• Aucun résultat trouvé

Large Deviations Theorems in Nonparametric Regression on Functional Data

N/A
N/A
Protected

Academic year: 2021

Partager "Large Deviations Theorems in Nonparametric Regression on Functional Data"

Copied!
8
0
0

Texte intégral

(1)

HAL Id: hal-00362337

https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00362337v2

Preprint submitted on 9 Jun 2011

HAL is a multi-disciplinary open access archive for the deposit and dissemination of sci-entific research documents, whether they are pub-lished or not. The documents may come from teaching and research institutions in France or abroad, or from public or private research centers.

L’archive ouverte pluridisciplinaire HAL, est destinée au dépôt et à la diffusion de documents scientifiques de niveau recherche, publiés ou non, émanant des établissements d’enseignement et de recherche français ou étrangers, des laboratoires publics ou privés.

Large Deviations Theorems in Nonparametric

Regression on Functional Data

Mohamed Cherfi

To cite this version:

Mohamed Cherfi. Large Deviations Theorems in Nonparametric Regression on Functional Data. 2009. �hal-00362337v2�

(2)

Large Deviations Theorems in Nonparametric

Regression on Functional Data

Mohamed Cherfi

Laboratoire de Statistique Théorique et Appliquée (LSTA) Equipe d’Accueil 3124

Université Pierre et Marie Curie – Paris 6 Tour 15-25, 2ème étage

4 place Jussieu 75252 Paris cedex 05

Abstract.

In this Note we prove large deviations principles for the Nadaraya-Watson estimator of the regression of a real-valued variable with a functional covariate. Under suitable conditions, we show pointwise and uniform large deviations theorems with good rate functions.

AMS Subject Classifications: primary 60F10; 62G08

Keywords: Large deviation; nonparametric regression ; functional data.

1

Introduction

Let {(Yi, Xi), i ≥ 1} be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random vectors.

The random variables Yi are real, with E|Y | < ∞, and the Xi are random vectors with values in a

semi-metric space(X , d(·, ·)).

Consider now the functional regression model,

Yi:= E(Y |Xi) + εi= r(Xi) + εi i= 1, . . . , n, (1)

wherer is the regression operator mappingX onto R, and the εiare real variables such that, for alli,

E(εi|Xi) = 0 and E(ε2i|Xi) = σε2(Xi) < ∞. Note that in practice X is a normed space which can

be of infinite dimension (e.g., Hilbert or Banach space) with normk · k so that d(x, x′) = kx − xk,

which is the case in this paper.

Ferraty and Vieu (2004) provided a consistent estimate for the nonlinear regression operatorr, based on the usual finite-dimensional smoothing ideas, that is

brn(x) := Pn i=1YiK  kx−Xik hn  Pn i=1K  kXi−xk hn  , (2)

where K(·) is a real-valued kernel and hn the bandwidth, is a sequence of positive real numbers

(3)

notational convenience. In what followsKh(u) stands for K

 u h



. The estimator defined in (2) is a generalization to the functional framework of the classical Nadaraya-Watson regression estimator. The asymptotic properties of this estimate have been studied extensively by several authors, we cite among others Ferraty et al. (2007), for a complete survey see the monograph by Ferraty and Vieu (2006).

There exists a wide large deviations literature, for an extensive overview on the area we refer to the monograph of Dembo and Zeitouni (1998). The large deviations behavior of the Nadaraya-Watson estimate of the regression function, have been studied at first by Louani (1999), sharp results have been obtained by Joutard (2006) in the univariate framework. In the multidimensional case Mokka-dem et al. (2008) obtained pointwise large and moderate deviations results for the Nadaraya-Watson and recursive kernel estimators of the regression.

Large deviations results have many implications in statistical analysis, we refer to Bahadur (1971) for a good survey on the subject. The main concern in the nonparametric setup is with asymptotic efficiency and the inaccuracy rate. These questions have been investigated in Louani (1998) for the density case. As an application of large deviations results, Louani (1999) gives the inaccuracy rate in conditional distribution function estimation. Another application can be found in Berrahou and Louani (2006), where the authors provide Bahadur efficiency of symmetry tests. We refer to the monograph of Nikitin (1995) for an account of results on the asymptotic efficiency.

All the results of large deviations in nonparametric regression only dealt with the case of scalar co-variates. In this Note, our aim is to obtain such results in the functional case. Inaccuracy rate in nonparametric regression estimation on functional data will be considered in a futur work. We are also interested to obtain a minimax Bahadur-type risk of estimating a nonparametric regression func-tion, in the spirit of Korostelev (1996).

In this Note , we are interested in the problem of establishing large deviations principles of the re-gression operator estimatebrn(·). The results stated in the Note deal with pointwise and uniform large

deviations probabilities ofbrn(·) from r(·).

2

Results

LetFx(h) = P [kXi− xk ≤ h], be the cumulative distribution of the real variable Wi = kXi− xk.

As in Ferraty et al. (2007), letϕ(·) be the real valued function defined by

ϕ(u) = Er(X) − r(x) kX − xk = u . (3) Before stating our results, we will consider the following conditions.

(C.1) The kernelK is of classC1with continuous derivative on the compact support[0, 1].

(C.2) The operatorr verifies the following Lipschitz property:

There existsβ such that∀(u, v) ∈ X2,∃C, |r(u) − r(v)| ≤ Cku − vkβ (4) (C.3) There exists three functionsℓ(·), φ(·) (supposed increasing and strictly positive and tending to

(4)

(i) Fx(h) = ℓ(x)φ(h) + o(φ(h)),

(ii) for allu∈ [0, 1], lim

h→0

φ(uh)

φ(h) =: limh→0ζh(u) = ζ0(u).

C.4 ϕ′(0) exists.

Remark 1 There exists many examples fulfilling the decomposition mentioned in condition (C.3), see for instance Proposition 1 in Ferraty et al. (2007). The conditions stated above are classical in nonparametric estimation for functional data, we refer to Ferraty et al. (2007) and the references therein. However this condition is somewhat restrictive but is necessary to prove our results, we refer among others to Ferraty et al. (2010) for less restrictive conditions.

Let now introduce the following functions, I(t) = tλ

Z 1 0

K′(u) exp{−tλK(u)}ζ0(u) du; (5)

Γ+x(λ) = inf

t>0{ℓ(x)I(t)}; Γ −

x(λ) = inf

t>0{ℓ(x)I(−t)} and Γx(λ) = max{Γ +

x(λ); Γ−x(λ)}.

Letx be a an element of the functional space X and λ > 0. Our first theorem deals with pointwise large deviations probabilities.

Theorem 2.1 Assume that the conditions (C.1)–(C.4) are satisfied. If nφ(h) −→ ∞, then for any λ >0 and any x ∈ X , we have

(a) lim n→∞ 1 nφ(h)log P brn(x) − r(x) > λ  = Γ+x(λ), (6) (b) lim n→∞ 1 nφ(h)log P brn(x) − r(x) < −λ  = Γ−x(λ), (7) (c) lim n→∞ 1 nφ(h)log P |brn(x) − r(x)| > λ  = Γx(λ). (8)

To establish uniform large deviations principles for the regression estimator we need the following additional assumptions. LetC be some compact subset of X and B(zk, ξ) a ball centered at zk ∈ X

with radiusξ, such that for any ξ >0, C ⊂ τ [ k=1 B(zk, ξ), (9a) ∃α > 0, ∃C > 0, τ ξα= C. (9b)

Before stating the Theorem about the uniform version of our result, we introduce the following func-tion

g(λ) = sup

x∈C

Γx(λ). (10)

Theorem 2.2 Assume that the conditions (C.1)–(C.4) are satisfied. If nφ(h) −→ ∞, then for any

compact setC ⊂ X satisfying conditions (9) and for any λ > 0, lim n→∞ 1 nφ(h)log P supx∈C|b rn(x) − r(x)| > λ  = g(λ) (11)

(5)

Remark 2 (i) The above conditions on the covering of the compact set C by a finite number of

balls, the geometric link between the number of balls τ and the radius ξ are necessary to

prove uniform convergence in the context of functional non-parametric regression and many functional non-parametric settings, see the discussion in Ferraty and Vieu (2008).

(ii) More recently, Ferraty et al. (2010) proved a very nice result about the uniform almost complete convergence ofbrn(·) by use of the Kolmogorov’s ǫ-entropy of C. It will be of interest to prove Theorem 2.2, under their conditions.

3

Proofs

3.1

Proof of Theorem 2.1

We only prove the statement (6), (7) is derived in the same way. (a) Write Zn= n X i=1  Yi− r(x) − λ Kh(kXi− xk)

Define Φ(n)x (t) := E exp(tZn) to be the moment generating function of Zn. To prove the large

deviations principles, we seek the limit of 1

nφ(h)log Φ (n) x (t) as n −→ ∞. Observe that Φ(n)x (t) =  1 + E  exp{t[r(X1) − r(x) − λ]Kh(kX1− xk)} − 1 n . Using the definition of the functionϕ in (3), we can write

Φ(n)x (t) =  1 + E  exp{t[ϕ(kX1 − xk) − λ]Kh(kX1− xk)} − 1 n , =  1 + Z h 0  exp{t[ϕ(u) − λ]Kh(u)} − 1  dFx(u) n . =  1 + Z 1 0  exp{t[ϕ(hu) − λ]K(u)} − 1  dFx(hu) n .

By (C.4), using a first order Taylor expansion ofϕ about zero, we obtain Φ(n)x (t) =  1 + Z 1 0  exp{t[huϕ′(0) − λ + o(1)]K(u)} − 1  dFx(hu) n ,

Integrating by parts and by (C.1), we have Φ(n)x (t) =  1 − Z 1 0 t[hϕ′(0)K(u) + K′(u)(uhϕ′(0) − λ)] exp{t[huϕ′(0) − λ]K(u)}Fx(hu) du

n

(6)

Therefore, log Φ(n)x (t) = n log  1 − Z 1 0 t[hϕ′(0)K(u) + K′(u)(uhϕ′(0) − λ)] exp{t[huϕ′(0) − λ]K(u)}Fx(hu) du

 .

Using Taylor expansion oflog(1 + v) about v = 0, we obtain log Φ(n)x (t) = n  − Z 1 0 t[hϕ′(0)K(u) + K′(u)(uhϕ′(0) − λ)] exp{t[huϕ′(0) − λ]K(u)}Fx(hu) du + O(h)

 .

Hence, from Assumption (C.4) (ii) it follows that lim n→∞ 1 nφ(h)log Φ (n) x (t) = ℓ(x)  tλ Z 1 0

K′(u) exp{−tλK(u)}ζ0(u) du



=: ℓ(x)I(t).

Using Theorem of Plachky and Steinebach (1975), the proof of the theorem can be completed as in Louani (1998).

(c) Observe that for anyx∈ X ,

max{P (brn(x) − r(x) > λ); P (brn(x) − r(x) < −λ)} ≤ P (|brn(x) − r(x)| > λ) and P(|brn(x) − r(x)| > λ) ≤ 2 max{P (brn(x) − r(x) > λ); P (brn(x) − r(x) < −λ)}. Hence, Γx(λ) ≤ lim n→∞ 1 nφ(h)log P (|brn(x) − r(x)| > λ) ≤ max{Γ + x(λ); Γ−x(λ)} = Γx(λ),

Thus the proof is complete.

3.2

Proof of Theorem 2.2

First for anyx0 ∈ C, by Theorem 2.1 we have

lim inf n→∞ 1 nφ(h)log P supx∈C|brn(x) − r(x)| > λ  ≥ lim inf n→∞ 1 nφ(h)log P |brn(x0) − r(x0)| > λ  ≥ Γx0(λ). Hence lim inf n→∞ 1 nφ(h)log P supx∈C|b rn(x) − r(x)| > λ≥ g(λ). (12)

To prove the reverse inequality, we note that by conditions (9) it follows sup|brn(x) − r(x)| ≤ max

(7)

Hence, sup x∈B(zk,ξ) |brn(x) − r(x)| ≤ sup x∈B(zk,ξ) |brn(x) − brn(zk)| + sup x∈B(zk,ξ) |r(zk) − r(x)| + |brn(zk) − r(zk)|. (14) Using the fact thatK is Lipschitz by condition (C.1), there exists C >0 so that

sup x∈B(zk,ξ) |brn(x) − brn(zk)| ≤ Cξ nφ(h)h n X i=1 |Yi|.

Forn sufficiently large, we choose ξ according to the preassigned ǫ >0, so that sup

x∈B(zk,ξ)

|brn(x) − brn(zk)| ≤ ǫ. (15)

Moreover,r is Lipschitz, hence for a suitable choice of ξ sup x∈B(zk,ξ) |r(zk) − r(x)| ≤ ǫ. (16) Finally, (13)-(16) yield sup x∈C|b rn(x) − r(x)| ≤ max 1≤k≤τ  |brn(zk) − r(zk)| + 2ǫ , (17) which implies P sup x∈C|b rn(x) − r(x)| > λ≤ τ X k=1 P |brn(zk) − r(zk)| > λ − 2ǫ  . Thus, P sup x∈C|b rn(x) − r(x)| > λ  ≤ τ max 1≤k≤τP |brn(zk) − r(zk)| > λ − 2ǫ  . It follows, by Theorem 2.1, that

lim sup n→∞ 1 nφ(h)log P supx∈C|b rn(x) − r(x)| > λ≤ inf t>0supx∈Cℓ(x)Iǫ(t), where Iǫ(t) = t(λ − 2ǫ) Z 1 0

K′(u) exp{−t(λ − 2ǫ)K(u)}ζ0(u) du.

By continuity arguments, and the fact that inf

t>0supx∈Cℓ(x)I(t) = supx∈Cinft>0ℓ(x)I(t),

we obtain lim sup n→∞ 1 nφ(h)log P supx∈C|b rn(x) − r(x)| > λ  ≤ g(λ). (18)

(8)

References

Bahadur, R. R. (1971). Some limit theorems in statistics. Society for Industrial and Applied Math-ematics, Philadelphia, Pa. Conference Board of the Mathematical Sciences Regional Conference Series in Applied Mathematics, No. 4.

Berrahou, N. and Louani, D. (2006). Efficiency of some tests when testing symmetry hypothesis. J.

Nonparametr. Stat., 18(7-8), 465–482 (2007).

Dembo, A. and Zeitouni, O. (1998). Large deviations techniques and applications, volume 38 of

Applications of Mathematics (New York). Springer-Verlag, New York, second edition.

Ferraty, F. and Vieu, P. (2004). Nonparametric models for functional data, with application in regres-sion, time-series prediction and curve discrimination. J. Nonparametr. Stat., 16(1-2), 111–125. The International Conference on Recent Trends and Directions in Nonparametric Statistics. Ferraty, F. and Vieu, P. (2006). Nonparametric functional data analysis. Springer Series in Statistics.

Springer, New York. Theory and practice.

Ferraty, F. and Vieu, P. (2008). Erratum of: “Nonparametric models for functional data, with ap-plication in regression, time-series prediction and curve discrimination” [J. Nonparametr. Stat. 16 (2004), no. 1-2, 111–125]. J. Nonparametr. Stat., 20(2), 187–189.

Ferraty, F., Mas, A., and Vieu, P. (2007). Nonparametric regression on functional data: inference and practical aspects. Aust. N. Z. J. Stat., 49(3), 267–286.

Ferraty, F., Laksaci, A., Tadj, A., and Vieu, P. (2010). Rate of uniform consistency for nonparametric estimates with functional variables. J. Statist. Plann. Inference, 140(2), 335–352.

Joutard, C. (2006). Sharp large deviations in nonparametric estimation. J. Nonparametr. Stat., 18(3), 293–306.

Korostelev, A. (1996). A minimaxity criterion in nonparametric regression based on large-deviations probabilities. Ann. Statist., 24(3), 1075–1083.

Louani, D. (1998). Large deviations limit theorems for the kernel density estimator. Scand. J. Statist.,

25(1), 243–253.

Louani, D. (1999). Some large deviations limit theorems in conditional nonparametric statistics.

Statistics, 33(2), 171–196.

Mokkadem, A., Pelletier, M., and Thiam, B. (2008). Large and moderate deviations principles for kernel estimators of the multivariate regression. Math. Methods Statist., 17(2), 146–172.

Nikitin, Y. (1995). Asymptotic efficiency of nonparametric tests. Cambridge University Press, Cam-bridge.

Plachky, D. and Steinebach, J. (1975). A theorem about probabilities of large deviations with an application to queuing theory. Period. Math. Hungar., 6(4), 343–345.

Références

Documents relatifs