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Stochastic Simulation and Monte Carlo Methods:

Exercise Class 1.

Olivier Wintenberger: olivier.wintenberger@upmc.fr

Exercise 1. Prove that if E[Y2]<∞ then

Var (Y) = Var (E[Y |X]) +E[Var (Y |X)]

where Var (Y |X) =E[Y2 |X]−E[Y |X]2.

Exercise 2. Assume that (X, Y)∼ N2(µ,Σ) with µ= (µ1, µ2)T and Σ =

σ12 ρσ1σ2

ρσ1σ2 σ22

. What is the distribution ofY given X?

Exercise 3. Let 0 < p < 1 and U, U1, . . . , Un ∼ U(0,1) iid. Determine the distribution of X= I1{U≤p} and Y =Pn

i=11I{Ui≤p}. Exercise 4.

• LetX∼ Exp(λ), calculate P(k−1< X ≤k).

• Show thatX =−log(U)/λin distribution, where U ∼ U(0,1).

• We recall thatY ∼ Geo(p) iffP(Y =k) =p(1−p)k−1. Show thatY =dlog(U)/log(1− p)e in distribution.

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