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that efficiency gains from a merger may occur from a signaling or information effect,

Dans le document Impact of Nigeria’s bank consolidation (Page 37-45)

that is a takeover offer signals to the market that the bidder saw more

value in the

target than the market currently does - therefore

if the market

agrees

with the

undervaluation, the target stock price will rise.

In another development they (Weston, Chung and Siu) came up with the theory

of

2+2=5 effect from the synergy of improvement mechanism. Here the sum of two parts is greater than the two parts alone. They noted that many

horizontal

mergers

occur because it is believe that the two firms make a good fit and complement each

other. The merger can therefore compensate for the deficiencies in each of the

firms.

3.2 Conceptual Framework

3.2.1 Financial intermediaries

McKinnon and Shaw (1993) have demonstrated the immense influence which bank

have on economic growth in developing countries. Their key argument is the symbiotic relationship between financial markets and economic growth, by noting

that well developed financial markets area sine qua non for economicdevelopment.

Other empirical studies like Isik (2004) have noted that large banks are more involved in loan production than in portfolios that are biased towards investment in securities. Okuda and Hashimoto (2002) however opined that the bank consolidation

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in Malaysia facilitated the expansion of banks and

widen their business operations,

through reorganization and integration.

The studies by Fixler and Zieschang (1993), Hughes, et al (1999)

have noted that

after consolidation: banks shifted their portfolios from securities to loans; had lower equity ratios and purchased more unused funds which were raised at

reduced

rates.

This study confirmed Berger (2003) which is consistent with the hypothesis

that

improvement in portfolios diversification allows institutions to make additional

high

risk- high expected return investments without additional equity.

3.2.2 Corporate Governance

The Literature followed from the research conducted by Scholl Hans Jochen (?) into

various issues so discussed. There is no single or simple definition of corporate governance and certainly no definition that all countries agree on (Mayes, et al., 2001). Corporate governance is defined and practiced differently throughout the world, depending on the relative power of owners, managers, and providers of capital (Craig, 2005). Basically, different national systems of corporate governance have reflected major differences in ownership structure and ownership concentration (Shleifer and Vishny, 1997). The concepts of corporate governance relate to the relationships between a company's Management, Board, Shareholders and other

Stakeholders.

The narrow approach to corporate governance views the subject as the mechanism, through which shareholders are assured that managers would act in

their best interests. As far back as Adam Smith, as indicated in Henderson (1986), it

has been recognized that managers do not always act in the best interests of shareholders. Jensen and Meckling (1976) addressed the principal-agent problem,

which was observed to occur when managers with private information have incentives to pursue their own interests at the owners' expense. The broad view of corporate governance, however, refers to the process that seeks to direct and control the affairs of an organization so as to protect the interest of all stakeholders in a balanced manner. The process is underpinned bythe principles ofopenness.

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3.2.3. Corporate Governance Mechanisms

One of the consequences of the separation of ownership from management is that

the day-to-day decision-making power (that is, the power to make decision over the

use of the capital supplied by the shareholders), rests with persons other than the

shareholders themselves. The separation of ownership and control has given rise to

an agency problem whereby there is the tendency for management to operate the

firm in their own interests, rather than those of shareholders' (Jensen and Meckling, 1976; Fama and Jensen, 1983). This creates opportunities for managers to build illegitimate empires which in extreme cases, are outright expropriation and therefore

affect good governance.

3.2.4 Stakeholders

The classical definition is: 'A stakeholder in an organization is any group or individual

who can affect or is affected by the achievement of the organization's objective' (Freeman, 1984,). Mitchell et al. argue that the use of risk as a second defining property for the stake in an organization helps to "narrow the stakeholder field to

those with legitimate claims, regardless of their power to influence the firm or the legitimacy of their relationship to the firm". (Mitchell et al. 1997, 857). In a similar approach, Alkhafaji proposed focusing the stakeholder definition on only those

groups that have a vested interest in the survival of the firm can be referred to as stakeholders (Alkhafaji, 1989).

3.2.5 Shareholder

Shareholders are a type a stakeholder who plays a key role in the provision of corporate governance. Small or diffuse shareholders exert corporate governance by directly voting on critical issues, such as mergers, liquidation, and fundamental changes in business strategy, and indirectly by electing the boards of directors to represent their interests and oversee the myriad of managerial decisions. Incentive contracts are a common mechanism for aligning the interests of managers with

those of shareholders. The Board of Directors may negotiate managerial compensation with a view to achieving particular results. In general, large shareholders could maximize the private benefits of control at the expense of small investors (DeAngelo and DeAngelo, 1985). Thus, while concentrated ownership is a

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common mechanism for confronting the corporate governance issue, it has its own drawbacks.

3.2.6. Debt Holders

Debt purchasers provide finance in return for a promised stream of payments and a

variety of othercovenants relating to corporate behaviour, such as the value and risk

of corporate assets. If the corporation violates these covenants or default on the payments, debt holders typically could obtain the rights to repossess collateral,

throw the corporation into bankruptcy proceedings, vote in the decision to reorganize, and remove managers. However, there could be barriers to diffuse debt

holders to effectively exert corporate governance as envisaged. Small debt holders

may be unable to monitor complex organization and could face the free-rider incentives, as small equity holders. Large creditors for example, as noted by Myers (1997), may induce the company to forego good investments and take on too little

risk because the creditor bears some of the cost but will not share the benefits.

3.2.7. Competition in Product Market and Takeovers

Some economists have argued that competition in the product or service

market may act as a substitute for corporate governance mechanisms (Allen and gale, 2000). The basic argument is that firms with inferior and expropriating management could be forced out of the market by firms possessing non-expropriating managers due to sheer competitive pressure. That is, rather than focusing on the legal mechanisms through which equity and debt holders seek to

exert corporate control, market competition can discipline a poorly managed firm.

Also, a fluid takeover market as noted by Jensen (1993) could create incentives for

managers to act in the best interests of the shareholders to avoid being fired in a takeover. Evidence however suggests that, given the power of managers and the scarcity of liquid capital markets, takeovers are essentially non-existent as a corporate governance mechanism outside the USA and UK (Shleifer and Vishny, 1997).

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3.2.8. Customers:

The bank customers are an important class of stakeholder as their choices

influences the products and services made available. Therefore customers determine part of the success of the merger, because if the new integrated bank provides service demanded by the customers, the new outfit's value will increase.

Turnover which is crucial to banking business is scouted for to maximize share

holders wealth the banks are all out to ensurethat the customers determine product

choice.

3.2.9. Employees

This stakeholder seeks job security and increase in pay. Though the stockholders

own the company, the employees are the ones who carry out the day-to-day operations and make most decisions of the bank. Principal agent issues can arise

when the owning and decision making are separated. After merger it is the employees who undertake the integration process. Because employees are instrumental to the success of the merger, their action and opinions must be

considered by the bank in orderto realize wealth gain.

3.2.10. Government andSociety in general:

They are interested in the increase in the overall wealth of the country and provision

of guidelines and rules to realize same (the government can however prohibit a merger that is detrimental to its citizens). A society may become wealthier if it has

more choices, and the bank promotes wealth creation if it provides more choices.

However the society always wants it standard of living to increase which can come

about through strong financial returns, income, credit and employment.

From the foregoing the stakeholders are tied together in the valuation process. The

customers along with their agents determine turnover and loans. The government regulates the industry and can pressure the bank into conducting business according to the rules. These stakeholders affect the cash flow of the bank, which determines the stock prices and bond value, which is linked to the stockholders and the bondholders. When two or more banks are considering a merger and throughout

an integration process, the opinions of the stakeholders are to be considered, for

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they all affect the new banks net wealth. However the concern of the stakeholders should be objectively considered as under the assumption of efficiency, the bank

that makes the best decision should see its value increase in comparison to its competitors.

3.3. Scenariofor Corporate GovernanceofIntegrated Banks

Banks are special and different from other non-bank financial institutions due to their public purpose. They are subject to corporate governance rules, regulations, and policies issued by the bank regulatory agencies and subject to regular supervisory

review of their corporate governance practices and procedures. According to Macey

and O'Hara (2003), there are more stakeholders in the governance of banks than

other businesses due to the banks' liquidity function and its role in promoting the

health and stability of the economy. Accordingly, a loss of confidence in banks has

the potential to create severe economic dysfunction, adversely affecting its general

welfare. A systemic banking crisis caused by bank misconduct (or the appearance of it) has the potential of shifting bank losses to the deposit insurance funds (if it exists)

or tothe tax payers.

The banks' corporate governance focus is also different due to the source of their financing. Banks typically receive a greater percentage of their financing through debt, which tends to be in the form of deposits from multiple unsophisticated depositors rather than from the more typically sophisticated debt-holders of non-financial businesses. Banks are also different due to deposit insurance which exists

in some jurisdictions and which largely removes the incentive for depositors (the

debt-holders of the bank) to monitor their activities and which can also lead to risky

behaviour on the part of bank management (Hanc, 1999). Also, banking businesses

are generally more opaque than non-financial firms' businesses. Although

information asymmetries plague all sectors, evidence suggests that these information asymmetries are larger with banks (Furfine, 2001). Banks can alter the risk composition of their assets more quickly than most non-financial firms, and can

readily hide problems by extending it.

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The greater the information asymmetries between insiders and outsiders in banking

sector the more difficult the monitoring of bank managers become for small equity

and debt holders. This asymmetry could become more dangerous when banking

institutions face insolvency and the situation is not resolved quickly. In such circumstances, controlling shareholders and management, having nothing to loose themselves, as they may be tempted to engage in reckless behaviour to recoup losses.

Osota (1999); Umoh (2002); and Alashi (2002), provided the evidence that insiders

in some Nigerian banks diverted the flow of loans to themselves and also defaulted

in payments. Reports from these research efforts showed that in some of the banks

that were closed between 1994 and 2002, over 60% of their loan portfolios to clients

cannot service its debt obligations. Also, due totheir importance in the economy and opacity of their operations, banks are often heavily regulated and they enjoy the

benefits of the government safety nets. Oluyemi (?) therefore made an inference that

these traits have some implications for the corporate governance of banks: insider's

credits to their directors and related business interests; and the opacity of banking

businesses can weaken competitive forces which in other industries would had helped to discipline managers through the threat of takeover or competitive product

markets.

3.4 Why do banks merge?

It is widely believed that bank on the prowl of mergers are attempting to pick up new customers, expand into new markets, cut overhead, exploit economies of scale,

reduce overcapacity and extend their product offerings into mutual funds, derivatives

and other financial products. By merging with competitors in the same market

(so-called in-market mergers), bankers typically promise to cut overall expenses by consolidating operations, eliminating duplication, and exploiting economies of scale

in activities with high fixed costs. In-market merger also presents an opportunity to

create regional banking giants that can gain greater market control. Alternatively by merging with a bank that operate in predominantly different market (cross-market

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merger), bankers hope to reduce overall risk through geographic and product diversification as well as cut costs where appropriate through consolidated operations.

Merger may increase diversification through product extension (new product), geographic extension (same product, new location), or pure diversification (no to

firms products). The Amalgamated Bank of South Africa (ABSA) of South Africa and

the Kenyan case of the merger of the African Mercantile Banking Corporation are Africa's example that has improved its diversification through merger.

Macy, (1998) reported that some mergers may cause precautionary economies,

which provides money benefitswithout improving the use of real resources. Merged

firms may be able to get lower input prices through integration with the newly

combined firm gaining promotional advantages from the increased marketing power since sales are transferable. The total effect of a merger takes time before they are realized. Firms may not immediately gain from the external growth, but instead after

a successful integration. The success can then be passed on to employees, customers, and other stake holders in the form of more and better product, lower prices and higherwages.

However a study undertaken by Siem, (1996), examined five hypotheses for why

banks merge and why they are interested in merging with other financial institution,

as follows:

i. Manager-utility-maximization: This suggests that factors other maximizing

shareholder value motivates mergers. These factors include management

level of satisfaction, job security, and span of control. In this view the

managers act to maximize their own utilities rather than those of its owners or shareholders of the firm. If investors perceive that the managers are pursuing

a merger solely in management's own interest,

the price of the

acquiring

bank's share should drop to reflect expected losses from an unprofitable

investment. Taken to the extreme, the manager-utility-maximization hypothesis predicts no aggregate

wealth creation

or even a

drop in

wealth,

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because of the acquiring bank management's selfish motives. The gains

realized by the target bank shareholders should equal the losses suffered by

the acquiring banks shareholders, plus any expenses incurred to account for

thetransfer.

ii. Hubris: The behavioral explanation for hubris hypothesis suggest that

managers believe they can uncover "bargains." They persist in the believe

that their own valuation of the target bank is correct, even when confronted

with objective information that shows that the target's true economic value is lower, as reflected in its market valuation. Here, the acquiring bank winds up for paying too much for the target institution. Thus, under the hubris hypothesis, the stock price of the acquiring bank could be expected to fall and

that of the target bank to rise at the merger announcement date. Further, a merger under these circumstances should simply transfer wealth from the acquiring bank shareholders and not result in any aggregate wealth creation.

Because of similar stock price prediction of this hypothesis and the manager-utility-maximization hypothesis, it is difficult to distinguish empirically between

the two.

iii. Synergy: The Synergy hypothesis suggest that

the acquiring bank

can effectively generate synergies via economies of scale

and

scope

by reducing

cost and eliminating redundancies and duplications.

All else being equal,

lower cost means increased profit and higher stock prices for both acquiring

bank shareholders and target bank shareholders. Expected synergistic gains

should create positive net aggregatewealth,

while

a

better test of the

synergy hypothesis would be to study the post merger

efficiency effects. The event

study methodologycan be

used

to test

whether investors believe the merging

Dans le document Impact of Nigeria’s bank consolidation (Page 37-45)

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