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Hepatitis C prevalence in the psychiatric setting: cost-effectiveness of scaling-up screening and direct-acting antiviral therapy

GIRARDIN, François, et al.

Abstract

Patients hospitalised because of mental illness often have risk factors for contracting HCV.

Scaling-up HCV screening for all psychiatric inpatients as a case-detection strategy for viral elimination is underexplored. This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of scaling-up HCV screening and treatment for psychiatry hospital admissions in Switzerland vs. the current standard-of-care risk-based approach, where only those with a history of substance misuse disorder are offered testing.

GIRARDIN, François, et al. Hepatitis C prevalence in the psychiatric setting: cost-effectiveness of scaling-up screening and direct-acting antiviral therapy. JHEP Reports : Innovation in Hepatology, 2021, vol. 3, no. 3, p. 100279

DOI : 10.1016/j.jhepr.2021.100279 PMID : 34522875

Available at:

http://archive-ouverte.unige.ch/unige:151338

Disclaimer: layout of this document may differ from the published version.

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Hepatitis C prevalence in the psychiatric setting: cost-effectiveness of scaling-up screening and direct-acting antiviral therapy

François Girardin, MD, Chris Painter, MSc, Natalie Hearmon, DPhil, Lucy Eddowes, DPhil, Stefan Kaiser, MD, Francesco Negro, MD, Nathalie Vernaz, PharmD

PII: S2589-5559(21)00055-0

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhepr.2021.100279 Reference: JHEPR 100279

To appear in: JHEP Reports Received Date: 11 December 2020 Revised Date: 1 March 2021 Accepted Date: 3 March 2021

Please cite this article as: Girardin F, Painter C, Hearmon N, Eddowes L, Kaiser S, Negro F, Vernaz N, Hepatitis C prevalence in the psychiatric setting: cost-effectiveness of scaling-up screening and direct- acting antiviral therapy, JHEP Reports (2021), doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhepr.2021.100279.

This is a PDF file of an article that has undergone enhancements after acceptance, such as the addition of a cover page and metadata, and formatting for readability, but it is not yet the definitive version of record. This version will undergo additional copyediting, typesetting and review before it is published in its final form, but we are providing this version to give early visibility of the article. Please note that, during the production process, errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain.

© 2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL).

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Cohort decision tree screening model with a Swiss healthcare provider perspective using HCV prevalence from inpatient

admissions at a Swiss psychiatry department

• Incremental

cost-effectiveness ratio = $9,188 per quality-adjusted life-year gained

• Population-level net monetary benefit =

$435,156,348

• 917 additional patients per year detected and treated Psychiatric inpatient admissions

with a history of substance misuse screened for HCV

$2,122 per person detected and treated

screened for HCV

$3,294 per person detected and treated

Intervention:

generalised screening

Comparator:

current clinical practice

What is the

cost-effectiveness of generalised HCV screening of

psychiatric inpatient admissions, compared to current clinical

practice of screening those with a history of substance misuse?

VS

HCV prevalence = 10.8%

HCV prevalence = 25.7%

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Hepatitis C prevalence in the psychiatric setting: cost-

1

effectiveness of scaling-up screening and direct-acting

2

antiviral therapy

3

François Girardin MD,1,2 Chris Painter MSc,3 Natalie Hearmon DPhil,3 Lucy 4

Eddowes DPhil,3 Stefan Kaiser MD,4 Francesco Negro MD,5 Nathalie Vernaz 5

PharmD1 6

1Division of Clinical Pharmacology and Toxicology, Department of 7

Anaesthesiology, Clinical Pharmacology, Intensive Care and Emergency 8

Medicine, Geneva University Hospitals, Geneva, Switzerland; 2Service of 9

Clinical Pharmacology, Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathology, 10

Lausanne University Hospital (CHUV), Lausanne, Switzerland andFaculty of 11

Biology and Medicine, University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland;

12

3Costello Medical, London, UK; 4Division of Adult Psychiatry, Geneva 13

University Hospitals, Geneva, Switzerland; 5Divisions of Gastroenterology and 14

Hepatology and of Clinical Pathology, Geneva University Hospitals, Geneva, 15

Switzerland;

16

Corresponding author: Prof François Girardin, Service of Clinical 17

Pharmacology, Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathology, Lausanne 18

University Hospital (CHUV), Lausanne, Switzerland. Email:

19

Francois.Girardin@chuv.ch. Telephone: +41 (0)21 314 42 76 20

Keywords: Hepatitis C Infection; Screening Strategy; Direct-Acting Antiviral 21

Agents; Cost-Effectiveness Model; Psychiatric Disorder 22

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Word count: 3,459 words 1

Number of figures/tables: 7 figures/tables 2

Conflicts of interest: François Girardin is the representative of Swiss 3

hospitals at the Federal Drug Commission (Federal Office of Public Health) 4

and expert for InnoSuisse - the Federal Agency for Innovation (section Life 5

Sciences). Stefan Kaiser has received honoraria for cognitive test and training 6

software from Schuhfried. Francesco Negro advises Gilead, Merck and AbbVie, 7

and has received a research grant from Gilead. Lucy Eddowes and Natalie 8

Hearmon are employees of Costello Medical, and Chris Painter was an 9

employee of Costello Medical at the time of the study.

10

Funding: This work was supported by Gilead and the University Hospitals of 11

Geneva. The development of the model was funded by Gilead. Individual 12

patient data acquisition from medical records was funded by the University 13

Hospitals of Geneva (Department of Anaesthesiology, Clinical Pharmacology, 14

Intensive Care, and Emergency Medicine). The funding sources did not have 15

a role in the collection, analysis and interpretation of data; in the writing of 16

the report; or in the decision to submit the article for publication.

17

Authors contributions:

18

François Girardin: conceptualisation, formal analysis, investigation, writing – 19

review & editing 20

Chris Painter: formal analysis, methodology, writing – review & editing 21

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Natalie Hearmon: formal analysis, methodology, writing – review & editing 1

Lucy Eddowes: formal analysis, methodology, writing – original draft, writing 2

– review & editing 3

Stefan Kaiser: writing – review & editing 4

Francesco Negro: formal analysis, writing – review & editing 5

Nathalie Vernaz: conceptualisation, formal analysis, investigation, writing – 6

review & editing 7

Clinical trial number: Not applicable 8

Data availability statement: The data that support the findings of this 9

study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.

10

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ABSTRACT 1

Background & Aims: People hospitalised due to mental illness often have 2

risk factors for contracting hepatitis C virus (HCV). Scaling-up HCV screening 3

for all psychiatric inpatients as a case-detection strategy for viral elimination is 4

under-explored. This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of 5

scaling-up HCV screening and treatment for psychiatry hospital admissions in 6

Switzerland versus the current standard-of-care risk-based approach, where 7

only those with a history of substance misuse disorder are offered testing.

8

Methods: HCV prevalence by history of substance misuse disorder was 9

analysed in medical records from inpatient admissions at a Swiss psychiatry 10

department. Cost-effectiveness was analysed from a healthcare provider 11

perspective through a decision-tree screening model, using this HCV 12

prevalence data. We assessed model and parameter uncertainty using 13

deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.

14

Results: Prevalence of HCV in psychiatry inpatients with a history of 15

substance misuse disorder (n=1,013) was 25.7%, compared with 3.49%

16

among the remaining inpatients (n=3,535). Scaling-up HCV screening and 17

treatment for all psychiatry admissions was cost-effective versus the risk- 18

based approach, with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $9,188 per 19

quality-adjusted life-year gained. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio 20

remained cost-effective considering HCV prevalence as low as 0.07%. The 21

population-level net monetary benefit of the generalised screening approach 22

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was $435,156,348, with 917 additional patients per year detected and treated 1

at a cost of $3,294 per person (versus $2,122 under the risk-based screening).

2

Conclusions: Scaling-up HCV screening and treatment at diagnosis with all- 3

oral, interferon-free regimens as a generalised approach for psychiatric 4

admissions was cost-effective and may support reaching World Health 5

Organization targets for HCV elimination by 2030.

6

LAY SUMMARY 7

People hospitalised due to mental illness often have risk factors for hepatitis C 8

virus (HCV). We found that testing all psychiatry patients in hospital for HCV 9

was cost-effective compared to testing only patients who have a history of 10

substance misuse. Scaling-up HCV testing and treatment may help to wipe 11

out HCV.

12

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INTRODUCTION 1

Neuropsychiatric disorders contribute an estimated 13% to the global burden 2

of disease and are associated with increased physical morbidity.(1) People 3

with mental illnesses (PMI), particularly “severe” disorders, are more likely to 4

engage in behaviours that are risk factors for communicable and non- 5

communicable disease, and may be underserved by healthcare services.(1) 6

Integrating services for mental and physical health can ensure more equitable 7

access to care and reduce health inequalities.(2) 8

In Switzerland, between 30–50% of people with severe mental illness are 9

estimated to have a substance misuse disorder, placing them at risk of drug- 10

related adverse events and communicable diseases like hepatitis C virus 11

(HCV).(3) Other factors associated with mental illness, such as risky sexual 12

behaviours and incarceration, could also increase the risk of HCV infection in 13

PMI.(4) This is reflected in global HCV prevalence estimates of 4.6–17.4% for 14

those with severe mental illness,(4) compared with approximately 0.5–2.3%

15

in the global population.(5) 16

In 2016, the World Health Organization (WHO) outlined Global Health Sector 17

Strategy targets to guide HCV elimination by 2030, where nation states are 18

required to diagnose 90% of prevalent cases and treat 80% of those 19

diagnosed.(6) A key development to support this goal is the increasing 20

availability of highly effective, all-oral, interferon-free, direct-acting antivirals 21

(DAAs) for HCV.(7) DAAs allow infection to be cured in most individuals who 22

engage with healthcare services and adhere to treatment.(7, 8) Although 23

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some countries are implementing one-time universal screening for HCV,(9) 1

not all countries are doing so, including high-income countries such as 2

Switzerland; in 2019 the Swiss Federal Office of Public Health decided to 3

continue to prioritise at-risk groups only.(10) Therefore, innovative case- 4

detection strategies targeting high-risk and underserved populations, such as 5

PMI, are still essential for driving viral elimination.(6)

6

By screening for HCV infection in people engaging with psychiatric health 7

services, high-risk individuals can be targeted, cases identified, and patients 8

linked to short duration DAA-based treatments that are recommended for 9

managing the physical health of PMI.(1, 4) However, it is common practice to 10

only offer HCV testing to individuals with known risk factors for infection (i.e.

11

a history of substance misuse disorder) on psychiatric hospital admission. The 12

epidemiology of HCV amongst PMI is also not well characterised, preventing 13

health authorities from accurately considering the relative costs and benefits 14

of different approaches to diagnosing infection amongst PMI. Consequently, 15

clinical and economic data are required to assess the available options and to 16

ensure the optimal use of healthcare resources.(4)

17

This study explored the prevalence of HCV infection in patients admitted to a 18

large psychiatric hospital department. Using real-world prevalence estimates 19

from individual patient data, the study assessed the cost-effectiveness of a 20

generalised screening approach, where all patients are offered an HCV test on 21

psychiatric hospital admission, compared with a risk-based screening 22

approach, where only those with a history of substance misuse disorder are 23

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offered a test. This risk-based approach is currently used in hospitals in many 1

countries.

2

PATIENTS AND METHODS 3

The methods used for the epidemiological component of this study are 4

discussed first, followed by the modelling approach. Data from the 5

epidemiological investigation provided inputs for the cost-effectiveness 6

evaluation.

7

Epidemiological study 8

Study design, population, and outcomes 9

Epidemiological data on HCV infection in patients admitted to a psychiatric 10

unit were acquired from a retrospective review of clinical records at the 11

University Hospitals of Geneva (HUG; Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève), the 12

largest university hospital in Switzerland with specialised psychiatric inpatient 13

and outpatient facilities. Adult patients hospitalised at the HUG Psychiatry 14

Department from January 2016 until July 2019 who were screened from 1990 15

onwards, either for antibodies to HCV (anti-HCV) or for HCV RNA, and whose 16

admission was coded as a mental illness (according to the ICD-10, mental 17

and behavioural disorders [F] categories) were eligible.

18

Patients with a history of substance misuse disorder were identified using text 19

data mining by searching for terms such as ‘heroin’, ‘methadone’ or ‘cocaine’

20

in their electronic patient records. HCV prevalence was then calculated for: all 21

patients; patients without evidence of a substance misuse disorder in their 22

medical records; and those with a history of substance misuse disorder. For 23

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the prevalence estimates, patients were deemed to be HCV-positive if they 1

were either anti-HCV antibody positive and/or HCV RNA positive.

2

Ethics 3

This study was performed in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki.

4

Ethical approval was granted by Commission cantonale d’éthique de la 5

recherche, formerly Commission d’éthique du département de psychiatrie - 6

approval: 09-180R. Adult participant consent was not required because 7

anonymised data were initially aggregated or came from national and 8

institutional registries.

9

Cost-effectiveness study 10

The cost-effectiveness of a comprehensive HCV screening program for all PMI 11

admitted to Swiss psychiatric units, in comparison with the current risk-based 12

approach, was assessed by adapting a previously published economic 13

model.(11, 12) Briefly, the model simulated the screening process in this 14

setting and used epidemiological inputs from the retrospective review of HUG 15

clinical records to ensure that the model was reflective of Swiss psychiatric 16

patients. The model provided estimates of the costs and effectiveness, in 17

terms of QALYs, such that cost-effectiveness measures could be calculated.

18

The model methodology is described further here.

19

Model structure and perspective 20

A previously published cohort decision tree screening model was adapted to 21

analyse the cost-effectiveness of diagnosis and treatment, after scaling-up 22

HCV screening in PMI compared with current standard-of-care.(11, 12) The 23

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decision tree simulated the patient pathway from screening to diagnosis and 1

treatment initiation (Figure 1). The proportion of patients within each branch 2

of the decision tree was estimated using uptake and outcome probabilities, 3

representing the likelihood of attrition at each stage of the patient pathway.

4

Costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) were assigned to each pathway.

5

The model took the national healthcare provider’s perspective, based on 6

nationwide guidance from the Federal Office of Public Health.(13) The model 7

simulated one-off testing upon admission, whilst the costs and QALYs 8

associated with treatment took a lifetime time-horizon due to the lifelong 9

nature of chronic HCV. Regular annual screening over a longer time period 10

was not appropriate, given the closed nature of the inpatient population 11

where, based on point-of-care data from the HUG Psychiatry Department, 12

uptake of testing and of treatment is 89% and 84%, respectively. In addition, 13

the average length of stay in Swiss inpatient facilities is usually short, limiting 14

the potential for repeat testing; the most recent figures available for the HUG 15

show that the mean length of stay for psychiatric inpatients was 47 days in 16

2017 (median 15 days).(15) 17

Target population and screening strategies 18

The population size considered for the model was 60,378 individuals, the 19

number of patients hospitalised due to mental illness in Switzerland in 2018, 20

the most recent estimate available for Switzerland.(16) We assumed that the 21

eligible screening inpatient population was this entire PMI population, 22

irrespective of viraemic status or awareness of HCV status.

23

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The intervention explored was a comprehensive screening initiative to scale- 1

up HCV treatment for all inpatients in psychiatric units. This generalised 2

strategy was compared with the current standard-of-care risk-based approach 3

to HCV testing, implemented by psychiatric departments, whereby patients 4

with a history of substance misuse disorder are primarily offered testing. All 5

patients were assumed to receive a 20-minute appointment to be offered 6

screening, regardless of whether they accepted the offer. Patients who 7

accepted the test offer were assumed to receive a further 5-minute pre-test 8

discussion with a specialist. The costs associated with time spent 9

communicating the results of the test were also included, for patients who 10

collected their results (5 minutes for a HCV-negative result and 20 minutes for 11

a HCV-positive result). The standard test package (3rd generation ELISA and 12

quantitative HCV RNA test by RT-PCR) and a standard, all-oral, interferon-free 13

DAA regimen were assumed for the screening and treatment approaches.

14

Viral genotyping was not included in the test package as it is not an absolute 15

requirement for treatment, due to the availability of pan-genotypic regimens 16

and in line with European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL) 17

guidelines.(17) 18

Based on point-of-care data from psychiatric inpatients at the HUG, we 19

assumed that 11% of patients would decline screening, testing would have a 20

combined sensitivity/specificity of 1, and those receiving a positive test result 21

would experience a negative impact on their quality-of-life (modelled as a 22

disutility).(11) 23

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The model also permitted patients diagnosed with chronic HCV infection to 1

decline HCV treatment. Those that accepted treatment received the costs and 2

QALYs associated with treatment, whilst those that did not receive treatment 3

were assigned costs and QALYs corresponding to natural HCV disease 4

progression.

5

Model inputs 6

The screening methods and model inputs were derived from individual 7

psychiatric inpatient data. The target population was assumed to align with 8

the demographic and epidemiological data acquired from the retrospective 9

review of records from the HUG Psychiatry Department. The number of 10

people admitted to psychiatric units in Switzerland was obtained from the 11

Swiss Health Observatory (ObSan, Federal Office of Statistics).(16) Model 12

inputs related to treatment effects and natural disease progression were 13

derived from a peer-reviewed cost-effectiveness model of an all-oral, 14

interferon-free DAA treatment regimen in people who inject intravenous 15

drugs.(18) The lifetime costs (including drug acquisition, resource use and 16

monitoring costs) per treated or untreated HCV-infected patient were also 17

sourced from the same model.(18) Further model inputs were derived from 18

targeted literature searches, publicly available databases, and discussion with 19

clinical experts. Model inputs are summarised in Table 1 and Table 2.

20

Since the model explored a single screening round, discounting of costs and 21

QALYs was not applied. The model from which the lifetime treatment costs 22

and QALYs were sourced applied 3% discounting to costs and QALYs.(18) 23

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Model outputs 1

The primary outputs from the screening model were combined with the 2

treatment model outputs to calculate the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio 3

(ICER) of generalised versus risk-based screening, with benefits given in 4

QALYs and costs in Swiss francs, assumed to be equivalent to US dollars (as 5

per exchange rates in November 2020). A willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold, 6

which is the valuation of the health benefit in monetary terms, of 7

$100,000/QALY was chosen as it falls within the range of recommended WTP 8

thresholds for cost-effectiveness analyses for Switzerland.(19, 20) A lower 9

WTP threshold of $50,000 per QALY gained was also considered.

10

The model produced further standard cost-effectiveness outputs, such as the 11

net monetary benefit (NMB). The NMB is defined as the incremental effects 12

multiplied by the WTP threshold of $100 000/QALY, minus the incremental 13

costs. Thus, a positive NMB indicates that the intervention (generalised 14

screening) is cost-effective at each given WTP threshold. Further outputs 15

included separate clinical- and cost-focused results, such as the cost of 16

diagnosis per HCV patient identified (both completing the diagnosis process 17

and initiating treatment).

18

Analyses 19

A deterministic sensitivity analysis was performed to identify which inputs 20

influenced the ICER most, in which each input was varied by 20% above and 21

below the base-case value. Parameters were ranked hierarchically by their 22

impact on the ICER.

23

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A probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) was performed from 1,000 Monte- 1

Carlo simulations, to test the robustness of model outputs. A standard 2

deviation of 20% of the mean was used to derive the probability distributions 3

for the PSA. The PSA results were assessed on the cost-effectiveness plane 4

using a scatter plot of incremental costs versus incremental QALYs for the 5

generalised HCV screening approach versus the current risk-based strategy.

6

The probability of cost-effectiveness of the generalised screening approach 7

was tested at a range of WTP thresholds to generate a cost-effectiveness 8

acceptability curve. This provided an overall probability of cost-effectiveness 9

at the chosen WTP threshold of $100,000/QALY.

10

Data availability 11

The data that support the findings of this study are available from the 12

corresponding author upon reasonable request.

13

RESULTS 14

Prevalence estimates 15

The HCV prevalence study comprised 5,420 inpatients, of which 4,548 were 16

eligible for inclusion. Patients were excluded if they were a paediatric 17

admission (n=581), lacked a relevant ICD-10 diagnostic code (n=279) or 18

were the child of an admitted patient (n=12). During the four-year period 19

(2016–2020), 32% of inpatients were re-hospitalised in the psychiatric 20

department.

21

The proportion of males in the cohort was 51.4% (males aged 18–96;

22

females aged 16–100) and the average age of the cohort was 46.5 years.

23

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According to the ICD-10 codes, the most common diagnoses were mood 1

(affective) disorders (n=1,649), schizophrenia, schizotypal and delusional 2

disorders (n=1,079), neurotic, stress-related and somatoform disorders 3

(n=679), personality disorders (n= 570), and disorders due to active 4

psychoactive substance use (n=511). Of the inpatients, 1,013 (22%) had a 5

history of substance misuse disorder and their mean age was 39 years 6

(female: 41 years [age: 16–89]; male: 38 years [18–88]). A history of 7

cirrhosis was evident in 5.8% of inpatients with a history of substance misuse 8

disorder compared with 2.4% of those without.

9

HCV screening was performed in 55.1% of inpatients with a history of 10

substance misuse disorder compared with 31.8% of those without (Figure 2).

11

HCV prevalence in inpatients with a history of substance misuse disorder 12

(positive for anti-HCV antibodies or HCV RNA) was 25.7% (117/155 patients 13

were viraemic). For those patients without a history of substance misuse 14

disorder, HCV prevalence was 3.49% (28/43 patients were viraemic), 15

resulting in an overall prevalence of 10.8% for all admissions.

16

Base-case 17

Generalised screening of all admitted PMI was cost-effective compared to 18

risk-based screening, with a base-case ICER of $9,188 per QALY (Table 3), 19

much lower than the WTP thresholds of $50,000 and $100,000 per QALY 20

gained.(19, 20) At the population level, generalised screening was associated 21

with a greater overall cost (incremental costs: $44,028,136) and more QALYs 22

(incremental QALY gain: 4,792), equivalent to $729 per person and 0.08 23

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QALYs per person. The NMB of generalised screening was $435,156,348 for 1

the whole target population.

2

The total cost of screening per person completing the diagnosis pathway was 3

lower for generalised screening than the current risk-based approach ($330 4

versus $455). The total cost of screening per HCV-positive person initiating 5

treatment with DAAs was $2,122 and $3,294 in the current risk-based 6

approach and the generalised screening approach, respectively.

7

The number of individuals treated increased from 4,191 to 5,108 with the 8

generalised screening program, with 1,099 additional HCV-positive patients 9

linked to care and 917 additional HCV-positive patients initiating treatment in 10

the generalised approach. The number of patients needed to screen to link 11

one HCV-positive person to HCV care was higher for the generalised approach 12

compared with the current risk-based approach (10.0 versus 4.7 people 13

tested per HCV-positive diagnosis), given the lower HCV prevalence in the 14

overall patient population as compared with those with a history of substance 15

misuse disorder.

16

Sensitivity analyses and scenario analyses 17

The deterministic sensitivity analysis identified the inputs with the greatest 18

influence on the ICER (the key drivers of cost-effectiveness) as: QALYs gained 19

from treatment/no treatment; cost of treatment/no treatment; probability of 20

initiating treatment; and HCV prevalence in the subgroup of patients not 21

currently offered screening (Figure 3A). All resulting ICERs were well below 22

the WTP threshold of $100,000/QALY.

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The results of the PSA showed that 98.2% of simulations predicted 1

generalised screening of patients admitted to psychiatric units to be cost- 2

effective (WTP threshold of $100,000/QALY; Figure 3B). The probability of 3

generalised screening being cost-effective compared to current risk-based 4

HCV screening remained stable on the cost-effectiveness acceptability curve 5

when the WTP threshold was varied (Figure 3C).

6

The most recent estimate of the prevalence of HCV from the Swiss Federal 7

Office of Public Health suggests a prevalence of 0.45%–0.54% in the Swiss 8

population.(21) Assuming a target population prevalence of 0.5% in the 9

model, the ICER increased to $19,026 per QALY, suggesting that a 10

generalised approach to screening and treating is cost-effective, regardless of 11

whether HCV prevalence in those not currently offered screening on 12

admission to a psychiatry department approaches that of the general 13

population in Switzerland (Figure 4).

14

At a WTP threshold of $100,000/QALY, the NMB remained positive with a 15

target population prevalence as low as 0.07% (population NMB: $1,002,650;

16

data not shown), indicating that scaling up screening was cost-effective 17

compared to the current approach over a broad range of HCV prevalence.

18

DISCUSSION 19

As countries progress towards viral elimination by using DAAs to treat HCV 20

infection, screening programs focused on underserved communities will 21

become increasingly important.(22) Psychiatric hospitals represent an 22

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overlooked setting, where high-risk individuals can be diagnosed and treated 1

in a controlled environment.(1, 4) 2

Results from this analysis demonstrated that generalised screening of all 3

patients admitted to psychiatric hospital units, combined with treatment using 4

oral interferon-free DAA regimens, is likely to be cost-effective compared with 5

the current risk-based screening strategy at a range of WTP thresholds. This 6

result is consistent with WHO guidelines for the management of physical 7

health conditions in people with severe mental illness, which recommend 8

screening for HCV in this population and emphasise the use of interferon-free 9

DAA regimens due to the severe psychological side-effects of interferon-based 10

treatments (depression, mental confusion, anxiety, psychosis).(1, 23) Further, 11

drug-drug interaction between opioids, illicit substances or psychotropic 12

medications and DAA regimens are limited, making DAA regimens suited to 13

treating this population.(24) 14

In Switzerland, disease elimination models suggest that 1,500 patients need 15

to be diagnosed annually, beginning in 2020, if Global Health Sector Strategy 16

targets are to be achieved.(25) With 60,378 individuals treated as inpatients 17

for mental illness in Switzerland per year and an estimated HCV prevalence of 18

10.8%, diagnosing and treating the 6,521 HCV-infected PMI using psychiatric 19

hospitals and outpatient units would play a key role in meeting this target.

20

However, with inpatient treatment being increasingly substituted by intensive 21

outpatient care, considering the generalisability of results of this study is 22

important. It will be important to evaluate whether HCV screening can be 23

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comparably cost-effective in the outpatient setting, where linkage to care and 1

treatment initiation rates may be lower.(26) In addition, different countries 2

have different clinical thresholds for hospitalisation due to mental illness, and 3

a lower proportion of patients may be hospitalised for their mental illness in 4

some countries.

5

Furthermore, the HCV prevalence estimates used in this study, acquired from 6

the HUG Psychiatry Department, may not be representative of the true HCV 7

prevalence of psychiatric inpatients in Switzerland or in other countries.

8

Nevertheless, our analysis accounted for variation in these parameters and 9

generalised screening remained cost-effective at a WTP threshold of 10

$100,000/QALY down to an HCV prevalence of 0·07%. A similar HCV 11

prevalence threshold for cost-effectiveness was recently reported for universal 12

HCV screening in pregnant women in the US,(27) suggesting that screening 13

and treatment programs can be cost-effective at low prevalence.

14

Integration of psychiatric inpatient and outpatient facilities into the wider 15

network of HCV services will also be necessary to ensure reliable progression 16

from diagnosis to cure for patients, particularly as most patients spend too 17

short a duration in hospital to receive a complete course of treatment 18

(typically 12 weeks); the most recent estimates from the HUG show the 19

proportion of patients staying for more than 100 days was approximately 20

7.2%.(15) Training of psychiatric staff to ensure effective implementation of 21

HCV services will increase costs.(4) However, this study showed that 22

generalised screening would likely remain cost-effective, despite additional 23

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implementation costs, whilst integrating mental and physical healthcare may 1

bring wider operational benefits for healthcare services and clinical benefits 2

for patients.

3

Our results are most relevant to countries with similar HCV epidemiology, 4

existing screening programs and treatment availability. A systematic review 5

and meta-analysis investigating HCV in patients with severe mental illness 6

(out- and inpatients), reported a prevalence of 4.9% (95% CI: 3.0–7.9%) in 7

Europe, 17.4% (95% CI: 13.2–22.6) in North America and 3.1% (95% CI:

8

1.0–9.3) in Oceania.(4) However, these values were based on a small number 9

of studies, where viral prevalence varied considerably (Europe: 0.7–10.7%;

10

North America: 2.7–38%; Oceania: 3.1%), as compared to 10.8% estimated 11

in hospitalised PMI in this study.(4) Although further research is needed to 12

better characterise the epidemiology of infection within different PMI 13

populations, our analyses suggest that expanded screening of inpatients at 14

psychiatric departments represents a clinically beneficial and cost-effective 15

approach for other high-income countries with similar healthcare systems.

16

Overall, this study supports the scaling-up of screening and treatment 17

programs designed to eliminate HCV.(6) Offering DAAs at the point of 18

diagnosis is an effective method of containing disease progression in groups 19

with a high prevalence of HCV infection, such as PMI, people living in 20

detention, or people who inject drugs.(4, 11, 12) Worldwide projections also 21

indicate that outreach screening and DAA provision at the point of diagnosis 22

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are more efficient at reducing HCV-related mortality than current infection 1

control and harm reduction measures for people who inject drugs.(28) 2

As health authorities look to target HCV screening initiatives at underserved 3

and high-burden populations, in order to achieve the WHO incidence 4

reduction target of 80% by 2030, this study provides further evidence 5

suggesting PMI are a high-risk group and that psychiatric facilities are a 6

crucial location in which to diagnose and treat HCV infection.(6) Although 7

further efforts are required to characterise viral epidemiology amongst PMI in 8

many countries, results from this study support a generalised HCV screening 9

approach in psychiatric hospitals.

10

ABBREVIATIONS 11

DAA Direct-acting antiviral 12

HCV Hepatitis C virus 13

ICER Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio 14

PCR Polymerase chain reaction 15

PMI People with mental illnesses 16

QALY Quality-adjusted life-year 17

RNA Ribonucleic acid 18

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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS 1

The authors acknowledge Anita Schnyder PhD and Corinna Oberle PhD 2

(Gilead) for their editorial contributions to the manuscript, Seth Francis- 3

Graham, Costello Medical (UK), for writing and editorial assistance, and 4

Daniela Schuler, Alexandre Touch (both from the Swiss Health Observatory 5

[ObSan]), and Pascal Maradan, from the Swiss Federal Office of Statistics in 6

Neuchâtel, Switzerland, for providing the national estimates on psychiatric 7

inpatient diagnoses and characteristics.

8

Manuscript preparation: Costello Medical, funded by Gilead, provided 9

assistance in preparing and editing the manuscript in accordance with Good 10

Publication Practice (GPP3) guidelines (http://www.ismpp.org/gpp3).

11

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29. Singer ME, Younossi ZM. Cost effectiveness of screening for hepatitis C 4

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TABLES 1

Table 1. Population and clinical model inputs 2

Input Value Source

Population

Eligible population size 60,378 Unpublished 2018 data from Swiss Health Observatory

Male proportion 51.4% HUG Psychiatry Department

Average age (years) 46.54 HUG Psychiatry Department HCV prevalence (population

currently tested) 25.70% HUG Psychiatry Department HCV prevalence (population

not currently tested) 3.49% HUG Psychiatry Department Proportion who present for

testing (current screening) 38.3% HUG Psychiatry Department Screening and Diagnosis

RNA PCR sensitivity 1 Assumed

RNA PCR specificity 1 Assumed

Proportion of tests in which a confirmation of diagnosis is requested

3.4% HUG audit on the quality of laboratory results

Proportion of patients who receive an antibody test as part of the test package

39.0% HUG audit on the quality of laboratory results

Proportion of patients who receive an RNA test as part of the test package

94.9% HUG audit on the quality of laboratory results

Probably of accepting invitation to

screening/testing

89% Point of care, HUG Psychiatry Department

Probably of collecting test

results 95% Point of care, HUG Psychiatry

Department Probably of initiating

treatment 84% Point of care, HUG Psychiatry

Department Disutility of HCV-positive

result 0.02

Based on estimate by Singer and Younossi. 2001(29) (from Rodger 1999)(30)

Treatment

Lifetime QALYs per infected person (no antiviral

treatment)

16.45 Scott et al. 2016(18)

Lifetime QALYs per infected person (early treatment)

21.70 Scott et al. 2016(18) HCV, hepatitis C virus; HUG, University Hospitals of Geneva; PCR, polymerase chain reaction; QALY, quality-adjusted life-year; RNA, ribonucleic acid.

3

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Table 2. Cost model inputs 1

Input Value Source

Screening

Test offer and voluntary counselling cost (regardless of uptake); 20 minute consultation

CHF 62.53

Tarmed Suisse. Tariff version:

1.09, from Jan 1st 2018. TARMED CT00.0010 + CT00.0020 + CT00.0030

Pre-test discussion cost; 5-

minute consultation CHF 17.86

Tarmed Suisse. Tariff version:

1.09, from Jan 1st 2018. TARMED CT00.0050

Cost of communicating results, HCV viraemia- negative; 5-minute consultation

CHF 17.86

Tarmed Suisse. Tariff version:

1.09, from Jan 1st 2018. TARMED CT00.0050

Cost of communicating results, HCV viraemia- positive; 20-minute consultation

CHF 62.53

Tarmed Suisse. Tariff version:

1.09, from Jan 1st 2018. TARMED CT00.0010 + CT00.0020 + CT00.0030

Cost of antibody test CHF 66.00

Tarmed Suisse. Tariff version:

1.09, from Jan 1st 2018. TARMED CA3070.00 (Hepatitis C virus, Ig or IgG, test)

Cost of RNA test

(quantitative PCR for HCV) CHF 180.00

Tarmed Suisse. Tariff version:

1.09, from Jan 1st 2018. TARMED CA3073.00 (Hepatitis C virus, RNA amplification)

Cost of FibroScan (including

consultation) CHF 183.55

Tarmed Suisse. Tariff version:

1.09, from Jan 1st 2018. TARMED CT00.0056 + CT00.0161 + CT39.3515 + CT39.3660 + CT00.2285

Confirmation of diagnosis if

HCV positive CHF 180.00

Tarmed Suisse. Tariff version:

1.09, from Jan 1st 2018. TARMED CA3073.00

Treatment, including drug acquisition, monitoring and resource use Lifetime cost per infected

person (no antiviral treatment)

CHF 15,970 Scott et al. 2016(3) Lifetime cost per infected

person (early treatment) CHF 55,336 Scott et al. 2016(3)

CHF, Swiss francs; HCV, hepatitis C virus; HUG, University Hospitals of Geneva; RNA, ribonucleic acid.

2

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Table 3. Summary of model results 1

Generalised screening approach

Current risk-based screening approach No. patients initiating

treatment 5,108 4,191

Total costs $333,593,535 $289,565,399

Total QALYs 1,213,151 1,208,359

Cost per person $5,525 $4,796

QALYs per person 3.07 2.99

Incremental cost of generalised screening approach

$44,028,136 Incremental QALYs

gained from generalised screening approach

4,792 Incremental cost of

generalised screening approach per person

$729 Incremental QALYs

gained from generalised screening approach per person

0.08

ICER $9,188 per QALY

ICER, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; QALY, quality-adjusted life-year.

2

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FIGURE LEGENDS 1

Figure 1. Decision tree structure of the model 2

Figure 2. Patient flow diagram of retrospective study eligibility and HCV 3

screening status 4

Figure 3. Model sensitivity analyses results. (A) Tornado plot of the 5

deterministic sensitivity analysis. (B) Scatter plot of the probabilistic sensitivity 6

analysis. (C) Cost-effectiveness acceptability curve 7

Figure 4. Impact of target population prevalence on the ICER 8

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FIGURES 1

Figure 1 2

3

HCV, hepatitis C virus; RNA, ribonucleic acid.

4

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Figure 2 1

2

HCV, hepatitis C virus; RNA, ribonucleic acid.

3

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Figure 3 1

2

HCV, hepatitis C virus; QALY, quality-adjusted life year; RNA, ribonucleic acid. Light grey dots: individual simulations. Dark purple dot: mean of all simulations.

3

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Figure 4 1

2

ICER, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio

3

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HIGHLIGHTS 1

• Screening all psychiatry admissions for HCV was cost-effective vs 2

standard-of-care 3

• Generalised HCV screening enabled 917 extra patients to be treated 4

per year 5

• Scaling-up HCV testing to all psychiatry admissions would support HCV 6

elimination 7

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