نوعية المؤسسات وجاذبية الاستثمار الأجنبي المباشر إلى الجزائر
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(2) 04 04 05 05 05 06 06 07 10. 13. 14 14. .1. 15. .2. 18 19. I.
(3) 19. .1. 23. .2. 26. .3. 28. .4. 30 30. .1. 30. .2. 32 32. North. .3 .4. 33 34. .1. 34. .2. 41 41. .1. 43. .2. 46. 3. 47. 4. 49. II. 49. .1. 49. .2. 50. .3.
(4) 52 52. .1. 54. .2. 56 57. 1. 58. 2. 60. 3. 62. .4. 64. .5. 67 67. 1. 77. 2. 80. 3. 85. .4. 87. 90. 91 91. .1. 92. .2. 94 94. III. .1.
(5) .2. 95. .3. 96. 97. .1. 98. .2. 99. .3. 101 103. 1. 104. 2. 105. 3. 106. 4. 107 108. 1. 108. 2نظرية عدم كمال السوق. 110. 3. 112. .4. 112. .5. 115. .6. 118 120. .1. 120. .2. 123. .3. 126. IV.
(6) .4. 129 130 132. .1. 132. .2. 133. .3. 135 135. 1913 1800. .1. 135. 1945 1914. .2. 136. .3. 136. .4. 139 141. .1. 142. .2. 143. .3. 143. .4. 144. .5. 144. .6. 144. .7. 145. .8. 145. V. 146. .1. 146. .2.
(7) 146. .3. 147. 150. 151 151. 1. 155. 2. 161. 3. 166 166. 1. 168. 2. 170 171. .1. 171. .2. 173. .3. 173. .4. 175. .5. 177. .6. 180. VI. 180. .1. 184. .2.
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(144) 2001 764. 832 2003. 2002 2004 710 3 2. 2005. 2001. 3 2. 2004. Excel. 2001. 2001. 2000. 11. . . 138.
(145) 2005. 2001. 4 2 2005. 2001 التدفقات الواردة. المنطقة. 2001. 2002. 2003. 2004. الدول المتقدمة. 599.3. 441.2. 358.5. 396.1. الدول النامية. 221.4. 163.6. 175.1. 275.0. أوروبا الوسطى والشرقية. 11.5. 12.9. 24.2. 39.6. المجموع العالمً. 832.2. 557.9 617.7 التدفقات الصادرة. 710.8. 2001. 2002. 2003. 2004. الدول المتقدمة. 684.8. 485.1. 514.8. 686.3. الدول النامية. 76.7. 49.7. 35.6. 112.8. أوروبا الوسطى والشرقية. 2.7. 4.7. 10.7. 14.0. المجموع العالمً. 764.2. 539.5. 561.1. 813.1. World Investment Report 2006, UNCTAD. 2012 %17 2011. 215. 1.524. 2010 2000. 2007. 2008. 1.976 2009. %23. 2011 1.791 2010. 2011. 2007. 139.
(146) 4 2 2011 2005 2500 2000 1500 التدفقات العالمية الواردة. 1000. التدفقات العالمية الصادرة. 500 0 2011. 2010. Excel. 2009. 2008. 2007. 2006. 2005. 4 2. 2005. 2011. 5 2 2011 2005 2005. 2006. 2007. 2008. 2009. 2010. 2011. 0.983. 1.463. 1.976. 1.791. 1.198. 1.309. 1.524. 0.882. 1.415. 2.198. 1.969. 1.175. 1.451. 1.694. World Investment Report 2012 2011 , UNCTAD. 140.
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(159) 2001. 6 1. 12 93. 01 2001 08 20. 03. 12 93. ANDI APSI CNI. 2001 08 22. 154. 47. 1.
(160) 2 2001. 1 2. 2 2 2001 08 20. 03 01 2010. 2009. %51 %49 3 2. 4 2. 2006 07 15 01 10 49. 2010 2009 07 26. 2001 08 20. 155. 03 01 2001 08 22. 06 08 2009 07 22 44 14،15،16،17 47. 1. 01 09 2009 2010 08 26 2010 08 29 2.
(161) 45. 1996. 1989 132. 1 3. 412001. 23/07/2001. 24/09/2000. 582000. 07/10/2000. 11/03/1996. 692001. 13/11/2001. 04/10/2000. 652004. 10/10/2004. 17/06/2003. 102003. 08/02/2003. 11/06/2000. 252002. 07/04/2002. 25/10/1998. 772002. 25/11/2002. 20/10/1996. 402001. 23/07/2001. 12/10/1999. 761998. 11/10/1998. 29/03/1997. 452002. 22/06/2002. 24/04/2001. 1975 09 26. 156. 85 75. 106. 1.
(162) 157. 451990. 17/10/1990. 22/06/1990. 192003. 17/03/2003. 27/05/2002. 06469. 11/12/2006. 13/01/2005. 011994. 02/01/1994. 13/02/1993. 452002. 22/06/2002. 21/03/2000. 152005. 26/02/2005. 19/10/2003. 461991. 05/10/1991. 18/05/1991. 66 003. 23/10/2003. 30/09/2001. 332003. 05/05/2003. 06/08/2001. 42 2001. 23/07/2001. 27/01/2000. 971998. 27/12/1998. 11/07/1996. 65-2008. 05/11/2008. 06/01/2008. 402001. 23/07/2001. 12/12/1998. 522000. 22/08/2000. 16/03/1998. 162003. 03/03/2003. 14/01/2002. 591995. 07/10/1995. 07/10/1995. 372005. 28/05/2005. 2004/09/15. 372005. 28/05/2005. 15/09/2004. 431997. 23/06/1997. 24/10/1996. 412001. 23/07/2001. 20/02/2000. 252002. 07/04/2002. 22/09/2000. 691994. 22/10/1994. 28/06/1994. 231995. 25/03/1995. 23/12/1994. 022004. 30/12/2003. 25/01/1999. 201997. 05/04/1997. 01/08/1996. 842004. 29/12/2004. 15/02/2003. 212006. 03/04/2006. 10/03/2006. 202003. 17/03/2003. 24/10/2001. 452005. 23/06/2005. 30/11/2004.
(163) 442002. 22/06/2002. 09/04/2000. 971998. 27/12/1998. 14/09/1997. 461991. 05/10/1991. 24/04/1991. 061991. 22/12/1990. 23/07/1990. 732006. 14/11/2006. 16/02/2006. 422001. 23/07/2001. 25/11/1999. Guide Investir En Algerie ,Kpmg Algerie , 2011 , p53:. 5-2. 2005 06 06. 03 05. 6 2 2009. ANDI. 04. 158.
(164) 7 2. 2003 12 01. 453 03. 8 2. 2003 07 19. 03 03. 9 2. . 2003 12 07 2010 08 15 43. 159. 592 564 05 10. 75. 1 2. 2008 06 25 2003 07 19. 12 08 03 03 2003 07 20. 3.
(165) T.V.A. . . 2 5. 160.
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(167) 2009. 500. 2 3. ANDI. 2001 09 24. 282 01. 12 93. 2002 10 14. 02 314 ANDI. APSI ANDI. .. 2002 10 16. 162. 68. 2002 09 24. 55. 1.
(168) 2 3. 2011 2002 313 200. 230. 272 550. 190. 512 196. 31. 58 821. 9. 1 258 036. 174. 4 510. 1. 2 974. 1. 14 641. 5. 2 164 378. 451. www.Andi.dz. ANDI. 230 174. 163. 190.
(169) 1 3 2011 2002. 2 3. Excel. 3 3. (ANIREF). 4 3. 119 07 2007. 2007 04 25. 164. 23. 27. 1.
(170) 10 CALPIREF. 5 3 03 2003 08 26 2010 08 26. 2010 09 01. 165. 50. 2003 08 27. 52. 11 04 10. 1.
(171) 6 3. 05 10. 2006 02 20. 01 06 2010 08 26 . . 1. 2.571. %13. 2.264. 2010 2.746. 307. 2009 2006 03 08. 166. 2011. 14. 1.
(172) 428. % 15 2010. 2009. % 0.52 % 0.37. 2010. % 0.36 2011. 2010. 2009. % 5.2 % 6.02. 2011. 2011 2000 3 3 2011-2000. 438. 2000. 1.196. 2001. 1.065. 2002. 634. 2003. 882. 2004. 1.081. 2005. 1.795. 2006. 1.662. 2007. 2.594. 2008. 2.746. 2009. 2.264. 2010. 2.571. 2011 World Investment Report 2000-2012. 167.
(173) 2000 2.133. %586. 2011. 2 3 2011-2000. 3000. 2500. 2000. 1500. 1000. 500. 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011. 3 3. Excel. 2. 2011. %1.96. 2009. %1.43. 2010 %1.38. 2011 2005. 168.
(174) 4 3 2011-2005. 2011. 2010. 2009. 2008. 2007. 2006. 2005. 1.38. 1.43. 1.99. 1.51. 1.23. 1.53. 1.05. UNCTADstat. 2005 %2. %1. 2011. 3 3 2011-2005. 4 3. 169. Excel.
(175) 03. 2005. 170. 1.
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(178) 6 2. 7 2. 8 2. 9 2. 3 7. 1. 4 2012 2011 04. 173. 87. 142.
(179) 2011. 2010 2009 87. 2011 2010. 86. 0.1. 06. 83. 2010 2009. 04 03 5 3 2011 2010 2009. 2012 2011. 2011 2010. 142. 01. 4.0. 87. 2010 2009. 139. 4.0. 86. 133. 3.9. 83. "The Global Competitiveness Report 2011-2012. 0.1 75. 2010. 80. 0.9. 2011 19. 174. 57.
(180) 6 3 2011 2010 2012 2011. 2011 2010. 142. 139. 05. 4.4. 75. 4.3. 80. 29. 3.1. 127. 3.5. 98. 06. 3.4. 93. 3.5. 87. 38. 5.7. 19. 4.8. 57. 05. 5.5. 82. 5.6. 77. 19. 3.4. 122. 3.5. 107. 03. 3.5. 101. 3.6. 98. 08. 3.4. 134. 3.6. 126. 14. 3.4. 137. 3.7. 123. 2. 2.6. 137. 2.8. 135. 14. 2.8. 120. 3.0. 106. 03. 4.3. 47. 4.3. 50. 28. 2.7. 136. 3.0. 108. 27. 2.9. 135. 3.3. 108. 25. 2.4. 132. 2.8. 107. "The Global Competitiveness Report 2011-2012 ". 5. 175.
(181) 7 3 2011 2010 2012 2011. 2011 2010. 142. 139. 29. 3.1. 127. 3.5. 98. 21. 3.1. 127. 3.6. 106. 30. 2.2. 135. 2.7. 105. 32. 2.8. 99. 3.3. 67. 32. 2.0. 117. 2.4. 85. 19. 3.1. 116. 3.4. 97. 14. 2.5. 126. 2.8. 112. 19. 2.6. 101. 2.8. 82. 15. 3.0. 79. 3.3. 64. 04. 2.3. 136. 2.3. 132. 16. 3.0. 109. 3.3. 93. 04. 3.0. 104. 3.1. 100. 16. 3.1. 137. 3.6. 121. 07. 3.9. 135. 4.4. 128. 33. 4.0. 107. 4.8. 74. 16. 4.5. 103. 5.1. 87. 10. 3.7. 89. 4.0. 79. 17. 3.3. 115. 3.5. 98. 26. 3.5. 130. 4.0. 104. 23. 3.8. 133. 4.1. 110. 16. 3.7. 111. 3.9. 95. 01. 5.3. 60. 5.3. 59. "The Global Competitiveness Report 2011-2012 ". 176.
(182) 2011 2011. 2010. 3.1. 2010. 3.5. 127. 98. 0.4. 3.0. 4.0. 6 2012 2011. 27. 17 37. 14 34. 32. 59. 40. 73. 71. 89. 62. 87 98. 94 137. 2010،2011 2009. 177.
(183) 8 3. 2011 2010 2009 2012 2011. 2011 2010. 142. 2010 2009. 139. 133. 2 1. 3. 5.2. 14. 5.1. 17. 4.9. 22. 2 1. 4. 5.2. 17. 4.9. 21. 4.7. 28. 3. 2. 4.9. 27. 4.9. 25. 4.9. 23. 3 2. 2. 4.6. 32. 4.6. 34. 4.5. 41. 2 1. 1. 4.6. 34. 4.6. 35. 4.5. 39. 3 2. 0. 4.5. 37. 4.5. 37. 4.5. 38. 2. 8. 4.5. 40. 4.7. 32. 4.5. 40. 3 2. 2. 4.3. 59. 4.2. 61. 4.2. 61. 2 1. 7. 4.3. 62. 4.1. 69. 2. 6. 4.2. 71. 4.2. 65. 4.3. 50. 2 1. 2. 4.2. 73. 4.1. 75. 4.0. 73. 2 1. 1. 4.0. 87. 4.0. 86. 3.9. 83. 3 2. 3. 3.9. 89. 3.9. 92. 2 1. 15. 3.9. 94. 4.0. 81. 4. 70. 2 1. 1. 3.8. 98. 6.8. 97. 3.8. 94. 3.7. 100. 3.9. 88. 3.1. 135. 3.3. 127. 1. 2. 3.2. 137. "The Global Competitiveness Report 2011-2012 ". 2011 2010 2009. 178.
(184) 08 15. 7. 1 5.2. 4.0. 4.9. 4.0. 1 2 1 2 3 2. 3. 2 1 2. 3 2 1. 179. 3.
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(205) 2012 2011. DB5c. 21 3 2012 2011 2010. 2012 2011. 2011 2010. 157. 1. 2010 2009. 165. 140. DB5c DB5b. DB5a. 2012 2011 2010. 2012. 2011 5b. 2010. 5a 2012. 2011. 2010. 6 2012. 1 6 14. 83.5. 81.0 81.0 82.8. 200.
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(207) 22 3. 2012 2011. 3. 2. 2012. 2011. 2012. 2011. 2012. 2011. DB3c. DB3a. A3. A3. 83.5. 81.5. DB3c. DB2d. A3. A3. 82.8. 81.3. DB3a. DB2a. A2. A2. 81.0. 82.0. DB3b. DB3a. A4. A4. 81.0. 80.3. DB3d. DB3b. A2. A2. 79.8. 82.5. DB7. DB5a. D. C. 75.5. 80.5. DB4a. DB2d. A4. A3. 74.8. 78.3. DB5c. DB5b. A4. A4. 72.0. 72.0. DB3d. DB3b. A4. A4. 70.5. 72.3. DB4b. DB3d. B. B. 67.8. 69.5. DB5a. DB2c. A4. A4. 64.3. 72.8. DB5b. DB4d. C. C. 61.8. 59.8. DB5d. DB3c. C. B. 60.3. 65.3. C. C. 2012 2011. 202. 1.
(208) . 1995 Wall Sreet Journal. Heritage Foundation. 1 10. 1 1. . 1986. Milton Friedman. Fraser 1994. 1995 1973 Index Of Economic Freedom 2007. 203. The haitage fourditi. The Heritage Foundation www.Heritage.Org:. 1. 2.
(209) 2 1. 3 1. 4 1. 5 1. 204.
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(212) 23 3 2012 2011. 2012. 30.0. 20.0. 72.8. 76.3. 54.4. 66.3. 47.9. 82.9. 29.0. 30.0. 2011. 2012. -1.4. 51.0. Index of Economic Freedom2012 / 2011. 2012. 50. 2011. 2012 1.4. 20.0. 29.0. 30.0. 207. 140.
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(216) Transparency.International. 1. . . . 2. 08. 1. 2006 41. 211. 2004. 2.
(217) 25 3. 42. .6. 212. 2004. 1.
(218) 3. 4 10. 0 0 10 10. 0. 5 1995. Transparency. International. 183. 2012 2011. 2012 2011. 112 2.9. 07. 213. 1.
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(222) 2011. 217. 2006.
(223) 219 219.
(224) MCO EVIEWS. SPSS. 1 04 1 1. (Y ) UNCTAD. 2 1. 04. 01. . X1 07. The Global "Competitiveness. X2 ICRG. 220 220. Report. .
(225) . X3 The Heritage Foundation. 10. 0. . X4. Transparency.International. 3 1. 2011. 221 221. 2006.
(226) 1 4. X4 10. 222 222. X1. X3. X2. 3,31 3,51 3,61. 54,30 56,30 57,30. 76,80 78,80 79,80. 3,79 3,94 4,11. 3,21 3,20 3,40 3,50 3,10 3,42 3,62 3,72 3,32 2,98 3,18 3,28 2,88 3,09 3,29 3,39 2,99 3,09 3,29 3,39 2,99. 53,30 54,00 56,00 57,00 53,00 54,70 56,70 57,70 53,70 55,60 57,60 58,60 54,60 55,90 57,90 58,90 54,90 51,40 53,40 54,40 50,40. 75,80 76,80 78,80 79,80 75,80 75,80 77,80 78,80 74,80 69,80 71,80 72,80 68,80 71,00 73,00 74,00 70,00 71,00 73,00 74,00 70,00. 3,76 3,84 3,98 4,05 3,77 3,64 3,78 3,92 3,50 3,83 3,97 4,04 3,76 3,93 4,07 4,14 3,86 3,86 4,14 4,21 3,79. 0. 7. 1. (Y) 323,10 574,40 628,25 269,25 299,16 531,84 581,70 249,30 466,92 830,08 907,90 389,10 494,28 878,72 961,10 411,90 407,52 724,48 792,40 339,60 462,78 822,72 899,85 385,65. 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4. 2006. 2007. 2008. 2009. 2010. 2011.
(227) 2 4 ). X4 10. X1 X3. X2. 33,100. 54,300. 76,800. 54,109. 323,100. 1. 35,100. 56,300. 78,800. 56,259. 574,400. 2. 36,100. 57,300. 79,800. 58,715. 628,250. 3. 32,100. 53,300. 75,800. 53,715. 269,250. 4. 32,000. 54,000. 76,800. 54,857. 299,160. 1. 34,000. 56,000. 78,800. 56,857. 531,840. 2. 35,000. 57,000. 79,800. 57,857. 581,700. 3. 31,000. 53,000. 75,800. 53,857. 249,300. 4. 34,200. 54,700. 75,800. 52,000. 466,920. 1. 36,200. 56,700. 77,800. 54,000. 830,080. 2. 37,200. 57,700. 78,800. 56,000. 907,900. 3. 33,200. 53,700. 74,800. 50,000. 389,100. 4. 29,800. 55,600. 69,800. 54,714. 494,280. 1. 31,800. 57,600. 71,800. 56,714. 878,720. 2. 32,800. 58,600. 72,800. 57,714. 961,100. 3. 28,800. 54,600. 68,800. 53,714. 411,900. 4. 30,900. 55,900. 71,000. 56,143. 407,520. 1. 32,900. 57,900. 73,000. 58,143. 724,480. 2. 33,900. 58,900. 74,000. 59,143. 792,400. 3. 29,900. 54,900. 70,000. 55,143. 339,600. 4. 30,900. 51,400. 71,000. 55,143. 462,780. 1. 32,900. 53,400. 73,000. 59,143. 822,720. 2. 33,900. 54,400. 74,000. 60,143. 899,850. 3. 29,900. 50,400. 70,000. 54,143. 385,650. 4. 0. 7. 1. (Y). 2006. 2007. 2008. 2009. 2010. 2011. 223 223.
(228) (IDEE). 2. 2006. (IDEE) 2011 1 2. n = 24 Sturge. a. E nc. X max . X. min 2,5 4 n. . a. 1. Rule. 129 Million Dolars. E. nc = 6. nc Xmax Xmin. n. 224 224.
(229) 3 4. fi 378.3 – 249,3. 5. 507.3 – 378.3. 7. 636.3 – 507.3. 4. 765.3 – 636.3. 1. 894.3 – 765.3. 4. 1023.3 – 894.3. 3 24. 2 2. 1 4. 6 4 2. عدد إحصبئيبت التدفقبت. 8. 0 فئبت التدفقبت ببلمليون دوالر. EVIEWS. 225 225.
(230) 2 4. عدد إحصبئيبت التدفقبت. 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 فئبت التدفقبت ببلمليون دوالر. EVIEWS. 3 4. عدد إحصبئيبت التدفقبت. 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 فئبت التدفقبت ببلمليون دوالر. EVIEWS. 226 226.
(231) 1. 2. 3. 3 2. 1. :أوال. 577.175. X. 2011/ 2006. Xmax 961,1. Me. 1. 194 167. 227 227. 2010. 22.
(232) 50. 507,3 50. 507,3. 429,9 862,05. MO . Mode Mode 1 2 645,97 Million Dolars 2. Me X. «M». :ثانيا. «Le Semi Interquartile» 50. 200,41. «. IQ » 2. 200,41. R 56,31 %. IQ. R > 50%. 56,31. 507,3 «σx» 232,558. 228 228.
(233) «CV». 45,84. 1,261. «F1». 3. 1 3 ADF. Dikey-Fuller. -6.092906 5. 1. Mackinnon. :Lardic S. Et Mignon V, Econométrie Des Séries Temporelles Macroéconomiques Et Financières », ECONOMICA, 2002, Paris, P. 132.. 229 229.
(234) 4 4. « Dikey-Fuller » Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic ADF Test Statistic -6.092906. 1% Critical Value* 5% Critical Value 10% Critical Value. -3.7667 -3.0038 -2.6417. EVIEWS. X1. 2 3. -3.983968 5. ADF. Mackinnon X1 5 4. « Dikey-Fuller » Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic ADF Test Statistic -3.983968. 1% Critical Value* 5% Critical Value 10% Critical Value. -3.7667 -3.0038 -2.6417. EVIEWS. Dikey-. X2. 3 3 Fuller. X2. 230 230. d=1.
(235) 3 -6.676339 5. ADF Mackinnon. 6 4. « Dikey-Fuller » Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic ADF Test Statistic -1.832619. 1% Critical Value* 5% Critical Value 10% Critical Value. « Dikey-Fuller ». -3.7667 -3.0038 -2.6417. « d=1 ». Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic ADF Test Statistic -6.676339. 1% Critical Value* 5% Critical Value 10% Critical Value. -3.7856 -3.0114 -2.6457. EVIEWS. Dikey-. X3. 4 3 Fuller. -3.172714 5. 231 231. ADF Mackinnon.
(236) 7 4. « Dikey-Fuller » Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic ADF Test Statistic -3.172714. 1% Critical Value* 5% Critical Value 10% Critical Value. -3.7667 -3.0038 -2.6417. EVIEWS. Dikey-. :X4 دراسة استقرارية سلسلة متغير الشفافية5 3. ADF. Fuller. -3.582764 95. Mackinnon. 8 4. « Dikey-Fuller » Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic ADF Test Statistic -3.582764. 1% Critical Value* 5% Critical Value 10% Critical Value EVIEWS. 232 232. -3.7667 -3.0038 -2.6417.
(237) 4. 1 4. Yt f X , X , X , X β β X β X '2 β X β X ε t 2 3 4 0 1 1 2 3 3 4 4 1. t. Yt. X4 X3 X1. . t X’2 . t X4 X3 X2 X1. ß0 . Y. ß4 ß3 ß2 ß1 Y :εt. . SPSS. Y - 3575,922 33,358 X 11,599 X ' 28,513 X 21,859 X ε t 1 2 3 4 t tc (-2,722) (1,851) (0,602) (1,496) (1,095) (1313,659) (18,019) (19,256) (19,061) (19,964). ε 2t 156,347. 233 233. ;. R 2 0,616 ;.
(238) R 0,530. r YX. r YX '. =0,643 ; 1. ;. R 0,785. = 0,632 ;. 2. r YX. ; Fc= 7,211 = 0,635 ;. 3. r YX. ; = 0,551 4. R2 ε 2t. R 1 1 4. Ho. H : β β 0 0 0 1 2 3 4 Yt. X. 4. X. 3. X' 2. X. Yt. 1. H1. H : β β β β β / β 0 β 0 β 0 β 0 β 0 1 0 1 2 1 2 3 4 0 3 4 7,211. F K-1 ; n-K ; % = F 4 ; 18 ; 5% = Yt. 234 234. X ، X '2، X ، X 1 3 4. Fc 2,93. 5.
(239) β4. β 3 β 2 β1 β 0. β 4 β 3 β 2 β1 β 0 β. . 0. H :β 0 0 0 H : 0 1 0 t c - 2,722. t. th n-K ; % =. t th 18 ; 5% =. 2,100. tc β. -3575,922. 0. 3575,922. 5. X4 X3 X’2 X1 . β 1 H :β 0 0 1 H : 0 1 1 t c 1,851. t. th n-K ; % =. t th 18 ; 5% =. β 1. tc t. 5. 235 235. 2,100. th. 33,358.
(240) β. . 2. H :β 0 0 2 H : 0 1 2 t c 0,602. t. th n-K ; % =. t th 18 ; 5% =. 2,100. β2. 11,599. tc t. th. 5. . β3. H :β 0 0 3 H : 0 1 3 t c 1,496. t. th n-K ; % =. t th 18 ; 5% =. 2,100. β3. 28,513. tc t. th. 5. β4. H :β 0 0 4 H : 0 1 4 t c 1,095. t. 236 236. th n-K ; % =. t th 18 ; 5% =. 2,100. .
(241) β4. 21,859. tc t. th. 5. . β2. 19,256. X’2 ε2 t . 156,347. 2 1 4. . % 61,6 . 01 . .. 33,358 β4. β3 β 2. . X4. r r. % 61,5 % 47,9. 237 237. X’2. X3 X’2. X1. X3. X1.
(242) X4 277 X '2،X. 03. 05 2 4. 3. X1 X4 Yt f X , X β β X β X ε t 0 1 1 4 4 1 4. SPSS. Yt - 3440,784 48,493 X 39 ,995 X ε t 1 4 tc (-4,218) (3,378) (2,543) (815,785) (14,354) (15,726). ε 2t 159,269 R 0,513 ;. ;. R 0,746. R 2 0,557 ; ; Fc= 12,570. ; 1 2 4. Fc 5. 12,570. F K-1 ; n-K ; % = F 2 ; 20 ; 5% = 3,49 X أوX 1 4. Yt. 238 238.
(243) β0. β 4 β1 β 0 β 4 β1 β. . 0. H :β 0 0 0. H : 0 1 0 t c 4,218. t. th n-K ; % =. t th 20 ; 5% =. 2,086. %5. tc H0. 20. β. -3440,784. 0. %5. -3440,784. X4 X1 . β 1 H :β 0 0 1. H : 0 1 1 t c 3,378. t. th n-K ; % =. t th 20 ; 5% =. 2,086. X1. t. 48,493. X1. 239 239. β 1 5. c. t. th.
(244) . β4 H :β 0 0 4. H : 0 1 4 t c 2,543. t. th n-K ; % =. t th 20 ; 5% =. 2,086. β4. t. c. t. th. X4. 5. . 2 2 4. . . 0.643 0.632 0.635 0.551 02 55,7. . . 240 240.
(245) . X1 48,493. . X4 39,995. . X1 X4 5. 88.48. Singh Et Jun. Singh Et Jun. : لمزيد من التفاصيل انظر: 1 Singh. H And Jun. K.W, Some New Evidence On Determinants Of Foreign Direct Investment In Developing Countries, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, N° 1531 , 1995 .. 241 241.
(246) Wilhelms Saskia.. Wilhelms Saskia. 67. Bastos Et Nasir Bastos Et Nasir. : لمزيد من التفاصيل انظر: 1 Wilhelms Saskia, L'investissement Direct Etranger Et Ses Eléments Déterminants Dans Les Economies Naissantes, Agence Des Etats Unis Pour Le Développement International, PP9-10, Juillet 1998. : لمزيد من التفاصيل انظر: 2 Bastos, Fabiano; Nasir, John; Productivity And The Investment Climate : What Matters Most?, Policy, Research Working Paper Series ; No. WPS 3325,Vol 01/01,World Bank,2004.. 242 242.
(247) Egger Et Winner Egger Et Winner. 39,995. : لمزيد من التفاصيل انظر: 1 Egger, Peter & Winner, Hannes, How Corruption Influences Foreign Direct Investment: A Panel Data Study, Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 54(2), p 459-86, January, 2006.. 243 243.
(248) Bouklia Et Zatla. 4. Bouklia Et Zatla. 1997 1976. Sekkat Et Méon. Sekkat Et Méon. 5. 88.48. : لمزيد من التفاصيل انظر: 1 Bouklia, Rafik And Zatla, Nagat, The FDI Determinants And Its Effect On The Economic Growth In South And East Mediterranean, Marcella, France, Round Table Conference March , 2001. : لمزيد من التفاصيل انظر: 2 Sekkat. K Et Méon. P.G, Does The Quality Of Institutions Limit The MENA’s Integration In The World Economy, Annual Bank Conference On Development Economics-Europe, Belgium, May 10-11, 2004 .. 244 244.
(249) X1 X4. 48,493 39,995 X4 5. 245 245. X1 88.48.
(250) 247.
(251) UNCTAD. 248.
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(253) X4. 48,493 39,995. 250.
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(255) 1 1 2000. 2 3 1999. 1998. 4 5 2004 6 1996 1 7 2003. 1998. 8 9 2004 10 1998 11 2002 12 1999 13 1970 14. 253.
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(265) 41. 1-1. 52. 2-1. 58. 3-1. 60. 4-1. 65. 5-1. 115. 1-2. 119. 2-2. 135. 2000. 1989. 3-2. 137. 2005. 2001. 4-2 5-2. 138. 2011 2005 6-2. 139. 2011 2010 2009 7-2. 144. 2011 2010 2009 1-3. 154 161. 165 167 172. 264. 2011 2002 2011-2000 2011-2005 2011 2010 2009. 2-3. 3-3 4-3 5-3.
(266) 2011 2010. 6-3. 173. 7-3. 174. 2011 2010 8-3. 176. 2011 2010 2009 182. 9-3. 183. 10-3. 184. 11-3. 185. 12-3. 186. 13-3. 187. 14-3. 188. 15-3. 189. 16-3. 190. 17-3 18-3. 191. 2012 2011 196. 2012 2011 2010. 19-3. 197. 2012 2011 2010. 20-3 21-3. 198. 2012 2011 2010 22-3. 200. 2012 2011 205. 265. 2012 2011. 23-3.
(267) 24-3. 208. 2012 2011 210. 25-3. 212. 26-3. 214. 27-3. 2012 2011 2010 1-4. 224 225. 266. ). 2-4. 227. 3-4. 232. 4-4. 232. 5-4. 233. 6-4. 234. 7-4. 234. 8-4.
(268) 1-1. 20. 2-1. 26. 3-1. 80. 1-2. 111 المضيفة. 2-2 3-2. 132 136. 2001. 2005. 4-2. 138. 2011 2005 1-3. 2-3. 3-3. 2011 2002 2011-2000. 2011-2005. 162. 166. 167. 1-4. 227. 2-4. 228. 3-4. 228. 267.
(269) ىة 1. 269. x4. x3. 35,100. 56,300. 2,000. 56,259. 574,400. 2. 36,100. 57,300. 1,000. 58,715. 628,250. 3. 32,100. 53,300. -4,000. 53,715. 269,250. 4. 32,000. 54,000. 1,000. 54,857. 299,160. 1. 34,000. 56,000. 2,000. 56,857. 531,840. 2. 35,000. 57,000. 1,000. 57,857. 581,700. 3. 31,000. 53,000. -4,000. 53,857. 249,300. 4. 34,200. 54,700. 0,000. 52,000. 466,920. 1. 36,200. 56,700. 2,000. 54,000. 830,080. 2. 37,200. 57,700. 1,000. 56,000. 907,900. 3. 33,200. 53,700. -4,000. 50,000. 389,100. 4. 29,800. 55,600. -5,000. 54,714. 494,280. 1. 31,800. 57,600. 2,000. 56,714. 878,720. 2. 32,800. 58,600. 1,000. 57,714. 961,100. 3. 28,800. 54,600. -4,000. 53,714. 411,900. 4. 30,900. 55,900. 2,200. 56,143. 407,520. 1. 32,900. 57,900. 2,000. 58,143. 724,480. 2. 33,900. 58,900. 1,000. 59,143. 792,400. 3. 29,900. 54,900. -4,000. 55,143. 339,600. 4. 30,900. 51,400. 1,000. 55,143. 462,780. 1. 32,900. 53,400. 2,000. 59,143. 822,720. 2. 33,900. 54,400. 1,000. 60,143. 899,850. 3. 29,900. 50,400. -4,000. 54,143. 385,650. 4. x’2. x1. y 2006. 2007. 2008. 2009. 2010. 2011.
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