Stochastic reduced order model for real-time unsteady flow estimation

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HAL Id: hal-02160160

https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02160160

Submitted on 19 Jun 2019

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Stochastic reduced order model for real-time unsteady flow estimation

Valentin Resseguier, Matheus Ladvig, Agustin Picard, Etienne Mémin, Reda Bouaida, Bertrand Chapron

To cite this version:

Valentin Resseguier, Matheus Ladvig, Agustin Picard, Etienne Mémin, Reda Bouaida, et al.. Stochas-tic reduced order model for real-time unsteady flow estimation. WESC 2019 - Web Wind Energy Science Conference, Jun 2019, Cork, Ireland. pp.1-23. �hal-02160160�

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D i g i t a l S y s t e m s

STOCHASTIC REDUCED ORDER MODEL

FOR REAL-TIME UNSTEADY FLOW

ESTIMATION

Valentin Resseguier,

Matheus Ladvig, Agustin M Picard

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1. Context

2. Physics + data = reduced order model (ROM)

3. Simulation + measurements = data assimilation

4. Results

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3

PART I

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CEN « Simulation » (~ 70 people)

R&D and engineering Expertise:

• Radar, optronics, sonar •Geophysical fluid dyn. • Mechanical and thermal Business: • Scientific softwares • Simulations, HPC • VR & AR Lab (~ 15 peoples) Research, R&T, R&D Expertise:

•Geophysical fluid dyn. •Signal, data

assimilation

•Machine Learning •Multi-agents systems •Drones

Other Business Units ~ 2400 people

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Wind

Turbine

blade

Variable

blade lift

Controler

• Blade pitch

• Fluidic activators

• …

+

−

Desired

blade lift

BLADE LIFT CONTROL

Damages

5

Wind

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Observer Controler Simple model Simple model • Blade pitch • Fluidic activators • …

Estimation and prediction: • Flow

• Lift • …

OBSERVEUR & CONTROL

Wind turbine blade

Incomplete measurements : • TrimControl

• LIDAR

• … TrimControl

• Which simple model?

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PART II

PHYSICS + DATA

= REDUCED ORDER MODEL

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Simulations with “physical” approximations CFD (RANS, LES, …) Semi-analytic formula

TRADEOFF ACCURACY / RAPIDITY

Rapidity Accuracy & Robustness “Exact” physical equations Data-driven Machine / Deep Learning Interpolation, Kriging Intrusive

reduced order model (ROM)

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REDUCED ORDER MODEL (ROM)

Time Space

Parameters (if any)

Solution of an PDE with the form:

Full space

Reduced

space

Solution

coordinates

Dimension

!×# ~ 10

'

( ~ 10 − 100

Order of

magnitude

examples in CFD

9

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•

Principal Component Analysis (PCA) on a

dataset

to reduce the dimensionality:

Resolved modes

Snapshots Spatial modes

PCA

Off-line simulations

•

Approximation:

à ROM for very fast simulation of temporal modes

POD (PROPER ORTHOGONAL DECOMPOSITION)

•

Projection of the “physics”

onto the spatial modes :

!" ( Physical equation (e.g. Navier-Stokes)) #$ %_& $ ⋅

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PART III

SIMULATION + MEASUREMENTS

= DATA ASSIMILATION

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Data assimilation (particle filtering)

Numerical

Simulation

(ROM)

à erroneous

On-line

measurements

à incomplete à possibly noisy

COMBINING SIMULATIONS AND MEASUREMENTS

3 ". $%& _{5 ". $}%&

Velocity

Need for uncertainty / errors quantification à Random dynamics

More accurate estimation globally in space

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Randomized

Navier-Stokes model

__________________

• Good closure

• Good model error

quantification

for data assimilation

13

Residual

LOCATION UNCERTAINTY MODELS (LUM)

Assumed

time-uncorrelated

! = #

$%&

'

(

_$

)

_$

+

SALT LUM Memin, 2014 Resseguier et al. 2017 a, b, c, d Cai et al. 2017 Chapron et al. 2018 Yang & Memin 2019

Crisan et al., 2017

Gay-Balmaz & Holm 2017 Cotter and al. 2018 a, b Cotter and al. 2019 Holm, 2015 Holm and Tyranowski, 2016 Arnaudon et al. 2017 Mikulevicius & Rozovskii, 2004 Flandoli, 2011 References

:

Cotter and al. 2017 Resseguier et al. 2019 a, b

Resolved

modes

Randomized

ROM

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SUMMARY

Off-line : Building ROM

On-line :

Simualtion & data assimialtion

Stochastic ROM Randomized Physics (LUM) Data DNS code Physics (Navier-Stokes) Stochastic ROM Flow ! = # $%& ' (_$)_$ Temporal modes (_$ Data assimilation (particle filtering) Measurements

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PART IV

RESULTS :

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1

ST

_{RESULTS: WAKE AT RE 100}

Reference (DNS) 10#_{degrees of freedom} Our method (Red-LUM-based data-assimilation) 6degrees of freedom Theoretical bound

(Optimal from 6-d.o.f. linear decomposition)

6degrees of freedom

Benchmark

(POD-ROM (with eddy viscosity) + init. by obs.)

6degrees of freedom Vo rtic ity Vo rtic ity Vo rtic ity Vo rtic ity

Reduced order models with % = 6

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17

1

ST

_{RESULTS: WAKE AT RE 300}

Reduced order models with ! = 6

and 2dB-SNR obs. assimilated every 5 sec

Reference (DNS) 10&_{degrees of} freedom Our method (Red-LUM-based data-assimilation) 6degrees of freedom Theoretical bound (optimal from 6-d.o.f. linear decomposition) 6degrees of freedom Benchmark (POD-ROM (with eddy viscosity) + init. by obs.) 6degrees of freedom

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CONCLUSION

18

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19

CONCLUSION

[email protected]

u

Reduced order model (ROM) : for very fast and robust CFD

(10# → 6 degrees of freedom.)

§ Combine data & physics (built off-line)

§ Closure problem handled by LUM

u

Data assimilation : to correct the fast simulation on-line by incomplete/noisy measurements

§ Model error quantification handled by LUM

u

First results

§ Optimal unsteady flow estimation/prediction in the whole spatial domain (large-scale structures)