Emmanuel O. Olamijuwon
1,2, Vesper H. Chisumpa
1,3& Joshua O. Akinyemi
1,41
Demography and Population Studies, Schools of Public Health and Social Sciences, Faculties of Health Sciences and Humanities,
University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
2
Institute for Health Measurement (IHM), Mbabane, Swaziland.
3
Department of Population Studies, University of Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia.
4
Department of Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, College of Medicine, University of Ibadan, Ibadan, Nigeria
emmanuel@olamijuwon.com; emmanuel.olamijuwon@wits.ac.za
15.4 15.4
4.7
12.1 12.8
0 3 6 9 12 15 18
West Africa Central Africa East Africa Southern Africa sub-Saharan Africa
≥
≥
≥
≥
≥
≥
Togo Sierra Leone Nigeria Gambia Burkina Faso West Africa
Gabon Chad Cameroon Congo DR Central Africa Uganda Rwanda Kenya Comoros East Africa Zimbabwe Zambia Namibia Mozambique
Malawi
Southern Africa SSA
Lower Likelihood
0.28 [-0.12, 0.672]
-0.09 [-0.426, 0.253]
0.1 [-0.181, 0.389]
0.69 [0.155, 1.226]
0.2 [-0.041, 0.439]
0.08 [-0.067, 0.218]
0.18 [-0.228, 0.594]
-0.16 [-0.683, 0.373]
-0.16 [-0.683, 0.373]
-0.19 [-0.467, 0.09]
-0.24 [-0.56, 0.074]
0.3 [-0.034, 0.634]
0.14 [-0.239, 0.52]
0.39 [0.142, 0.64]
0.2 [-0.356, 0.762]
-0.1 [-0.247, 0.046]
0.36 [0.102, 0.614]
0.17 [-0.041, 0.379]
0.47 [-0.131, 1.066]
0.18 [-0.147, 0.518]
0.33 [0.181, 0.485]
0.28 [0.181, 0.381]
-0.08 [-0.141, - 0.018]
Coeff [95% CI]
-1.00 -0.50 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50
Higher Likelihood
Togo Sierra Leone Nigeria Gambia Burkina Faso West Africa Gabon Chad Cameroon Congo DR Central Africa Uganda Rwanda Kenya Comoros East Africa Zimbabwe Zambia Namibia Mozambique Malawi Southern Africa SSA
Lower Likelihood (<0)
-0.08 [-0.678, 0.516]
0.94 [0.183, 1.69]
0.06 [-0.321, 0.431]
-0.5 [-1.608, 0.604]
0.34 [-0.425, 1.114]
0.14 [-0.111, 0.396]
0.17 [-0.356, 0.69]
-0.46 [-1.057, 0.142]
-0.46 [-1.057, 0.142]
0.6 [0.148, 1.052]
0.48 [0.162, 0.793]
0.72 [0.145, 1.305]
0.83 [-0.303, 1.957]
-0.15 [-0.754, 0.462]
-0.65 [-2.096, 0.795]
0.45 [0.112, 0.791]
0.28 [-0.086, 0.657]
0.24 [-0.061, 0.533]
1.25 [-1.036, 3.53]
0.15 [-0.336, 0.642]
0.19 [-0.2, 0.584]
0.23 [0.045, 0.412]
0.28 [0.172, 0.397]
Coeff [95% CI]
-2.00 -1.00 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00
Higher Likelihood (>0)
Togo Sierra Leone Nigeria Gambia Burkina Faso West Africa Gabon Chad Cameroon Congo DR Central Africa Uganda Rwanda Kenya Comoros East Africa Zimbabwe Zambia Namibia Mozambique Malawi Southern Africa SSA
Lower Likelihood
-0.14 [-0.223, -0.066]
0 [-0.045, 0.042]
-0.25 [-0.285, -0.214]
0.02 [-0.041, 0.084]
-0.01 [-0.064, 0.035]
-0.11 [-0.134, -0.091]
-0.03 [-0.107, 0.055]
-0.02 [-0.092, 0.045]
-0.02 [-0.092, 0.045]
-0.08 [-0.131, -0.026]
0.02 [-0.032, 0.066]
-0.04 [-0.115, 0.029]
-0.03 [-0.134, 0.077]
-0.05 [-0.117, 0.009]
-0.08 [-0.189, 0.037]
-0.02 [-0.055, 0.021]
-0.08 [-0.145, -0.021]
-0.01 [-0.063, 0.047]
-0.04 [-0.182, 0.094]
0.01 [-0.046, 0.067]
-0.01 [-0.048, 0.031]
-0.01 [-0.039, 0.011]
-0.06 [-0.077, -0.051]
Coeff [95% CI]
-0.40 -0.30 -0.20 -0.10 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30
Higher Likelihood
Togo Sierra Leone Nigeria Gambia Burkina Faso West Africa Gabon Chad Cameroon Congo DR Central Africa Uganda Rwanda Kenya Comoros East Africa Zimbabwe Zambia Namibia Mozambique Malawi Southern Africa SSA
Lower Likelihood
0.08 [-0.271, 0.44]
-0.23 [-0.496, 0.035]
-0.81 [-1.003, -0.622]
-0.43 [-0.736, -0.133]
-0.17 [-0.386, 0.038]
-0.42 [-0.526, -0.32]
0.28 [-0.09, 0.66]
-0.5 [-0.77, -0.227]
-0.5 [-0.77, -0.227]
-0.3 [-0.569, -0.028]
-0.19 [-0.431, 0.054]
-0.12 [-0.409, 0.164]
-0.26 [-0.926, 0.405]
-0.15 [-0.754, 0.462]
-0.42 [-1.088, 0.243]
-0.56 [-0.729, -0.395]
-0.43 [-0.721, -0.148]
-0.38 [-0.62, -0.142]
-0.67 [-1.474, 0.125]
-0.02 [-0.256, 0.22]
-0.27 [-0.44, -0.095]
-0.24 [-0.351, -0.134]
-0.44 [-0.496, -0.378]
Coeff [95% CI]
-1.00 -0.50 0.00 0.50 1.00
Higher Likelihood
Togo Sierra Leone Nigeria Gambia Burkina Faso West Africa Gabon Chad Cameroon Congo DR Central Africa Uganda Rwanda Kenya Comoros East Africa Zimbabwe Zambia Namibia Mozambique Malawi Southern Africa SSA
Lower Likelihood
-0.71 [-1.119, -0.31]
-0.26 [-0.515, 0.002]
-0.64 [-0.823, -0.447]
-0.42 [-0.727, -0.12]
-0.45 [-0.684, -0.222]
-0.74 [-0.84, -0.636]
0.4 [-0.27, 1.074]
-0.45 [-0.72, -0.177]
-0.45 [-0.72, -0.177]
-0.64 [-0.945, -0.343]
-0.21 [-0.467, 0.044]
-0.27 [-0.586, 0.042]
-0.45 [-1.215, 0.321]
0.12 [-0.177, 0.418]
-0.56 [-1.181, 0.061]
-0.58 [-0.763, -0.408]
-0.45 [-0.732, -0.162]
-0.37 [-0.619, -0.125]
-0.64 [-1.489, 0.207]
0.15 [-0.336, 0.642]
-0.3 [-0.482, -0.111]
-0.34 [-0.466, -0.216]
-0.64 [-0.702, -0.579]
Coeff [95% CI]
-1.00 -0.50 0.00 0.50 1.00
Higher Likelihood
Togo Sierra Leone Nigeria Gambia Burkina Faso West Africa Gabon Chad Cameroon Congo DR Central Africa Uganda Rwanda Kenya Comoros East Africa Zimbabwe Zambia Namibia Mozambique Malawi Southern Africa
SSA
Lower Likelihood
0.83 [0.691, 0.996]
0.85 [0.734, 0.992]
0.78 [0.709, 0.862]
0.82 [0.696, 0.963]
0.83 [0.749, 0.924]
0.82 [0.772, 0.864]
0.93 [0.736, 1.186]
0.8 [0.704, 0.921]
0.8 [0.704, 0.921]
0.85 [0.742, 0.973]
0.84 [0.755, 0.944]
0.87 [0.731, 1.043]
0.78 [0.608, 0.991]
0.86 [0.732, 1.023]
0.79 [0.593, 1.055]
0.84 [0.761, 0.923]
0.87 [0.739, 1.015]
0.9 [0.782, 1.027]
0.88 [0.629, 1.224]
0.85 [0.742, 0.969]
0.86 [0.781, 0.94]
0.87 [0.819, 0.925]
0.84 [0.816, 0.871]
Hazard Ratio [95% CI]
0.50 1.00 1.50
Higher Likelihood
