Number of appliances by households

3.5 Energy Consumption

3.5.3 Number of appliances by households

Figure 20b: Space Heating profile in residential (Vögelin et al. [2016])

3.5.3 Number of appliances by households

The SES 2050 scenarios includes forecasts on the number of household appliances (e.g. heating systems, washing machines, freezers). The trend is determined either by the energy reference area (itself correlated to GDP/capita) or by the number of persons or households. The total number of each appliances is given in Figure 21.

0 0.005 0.01 0.015 0.02 0.025 0.03 0.035 0.04

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

probability

WIN-WK INT-WK SUM-WK WIN-WE INT-WE SUM-WE

0 0.005 0.01 0.015 0.02 0.025

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

probability

WIN-WK INT-WK SUM-WK WIN-WE INT-WE SUM-WE

Figure 21: Number of appliances by households (SES 2050)

It should be pointed out that the techno-economic characteristics of existing and new energy technologies used on the energy demand and the energy supply side evolve over time and improve according to exoge-nously specified trends including learning rates.

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