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Risk and uncertainty

Review of risk and uncertainty concepts for climate change assessments including human dimensions

Review of risk and uncertainty concepts for climate change assessments including human dimensions

... of risk and uncertainty relevant in an interdisciplinary assessment of climate change ...deep uncertainty, incompleteness, vagueness. Additional human and social dimensions of ...

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Optimal Uncertainty Quantification of a risk measurement from a thermal-hydraulic code using Canonical Moments

Optimal Uncertainty Quantification of a risk measurement from a thermal-hydraulic code using Canonical Moments

... perform uncertainty propagation, in particular to evaluate measures of risk such as high ...of risk over a class of ...moments, and adapted the theory of canonical moments into an improved ...

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Hazard-asset spatial overlays and induced uncertainty in natural risk assessments

Hazard-asset spatial overlays and induced uncertainty in natural risk assessments

... of uncertainty has never been carefully discussed in any natural risk ...natural risk assessment vary depending on the HASO technique used? Is this variability important with respect to other sources ...

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What would a flood cost to your home? Hazard-asset spatial overlays and induced uncertainty in natural risk assessments

What would a flood cost to your home? Hazard-asset spatial overlays and induced uncertainty in natural risk assessments

... analysis, and important variations may be observed from one technique to one ...of uncertainty has never been carefully discussed in any natural risk ...

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Risk Aversion and Dynamic Games Between Hydroelectric Operators under Uncertainty

Risk Aversion and Dynamic Games Between Hydroelectric Operators under Uncertainty

... monopolistic and oligopolistic competition and when hydroelectricity producers are risk averse and face demand ...of uncertainty on electricity ...symmetric risk aversion ...

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Characterizing uncertainty to manage risk in spacecraft development with application to structures and mass

Characterizing uncertainty to manage risk in spacecraft development with application to structures and mass

... complex and suffer from uncertainty in many quan- tities of interest, leading to schedule and cost ...failure and the aerospace industry abandoned it ...cost and schedule overruns in ...

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Performance of iohexol determination in serum and urine by HPLC: validation, risk and uncertainty assessment

Performance of iohexol determination in serum and urine by HPLC: validation, risk and uncertainty assessment

... 3.4. Uncertainty assessment The uncertainty characterizes the dispersion of the values that could reasonably be attributed to the measurand [28] ...Several uncertainty results were generated ...

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Combining Monte Carlo simulations and experimental design for incorporating risk and uncertainty in investment decisions for cleantech: a fast pyrolysis case study

Combining Monte Carlo simulations and experimental design for incorporating risk and uncertainty in investment decisions for cleantech: a fast pyrolysis case study

... absent, and the best way one can do is to assign probabilities on the basis of their own opinion based on ...Groenendaal and Kleijnen (1997) doubt the usefulness of Monte Carlo ...economic risk, as ...

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Bankable emission permits under uncertainty and optimal risk-management rules

Bankable emission permits under uncertainty and optimal risk-management rules

... easily be counterbalanced by permits reallocation from other installations within the group. This situation is confirmed by the visual inspection of the data in Figures 1 to 3. Overall, the parent company is a net ...

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Geostatistical analysis of the troilus deposit : uncertainty and risk assessment of the mine planning strategy

Geostatistical analysis of the troilus deposit : uncertainty and risk assessment of the mine planning strategy

... years and exploration expenditures kept to a minimum, mining companies had to rely on breakthroughs in technology to lower their operating costs and find new ...bio-leaching and a series of ...

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Optimal uncertainty quantification of a risk measurement from a computer code

Optimal uncertainty quantification of a risk measurement from a computer code

... spaces and the OUQ framework so ...function, and a quantile is a quasi-convex lower semicontinuous func- ...superquantiles and Sobol’ ...class and the unimodal moment ...

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Sustainability Assessment of Biorefinery Strategies Under Uncertainty and Risk Using Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM) Approach

Sustainability Assessment of Biorefinery Strategies Under Uncertainty and Risk Using Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM) Approach

... residues and non-food ...wheat and rye and brings together the advantages of both crops: the high yield potential and grain quality of wheat, and the environmental tolerance of rye ...

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HIV-Related Risk Taking Behavior and Income Uncertainty : Empirical Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa

HIV-Related Risk Taking Behavior and Income Uncertainty : Empirical Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa

... Demographic and Health Survey col- lected in 2003, he shows that the probability of being HIV-infected increases with non monetary welfare, proxied by an index of physical ...men and women, de Walque (2006) ...

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Risk Taking of HIV-Infection and Income Uncertainty : Empirical Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa

Risk Taking of HIV-Infection and Income Uncertainty : Empirical Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa

... yields and the prevalence in most ...High and frequent crop shocks discourage people to invest in self-protective behaviors all the more than in most countries, the vast majority of the population is ...

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Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis of functional risk curves based on Gaussian processes

Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis of functional risk curves based on Gaussian processes

... functional risk curves The objective of sensitivity analysis is to determine those input variables that mostly influence the model response [9, 29, ...overall uncertainty of the input parameters. Previous ...

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Uncertainty and Prediction Risk Assessment of short-term wind power forecasts

Uncertainty and Prediction Risk Assessment of short-term wind power forecasts

... problem, and defined from the end-user specific objectives (cost minimization on a specific power market, control of the large forecasting errors, ...the uncertainty and ...

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Stochastic control, default risk and liquidity risk

Stochastic control, default risk and liquidity risk

... processes and must be ...under uncertainty and may therefore be represented by a random ...value and variance may be ...sell and buy order prices can be explained by different ...

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Safety-margin-based design and redesign considering mixed epistemic model uncertainty and aleatory parameter uncertainty

Safety-margin-based design and redesign considering mixed epistemic model uncertainty and aleatory parameter uncertainty

... epistemic uncertainty and achieve targeted levels of ...models and prescribe redesign when tests are not ...model uncertainty can be leveraged through redesign to restore safety or improve ...

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Essays on uncertainty and foreign direct investments

Essays on uncertainty and foreign direct investments

... States and the BEA (Bureau of Economic Analysis) for the United ...chemical and transport equip- ment ...origin and destination), sectoral data as well as annual data on ...States and the ...

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Uncertainty in Fibre Strength Characterisation Due to Uncertainty in Measurement and Sampling Randomness

Uncertainty in Fibre Strength Characterisation Due to Uncertainty in Measurement and Sampling Randomness

... strength and excellent weathering ...vessels and components for aerospace applications [2, ...safety and reliability assessment are key challenges for these load- bearing applications and ...

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