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The RMI Space Weather and Navigation Systems (SWANS) project

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38th COSPAR Scientific Assembly 2010

Panels (P)

Space Weather Modelling and Observations: from Research to Verified Operational Products (PSW1)

Consider for oral presentation.

THE RMI SPACE WEATHER AND NAVIGATION SYSTEMS (SWANS) PROJECT

Rene Warnant, r.warnant@oma.be

Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium, Brussels, Belgium Sandrine Lejeune, s.lejeune@oma.be

Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium, Brussels, Belgium Gilles Wautelet, g.wautelet@oma.be

Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium, Brussels, Belgium Justine Spits, j.spits@oma.be

Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium, Brussels, Belgium Koen Stegen, k.stegen@oma.be

Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium, Brussels, Belgium Stan Stankov, s.stankov@oma.be

Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium, Brussels, Belgium

The SWANS (Space Weather and Navigation Systems) research and development project (http://swans.meteo.be) is an initiative of the Royal Meteorological Institute (RMI) under the auspices of the Belgian Solar-Terrestrial Centre of Excellence (STCE). The RMI SWANS objectives are: research on space weather and its effects on GNSS applications; permanent mon-itoring of the local/regional geomagnetic and ionospheric activity; and development/operation of relevant nowcast, forecast, and alert services to help professional GNSS/GALILEO users in mitigating space weather effects. Several SWANS developments have already been implemented and available for use.

The K-LOGIC (Local Operational Geomagnetic Index K Calculation) system is a nowcast system based on a fully automated computer procedure for real-time digital magnetogram data acquisition, data screening, and calculating the local geomagnetic K index. Simultaneously, the planetary Kp index is estimated from solar wind measurements, thus adding to the service reliability and providing forecast capabilities as well. A novel hybrid empirical model, based on these ground- and space-based observations, has been implemented for nowcasting and forecasting the geomagnetic index, issuing also alerts whenever storm-level activity is indicated. A very important feature of the nowcast/forecast system is the strict control on the data input and processing, allowing for an immediate assessment of the output quality.

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acquire and process data from simultaneous ground-based GNSS TEC and digital ionosonde measurements, and subsequently to deduce the vertical electron density distribution. A key module is the real-time estimation of the ionospheric slab thickness, offering additional infor-mation on the local ionospheric dynamics.

The RTK (Real Time Kinematic) status mapping provides a quick look at the small-scale ionospheric effects on the RTK precision for several GPS stations in Belgium. The service assesses the effect of small-scale ionospheric irregularities by monitoring the high-frequency TEC rate of change at any given station. This assessment results in a (colour) code assigned to each station, code ranging from “quiet” (green) to “extreme” (red) and referring to the local ionospheric conditions. Alerts via e-mail are sent to subscribed users when disturbed conditions are observed.

SoDIPE (Software for Determining the Ionospheric Positioning Error) estimates the position-ing error due to the ionospheric conditions only (called ”ionospheric error”) in high-precision positioning applications (RTK in particular). For each of the Belgian Active Geodetic Network (AGN) baselines, SoDIPE computes the ionospheric error and its median value (every 15 min-utes). Again, a (colour) code is assigned to each baseline, ranging from “nominal” (green) to “extreme” (red) error level. Finally, all available baselines (drawn in colour corresponding to error level) are displayed on a map of Belgium.

The future SWANS work will focus on regional ionospheric monitoring and developing various other nowcast and forecast services.

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