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Size, book-to-market, and momentum during the business cycle

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Academic year: 2021

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Table 1 Business cycle details (source: NBER) 1926–2007
Table 2 Average monthly returns around economic peaks BL (%) BM(%) BH (%) SL (%) SM (%) SH (%) MKT(%) SMB(%) HML(%) MOM(%) t - 12 2.8 2.5* 2.8 3.0* 2.6 2.5 2.4* -0.1 -0.3 0.9 t - 11 0.8 1.4 1.9 1.0 1.5 2.0 0.8 0.1 1.0 0.7 t - 10 -0.1 0.0 0.8 1.1 0.5 0.5 -0
Table 3 Average monthly returns around economic troughs BL (%) BM(%) BH (%) SL (%) SM (%) SH (%) MKT(%) SMB(%) HML(%) MOM(%) t - 12 -0.4 -0.6 -1.2 -1.9 -0.3 -1.1 -1.0 -0.4 -0.1 1.5 t - 11 -1.1 -1.4 -2.5 -1.9 -1.2 -2.1 -1.8 -0.1 -0.8 2.1** t - 10 -1.3 -2.1
Table 4 Annualised means around economic peaks BL (%) BM(%) BH (%) SL (%) SM (%) SH (%) MKT(%) SMB(%) HML(%) MOM(%) t - 12 33.9 30.0* 34.0 35.8* 30.6 30.5 28.6* -0.8 -3.3 10.2 t - 11 10.1 16.5 23.2 12.0 18.3 23.8 9.0 1.3 12.5 7.8 t - 10 -1.6 0.0 9.1 13.1 5

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