GRADE tables: What ARV regimen to switch to in adults, pregnant women, adolescents and children living with HIV (once-daily PI regimens)?
ATZ/r versus LPV/r
Author(s): Larry W Chang, Alicen B Spaulding, George W Rutherford Date: 2012-09-19
Question: Should ATZ/r vs LPV/r be used for HIV treatment failure?
Settings: Low and Middle-Income Countries Bibliography: BMS 045 (2005, 2006)
Quality assessment No. of patients Effect
Quality Importance
No. of
studies Design Risk of bias Inconsistency Indirectness Imprecision Other
considerations ATZ/r LPV/r Relative
(95% CI) Absolute
Mortality (96 Weeks)
1 randomized
trials
no serious risk of bias
no serious inconsistency
very serious1,2,3
very serious imprecision4
none 0/120
(0%) 2/123 (1.6%)
RR 0.2 (0.01 to 4.23)
13 fewer per 1000 (from 16 fewer to
53 more) ⊕OOO
VERY LOW
CRITICAL
Viral response (intent to treat, time to loss of viral response, <50 copies/ml, noncompleter = failure, 96 weeks)
1 randomized
trials
no serious risk of bias
no serious inconsistency
very serious1,2,3
very serious imprecision4
none 39/120
(32.5%) 44/123 (35.8%)
RR 0.91 (0.64 to 1.29)
32 fewer per 1000 (from 129 fewer to 104 more)
⊕OOO VERY LOW
CRITICAL
Severe adverse events (96 weeks)
1 randomized
trials
no serious risk of bias
no serious inconsistency
very serious1,2,3
very serious imprecision4
none 16/120
(13.3%) 13/123 (10.6%)
RR 1.26 (0.63 to 2.51)
27 more per 1000 (from 39 fewer to 160 more)
⊕OOO VERY LOW
CRITICAL
Immune response (96 weeks)
1 randomized
trials
no serious risk of bias
no serious inconsistency
very serious1,2,3
very serious imprecision4
none 120 123 - Median increase, 160 cells/mm3
versus 142 cells/mm3
⊕OOO VERY LOW
IMPORTANT
Retention on treatment (96 weeks)
1 randomized
trials
no serious risk of bias
no serious inconsistency
very serious1,2,3
very serious imprecision4
none 67/120
(55.8%) 65/123 (52.8%)
RR 1.06 (0.84 to 1.33)
32 more per 1000 (from 85 fewer to 174 more)
⊕OOO VERY LOW
IMPORTANT
1 The study was conducted primarily in high-income countries.
2 The regimens previously failing participants differed significantly from WHO first-line regimens, both in quantity and in content.
3 The NRTI backbones used in new regimen included tenofovir and another NRTI selected with guidance from phenotypic sensitivity testing, an option not available in most low- and middle-income settings.
4 Very few events.
DRV/r versus LPV/r
Author(s): Larry W. Chang, Alicen B. Spaulding, George W. Rutherford Date: 2012-12-10
Question: DRV/r versus LPV/r or boosted PI for second-line ART Settings: Low- and middle-income countries
Bibliography: POWER (2007, 2009); TITAN (2007, 2012)
Quality assessment No. of patients Effect
Quality Importance
No. of
studies Design Risk of
bias Inconsistency Indirectness Imprecision Other
considerations DRV/r LPV/r or boosted PI
Relative
(95% CI) Absolute
Mortality (48 Weeks)
2 randomized trials
no serious risk of bias
no serious inconsistency
serious1–5 very serious6 none 7/429 (1.6%)
4/421 (0.95%)
RR 1.7 (0.5 to 5.81)
7 more per 1000 (from 5 fewer to 46 more) ⊕OOO VERY LOW
CRITICAL
Virologic Response (intent to treat, time to loss of viral response, <50 copies/ml, 96 weeks)
2 randomized
trials
no serious risk of bias
no serious inconsistency
serious1–5 no serious imprecision
none 231/429
(53.8%)
175/421 (41.6%)
RR 1.31 (1.14 to 1.5)
129 more per 1000 (from 58 more to 208 more) ⊕⊕⊕O MODERATE
CRITICAL
Severe adverse events (48 weeks)
2 randomized
trials
no serious risk of bias
no serious inconsistency
serious1–5 very serious6 none 54/429 (12.6%)
48/421 (11.4%)
RR 1.1 (0.76 to 1.58)
11 more per 1000 (from 27 fewer to 66 more) ⊕OOO VERY LOW
CRITICAL
Immune response (96 weeks) (better indicated by higher values)
2 randomized
trials
no serious risk of bias
no serious inconsistency
serious1,2,3,4,5no serious imprecision
none 429 421 – First trial = median increase from baseline, 81 cells/mm3 versus 93 cells/mm3; second trial = mean absolute
increase, 133 cells/mm3 versus 15 cells/mm3
⊕⊕OO LOW
IMPORTANT
On Treatment Retention (48 Weeks)
2 randomized trials
no serious risk of bias
no serious inconsistency
serious1–5 no serious imprecision
none 339/429
(79%)
235/421 (55.8%)
RR 1.42 (1.29 to 1.57)
234 more per 1000 (from 162 more to 318 more) ⊕⊕⊕O MODERATE
CRITICAL
1 The study was conducted primarily in high-income countries.
2 The regimens previously failing participants differed significantly from WHO first-line regimens, both in quantity and in content.
3 DRV/r was twice-daily 600 mg/100 mg dosing rather than daily dosing.
4 Comparison group in POWER 1, 2 studies included a mix of boosted PIs; only 36% were on a LPV/r-based regimen.
5 NRTI backbones were used in a new regimen selected using resistance testing data and may have included antiretroviral drugs not typically available in most low- and middle-income settings.
6 Very few events.
Use of ATZ/r or DRV/r in first-line regimens
Author(s): George W. Rutherford, Tara Horvath Date: 2012-11-09
Question: ATV/r versus LPV/r for second-line antiretroviral therapy among people living with HIV (first-line therapy trials)
Settings: Argentina, Australia, Austria, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, Chile, Columbia, Costa Rica, France, Germany, Hong Kong SAR, Indonesia, Italy, Mexico, Netherlands, Norway, Panama, Peru, Portugal, Puerto Rico, Singapore, Spain, South Africa, Sweden, Thailand, United Kingdom, United States
Bibliography: Molina 2008, Molina 2010, Josephson 2010
Quality assessment No. of patients Effect
Quality Importance
No. of
studies Design Risk of bias Inconsistency Indirectness Imprecision Other
considerations ATV/r LPV/r Relative
(95% CI) Absolute
Mortality (96 weeks)
1 randomized
trials
no serious risk of bias
no serious inconsistency
serious1 very serious2 none 6/440
(1.4%) 5/443 (1.1%)
RR 1.21 (0.37 to 3.93)
2 more per 1000 (from 7 fewer to 33
more) ⊕OOO
VERY LOW
CRITICAL
Plasma VL <50 copies/ml (96 weeks)
1 randomized
trials
no serious risk of bias
no serious inconsistency
serious1 no serious imprecision
none 326/440
(74.1%) 295/443 (66.6%)
RR 1.09 (1 to 1.19)
60 more per 1000 (from 0 more to 127 more)
⊕⊕⊕O MODERATE
CRITICAL
Plasma VL <50 copies/ml (48 weeks)
2 randomized
trials
no serious risk of bias
no serious inconsistency
serious1 no serious imprecision
none 405/508
(79.7%) 400/508 (78.7%)
RR 1.01 (0.95 to 1.08)
8 more per 1000 (from 39 fewer to 63 more)
⊕⊕⊕O MODERATE
CRITICAL
Increase in CD4 cells/mm3 (96 weeks) (better indicated by higher values)
1 randomized trials
no serious risk of bias
no serious inconsistency
serious1 no serious imprecision
none 440 443 – Mean difference 21.2 lower (43.3
lower to 0.9 higher)
⊕⊕⊕O MODERATE
CRITICAL
Severe adverse events (96 weeks)
1 randomized
trials
no serious risk of bias
no serious inconsistency
serious1 serious3 none 62/441
(14.1%) 48/437 (11%)
RR 1.28 (0.9 to 1.82)
31 more per 1000 (from 11 fewer to 90 more)
⊕⊕OO LOW
CRITICAL
Retained in care (96 weeks)
1 randomized
trials
no serious risk of bias
no serious inconsistency
serious1 serious3 none 72/438
(16.4%) 95/440 (21.6%)
RR 1.07 (1 to 1.14)
15 more per 1000 (from 0 more to 30
more) ⊕⊕OO
LOW
CRITICAL
<100% adherence (self-report) (96 weeks)
1 randomized
trials
no serious risk of bias
no serious inconsistency
very serious1,4
no serious imprecision
none 361/440
(82%) 372/443
(84%)
RR 0.98 (0.92 to 1.04)
17 fewer per 1000 (from 67 fewer to 34 more)
⊕⊕OO LOW
CRITICAL
1 First-line therapy.
2 Very few events.
3 Few events.
4 Self-report.
Author(s): George W. Rutherford, Tara Horvath Date: 2012-11-09
Question: DRV/r versus LPV/r for second-line antiretroviral therapy among people living with HIV (first-line therapy trials)
Settings: Argentina, Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Chile, Costa Rica, Denmark, France, Germany, Greece, Guatemala, Italy, Malaysia, Mexico, Panama, Puerto Rico, Russian Federation, Singapore, South Africa, Spain, Switzerland, Taiwan, China, Thailand, United Kingdom, United States
Bibliography: Orkin 2012
Quality assessment No. of patients Effect
Quality Importance
No. of
studies Design Risk of bias Inconsistency Indirectness Imprecision Other
considerations DRV/r LPV/r Relative
(95% CI) Absolute
Mortality (192 weeks)
1 randomized
trials
no serious risk of bias
no serious inconsistency
serious1 very serious2 none 4/343 (1.2%)
7/346 (2%)
RR 0.58 (0.17 to 1.95)
8 fewer per 1000 (from 17 fewer to 19 more)
⊕OOO VERY LOW
CRITICAL
Plasma VL <50 copies/ml (192 weeks)
1 randomized trials
no serious risk of bias
no serious inconsistency
serious1 no serious imprecision
none 236/343
(68.8%) 198/346 (57.2%)
RR 1.2 (1.07 to 1.35)
114 more per 1000 (from 40 more to 200 more)
⊕⊕⊕O MODERATE
CRITICAL
Increase in CD4 cells/mm3 (192 weeks) (better indicated by higher values)
1 randomized
trials
no serious risk of bias
no serious inconsistency
serious1 no serious imprecision
none 343 346 – Mean difference 5 lower (19.93 lower
to 9.93 higher)
⊕⊕⊕O MODERATE
CRITICAL
≥1 grade 3 or 4 adverse events (192 weeks)
1 randomized
trials
no serious risk of bias
no serious inconsistency
serious1 serious3 none 103/343
(30%) 110/346 (31.8%)
RR 0.94 (0.76 to 1.18)
19 fewer per 1000 (from 76 fewer to
57 more) ⊕⊕OO
LOW
CRITICAL
>95% adherence (Modified Medication Adherence Self-Report Inventory) (192 weeks)
1 randomized
trials
no serious risk of bias
no serious inconsistency
serious1 no serious imprecision
none 286/343
(83.4%) 271/346 (78.3%)
RR 1.06 (0.99 to 1.15)
47 more per 1000 (from 8 fewer to 117 more)
⊕⊕⊕O MODERATE
CRITICAL
1 First-line therapy.
2 Very few events.
3 Few events.