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Market Shares, R&D Agreements, and the EU Block Exemption

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(1)

R. Ruble & B. Versaevel

emlyon business school & GATE (UMR #5824 CNRS)

(2)

GlaxoSmithKline plc (GSK) and Pzer Inc (PFE) today announced they have entered into an agreement to create a new world-leading HIV

company focused solely on research, development and commercialization of HIV medicines. The new HIV business will (...) hold a 19% share of the growing market and have an industry-leading pipeline.

(Press Release, Thursday 16 April 2009, London UK & Philadelphia, US,

added emphasis)

(3)

We examine the theoretical economic basis for a market share criterion in

the EU legislation on horizontal technological agreements whereby rms in

the same industry coordinate their research and development (R&D)

operations and restrict de facto inter-rm competition in the discovery of

new products or processes.

(4)

Results Preview

In a model of R&D cooperation by a subset of rms in a oligopolistic industry:

- With R&D output spillovers, ruling out the agreements with a high combined market share can hinder desirable cases;

- With R&D input spillovers, cooperation is more likely to benet

consumers at higher rather than at lower combined market shares;

- We argue that existing theory does not support limiting safe

harbour to low market shares.

(5)

Results Preview

In a model of R&D cooperation by a subset of rms in a oligopolistic industry:

- With R&D output spillovers, ruling out the agreements with a high combined market share can hinder desirable cases;

- With R&D input spillovers, cooperation is more likely to benet

consumers at higher rather than at lower combined market shares;

(6)

Results Preview

In a model of R&D cooperation by a subset of rms in a oligopolistic industry:

- With R&D output spillovers, ruling out the agreements with a high combined market share can hinder desirable cases;

- With R&D input spillovers, cooperation is more likely to benet consumers at higher rather than at lower combined market shares;

- We argue that existing theory does not support limiting safe

harbour to low market shares.

(7)

The EU legislation

Article 101(1) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union (TFEU, 2007):

The following shall be prohibited as incompatible with the internal market:

the internal market (...).

(8)

The EU legislation

Article 101(1) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union (TFEU, 2007):

The following shall be prohibited as incompatible with the internal market:

all agreements between undertakings, decisions by associations of

undertakings and concerted practices which (...) have as their object

or eect the prevention, restriction or distortion of competition within

the internal market (...).

(9)

Regulation (EC) No 1217/2010 (substitute to No 2659/2000):

Article 101(1) of the Treaty shall not apply to research and development only if , at the time the research and development agreement is entered into (...) the combined market share of the parties to a research and development agreement does not exceed 25%

on the relevant product and technology markets.

(article 4.2(a), added emphasis)

(10)

The EU legislation

Beyond the 25% market share it must be demonstrated that the R&D agreement:

(i) contributes to improving the production or distribution of goods or to promoting technical or economic progress

(ii) while allowing consumers a fair share of the resulting benet

for Article 101(1) (i.e., prohibition) to be declared inapplicable.

→ parties to the agreement bear the burden of proof (self assessment).

(11)

Beyond the 25% market share it must be demonstrated that the R&D agreement:

(i) contributes to improving the production or distribution of goods or to promoting technical or economic progress

(ii) while allowing consumers a fair share of the resulting benet for Article 101(1) (i.e., prohibition) to be declared inapplicable.

→ parties to the agreement bear the burden of proof (self assessment).

(12)

The EU legislation

Guidelines on the applicability of Article 101 of the Treaty on the

Functioning of the European Union to horizontal co-operation agreements:

If the parties have a low combined market share, the horizontal cooperation agreement is unlikely to give rise to restrictive eects on competition within the meaning of Article 101(1) (paragraph 44).

(...) the higher the market power of the parties the less likely they are

to pass on the eciency gains to consumers (...) (paragraph 143).

(13)

Guidelines on the applicability of Article 101 of the Treaty on the

Functioning of the European Union to horizontal co-operation agreements:

If the parties have a low combined market share, the horizontal cooperation agreement is unlikely to give rise to restrictive eects on competition within the meaning of Article 101(1) (paragraph 44).

(...) the higher the market power of the parties the less likely they are

to pass on the eciency gains to consumers (...) (paragraph 143).

(14)

Related literature (1/2)

[T]he introduction of new methods of production and new commodities is hardly conceivable with perfect competition from the start. And this means that the bulk of what we call economic progress is incompatible with it.

(Schumpeter, 1942, p. 105).

[U]nless a rm has a substantial share of the market it has no strong incentive to undertake a large expenditure on development. (Galbraith, 1952, p. 92).

[T]he incentive to invent is less under monopolistic than under competitive

conditions (...). (Arrow, 1962, p. 619).

(15)

More specialized approaches:

- Non-monotone relation between intensity of market competition and R&D investments (Gilbert NBER 2006; Vives JIE 2008)

- Cooperation in R&D can facilitate collusion in product market stage (Martin EJPE 1995; Cabral IJIO 2000)

- R&D cooperation vs. R&D competition (d'Aspremeont and Jacquemin AER 1988; Kamien, Muller, Zang AER 1992; Amir IJIO 2000; Amir et al.

GEB 2003)

(16)

The model

All n ex-ante identical rms in N = { 1 , . . . , n } , n ≥ 2, have the same positive marginal cost of production c and face the same inverse demand

P = sup { 0, aQ } ,

where Q =

i

N

q

i

is the total quantity supplied (with α = a − c > 0).

- subset M = { 1 , . . . , m } : the cooperating innovators (superscript I ),

- subset N \ M : the outsiders (superscript O ), with m ≤ n .

(17)

- stage 1 (R&D): rms in M choose cooperatively x

j

≥ 0, j ∈ M , - stage 2 (market): rms in N choose non-cooperatively q

j

0, jN.

Technological spillovers:

- each rm in M receives fraction β ∈ [ 0 , 1 ] ,

- each rm in N \ M receives fraction µ ∈ [ 0 , β ] (imitation),

of the R&D decisions of the rms in .

(18)

The model

Eective R&D:

X

jI

M

= x

j

+ β

i

M

\{

j

}

x

i

and X

kO

N

\

M

= µ

j

M

x

j

with x = ( x

1

, . . . , x

m

) . Net prot functions:

π

jI

( q , x ) = h α + f X

jI

Q i q

j

g ( x

j

) and π

kO

( q , x ) = h α + f

X

kO

Q i q

k

with q , and 0 0, 00 0, 0 0, 00 0, 0 0 .

(19)

In stage 2 (market):

Each rm i in N chooses q

i

to maximize π

i

( q

i

, q

i

, x ) , given q

i

and x, for Cournot-Nash quantities

q

j

( x ) = α + f X

jI

Q ( x ) and q

k

( x ) = α + f X

kO

Q ( x ) , all j ∈ M and kN \ M , with

Q ( x ) = +

M

f

X

jI

+

N

\

M

f X

kO

n + 1

for each rm's concentrated prot ( x ) = ( q ( x ) , x ) , all i in N.

(20)

The model

In stage 1 (R&D):

- R&D competition: rms in M non-cooperatively choose their own x

j

to maximize π

j

( x ) , for a symmetric Nash equilibrium x

n

= ( x

n

, . . . , x

n

) ;

- R&D cooperation: rms in M cooperatively choose x to maximize Π ( x ) =

j

M

π

j

( x ) , for a symmetric optimum

x

c

= ( x

c

, . . . , x

c

) .

(21)

The stated motivation of the European regulation for encouraging the agreements that result in more R&D is to enhance consumer satisfaction, that we formalise as

CS ( x ) = 1

2 [ Q ( x )]

2

, which is increasing in rms' R&D.

→ condition for x

c

> x

n

?

(22)

A simple condition

The total derivative of joint prot is:

d Π ( x ) = ∑

i

M

"

∂π

i

∂x

i

dx

i

+ ∑

j

M

\{

i

}

∂π

i

∂x

j

dx

j

# ,

and evaluated at x

n

:

dΠ ( x ) |

x

=

xn

= ∑

i

M

∂π

i

∂x

i

x

=

xn

dx

i

| {z }

=

0

+ ∑

j

M

\{

i

}

∂π

i

∂x

j

x

=

xn

dx

j

.

(23)

By symmetry:

d Π ( x ) dx

j

x

=

xn

= m ( m − 1 ) ∂π

i

∂x

j

x

=

xn

| {z }

χ

,

and the concavity of Π implies that x

c

> (<) x

n

if and only if χ > (<) 0.

Proposition 1

With cooperating innovators and outsiders, R&D agreements raise

consumer surplus if and only if the incentive to increase R&D is positive

( χ > 0).

(24)

Cooperation with R&D output spillovers (AJ)

d'Aspremont and Jacquemin (AER, 1988): x

j

is a direct reduction in each rm j 's marginal cost or own-demand price intercept.

The R&D production function f simplies to f

X

jI

= x

j

+ β

i

M

\{

j

}

x

i

, and f X

kO

= µ

j

M

x

j

, all j ∈ M , kN \ M , and the R&D cost function is

g ( x

j

) = K + γ 2 x

j2

,

all x > 0 (with g ( 0 ) = 0), where and K are positive.

(25)

2 s m + s

2β − 1 + m 1

s − 1

( βµ )

= 0

Proposition 2

With cooperating innovators and outsiders, if spillovers are in R&D outputs, then:

(i) if spillovers are large enough (β > 1/2), R&D agreements are desirable at all market shares ( χ

AJ

( s, β ) > 0), and

(ii) for a given number of cooperating rms, R&D is more likely to be

(26)

Cooperation with R&D output spillovers (AJ)

m = 2 m = 4

m = 8

CSc> CSn

CSc< CSn

0 1

1

combined market share (s= m/n)

technologicalspillovers()

Figure 1: Frontiers χ

AJ

= 0 in the plane ( s , β ) . Above the frontiers, cooperation

(27)

Kamien, Muller, and Zang (AER, 1992) & Amir (IJIO, 2000): x

j

is rm j 's R&D expenditure measured in currency units.

The R&D production function f is f

X

jI

= v u u t 2

γ x

j

+ β

i

M

\{

j

}

x

i

!

, and f X

kO

= s 2

γ µ

j

M

x

j

, all j ∈ M , k ∈ N \ M , and the R&D cost function simplies to

g ( x

j

) = x

j

,

all ∈ .

(28)

Cooperation with R&D input spillovers (KMZ & A)

The frontier χ

A

( s , β ) = 0 is dened by the condition s

m + s 1 q 2γX

jI

"

2β − 1 + m 1

s − 1

β

r (( m − 1 ) β + 1 ) µ m

!#

= 0

Proposition 3

With cooperating innovators and outsiders, if spillovers are in R&D

inputs, then: ( i ) if spillovers are large enough ( β ≈ 1), R&D agreements

are desirable at all market shares (χ

A

( s , 1 ) > 0), and ( ii ) for a given

number of cooperating rms, when the outsider eect is relatively strong

(i.e., spillovers to outsiders are high, µµ

0

) R&D is less likely to be

(29)

m = 2 m = 4

m = 8

CSc> CSn

CSc< CSn

0 combined market share (s= m/n) 1

technologicalspillovers()

Figure 2: Frontiers χ

A

= 0 in the plane ( s, β ) . Above the frontiers, cooperation

(30)

Extension

In Stage 1 rms in M (insiders) cooperate in R&D while rms in N \ M (outsiders) compete in R&D, and in Stage 2 all rms behave as Cournot competitors in the product market, so eective R&D becomes:

X

jI

= x

j

+ β

M

\{

j

}

x

i

+ µ

N

\

M

x

k

and X

kO

= x

k

+ µ

N

\{

k

}

x

i

,

with β ∈ [ 0 , 1 ] and µ ∈ [ 0 , β ] .

(31)

De Bondt and Wu (1997) solve the model numerically with R&D output spillovers, and we proceed the same way with R&D input spillovers:

f ( X

j

) = v u u t 2

γ x

j

+ β

M

\{

j

}

x

i

+ µ

N

\

M

x

k

!

and f ( X

k

) = v u u t 2

γ x

k

+ µ

N

\{

k

}

x

i

!

,

for all j ∈ M , and kN \ M .

(32)

Extension

numberof participating firms spillo

vers

Figure 2: Consumer surplus with cooperation, with R&D input spillovers, forµ=β∈[0,1]

andm= 2, . . . , n(withn= 10,α= 10,γ= 20).

Figure 3: Consumer surplus with cooperation, with R&D input spillovers, for

0, 1 and 2,..., (with 10, 10, 20).

(33)

Policy implications

According to our results:

(i) the innovators' combined market share is not a reliable predictor of the social desirability of agreements

(likelihood that cooperation benets consumers can increase with

combined market share);

(34)

Policy implications

According to our results:

(i) the innovators' combined market share is not a reliable predictor of the social desirability of agreements

(likelihood that cooperation benets consumers can increase with combined market share);

(ii) simplication (withdraw market share criterion) and specialization

(leave aside prosecution of collusion to other antitrust rules).

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