Temperature Extremes
Amplitude and frequency of temperature extremes over the North Atlantic region
... of extremes with greenhouse gas forcing and an atmospheric circulation index and obtain a spatial distribution of the trends of those extreme ...warm extremes increases over most of the NA while their ...
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More perceived but not faster evolution of heat stress than temperature extremes in the future
... of temperature distributions both lead to an increase in amplitude, frequency and duration of warm extremes over land ...of temperature and humidity on human health, is projected to intensify in the ...
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A Dynamical Systems Approach to Studying Mid-Latitude Weather Extremes
... dynamical extremes provide a strong predictability pathway for wintertime tem- perature extremes over the European continent at timescales of up to a ...regional temperature extremes ...
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Extremes and Recurrence in Dynamical Systems
... physical extremes, which do not only cost many human lives each year, but also cause significant economic damages [4, 8, 9, 10]; see also the discussion and histor- ical perspective given in ...16]. ...
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A non-parametric entropy-based approach to detect changes in climate extremes
... current temperature extremes over central Europe differ from past ...about temperature extremes over central Europe be- cause it is physically possible that an upper temperature bound ...
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Investigating the Role of the Relative Humidity in the Co‐Occurrence of Temperature and Heat Stress Extremes in CMIP5 Projections
... of temperature and humidity on human health, is projected to ...of temperature distributions tends to increase the magnitude, frequency, and duration of extremes (Alexander et ...of ...
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Changes in the distribution of hydro-climatic extremes in a non-stationary framework.
... Figures 2 – 4 reveal possible links between the scale and shape of the distributions on one hand and climate indices on the other hand. In Fig. 2 , skewness seems to be strongly influenced by climate indices. In all ...
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Condensation and extremes for a fluctuating number of independent random variables
... and extremes for three classes of inti- mately related stochastic processes: (a) random allocation models and zero-range processes, (b) tied-down renewal processes, (c) free renewal ...
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Recent intensification of Amazon flooding extremes driven by strengthened Walker circulation
... hydrological extremes causing major human suffering and disturbance to the rainforest ecosystems ...hydrological extremes in Amazonia and then identify their main driving mechanisms and discuss the ...
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An attempt to explain recent trends in European snowfall extremes
... global temperature rise has driven an overall decrease of average snowfall in past decades (Déry and Brown, 2007) and this decreasing trend is expected to continue in future “business-as-usual” emission scenarios ...
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State-of-the-art global models underestimate impacts from climate extremes
... State-of-the-art global models underestimate impacts from climate extremes Jacob Schewe et al. # Global impact models represent process-level understanding of how natural and human systems may be affected by ...
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Compound Hot-Dry and Cold-Wet Dynamical Extremes Over the Mediterranean
... The calculation of the dynamical systems metrics stems from the combination of Poincaré recurrences with extreme value theory (Lucarini et al., 2012; Freitas et al., 2010; Faranda et al., 2020). By recurrences we refer ...
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Understanding, modeling and predicting weather and climate extremes: Challenges and opportunities
... weather extremes would be to focus on mechanisms (as conceptualized in ...of extremes, which has important implications for use in impact modeling ...predict extremes or improve the predictability of ...
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Towards a General Theory of Extremes for Observables of Chaotic Dynamical Systems
... In Sec. II we show that by direct integration it is possi- ble to derive the value of the two GPD parameters ξ and σ, and, in particular, that the value of ξ agrees with the GEV shape parameter obtained in [30]. We also ...
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Conditional extremes and near-extremes
... the general heteroscedasticity forms. Within these models, the limit laws for extremal quantile regression statistics are obtained under the rank conditions constructed to reflect the ex[r] ...
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Crystal metamorphosis at stress extremes: how soft phonons turn into lattice defects
... well-known temperature- driven phase transformation within a double-well potential 49 in phonon ...stress extremes reveal deep connections between deloca- lized phonons in x and k continua—a wave phenomenon ...
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Simulating compound weather extremes responsible for critical crop failure with stochastic weather generators
... averaged temperature or pre- cipitation over ...average temperature) is lowest during the first steps of simulation are deleted and replaced by small pertur- bations of remaining ...
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North Atlantic controls on wintertime warm extremes and aridification trends in the Middle East.
... (c) Temporal extension: The minimum temporal extension of the regional WWS’s over the Middle East is of 3 consecutive days, during which both TX and TN must exceed daily TX95 and TN95. Patterns identification and ...
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Poisson–Dirichlet statistics for the extremes of a log-correlated Gaussian field
... The statistics of the extremes of log-correlated Gaussian fields are ex- pected to resemble those of i.i.d. Gaussian variables or random energy model (REM) and at a finer level, those of branching Brownian ...
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Changing duration and spatial extent of midlatitude precipitation extremes across different climates
... question, we need to know how the eddy length scales with Δ T since this gives the scaling of the zonal length of precipitation extremes. The eddy length has previously been found to scale with the Rossby ...
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