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Nonlinear Features of Realized FX Volatility

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Academic year: 2021

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Table 3 presents unrestricted ARMA(1,1), ARMAX(1,1) and SM-ARMAX(1,1) estimates for the in-sample observations 1-1800
Table 6 shows two particular runs of our pseudo market with r = .04 and r f = .05. The first run assigns the role of market maker to the SM-ARMAX model and the second reverses roles so that the investor is the SM-ARMAX model
Table 2: Descriptive Statistics: raw versus adjusted daily data ˆσ 2 t,raw σˆ t 2 r t r 2t Mean .374 .528 .009 .488 Stdev .464 .487 .699 1.010 Skewness 3.520 3.721 .010 5.391 Kurtosis 23.890 24.085 5.288 43.733 Min .000 .051 -3.558 .000 Max 5.245 5.222 3.2
Table 3: Volatility Model Estimates, DEM-USD
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