($ Million)
Table 2 Budget
Plan Interim
In-year
Change
Revenue 40,713 41,690 +977
Expenditure 41,290 41,655 +365
Surplus (Deficit) (577) 35 +612
The
1989-90 planned operating surplus of $2,659 million also increasedby
$658 million to $3,317 million. This surplus fullyfunded
the Province's capital expenditures,amounting
to $3,282 million.1989-90 Operating Surplus
($ Million)
Budget
Plan Interim
Table 3 In-year
Change Revenue
Current Expenditure Operating Surplus
40,713 38,054 2,659
41,690 38,373 3,317
+977 + 319 +658
1989-90 Revenue
Revenue performance
in 1989-90 reflected the continued strength of the Ontarioeconomy.
Interim results for 1989-90 indicate that revenue inflows reached $41,690 million, an increase of $977 million over theBudget
forecast.As
in 1988-89,most
of the increase can be attributed to in-year adjustments to the federal transfer of PersonalIncome Tax
(PIT).Personal
Income Tax revenue was
$882 millionabove
the originalBudget
forecastand
reflects larger than anticipated federal adjustments to currentand
prior year tax entitlements. This is in addition to $945 million in estimated adjustmentswhich had been
included in Ontario's originalPIT
forecast.The
increase inPIT was
partially offset by a net $60 million decrease in federalpayments under
the EstablishedPrograms
Financing(EPF)
arrangement.This
decrease is related to the negative impact ofPIT
increaseson
theEPF
cash transferand
other offsetting increases.A
higher than anticipated level ofconsumption
led to a $124 million increase inTobacco Tax
revenue.Revenue from
theLand
TransferTax
increased $69 millionin-year as a result of higher than expected average prices
and
revenuefrom measures
introduced in the 1989 Budget.Higher than anticipated profits led to an increase of $47 million in the
Mining
Profits Tax. Public UtilitiesIncome Tax
revenue increased by $17 million as a result of federalgovernment
adjustments topayments
for the 1987and
1988 tax years.Reciprocal Taxation revenue,
which
represents primarily Ontario sales taxon
federalgovernment
purchases ofgoods and
services, increased by $18 million.These
taxationrevenue
increaseswere
partly offset by declines in anumber
of areas.Despite strong year-over-year
growth
of 10 per cent, Retail SalesTax revenue was
$125 million
below
expectations as a result of slightlylower
than anticipated consumption. Similarly, CorporationsTax
revenue displayed stronggrowth
of 11.8 per cent, butwas
$107 millionbelow
forecast as a result oflower
than anticipated final settlement payments.The
decline of $72 million in the estimate ofEmployer
HealthTax (EHT) revenue
islargely the result of
two
factors: the decision to allow small businesses to remitpayments on
a quarterly basis, beginning in April 1990,and
the federalgovernment's
decision to defer 1989-90EHT
remittances into 1990-91.Other
taxationrevenue
shortfalls included $38 million in GasolineTax
as a result of lower than expectedconsumption and
$10 million in theCommercial
Concentration Tax,which
reflects revised estimates of the tax baseand
outstanding assessments.Non-taxation
revenue
sourceswere
$276 millionabove
the originalBudget
plan, including an estimated $40 millionfrom
the implementation of anew
policy for adjustments to non-taxationrevenue
sources.The
bulk of the increasewas
attributable to a $208 million increase
from
Intereston
Investments as a result of higher than anticipated liquid reservesand
interest rate levels.OHIP Premiums revenue
experienced an increase of $93 milliondue
to a higher than expected accounts baseand
the collection of accounts in arrears.LCBO
Profits increased $32 million as a result of increased sales. Vehicle Registrationand
Drivers' LicenceFee revenue
experienced an increase of $27 million, mainly as a result of higher than expectedrevenue from measures
introduced with the 1989 Budget.These
non-taxation revenue increaseswere
partly offset by declines of $57 million inrevenue
from
Finesand
Penalties as a result of a delay in the proclamation of the Provincial PenaltiesAdjustment
Act,and
$23 millionfrom LLBO
Feesand
Licences as a result of lower consumption.Payments from
the federalgovernment
declined by $109 million, largely as a result of the reduction in EstablishedPrograms
Financingpayments
described previously.Payments under
theYoung
Offenders Actwere
$23 millionbelow
forecast,due
in part to the federal government's decision to limit its contributions to 1988-89 levels.Delays in the signing of a revised
Canada/Ontario Crop
InsuranceAgreement
resulted in a decline of $19 million.
Fiscal Review and Outlook 31
Summary
of In-Year Changes
Table 4to
Revenue
in 1989-90($ Million)
Taxation Revenue:
Personal Income Tax 882
Retail SalesTax (125)
Reciprocal Taxation 18
CorporationsTax (107)
Employer Health Tax (72)
Mining Profits Tax 47
Gasoline Tax (38)
Tobacco Tax 124
Land TransferTax 69
Public Utilities Income Tax 17
Commercial Concentration Tax (10)
Other Taxation __5
Sub-Total 810
Other Revenue:
OHIP
Premiums 93LCBO
Profits 32Vehicle/Driver Fees 27
LLBO
Fees and Licences (23)Intereston Investments 208
Fines and Penalties (57)
Other (4)
Sub-Total 276
Payments from the Federal Government:
Established Programs Financing (60)
Young Offenders Act (23)
Crop Insurance (19)
Other (7)
Sub-Total (109)
Total In-year Changes to Revenue 977
1989-90 Expenditure
Interim expenditures for 1989-90 are $41,655 million, or $365 million
above
the original 1989Budget
Plan.However,
ifadvance payments amounting
to$474
millionin respect of the 1990-91 fiscal year are excluded, expenditures are $109 million
below
the originalBudget
Plan of $41,290 million. In addition, $264 million ofin-year