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Conclusions, including possible strategies for future negotiations

43. It has been felt by developing countries that the services sub-sectors dealt with so far are those of basic interest to GECD countries. For this reason, in the new round of negotiation, it will be necessary for African countries to identify sectors of current and potential interest to them.

44. This may require that countries conduct specific studies to determine their comparative advantages. Given the dynamic process of negotiations in the services sector, the pre-negotiation process of analysis, exchanging information and identifying new opportunities should continue on an ongoing basis.

45. Services, which are intensive in skill and labour rather than capital, are activities in which developing countries have an actual or potential advantage.

In several African countries such as Lesotho, Sudan and Mali, remittance from expatriate workers arising from service exports amounted to 30-80% of total exports in 1993 (GCA 1995). Therefore, issues like movement of natural persons should be an important subject for negotiations. It should be noted however that most industrialized countries have shown reluctance to ease access to labour, and have maintained more restrictions on services, which require temporary migration of labour. Considering that African countries have a lot to gain from this mode of supply of services, the latter should be exploited to constitute a trade off for additional commitments by African countries.

46. A possible strategy for future involvement of Sub-Saharan Africa in the negotiations in trade in services would be to opt for one of the two possible scenarios that could characterize future negotiations:

• The first one is "a big basket approach II where both developing and developed countries agree to trade in commitments spanning several sectors.

• The second is based on sector specific negotiations, basically in fmancial services.

47. These options need to be examined by African countries with a view to determining the most appropriate approaches. Although the big basket

approach creates opportumhes for more trade-offs, it may also result in developed countries pressing for more reforms in related fields (UNCT AD, March 1993). The big basket approach to negotiations is however more appropriate for Africa since the exchange of commitments over a wider range of sectors offer more room for trade-off's that are mutually beneficial. Countries such as Kenya have embraced this approach.

48. A well-defined common regional position and approaching negotiations with one regional voice is a strategy that will be likely to carry more weight. In this regard, effective participation will require African countries to identify and define their interest in these issues, individually and regionally, in order to be able to influence the outcome of negotiations in a manner which takes due account of their concerns.

49. A more general but important strategy could involve the fonnation of negotiating blocks in which countries or their mandated spokespersons negotiate on behalf of a group of countries. The Asian countries have moved in this direction. A similar strategy has also been adopted by OECD, which incorporates intellectual preparations for negotiation.

50. If the financial sector of African countries is to be oeneficial as a result of greater access by foreign service providers, fmandal sector liberalization should proceed in the - context of comprehensive macro-economic reforms, elements of which should include elimination of budget deficits, reductions in the size of governments, divestiture of parastatals, providing autonomy to central banks while enhancing their regulatory and supervisory capacities.

Although negotiations in Geneva are based on country representation, such blocks could provide an important means of swaying opinion in favour of the interests of African countries.

51. In order to create an enabling enviromnent for the insurance sub-sector, the legal framework, which curtails the flexibility of insurance companies to make investment decisions, should be streamlined, since these constitute restrictions to market access.

52. Supply responses that are necessary include policy support by governments in streamlining legislative environment, infra structura1 development, acquisition of new technologies, and human resources development.

53. As part of GATS, technical assistance programmes are available from the WTO and a nwnber of multilateral organizations. Bilateral and multilateral aid programmes are also designed to support the enhancement of trade in services in developing coootries. African countries should therefore take advantage of these opportunities available to them to liberalize their trade in services dom~stically or within regional trade arrangements, foster their local service providers and enhance their export capacity.

References

1. African Economic Research Consortium 1994-1995.

2. Aryeetey and Senbethw Christopher Udry t 997. "Financial Liberalization and Financial Markets in Sub-Saharan Africa: a synthesis".

3. C. Raghavan, HL'avenir du Tiers-Monde et les negociations commerciales du GATT", Artel - Les Magasins du Monde -L'Haatmattan.,.. Oxfam, 1990.

4. Daniel J. Plunkett, 1999 "Implications for Africa of initiatives by the WTO", European Union, and US.

5. Dilip K. Das, "Trade in Financial Services and the Role of the GATS", Journal of World Trade 32(6), pp 79-114, 1998.

6. Global Coalition for Africa (GCA) subcommittee meeting on Regional Cooperation and Integration (Accra, Ghana 1995).

7. Government of Kenya "National Development Masterplan" 1995.

8. Ikiara G. 1994. "Services in Kenyan. Coordinated African Programme of Assistance on Services (CAPAS) UNCTAD.

9. Jackline Wahba (University of Southampton, U.K.) and Mahmoud Mohieldin (Cairo University, Cairo, Egypt), "Liberalizing Trade in Financial Services: The Uruguay Round and the Arab countries", World Development Vol. 26, No.7, pp. 1331-1348, 1998.

10. Malcolm Knight, "Developing countries and the Globalization of Financial Markets", World Development Vol. 26. 7, pp 1185-1200, 1998.

11. Piritta Sorsa, "The GATS Agreement on Financial Services - A Modest Start to Multilateral Liberalization", IMF Geneva, May 1997.

12. The ACP-EU Courier, "Dossier Trade in SelVices'\ Issue No. 156 pp 33-58, March April 1996.

13. Third World Economic Trends & Analysis "Call for global financial reforms gathers pace'\ issue No. 179/180, 16 February - 15 March 1998.

14. UNCT AD : Trade and Development Report 1998, New York and Geneva, 1998.

15, UNCTAD "Building a positive agenda for development: The Uruguay Round and its follow-up" 1997,

16. World Development Report 1999/2000 (W orId Bank).

17. WTO Annual Report 1998, Special topic: "Globalization and trade".

18. WTO "The results of the Uruguay Round of Multilateral Trade Negotiations: Legal Texts" 1994.

19. WTO Schedules of commitments in Financia1 Services (various countries ).

20. WTO Various notes by Secretariat.

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