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Prediction of Body Weight of Primiparous Dairy Cows Throughout Lactation

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Prediction of Body Weight of Primiparous Dairy CowsThroughout Lactation

M.-L. Vanrobays*, J. Vandenplas *

,†

, H. Hammami *

,†

& N. Gengler*

* University of Liège, Gembloux Agro-Bio Tech – Gembloux, Belgium

National Fund for Scientific Research – Brussels, Belgium

Contact: mlvanrobays@ulg.ac.be

The Ministry of Agriculture of the Walloon Region of Belgium (Service Public de Wallonie – Direction générale de l’Agriculture, des Ressources naturelles et de l’Environnement, Direction de la Recherche) is acknowledged for its financial support through the research project D31-1304. The authors thanks the Walloon Breeding Association for providing access to cow conformation data and Eric Froidmont (Walloon Agricultural Research

Center) for providing additional body weight data. The authors are grateful to the CÉCI for the use of their supercomputers. M.-L. Vanrobays acknowledges University of Liege for travel grant to attend 10thWCGALP.

G

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10

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World Congress of Genetics Applied to Livestock Production, Vancouver, BC, Canada, August 17 - 22, 2014

Background

Body weight (

BW

) of cows can be computed

(

CBW

) from linear conformation traits

CBW associated to a classification date

Need to predict BW (

PBW

) throughout

lactation

For management and genetic purposes

e.g., allowing feed intake prediction

Objective: Prediction of BW of

cows throughout lactation from

initial CBW using a two-step

approach

Conclusion:

More accurate PBW of cows

with the two-step approach

Material & Methods

Results

Figure 1.

Averaged CBW (

●●●

)

and PBW2 (

)

of cows across days

in milk (

DIM

)

Figure 2.

Daily CBW (

) and PBW for a given cow across DIM using

only the first step (PBW1;

) or the two steps (PBW2;

+

) of the

two-step approach

PBW1

PBW2

RMSE (kg)

35.90

3.51

MAE (kg)

27.98

1.94

0.916

0.999

Laloux’s equations

Conformation

data (N=25,061)

CBW

(N=25,061)

PBW1

(N=232,436)

Test-date

(N=207,375)

â + ê

PBW2

(N=232,436)

(2)

Prediction of Body Weight of Primiparous Dairy CowsThroughout Lactation

M.-L. Vanrobays*, J. Vandenplas *

,†

, H. Hammami *

,†

& N. Gengler*

* University of Liège, Gembloux Agro-Bio Tech – Gembloux, Belgium

National Fund for Scientific Research – Brussels, Belgium

Contact: mlvanrobays@ulg.ac.be

The Ministry of Agriculture of the Walloon Region of Belgium (Service Public de Wallonie – Direction générale de l’Agriculture, des Ressources naturelles et de l’Environnement, Direction de la Recherche) is acknowledged for its financial support through the research project D31-1304. The authors thanks the Walloon Breeding Association for providing access to cow conformation data and Eric Froidmont (Walloon Agricultural Research

Center) for providing additional body weight data. The authors are grateful to the CÉCI for the use of their supercomputers. M.-L. Vanrobays acknowledges University of Liege for travel grant to attend 10thWCGALP.

G

E

M

B

L

O

U

X

A

G

R

O

-B

IO

T

E

C

H

10

th

World Congress of Genetics Applied to Livestock Production, Vancouver, BC, Canada, August 17 - 22, 2014

Material & Methods

Two-step approach

1.

PBW1

random regression TD model weighted on used

CBW equation

2.

PBW2

same model with changing means and

(co)variances of prior distributions for a

el

and a

ml

using

priors developed from results of PBW1

y = Xb + d

l

α

l

+ d

q

α

q

+ Z

el

h

el

+ Z

ml

h

ml

+ Z

el

a

el

+ Z

ml

a

ml

+ e

where

y

= Vector of observations (i.e., CBW)

b

= Vector of fixed effects

Year and season of TD, classes of gestation stage & age at calving x lactation stage

d

l

and d

q

= Linear and quadratic regression variables across DIM

α

l

and α

q

= Fixed regression coefficients

h

el

and

h

ml

= Correlated random herd effects

a

el

and

a

ml

= Random animal genetic effects

X,

Z

el

and

Z

ml

= Incidence matrices assigning observations to effects

e= Vector of residuals

Data

25,061 linear conformation data

Angularity, chest width, stature, body depth, and

body condition score (

BCS

)

24,919 primiparous Holstein cows from 622 herds

232,436 test-day (

TD

) records from milk recording

Body weight estimation

2 CBW equations (Laloux, 2008) based on:

1)

Age, angularity, chest width, stature, body depth, and BCS

for cows in early (

EL

) lactation (R²=0.86)

2)

Age, angularity, stature, body depth, and BCS for cows in

mid-late (

ML

) lactation (R²=0.73)

(3)

Prediction of Body Weight of Primiparous Dairy CowsThroughout Lactation

M.-L. Vanrobays*, J. Vandenplas *

,†

, H. Hammami *

,†

& N. Gengler*

* University of Liège, Gembloux Agro-Bio Tech – Gembloux, Belgium

National Fund for Scientific Research – Brussels, Belgium

Contact: mlvanrobays@ulg.ac.be

The Ministry of Agriculture of the Walloon Region of Belgium (Service Public de Wallonie – Direction générale de l’Agriculture, des Ressources naturelles et de l’Environnement, Direction de la Recherche) is acknowledged for its financial support through the research project D31-1304. The authors thanks the Walloon Breeding Association for providing access to cow conformation data and Eric Froidmont (Walloon Agricultural Research

Center) for providing additional body weight data. The authors are grateful to the CÉCI for the use of their supercomputers. M.-L. Vanrobays acknowledges University of Liege for travel grant to attend 10thWCGALP.

G

E

M

B

L

O

U

X

A

G

R

O

-B

IO

T

E

C

H

10

th

World Congress of Genetics Applied to Livestock Production, Vancouver, BC, Canada, August 17 - 22, 2014

Accuracy of PBW

Comparison between CBW and corresponding PBW:

Square of correlation coefficient (

)

Root mean square error (

RMSE

)

Mean absolute error (

MAE

)

n = number of CBW

ε

i

= error between CBW and PBW for the i

th

observation

Laloux’s equations

Material & Methods

Two-step approach

Test-date

PBW1

Conformation data

CBW

â + ê

PBW2

Figure

Figure 1. Averaged CBW ( ●●● ) and PBW2 ( ▬ ) of cows across days  in milk (DIM)

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