Estimating the Surface Mass Balance
of the Antarctic coastal area
for climate models validation
1 – Coastal area SMB & sea level rise
2 – SMB observation for climate model validation
3 – Contribution of remote sensing data
4 – Conclusion & Outlook
Cécile AGOSTA
, V. Favier, C. Genthon, G. Krinner, H. Gallée, G. Picard, D. Six SMB ~ net accumulation of snow
GCMs precipitation increase (21st c.)
↔
Sea level rise Coast : major precipitation area & major changes
1 – Coastal area SMB & sea level rise
mm w.e. yr-1 200 150 100 50 20 0 -50
2 – SMB observation for climate model
validation
2
0
0
k
m
2 – SMB observation for climate model validation
http://www-lgge.obs.ujf-grenoble.fr/ServiceObs Dome C 4200 4000 3800 3600 3400 3200 3000 2800 2400 2200 2000 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 -10 -60
Stake line (from 2004)
Annual measurements
emergence + density
91 stakes over 150 km
Prud’homme Cape
Glacioclim-SAMBA
French Observatory of the Antarctic SMB
2 – SMB observation for climate model validation
Glacioclim-SAMBA stake line
S M B ( m m w .e . y r -1 )
Glacioclim-SAMBA stake line (average over 10 km) S M B ( m m w .e . y r -1 )
km along the stake line
Measurements from IPEV
From 1971 to 1991
First 15 km of the stake line
2 – SMB observation for climate model validation
Comparison with older repports
Stationarity of spatial distribution
km along transect S M B ( m m w .e . y r -1 )
Similar temporal variability No significant trend
Measurements from IPEV
From 1971 to 1991
First 15 km of the stake line
Years S M B ( m m w .e . y r -1 )
2 – SMB observation for climate model validation
MAR
Regional Atm. Model
40 km
2 – SMB observation for climate model validation
First assessement of climate models
SMB distribution in coastal area
Very different meso-scale distribution
LMDZ4 Atm. GCM 60 km Courbes 900 800 700 600 550 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 70 50 30 20 10 0 mm w.e. yr-1
1981-2000
km along stake line
S M B ( m m w .e . y r -1 )
2 – SMB observation for climate model validation
First assessement of climate models
Long term mean
Years S M B ( m m w .e . y r -1 )
3 – Contribution of remote sensing
data
Data assimilation
3 – Contribution of remote sensing data
Reference climatology : Arthern et al., 2006
1200 1000 700 600 550 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 70 50 30 20 10 0 -100 mm w.e. yr-1 Parameters κ,θ,n n T P P e SMB ) ( 0 Infrared T Microwaves P-P0 Background model Field mesurements 1950 – 1990
Strong control of the Background model on
Arthern’s final map (in Adelie land)
Background model Arthern’s final map
900 800 700 600 550 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 70 50 30 20 10 0 mm w.e. yr-1
Suspicious lack of variation in coastal area
Ability of background model to capture variations ?
3 – Contribution of remote sensing data
900 800 700 600 550 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 70 50 30 20 10 0 mm w.e. yr-1
Arthern’s climatology km along stake line
S M B ( m m w .e . y r -1 )
Spatial variability seems too weak in coastal area :
Microwave footprint 60 km ?
higher SMB should be modeled
Melting ?
low melting above 20 km from the coast
3 – Contribution of remote sensing data
Reproducing mesoscale variations requires misleading
parameters
3 – Contribution of remote sensing data
Background model with adjusted parameters 900 800 700 600 550 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 70 50 30 20 10 0 mm w.e. yr-1
km along stake line
S M B ( m m w .e . y r -1 )
Spatial variability seems too weak in coastal area :
Microwave footprint 60 km ?
higher SMB should be modeled
Melting ?
low melting above 20 km from the coast
Orographic precipitation ?
complementary parametrisation in the background model ?
3 – Contribution of remote sensing data
Stake line
Stable accumulation pattern
Similar IPEV (20 yr) and Glacioclim (5 yr) average
and variability
First evaluation of 2 models in coastal area
LMDZ4 seems OK
MAR seems too dry / low variability
Lateral variability is required
Remote sensing in coastal area :
Spatial variability seems too weak
Complementary parameterisation is proposed
(slope)
Assessing additionnal information on lateral SMB
distribution
Ground Penetrating Radar + Ice cores