Ci, C2
> 0 such thatIn view of
{~V(0, t )
=t }
C it isenough
toprove
sup
P~(0,~+~))=0)-P~(0,~)=0)P’(N(0,y~)-0)~ I
t>o
By using Proposition
1 and thestationarity
of the process startedwith v,
it is easy to see that(5.1 )
isimplied by
where
Dn
=Intuitively, Dn
is a time smallcompared
to theaverage time needed to see the
fluctuations,
but muchlonger
than the time needed for theparticles
in thevicinity
ofAn
to "mix".By using reversibility,
Thus,
the l.h.s. of(5.2)
is bounded aboveby
In order to
give
estimates for(5.3)
wecouple
twosystems
ofindependent
randomwalks,
drivenby
the same clocksni,k (t),
i EZd, k >
1.Suppose
the clock ni,krings
at time t. If level k isoccupied by only
one ~ ora 03BE -particle,
the "unmatched"particle,
say anq-particle,
chooses at random one nearestneighbor j,
and moves to thelowest level
of j containing
noq-particle.
If level k isoccupied by
an q anda ~ -particle,
then the two "matched"particles
movetogether
to thesite j,
and move to the lowest levelcontaining
no matchedparticles;
ifthere are unmatched
particles at j, they
have to move upby
one level.Finally,
if level k isempty,
thennothing happen.
It is easy to see that both qiand 03BEt
evolve assystems
ofindependent
random walks.We assume that
~o
are distributedaccording
to theequilibrium
measure v Q9 v. We denote
by P "®" the joint
law of(~,
andby
P’~ ~ ~ the associated Markov
family. Also, N~
andN~
denote thecounting
processes associated with the processes ~u and
03B6u.
We now note thatLet =
0, 1, ... }
be the random times at which an~-particle jumps
from some bonds of It may
happen
thatN~ ( Dn , Yns)
= 0 eventhough
there are more thanl ~ -particles
inAn
at timeDn.
If we assume that this is not the case, thenN~ ( Dn , Yns)
= 0 and1, imply
that there is a tk such that has lparticles
inAn,
while03B603C4-k
has less than l
particles. Thus,
theexpression
in(5.3)
is bounded aboveby
By using
the samemartingale argument
used inProposition 2,
the firstterm in
(5.5)
can be boundedby
whereas the last term poses no
problem. Thus,
to prove(5 .1 ),
it isenough
to prove that(5.6)
is boundedby
Asexp( -Cnd). Or,
that forany u E
[Dn,
any i EUsing Cauchy-Schwarz inequality,
it iseasily
seen that it isenough
toshow
The next two subsections are devoted to
proving (5.8).
5.1. Notations
We let S =
tld
x(N B {OJ)
denote the set of boxes. For its firstcoordinate, jc(l)
or x1,corresponds
to a site on thelattice,
while thesecond is a
level,
for we think thatparticles
on the same site fill different levels. We denoteby X (t, x)
theposition
of the boxoccupied
at time tby
an
~-particle starting
on box x(which depends
on{~(x),03BE(s), s t } ) . Implicitly,
we assumed that x2.Thus,
we willalways
write{X (t, x)
=y}
instead of{~(~-i) ~
x2 andX (t, x)
=y}.
In whatfollows,
for r > 0 and i E we let
B(i, r)
={ j
EIi - 7! ~ ~ while,
forwe let
B(x, r) = {y
E S: -r}.
Since different
particles
evolveindependently,
it is clear that for.
where,
P stands forWe
introduce S~
={ (xo, ... ,
E~~},
and the shorthandnotation
X (t, I)
EAn
for Ie Si
to mean{X (t, xo),
...,X (t, xl_1)}
EAn
if I =
(xo,
...,xl_ 1 ) . Thus,
If in
X (t, x)
there is an unmatchedq-particle,
we say thatX (t, x)
is a
discrepancy,
and write~X (t, x)
ECt } .
Animportant
remark is that thecoupling of ~t and 03BEt
we choosed does not creatediscrepancies, i.e., X (t, x) e Ct implies X (u, x)
ECu
for allu
t.5.2. Estimates
/
where L will be chosen later. We deal with the two summands
(5.11 )
and(5.12) separatly.
Summand
(5.11).
Consider the events, for 1h
mAxo, h = {h particles
inxo(l)
at time 0 end up inAn
at time~}
= {h particles
inB (xo ( I ) , L) B
at time 0 end up inAn
at time
u ~ ,
CL,xo,m = ~ l - m particles
inB (xo(I),
at time 0 end up inAn
at time
u ~ .
Note that the events
Axo, h , B L,xo,m-h
andC L,xo,m
areindependent,
sincethey
refer toparticles
that start indisjoint
sets of sites. Note thatMoreover
where
An)
is theprobability
that a random walkstarting
atxo(l)
is inAn
at time u. We have used the fact that there is a C > 0 such thatCnd
for all i EZd. Similarly
Moreover
Therefore,
if L islarge enough
where we used the facts that there is a constant C
Finally, recalling
that u >Dn >
we choose L = with,8
small
enough,
and weget
for suitable
A,
C > 0.Summand
(5.12).
We show now that{X(7B xo)
ECT }
is almostindepen-
dent of
{X(M,
for T u and Ilarge enough.
We introduce thestopping
timesWe can think of
coupled trajectories 3
n(qt, ~t)
as a function of§o, P)
where P is the collection of timejumps
on each site ofZd.
For
simplicity,
we let ==(r~t (i ), ~t (i )) .
LEMMA 1. - Assume we are
given ~ _ (r~t , ~t )
and y =(~t , §/)
suchthat
~o ( j )
=yo( j) for all j
EB(xo(I), L)
and that thejump
timesin
B(xo(I), L) for
both ~ and y are the same.Also,
assume thatfor
i E
B(xo(I), L /2),
and T >0,
we have~T- (i ) ~
yT-(i ) .
Then thereis an
integer m ~ B (xo ( 1 ) ,
and a sequenceof
timejumps
inP,
tl
(i)
each ik is ajump
timefor
a box(ik, lk)
which isoccupied by
either~ or y.
(ii) im L), ik|
1for
k =0,
..., m, andio
--_ i .Proof. - Let
il =inf~t : ~ By assumption
il E(0, T).
Thus,
there isi 1,
a nearestneighbour
of i such that(i 1 ) ~ ytl (i 1 ) .
Note that =
Yo(i1),
and thus one canproceed similarly
to build{ i ,
and i2 E(0, il),
andby
way ofinduction,
one buildseasily
distinct
(I, i 1,
...,ik)
and tl t2 ... tk aslong
asi k
EB(xo( I) , L ) .
This insures that for some
m # B (xo ( 1 ) ,
we must haveim
EaB(xo, L).
DNow,
wesplit
a ~(i.e. ~o, P)),
into x ==and y = Let
BT
be theevent that there is a sequence il t2 ... im , such that each tk is a
jump
time for anoccupied
box(ik, lk), im
Ea B (xo ( 1 ), L), | ik+1 - ik|
1for k =
0,
..., m, andi o
== i . What Lemma 1 tells us is that for(x, y )
Ewhere we have called
0
thetrajectory
with noparticles
inL)~
and no
time jumps
on the site ofB (xo ( 1 ) , L)C.
We callNow,
we areready
togive
an estimate for(5.12). Assuming
TAn :
Thus we are left to show
that,
for a suitableT,
and that the terms
are all
superexponentially
small innd .
Take T =L 1/2.
For(5.13)
we haveBy [5],
Theorem1,
there is A such thatand
(5.13) easily
follows.We now consider the terms in
(5.14).
In all cases,by using
Schwarzinequality,
the fact thatand translation
invariance,
it isenough
to show that theprobabilities T ) , T ) , P(BT, a
>T )
aresuperexponentially small,
when xo =
(0,1).
We treat in theappendix
the case ofT ) .
For
T ),
wejust
observe that thisquantity
is boundedby
theprobability
that asimple
random walkstarting
at theorigin
is outsideB (o, L)
at timeT,
and use standard estimates.For the term
P (BT,
a >T ),
consider a sequence of times ri r2... im as in the definition of
BT.
The sites ...,im
associated to these times form apath joining ~B(0, L)
toB (0, L /2) . Since,
under thecondition a > T there are never more than
2nd particles
in thesites i j
it follows
that,
for agiven path,
theprobability
ofhaving
a sequence ofjump
times as above is boundedby
Moreover the number of
paths
oflength
mjoining ~B(0, L)
toB(0, L/2)
is bounded
by C L d -1 (2d ) m .
Thereforewhich
completes
the estimate.6. PROOF OF THEOREM 1
Theorem 1 follows from
Propositions 1, 2,
3 as in[ 12] .
For the sake ofcompleteness
wegive
here a sketch of theproof.
Let be any sequence such that
where the constant
C2
is the one that appears inProposition
3.Define ()n by P (Tn
>Ynrn)
=Propositions
1 and 2imply
thatwhere a is the constant
appearing
inProposition
1. Inparticular 9n
- 0.So,
for nlarge, ~/2 ~
1 -en ,
and(6.1 ) give
where last
inequality
uses the fact that rn> yn 1~2
>I)
forn
large.
Set an = We need to showthat,
for t > 0 and for somepositive
constantsB,
B’Note that
(6.2) implies
Theorem1, by letting f3n
=03B3n/03B1n,
andobserving
that
by choosing
B’ smallenough
we may take B = 1(indeed,
the lefthand side is
always
less than1 ).
Suppose, first, t
=krn,
with k apositive integer. We.apply inductively
Proposition
3and
(6.2)
follows. For ageneral t,
one writes t= krn
+ vn withrn, and the
argument
above iseasily
modified(see [12]~
Section5,
fordetails).
7. PROOF OF THEOREM 2
We
begin by defining
the Dirichletform
associated to thegenerator
L of thesystem
ofindependent
random walks:whose domain can be obtained
by closing
the form restricted to bounded local functions.Henceforth,
the infimum isalways
taken over boundedlocal functions.
LEMMA 2. - For all t > 0 we have
Proof -
Theproof
is based on standard functionalanalytic arguments,
thus weonly
sketch it. Let be thesystem
ofindependent
randomwalks in the
stationary
measure v, and define the killed processwhere D is a
"cemetery
state" notbelonging
to It iseasily
shownthat is a Markov process on
A~
U{D}. Moreover,
itsgenerator i
is such that iff : NZd
~ R is localand f(03BE)
= 0~03BE
EAn (so
thatf
can be identified with a function on
A~
U{D}),
thenL f
= Inparticular, i
isself-adjoint
on the Hilbert spaceHn
={ f
EL 2 ( v ) : f
= 0on
An } . Thus, letting f
=~(A~),
we havewhere f
is thespectral
measure associated toLand f,
and À is the infimum of thespectrum of -L,
i.e.By
Lemma2,
Theorem 2 follows from Theorem 1 and thefollowing
result.
PROPOSITION 4. - For every n > 1 there exists a constant c > 0 such that
The
proof
ofProposition
4 is divided into three lemmas. Thefirst,
Lemma 3 is from
[23].
LEMMA 3. - Let
d >
3. There is a constant c > 0 such thatfor
every u E
l2 (~d )
there is a sequence in~d
such that xo =0, Vi xi + 1 - xi|
=1, limi~~
xi = oo andLet
f
be a real valued function on For i~ j
~Zd
we let =/(o-,??)
and(7~/)(??) - where,
for ?? ~In the
following
lemma we extend toindependent
random walks aninequality
which for SSEP can be found in[23].
LEMMA 4. - There is a constant c > 0 such that
for
all localfunctions f
Proof -
Letf
be agiven
local function and let i EZ~
be outside the range off, i.e.,
does notdepend
on~(0.
It follows thatNow let ... , xk be elements of
Zd
such that xo= 0, xk = i ,
= 1.
Clearly:
We also define a norm
II
.II
on local functionsby
Using (7.5)-(7.7)
and the fact that v is aproduct
measure, weget
Note that
where we have used
Now, using (7.8), (7.9)
and Lemma3, choosing suitably
the sequencewe
get
As a consequence of Lemma
4,
we can writeNow,
letConsider the a -field
7~ = or{~): ~
E and defineIt is
easily
seen that = for i EAn. Thus, by using Cauchy-Schwarz inequality,
one checks thatIt follows from
(7.10), (7.11 )
and the fact thatf
= 0 onAn implies f -
0on An :
Therefore the
following
lemmacompletes
theproof
of Theorem 2.LEMMA 5. -
Proof -
Note first that the above statement isequivalent
tofor some c > 0.
Now note that D is the Dirichlet form of N
independent copies
of theN-valued Markov process
generated by
theoperator
Note that M is reversible with
respect
to the Poisson measure ofdensity
p
(that
we still denoteby v ) . Now,
M has aspectral
gap inL 2 ( v ) .
This isequivalent
to show thatfor some c >
0, where (’,’)
is the scalarproduct
inL 2 ( v ) ,
andVarv(f)
isthe variance of
f
under v. It is shown in[4]
that(7.12)
holds with c = p.Now,
thespectral
gap of Nindependent copies
of agiven
process isthe same as the one of a
single
copy. It follows thatfor all
f : R,
where v is now theproduct
Poisson measure onTherefore,
tocomplete
theproof
of thelemma,
it isenough
to show thatfor all
f
suchthat J f 2
dv = 1and f ==
0 onAn . Indeed, by Cauchy-
Schwarz
inequality:
and therefore
8. OPEN PROBLEMS
The
following problems,
related to the ones considered in this paper,are still unsolved.
( 1 )
We have not succeded indetermining
the exactasymptotics
forf3n.
This amounts to
compute
the limitWe have not even shown that this limit exists.
(2)
In Section 7 we have shownthat, for d 3,
for some c > 0
independent
of n. It is natural to ask whether auniform tail estimate of the form
holds for some c > 0.
,
(3)
The convergence of the moments ofTn
indimension d
2 remainsan open
problem.
For thesymmetric simple
exclusion process one of us[ 1 ]
has worked out the case d = 2.(4)
A relatedproblem
is thestudy
ofquasi-stationary
measures.Suppose
1 isarbitrary
but fixed. Aprobability
measure /~on
NZd
is said to be aquasi stationary
measureif,
for all A C measurable and t > 0For existence results on
quasi stationary
measures see Keilath[ 15]
for finite Markov chains and
[13]
for certain Markov chains with countable state space.Besides the existence of
quasi stationary
measures for the model studied in this paper, we would like to know if for each p > 0 there is aquasi stationary
measure such that « vp, and if pn - vpweakly
as n - +00.APPENDIX
LEMMA 6. - Let cr be the
stopping
timedefined
in Section5, i. e.,
Then there are a, b > 0 such that
for
T = = where y > 0 is agiven sufficiently
smallpositive
number.
Proof -
First note thatIt is easy to see that there is a constant a > 0 such that
Moreover,
as inProposition 1,
definewhere
J/
counts the number ofparticles
that move from i to 0. Thuswhich
yields
and the conclusion follows. D
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