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Preface

We are pleased to present theProceedings of the UAI 2014 Workshop on Causal Inference: Learning and Prediction, held in Quebec City, Canada, on July 27, 2014, as a workshop of the 30th Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI 2014). This workshop is the third in a series of UAI workshops on the topic of causality, following up on two successful predecessors, theUAI Workshop on Causal Structure Learning 2012and theApproaches to Causal Structure Learning Workshop, UAI 2013.

The aim of this workshop was to bring together researchers interested in the challenges of causal inference from observa- tional and interventional data, especially when confounding variables, feedback loops or selection bias may be present. For this workshop, we decided to extend the scope from causal structure learning to include methods for making causal predic- tions, i.e., for predicting what happens under interventions. We especially encouraged contributions describing practical applications of causal methods.

There were 8 submissions, all full-length papers, each of which was peer-reviewed by two or three program committee members. We accepted five of these for oral presentation and for inclusion in these proceedings. The proceedings also include abstracts for three invited talks, including the two key-note talks by Robert Spekkens and Elias Bareinboim. Slides of most of the oral presentations are available on the workshop website:

https://staff.fnwi.uva.nl/j.m.mooij/uai2014-causality-workshop/index.html We would like to thank the paper authors and presenters for their contributions and the program committee members for their reviewing service. We also appreciate the organizational support of the main UAI 2014 conference, in particular we would like to thank John Mark Agosta, Jin Tian and Ann Nicholson for their help. Further, we would like to thank Robin Evans, chair of the Approaches to Causal Structure Learning Workshop, UAI 2013, for his assistance. Finally, many thanks to the CEUR-WS team for hosting these proceedings.

October 2014 Joris M. Mooij (Chair)

Dominik Janzing Jonas Peters Tom Claassen Antti Hyttinen

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Organizing Committee

Joris M. Mooij University of Amsterdam (Chair)

Dominik Janzing Max Planck Institute for Intelligent Systems Jonas Peters ETH Z¨urich

Tom Claassen Radboud University Nijmegen Antti Hyttinen California Institute of Technology

Program Committee

Thomas Richardson University of Washington Ricardo Silva University College London Markus Kalisch ETH Z¨urich

Frederick Eberhardt California Institute of Technology Alain Hauser ETH Z¨urich

Ilya Shpitser University of Southampton Robin Evans University of Oxford

Kun Zhang Max Planck Institute for Intelligent Systems Eleni Sgouritsa Max Planck Institute for Intelligent Systems Aapo Hyv¨arinen University of Helsinki

Jan Lemeire Vrije Universiteit Brussel James Robins Harvard School of Public Health Chris Meek Microsoft Research

Preetam Nandy ETH Z¨urich

Philipp Geiger Max Planck Institute for Intelligent Systems Nicholas Cornia University of Amsterdam

Oliver Stegle The European Bioinformatics Institute

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