• Aucun résultat trouvé

Source: Mideros et al. 2012, p. 29.

Social

8.

CONCLUSION

In this paper we presented a costing exercise for a set of family-friendly services and transfers:

income protection for children, people of working age and older persons; universal health cov-erage; and ECCE and LTC services. Previous work studied different components of this package more in-depth, often also providing projections for the future. The comparative advantage of the present study is that it looks at an integrated package of family-friendly services and transfers and estimates the costs for a large sample of countries.

The costing is based on the basic idea of identifying gaps in a country’s current level of protection. This means the focal question is not so much what coun-tries have already achieved (though this is, of course, indirectly taken into account) but to what extent gaps in protection remain and how much resources countries would have to invest or reallocate to close those gaps. Assumptions for the costing were formu-lated as far as possible based on the SDGs, the Social Protection Floors Recommendation (No. 202) (Inter-national Labour Conference 2012) and inter(Inter-nationally recognized standards.

A package of family-friendly transfers and services, like all forms of social protection, reduces human

misery and suffering. This is its raison d’être. Overall, this costing takes the view that gaps in access to services and goods have to be closed by public funds, as private insurance or out-of-pocket payments can-not be relied on to close coverage gaps for poor and vulnerable persons. The costing shows that such a package is affordable in many countries. Those countries that cannot finance the full package can initially afford at least some of its critical elements, such as health care or income support. Most impor-tantly, countries have to explore options to increase fiscal space for social protecWtion. After a transi-tion period and in the longer run, countries can also expect that investments in social protection will yield returns in economic terms.

REFERENCES

Atkinson, A.B. and F. Bourguignon. 2001. "Poverty and Inclusion from a World Perspective." In Governance, Equity, and Global Markets, edited by J.E. Stiglitz and P.-A. Muet, pp. 151-164. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Barrientos, A. 2012. "Social Transfers and Growth: What Do We Know? What Do We Need to Find out?" World Development 40(1), pp. 11-20.

Bierbaum, M., A. Oppel, S. Tromp and M. Cichon. 2016.

A Social Protection Floor Index: Monitoring National Social Protection Policy Implementation. Berlin:

Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung.

Bierbaum, M., C. Schildberg and M. Cichon. 2017. Social Protection Floor Index: Update and Country Studies.

Berlin: Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung.

Castañeda, A., D. Doan, D. Newhouse, M.C. Nguyen, H.

Uematsu et al. 2018. "A New Profile of the Poor." World Development 101, pp. 250-267.

Cichon, M. and D. Cichon. 2015. "The Financing of Social Protection for Informal Workers in Asia: Challenges and Opportunities." Background paper for the Asian Development Bank. Unpublished manuscript, Gradu-ate School of Governance at United Nations University, Maastricht and Trinity College, Dublin.

Dietrich, S., F. Gassmann, H. Röth and N. Tirivayi. 2016.

Estimation of Rates of Return (RoR) on Social Protection Investments in Lesotho. Maastricht: Maastricht Gradu-ate School of Governance.

Dietrich, S., D. Malerba, A. Barrientos and F. Gassmann.

2017. "Rates of Return to Antipoverty Transfers in Uganda." UNU-MERIT Working Paper 2017-040.

Maastricht Economic and Social Research institute on Innovation and Technology.

Dietrich, S., D. Malerba, A. Barrientos, F. Gassmann, P.

Mohnen et al. 2017. "Social Protection Investments, Human Capital, and Income Growth: Simulating the Returns to Social Cash Transfers in Uganda." UNU-MERIT Working Paper 2017-029. Maastricht Economic and Social Research institute on Innovation and Technology.

International Labour Conference. 2012. Recommendation Concerning National Floors of Social Protection (No.

202). 101th Session, 14 June, Geneva.

ILO (International Labour Organization). 2013. ILO Policy Guidelines on the Promotion of Decent Work for Early Childhood Education Personnel. Geneva: International Labour Office.

______. 2017. World Social Protection Report 2017-2019:

Universal Social Protection to Achieve the Sustainable Development Goals. Geneva: International Labour Office.

______. 2018a. Care Work and Care Jobs for the Future of Decent Work. Geneva: International Labour Organization.

______. 2018b. Women and Men in the Informal Economy:

A Statistical Picture. Third Edition. Geneva: Interna-tional Labour Office.

______. 2018c. ILOSTAT Database. Accessed 16 October 2018. https://www.ilo.org/ilostat/.

IMF (International Monetary Fund). 2018. World Eco-nomic Outlook Database. Accessed 16 October 2018.

https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2018/01/

weodata/index.aspx.

Jolliffe, D. and E.B. Prydz. 2016. "Estimating International Poverty Lines from Comparable National Thresholds."

Journal of Economic Inequality 14(2), pp. 185-198.

Mideros, A., F. Gassmann and P. Mohnen. 2012. Estimation of Rates of Return of Social Protection Instruments:

Making the Case for Non-Contributory Social Transfers in Cambodia. Maastricht: Maastricht Graduate School of Governance.

OECD (Organisation for Economic Co-opera-tion and Development). 2017. Education at a Glance 2017: OECD Indicators. Paris: OECD Publishing.

Ortiz, I., M. Cummins and K. Karunanethy. 2017. Fiscal Space for Social Protection: Options to Expand Social Investments in 187 Countries. Geneva: International Labour Office.

Ortiz, I., F. Durán-Valverde, K. Pal, C. Behrendt and A.

Acuña-Ulate. 2017. Universal Social Protection Floors:

Costing Estimates and Affordability in 57 Lower Income Countries. Geneva: International Labour Office.

Prado, M. 2011. "Government Policy in the Formal and Informal Sectors." European Economic Review 55(8), pp.

1120-1136.

Shaeffer, S. 2015. The Promotion of Decent Work for Early Childhood Education Personnel. The Professionalization of a Neglected Profession. Geneva and Paris: ILO and UNESCO.

Scheil-Adlung, X. 2015. Global Estimates of Deficits in Long-Term Care Protection for Older Persons. Geneva:

International Labour Organization.

Starrs, A.M., A.C. Ezeh, G. Barker, A. Basu, J.T. Bertrand et al. 2018. "Accelerate Progress: Sexual and Reproductive Health and Rights for All – Report of the Guttmacher-Lancet Commission." The Guttmacher-Lancet 391, pp. 2642-2692.

Stenberg, K., O. Hanssen, T.T. Edejer, M. Bertram, C. Brindley et al. 2017. "Financing Transformative Health Systems towards Achievement of the Health Sustainable Development Goals: A Model for Projected Resource Needs in 67 Low-Income and Middle-Income Coun-tries." The Lancet Global Health 5(9), pp. e875-e887.

UIS (UNESCO Institute for Statistics). 2018. UIS.Stat.

Accessed 16 October 2018. http://data.uis.unesco.org/.

UN DESA (United Nations Department of Eco-nomic and Social Affairs). 2017. World Population Prospects: The 2017 Revision. New York: United Nations.

UN ECOSOC (United Nations Economic and Social Coun-cil). 2018. Report of the Commission on the Status of Women. E/2018/27.

______.2019. Report on the Commission on the Status of Women. E.2019/27.

UNICEF (United Nations Children's Fund) and WHO (World Health Organization). 2018. "Skilled Birth Deliv-ery (SBA)." Joint UNICEF/WHO database. Accessed 6 August 2018. https://data.unicef.org/topic/

maternal-health/delivery-care/.

WHO (World Health Organization). 2008. The Global Burden of Disease: 2004 Update. Geneva: World Health Organization.

______. 2010. The World Health Report: Health Systems Financing – The Path to Universal Coverage. Geneva:

WHO.

______. 2011. World Report on Disability. Geneva: WHO.

______. 2013. Global and Regional Estimates of Violence against Women: Prevalence and Health Effects of Intimate Partner Violence and Non-Partner Sexual Vio-lence. Geneva: WHO.

______. 2018. "Healthy Life Expectancy (HALE)." Accessed 16 October 2018. http://apps.who.int/gho/data/node.

main.HALE?lang=en.

World Bank. 2017. Monitoring Global Poverty: Report of the Commission on Global Poverty. Washington, DC:

World Bank.

______. 2018a. PovcalNet: An Online Analysis Tool for Global Poverty Monitoring. Accessed 18 July 2018.

http://iresearch.worldbank.org/PovcalNet/home.

aspx.

______. 2018b. World Development Indicators database.

Accessed 15 October 2018. http://data.worldbank.org/

products/wdi.

Wils, A. 2015. Reaching Education Targets in Low and Lower Middle Income Countries: Costs and Finance Gaps to 2030. Paris: UNESCO.

Xu, K., A. Soucat, J. Kutzin, C. Brindley, N.V. Maele et al.

2018. Public Spending on Health: A Closer Look at Global Trends. Geneva: World Health Organization.

UN WOMEN IS THE UN ORGANIZATION

Documents relatifs