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Centrifugal federalism under European economic governance: Implementing ESA standards in Belgium

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Centrifugal federalism under

European economic governance:

Implementing ESA standards in

Belgium

DAMIEN PIRON (F.R.S.-FNRS RESEARCH FELLOW) UNIVERSITY OF LIÈGE - SPIRAL RESEARCH CENTER

Second International Conference on Public Policy Milan, 1-4 July 2015

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1) Introduction

 In order to join the EMU, the Maastricht Treaty required governments to limit

their deficit and debt to respectively 3% and 60% of GDP

Issue raised? Datas’ credibility and comparability: « Would a 3 percent

deficit in Belgium be equivalent to one in Italy or France? »

 Answer? European System of national and regional Accounts (ESA) as a common methodological framework

Eurostat has to closely monitor the implementation of this national

accounting standard

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2) Research question and hypotheses

Research question: how does Belgium comply with ESA standards?

 Even if a uniform application across and within member states could (naïvely)

be expected with regard to the legal status of the abovementioned instruments, policy implementation literature shows that gaps can occur between “law in the books” and “law in action”

Competing hypotheses:

- As a supposed “champion of European integration”, Belgium could be

expected to properly implement European national accounting standards

- Domestic factors (such as Belgium’s institutional architecture) could prevent

the comprehensive implementation of this European standard

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3) National accounting in Belgium

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Eurostat NAI State governments (S.1312) Local governments (S.1313) Social Security Funds (S.1314) Central government (S.1311) Entity I Entity II

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3) National accounting in Belgium:

problems faced

For a long time, both monitoring agencies were understaffed

Consequence? Weak enforcement capacity and case-by-case (rather

than comprehensive) analysis:

Development of by-passing strategies to keep public investment

expenditures off-balance, mainly at state and local level (responsible for nearly 90% of total public investment in Belgium)

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4) The evolution of Eurostat’s

monitoring prerogatives

 1st Greek crisis (2004): no major change  Revision of the SGP (2005):

- Regular dialogue visits: identification of risks or potential problems about the quality of the reported data

- Methodological visits, in case of substantial risks or potential problems

 2nd Greek crisis (2009) as a turning point  Dramatic increase of Eurostat’s monitoring capacity and prerogatives (“from supervisor to auditor”)

- Increased resources (staffing as well as budget) - Auditing power during methodological visits

- Possible fines against states that misrepresent deficit and debt data

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5) Impact on national accounting

in Belgium

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Eurostat NAI State governments (S.1312) Local governments (S.1313) Social Security Funds (S.1314) Central government (S.1311)

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5) Impact on national accounting

in Belgium

8

Eurostat NAI State governments (S.1312) Local governments (S.1313) Social Security Funds (S.1314) Central government (S.1311)

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Conclusion

Even in the case of European primary law and regulations, compliance is not a natural result but an iterative process involving a network of actors 

regulators need resources to enforce rules

In the case of Belgium, domestic factors (and particularly the combination

of the NAI’s lack of resources and the institutional architecture’s complexity) long prevented a comprehensive implementation of ESA standards

 In 2014, Eurostat clearly took control over the making of Belgium’s national

accounts  Outward sign of Europeanization

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DAMIEN PIRON (F.R.S.-FNRS RESEARCH FELLOW) UNIVERSITY OF LIÈGE - SPIRAL RESEARCH CENTER

damien.piron@ulg.ac.be

Second International Conference on Public Policy Milan, 1-4 July 2015

Centrifugal federalism under

European economic governance:

Implementing ESA standards in

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