• Aucun résultat trouvé

Prospective evaluation of the capillaroscopic skin ulcer risk index in systemic sclerosis patients in clinical practice: a longitudinal, multicentre study

N/A
N/A
Protected

Academic year: 2022

Partager "Prospective evaluation of the capillaroscopic skin ulcer risk index in systemic sclerosis patients in clinical practice: a longitudinal, multicentre study"

Copied!
9
0
0

Texte intégral

(1)

Article

Reference

Prospective evaluation of the capillaroscopic skin ulcer risk index in systemic sclerosis patients in clinical practice: a longitudinal,

multicentre study

WALKER, Ulrich A, et al .

Abstract

Nailfold capillaroscopy (NC) is an important tool for the diagnosis of systemic sclerosis (SSc).

The capillaroscopic skin ulcer risk index (CSURI) was suggested to identify patients at risk of developing digital ulcers (DUs). This study aims to assess the reliability of the CSURI across assessors, the CSURI change during follow-up and the value of the CSURI in predicting new DUs.

WALKER, Ulrich A, et al . Prospective evaluation of the capillaroscopic skin ulcer risk index in systemic sclerosis patients in clinical practice: a longitudinal, multicentre study. Arthritis Research and Therapy , 2018, vol. 20, no. 239, p. 1-8

DOI : 10.1186/s13075-018-1733-6 PMID : 30359309

Available at:

http://archive-ouverte.unige.ch/unige:118118

Disclaimer: layout of this document may differ from the published version.

1 / 1

(2)

R E S E A R C H A R T I C L E Open Access

Prospective evaluation of the

capillaroscopic skin ulcer risk index in systemic sclerosis patients in clinical

practice: a longitudinal, multicentre study

Ulrich A. Walker1*, Veronika K. Jaeger1, Katharina M. Bruppacher2, Rucsandra Dobrota3, Lionel Arlettaz4, Martin Banyai5, Jörg Beron6, Carlo Chizzolini7, Ernst Groechenig8, Rüdiger B. Mueller9, François Spertini10, Peter M. Villiger11and Oliver Distler3

Abstract

Background:Nailfold capillaroscopy (NC) is an important tool for the diagnosis of systemic sclerosis (SSc). The capillaroscopic skin ulcer risk index (CSURI) was suggested to identify patients at risk of developing digital ulcers (DUs). This study aims to assess the reliability of the CSURI across assessors, the CSURI change during follow-up and the value of the CSURI in predicting new DUs.

Methods:This multicentre, longitudinal study included SSc patients with a history of DUs. NC images of all eight fingers were obtained at baseline and follow-up and were separately analysed by two trained assessors.

Results:Sixty-one patients were included (median observation time 1.0 year). In about 40% of patients (assessor 1, n= 24, 39%; assessor 2,n= 26, 43%) no megacapillary was detected in any of the baseline or follow-up images;

hence the CSURI could not be calculated.

In those 34 patients in whom CSURI scores were available from both assessors (26% male; median age 57 years) the median baseline CSURI was 5.3 according to assessor 1 (IQR 2.6–16.3), increasing to 5.9 (IQR 1.3–12.0) at follow-up.

According to assessor 2, the CSURI diminished from 6.4 (IQR 2.4–12.5) to 5.0 (IQR 1.7–10.0).

The ability of a CSURI≥2.96 category to predict new DUs was low (for both assessors, positive predictive value 38% and negative predictive value 50%) and the inter-assessor agreements for CSURI categories were fair to moderate.

Conclusions:In this study, around 40% of patients could not be evaluated with the CSURI due to the absence of megacapillaries. Clinical decisions based on the CSURI should be made with caution.

Trial registration:Current Controlled Trials,ISRCTN04371709. Registered on 18 March 2011.

Keywords:Systemic sclerosis, Nailfold capillaroscopy, Capillaroscopic skin ulcer risk index, Inter-rater reliability, Digital ulcer prediction

* Correspondence:ulrich.walker@usb.ch

Ulrich A Walker and Veronika K Jaeger contributed equally to this work.

1Department of Rheumatology, University Hospital Basel, Petersgraben 4, 4032 Basel, Switzerland

Full list of author information is available at the end of the article

© The Author(s). 2018Open AccessThis article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated.

(3)

Background

Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is a chronic connective tissue dis- ease characterised by endothelial cell dysfunction and fibro- sis of the skin and internal organs [1,2]. Microangiopathy is one of the main histopathologic features detectable early in the course of the disease [3]. A gradual pro- gression of vascular abnormalities has been observed during SSc progression [4]. Nailfold capillaroscopy (NC) is an imaging technique that detects morpho- logical abnormalities of nailfold microcirculation.

Furthermore, NC is an important tool for the classifica- tion and diagnosis of SSc in clinical practice [5, 6]. The three NC patterns early, active and late were found to be associated with Raynaud’s phenomenon (RP) as well as with the duration of the disease, possibly reflecting SSc evolution [4]. Although the diagnostic value of the NC patterns is well defined [7], different methodologies have been proposed to assess quantitative NC abnor- malities in the follow-up of patients with SSc. However, their clinical applicability remains uncertain.

Sebastiani et al. [8] proposed the capillaroscopic skin ulcer risk index (CSURI) in 2009, as a quantitative meas- ure of nailfold capillary damage that predicts the appear- ance of new digital ulcers (DUs) as well as the persistence of pre-existing DUs [8, 9]. The CSURI is based on the number of capillaries in the distal nailfold capillary row and the number of megacapillaries, as well as the maximum diameter of the megacapillaries on capillaroscopic evaluation [8,9].

In order to gain better insight into the value of moni- toring quantitative NC abnormalities in clinical practice, this multicentre study was designed to describe the reli- ability of the CSURI across different trained assessors, to describe the change of CSURI during follow-up, to as- sess the value of the CSURI in predicting new DUs and to assess associations between the CSURI and demo- graphic and disease characteristics.

Methods

Study population and design

This multicentre, prospective, observational study was carried out across eight sites in Switzerland between 2011 and 2015. Adult patients fulfilling the 1980 Ameri- can College of Rheumatology criteria for SSc and with a history of DUs were included [10]. DUs were defined as a painful area with visually discernible depth and a loss of continuity of epithelial coverage which can be de- nuded or covered by a scab or necrotic tissue and is vas- cular in origin. Fissures, paronychia, extrusion of calcium or ulcers over the metacarpophalangeal joints or elbows are not regarded as DUs. In order to be included in this analysis, patients were also required to have at least one follow-up visit; if a patient had more than one follow-up visit, the last one was chosen as the follow-up

visit. All inclusion and exclusion criteria are summarised in Additional file1: Table S1.

This study was approved by the centres’ethic commit- tees and each patient provided written informed consent.

Demographic patient characteristics and routine clin- ical data were recorded prospectively on a web-based electronic data capture system. Table 1 presents a de- scription of the data collected. Patients underwent NC at baseline and at follow-up visits. Follow-up visits were performed if deemed necessary by the centres’ physi- cians, but were recommended at 3, 6 and 12 months.

Regular external monitoring with primary data verifica- tion was performed to ensure data quality.

Prior to commencing the study, the study sites’investi- gators were trained at an investigator meeting to per- form NC. The nailfolds of eight fingers (digits 2–5 on both hands) were examined using the same NC device equipped with a 200× lens with LED illumination and an immersion fluid contact adapter (Optilia instruments AB, Sollentuna, Sweden) in all centres. Four images

Table 1Description of collected data Demographics

Age (years) Sex (female/male)

Smoking habit (never smoker/ex-smoker/current smoker) Disease characteristics

Time since RP onset (years)

Time since first non-RP manifestation (years) Cutaneous involvement (limited/diffuse) Modified Rodnan skin score (range 051)

Erectile dysfunction (yes/no; defined as a score below 22 in the International Index for Erectile Dysfunction-5 [19])

Kidney involvement (yes/no; defined as proteinuria) History of renal crisis (yes/no)

RP condition score (range 010)

DUs (yes/no; defined as a painful area with visually discernible depth and a loss of continuity of epithelial coverage, which can be denuded or covered by a scab or necrotic tissue and is vascular in origin; DUs do not include fissures, paronychia, extrusion of calcium or ulcers over the metacarpophalangeal joints or elbows.)

Time since first DU (years) Number of DUs

Major digital vascular complications (none/soft tissue infection/

gangrene/autoamputation)

Laboratory (measured according to local standards in the respective centres)

Antinuclear autoantibody positivity (yes/no) Anticentromere autoantibody positivity (yes/no) Anti-topoisomerase autoantibody positivity (yes/no) DUdigital ulcer,RPRaynaud’s phenomenon

Walkeret al. Arthritis Research & Therapy (2018) 20:239 Page 2 of 8

(4)

across the nailfold quadrants of each finger were obtained.

Digital NC images were stored centrally and examined separately at the end of the study by two identically trained central assessors (UAW and OD). The central as- sessors were blinded for the patients, the temporal se- quence of the fingers and the scoring results of the other assessor. In each NC image, the assessors assessed the total number of capillaries in the distal row, the number of megacapillaries and the maximum diameter of the megacapillaries. Additionally, the images were also evalu- ated locally at the centres (local assessors). The qualitative assessment—that is, the NC pattern (early/active/late)—

was performed by one additional central assessor (RD).

The presence of at least one megacapillary is necessary to calculate the CSURI [8, 9]. The CSURI is calculated for only one image per patient per time point; this image is identified based on the lowest number of capillaries in the distal row as the first criterion and subsequently the highest number of megacapillaries as the second criter- ion [8, 9]. As described in detail elsewhere, the number of megacapillaries is multiplied by the maximum diam- eter of the megacapillaries and then divided by the square of the number of capillaries to form the CSURI [8,9]. For part of the analysis, we categorised the CSURI at 2.96, a threshold which was suggested to be predictive for the prospective development of DUs [9].

Data analysis

Categorical variables were calculated as frequencies and percentages, and continuous variables were calculated as means with standard deviation (SD) or medians with inter- quartile range (IQR). Chi-square tests/Fisher’s exact tests and Mann–WhitneyUtests were applied for across-group comparisons. Intraclass correlation coefficients and Cohen’s κwere calculated to assess the agreement between the two assessors. Linear regression analysis was applied to evaluate associations between the change in CSURI between base- line and follow-up and demographic or disease characteris- tics. All statistical analyses were performed with Stata/IC 13.1 (StataCorp., College Station, TX, USA).

Results

Between 2011 and 2015, 61 patients from eight centres were enrolled. The median observation time was 1.0 year

(IQR 1.0–1.1). Of these 61 patients, 24 patients accord- ing to central assessor 1 (39%) and 26 patients according to central assessor 2 (43%) had no megacapillaries present on any assessed finger either at baseline or at the follow-up visit (Table 2). Due to the absence of megacapillaries, the CSURI could not be calculated for those patients. Therefore, for only 34 of the 61 eligible patients (56%) was the CSURI scorable by both central assessors at both time points. This percentage of patients without megacapillaries was similar across all eight cen- tres (p= 0.72).

According to both central assessors, megacapillaries were present in 43 patients at baseline (Table2); 30% of these showed an early SSc pattern on NC, 44% an active pattern and 26% a late pattern. Of the 18 patients with- out megacapillaries present at baseline (Table 2), 6%

(one patient) had an early pattern, 28% a late pattern and the remaining 66% of patients showed no SSc spe- cific pattern on NC at baseline.

The following analyses are entirely based on the 34 pa- tients with an available CSURI by both central assessors at both time points, named the study population.

The baseline characteristics of the study population are presented in Table 3. The median observation time in this population was also 1.0 year (IQR 1.0–1.1). There were no statistically significant differences between the patients included in the study population and those ex- cluded from further analysis. The included patients were, however, slightly younger (median age 57 years vs 62 years) and nominally more often had diffuse skin in- volvement (41% vs 33%) than the excluded patients. As many as 24% of the patients had experienced ulcer com- plications (soft tissue infections and gangrene).

In the study population, central assessor 1 counted a median of five capillaries in the distal row (range 2–10) and a median of one megacapillary (range 1–6) with a median maximum diameter of 62.5 μm (range 50–130 μm). Central assessor 2 counted a median of five capil- laries in the distal row (range 2–10) and two megacapil- laries (range 1–20) with a median diameter of 75 μm (range 30–180μm).

The median baseline CSURI scores were 5.3 (IQR 2.6–

16.3) as evaluated by central assessor 1 and 6.4 (IQR 2.4–12.5) as evaluated by central assessor 2. The median

Table 2Overview of distribution of patients with absent megacapillaries at any of the assessed fingers (i.e. CSURI non-scorability) at baseline and follow-up according to the central assessors

SSc patients (out of 61 patients) who had no megacapillaries on any of the assessed fingers

Central assessor 1 Central assessor 2 Both central assessors combined

Baseline 15 patients (25%) 17 patients (28%) 18 patients (30%)

Follow-up 15 patients (25%) 18 patients (30%) 18 patients (30%)

Any of the two time points 24 patients (39%) 26 patients (43%) 27 patients (44%)

CSURIcapillaroscopic skin ulcer risk index,SScsystemic sclerosis

(5)

baseline CSURI was 8.2 (IQR 4.5–23.6) according to the local assessors. According to central assessor 1, the me- dian CSURI score increased to 5.9 (IQR 1.3–12.0) at follow-up, whereas the median CSURI as evaluated by central assessor 2 decreased to 5.0 (IQR 1.7–10.0) at follow-up. The correlation coefficient between the base- line CSURI of the two assessors was 0.42, indicating a fair agreement [11]. There was a poor to fair agreement between the CSURI scored by the central assessors and the local assessors (central assessor 1/local assessors 0.45; central assessor 2/local assessors 0.38).

As evaluated by central assessor 1, 35% of patients had a higher CSURI at follow-up compared to 44% when evaluated by central assessor 2. In only 40% of the 34 pa- tients was the change in CSURI between baseline and follow-up in the same direction for both central asses- sors; that is, an increase as measured by both assessors, a decrease in the measurements of both assessors or no change (Fig.1).

According to both central assessors, 10 patients (29%) were in the low-risk category (CSURI < 2.96 [9]) at base- line; however, only seven of those 10 patients were Table 3Comparison of baseline demographics and disease characteristics between patients included in this analysis (scorable CSURI at baseline and follow-up) and those excluded (CSURI not scorable at baseline and follow-up)

Baseline characteristic of study population Included Excluded pvalue

N 34 27

Age (years) 56.6 (47.864.8) 61.7 (53.664.6) 0.25

Male sex 26 30 0.79

Smoking habit

Never smoker 47 37 0.23

Ex-smoker 18 37

Current smoker 35 26

Bosentan at any time during the observation period 38 33 0.69

Disease characteristics

Time since RP onset (years) 7.0 (315) 5.0 (221) 0.65

Time since first non-RP manifestation (years) 4.5 (19) 5.0 (212) 0.44

Cutaneous involvement

Limited 59 67 0.53

Diffuse 41 33

Erectile dysfunction 13 44 0.29

Kidney involvement 0 4 0.45

History of renal crisis 0 0

RP condition score [20] 3.8 (27) 5.0 (27) 0.49

mRSS 8 (613) 9 (418) 0.63

Time since first DU (years) 1.5 (0.74.2) 2.3 (1.15.0) 0.42

DU 76 74 0.83

Number of DUs (in patients with DUs) 3.0 (17) 3.5 (16) 0.99

Previous major digital vascular complication

None 76 69 0.39

Soft tissue infection 21 15

Gangrene 3 8

Autoamputation 0 8

Laboratory parameters

ANA positive 100 96 0.25

ACA positive 48 45 0.83

Scl-70 positive 34 45 0.46

Data presented as % or median (interquartile range)

ACAanticentromere autoantibodies,ANAanti-nuclear autoantibodies,CSURIcapillaroscopic skin ulcer risk index,DUdigital ulcer,mRSSmodified Rodnan skin score,RPRaynauds phenomenon,Scl-70anti-topoisomerase I autoantibodies

Walkeret al. Arthritis Research & Therapy (2018) 20:239 Page 4 of 8

(6)

concomitantly rated by both assessors as being in the low-risk category. According to the local assessors, five patients (15%) were in the low-risk category; however, only two of those were concomitantly rated by both cen- tral assessors into the low-risk category. The inter-assessor agreement of the central assessors for the baseline CSURI risk category was 0.58, indicating a mod- erate level of agreement [12]. The inter-assessor agree- ments of the local assessor and central assessor 1 or 2 were both 0.25, indicating a fair agreement.

Central assessor 1 scored 88% of the patients into the same risk category at baseline and at follow-up (i.e. ei- ther low–low risk or high–high risk); the remaining 12%

were in the low-risk category at follow-up, but in the high-risk category at baseline. According to assessor 2, 73% of patients were in the same risk category at base- line and follow-up, 21% were in the high-risk category at baseline and in the low-risk category at follow-up, and 6% were in the low-risk category at baseline and in the high-risk category at follow-up. The agreement between the two central assessors of this‘change in risk categor- ies’was fair (κ= 0.37) [12]. There was no agreement be- tween central assessor 1 and central assessor 2 and the local assessors regarding this ‘change of risk category’

(κ=–0.09,κ=–0.16, respectively).

The prevalence of DU at baseline was 76% (Table 3) compared to 59% at follow-up. The ability of CSURI ≥ 2.96 (i.e. the high-risk category) to predict a higher num- ber of DUs at follow-up than at baseline visit was rather low (positive predictive value for both central assessors 38%, for local assessors 48%), as was the ability of CSURI

< 2.96 (i.e. low-risk category) to predict fewer or the same number of DUs at follow-up compared to baseline (negative predictive value for both central assessors 50%, for local assessors 67%). Out of the 34 included patients, 28 patients were classified into the same risk category by both central assessors. The positive and the negative predictive values based on these 28 patients were simi- larly lower (positive predictive value 38%, negative pre- dictive value 43%) than the predictive values based on all 34 patients. The predictive values in patients who were treated with bosentan at any time during the observation period were similar to those who were not treated with bosentan.

No demographic or disease characteristic was associ- ated with the change in the CSURI between baseline and follow-up simultaneously for both CSURIs, the one scored by assessor 1 and the one scored by assessor 2, in univariate linear regression (Table4).

Discussion

This prospective, longitudinal study examined the use of the CSURI in everyday clinical practice and demon- strates that 40% of patients in this multicentre study could not be evaluated with the CSURI at baseline and follow-up visits, mainly due to a normal NC pattern and the lack of any megacapillary as a prerequisite for the calculation of the CSURI [9,13]. Additionally, the agree- ment of the CSURI between the two trained and experi- enced assessors was mediocre at best, as was the agreement between the two central assessors and the local assessors.

Our high percentage of non-scorable patients con- trasts with the first CSURI study and the CSURI valid- ation study [8, 9]. In the first study all patients had megacapillaries present, and in the second study only 13 out of an unselected SSc population of 242 patients (5%) were excluded from the study due to the absence of megacapillaries [8, 9]. However, in various other studies that were not applying the CSURI, the percentage of pa- tients without megacapillaries was comparable to our high percentage. For instance, in a study of 188 SSc pa- tients at least one quarter of patients had no megacapil- laries [14]. Similarly, in two other studies, 24% and 30%

of patients had no megacapillaries in any of the assessed fingers [15, 16]. Our discrepancies with the first CSURI studies are difficult to explain with differences of equip- ment, given the fact that very similar devices were in use in the first CSURI studies as well as in our study. Our patient population had similar disease duration as the patients consecutively recruited into the first CSURI study [8], but a higher proportion of diffuse SSc patients (41% vs 9%), which may not explain the lower preva- lence of megacapillaries in our study.

Fig. 1Change in CSURI between baseline and follow-up as evaluated by central assessors 1 and 2. CSURI capillaroscopic skin ulcer risk index

(7)

In our study, the CSURI had only fair to moderate inter-rater reliability. This contrasts with an‘almost per- fect’ inter-observer reproducibility reported by Sebas- tiani et al. [8] in the original CSURI study, withκ= 0.96 based on the CSURI, dichotomised at the 2.96 cut-off value. A slightly lower but still ‘almost perfect’

inter-rater agreement of 0.85 was found in the validation study [9]. It is unlikely that these discrepancies can be completely explained with a lack of experience or differ- ent training, as both central assessors were trained to- gether by authors of the original CSURI publications and used the same digital images and imaging software.

The CSURI was created as a prognostic index to pre- dict the onset of new DUs [8]. In a validation study, Sebastiani et al. [9] demonstrated high predictive values for the development of DUs within 3 months, especially a high negative predictive value of 97%, but also a high positive predictive value of the CSURI of 81% in patients with a history of DUs. However, in another study by

Sebastiani et al. [17] a poorer performance of the CSURI with lower predictive values was also observed in a population of SSc patients treated with bosentan. Differ- ences in DU prediction may therefore be explained by differences in vasoactive medications. When we stratified our patients by bosentan treatment, we did not observe major differences in predictive values. It must, however, also be kept in mind that the predictive values from our study should not be directly compared with the studies by Sebastiani et al. as we assessed the predictive values of a higher number of DUs at follow-up compared to baseline and not ‘incident DU’as Sebastiani et al. Add- itionally, the time between the baseline and the follow-up visit was considerably longer in our study (me- dian time 1 year) than in Sebastiani et al.’s studies (3 months), which could also partly explain the differ- ences in the predictive power of the CSURI.

A recent systematic literature review critically apprais- ing studies reporting the prognostic value of NC in SSc Table 4Univariate linear regression ofΔCSURI (defined as the difference of CSURI between baseline and follow-up) and

demographics and disease characteristics (n= 34)

Characteristic of study population Central assessor 1 Central assessor 2

β 95% CI pvalue β 95% CI pvalue

Age (years) 0.095 0.75 to 0.56 0.77 0.222 0.08 to 0.53 0.15

Male sex 0.92 19.2 to 17.4 0.92 3.5 12.2 to 5.3 0.42

Smoking habit

Never smoker Reference Reference

Ex-smoker 3.61 18.7 to 25.9 0.74 1.4 12.3 to 9.5 0.79

Current smoker 11.54 6.2 to 29.3 0.20 3.9 12.7 to 4.8 0.36

Disease characteristics

Time since RP onset (years) 0.093 0.75 to 0.56 0.77 0.096 0.19 to 0.39 0.50

Time since first non-RP manifestation (years) 1.16 2.9 to 0.6 0.18 0.91 0.1 to 1.7 0.025

Time since first DU (years) 0.81 3.0 to 1.4 0.46 0.90 0.0 to 1.8 0.046

Previous major digital vascular complication

None Reference Reference

Soft tissue infection 5.62 25.9 to 14.6 0.58 3.15 6.4 to 12.7 0.51

Gangrene 5.24 43.2 to 53.7 0.83 14.74 8.1 to 37.5 0.20

Cutaneous involvement

Limited Reference Reference

Diffuse 4.05 12.3 to 20.4 0.62 3.08 10.9 to 4.8 0.43

Erectile dysfunction 7.99 14.2 to1.8 0.019 7.28 21.1 to 6.5 0.25

RP condition score [20] at baseline 0.51 2.4 to 1.4 0.59 0.11 1.0 to 0.8 0.81

mRSS at baseline 0.04 0.9 to 0.9 0.93 0.002 0.4 to 0.4 0.99

Number of DUs at baseline 1.05 0.8 to 2.9 0.25 0.55 0.3 to 1.4 0.21

Laboratory parameters

ACA positive 6.08 10.4 to 22.5 0.46 0.02 8.1 to 8.0 0.99

Scl-70 positive 16.5 34.8 to 1.8 0.075 2.73 12.1 to 6.7 0.56

ACAanticentromere autoantibodies,CIconfidence interval,CSURIcapillaroscopic skin ulcer risk index,DUdigital ulcer,mRSSmodified Rodnan skin score,RP Raynauds phenomenon,Scl-70anti-topoisomerase autoantibodies

Walkeret al. Arthritis Research & Therapy (2018) 20:239 Page 6 of 8

(8)

also assessed the predictive value of the CSURI [18]. In line with our study, Paxton and Pauling [18] conclude that it is difficult to draw robust conclusions regarding the prognostic role of the CSURI; the reason for this be- ing high levels of potential biases relating to study con- founding as well as the statistical analyses.

It needs to be mentioned that our study has a rather limited sample size, which restricts the power to assess CSURI predictors in terms of demographic and disease characteristics. However, the mediocre performance of the CSURI regarding the inter-rater differences, as well as the high number of patients who could not be in- cluded due to the absence of megacapillaries, will not be a result of chance alone, even if a larger sample size would naturally have been beneficial.

Conclusions

The CSURI was not applicable in a large percentage of patients due to the absence of megacapillaries and dem- onstrated only fair to moderate inter-rater reliability.

Thus, in routine clinical practice, the CSURI should be used with caution for treatment decisions and prediction of incident DUs.

Additional file

Additional file 1:Table S1.Inclusion and exclusion criteria. (DOCX 16 kb)

Abbreviations

CSURI:Capillaroscopic skin ulcer risk index; DU: Digital ulcer; IQR: Interquartile range; NC: Nailfold capillaroscopy; RP: Raynauds phenomenon; SD: Standard deviation; SSc: Systemic sclerosis

Funding

This study was sponsored by Actelion Pharma Schweiz AG. The company contributed to the design of the study and was involved in the interpretation of the data and the writing, review and approval of the publication.

Availability of data and materials

The datasets analysed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

Authorscontributions

UAW, KMB and OD contributed to conception and design. UAW, RD, LA, MB, CC, EG, RBM, FS, PMV and OD contributed to acquisition of data. UAW, VKJ, RD, JB and OD analysed and interpreted data. UAW, VKJ, RD, JB and OD drafted the article. All authors critically revised the manuscript for important intellectual content. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

Ethics approval and consent to participate

Ethics approval was obtained from the following ethics committees:

Ethikkommission Nordwest- und Zentralschweiz, Kantonale Ethikkommission Kanton Aargau, Commission Cantonale dÉthique de la Recherche Genève, Commission cantonal (VD) déthique de la recherché sur lêtre humain, Kantonale Ethikkommission Bern, Ethikkommission Ostschweiz and Kantonale Ethikkommission Zürich.

Consent for publication Not applicable.

Competing interests

VKJ received travel grant and travel support from Actelion Pharma Schweiz AG. KMB was a former full-time employee of Actelion Pharma Schweiz AG.

RD received research funding through an Articulum Fellowship sponsored by Pfizer (20132014), a EULAR training bursary and from the FP-7- DeSScipher project, and speaker fees from Actelion. JB is a full-time em- ployee of Actelion Pharma Schweiz AG. CC received travel support and speaker fees from Actelion and Boehringer Ingelheim. OD has a consultancy relationship and/or research funding from AnaMar, Bayer, Boehringer Ingel- heim, Catenion, CSL Behring, ChemomAb, Roche, GSK, Inventiva, Italfarmaco, Lilly, medac, Medscape, Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma, MSD, Novartis, Pfizer, Sanofi and UCB in the area of potential treatments of scleroderma and its complications; in addition, OD has licensed patent mir-29 for the treatment of systemic sclerosis. The remaining authors declare that they have no com- peting interests.

Publisher’s Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Author details

1Department of Rheumatology, University Hospital Basel, Petersgraben 4, 4032 Basel, Switzerland.2Bellikon, Switzerland.3Department of Rheumatology, University Hospital Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.4Institut CentralHôpital du Valais, Sion, Switzerland.5Kantonsspital Luzern, Luzern, Switzerland.6Actelion Pharma Schweiz AG, Baden, Switzerland.7Immunology

& Allergy, University Hospital and School of Medicine, Geneva, Switzerland.

8Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland.9Kantonsspital St. Gallen, St. Gallen, Switzerland.10Division of Immunology and Allergy, Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Vaudois, Lausanne, Switzerland.11Department of Rheumatology, Immunology and Allergology, University Hospital and University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.

Received: 23 July 2018 Accepted: 25 September 2018

References

1. Gabrielli A, Avvedimento EVEV, Krieg T. Scleroderma. N Engl J Med. 2009;

360(19):19892003.

2. Varga J, Trojanowska M, Kuwana M. Pathogenesis of systemic sclerosis:

recent insights of molecular and cellular mechanisms and therapeutic opportunities. J Scleroderma Relat Disord. 2017;2(3):13752.

3. Cutolo M, Sulli A, Smith V. Assessing microvascular changes in systemic sclerosis diagnosis and management. Nat Rev Rheumatol. 2010;6(10):578 87.

4. Cutolo M, Pizzorni C, Secchi ME, Sulli A. Capillaroscopy. Best Pract Res Clin Rheumatol. 2008;22(6):1093108.

5. van den Hoogen F, Khanna D, Fransen J, Johnson SR, Baron M, Tyndall A, et al. 2013 classification criteria for systemic sclerosis: an American College of Rheumatology/European League against Rheumatism collaborative initiative. Arthritis Rheum. 2013;65(11):273747.

6. Smith V, Thevissen K, Trombetta AC, Pizzorni C, Ruaro B, Piette Y, et al.

Nailfold capillaroscopy and clinical applications in systemic sclerosis.

Microcirculation. 2016;23(5):36472.

7. Cutolo M, Smith V. Nailfold capillaroscopy. In: Scleroderma. Boston: Springer US; 2012. p. 33146.

8. Sebastiani M, Manfredi A, Colaci M, Damico R, Malagoli V, Giuggioli D, et al.

Capillaroscopic skin ulcer risk index: a new prognostic tool for digital skin ulcer development in systemic sclerosis patients. Arthritis Rheum. 2009;

61(5):68894.

9. Sebastiani M, Manfredi A, Vukatana G, Moscatelli S, Riato L, Bocci M, et al.

Predictive role of capillaroscopic skin ulcer risk index in systemic sclerosis: a multicentre validation study. Ann Rheum Dis. 2012;71(1):6770.

10. Masi AT, Rodnan GP, Medsger TA Jr, Altman RD, DAngelo WA, Fries JF, et al.

Preliminary criteria for the classification of systemic sclerosis (scleroderma).

Subcommittee for scleroderma criteria of the American Rheumatism Association Diagnostic and Therapeutic Criteria Committee. Arthritis Rheum.

1980;23(5):58190.

11. Cicchetti DV, D V. Guidelines, criteria, and rules of thumb for evaluating normed and standardized assessment instruments in psychology. Psychol Assess. 1994;6(4):28490.

(9)

12. Landis JR, Koch GG. The measurement of observer agreement for categorical data. Biometrics. 1977;33(1):15974.

13. Sebastiani M, Manfredi A, Cassone G, Giuggioli D, Ghizzoni C, Ferri C.

Measuring microangiopathy abnormalities in systemic sclerosis patients: the role of capillaroscopy-based scoring models. Am J Med Sci. 2014;348(4):

3316.

14. Pavan TR, Bredemeier M, Hax V, Capobianco KG, da Silva Mendonça Chakr R, Xavier RM. Capillary loss on nailfold capillary microscopy is associated with mortality in systemic sclerosis. Clin Rheumatol. 2018;37(2):47581.

15. Ruaro B, Sulli A, Alessandri E, Pizzorni C, Ferrari G, Cutolo M, et al. Laser speckle contrast analysis: a new method to evaluate peripheral blood perfusion in systemic sclerosis patients. Ann Rheum Dis. 2014;73(6):11815.

16. Lüders S, Friedrich S, Ohrndorf S, Glimm A-M, Burmester G-R, Riemekasten G, et al. Detection of severe digital vasculopathy in systemic sclerosis by colour Doppler sonography is associated with digital ulcers. Rheumatology.

2017;56(11):186573.

17. Sebastiani M, Cestelli V, Manfredi A, Praino E, Cannarile F, Spinella A, et al.

SAT0621 Validation Study of Predictive Value of Capillaroscopic Skin Ulcer Risk Index (CSURI) in Scleroderma Patients Treated with Bosentan. Ann Rheum Dis. 2015;74(Suppl 2):886.1886.

18. Paxton D, Pauling JD. Does nailfold capillaroscopy help predict future outcomes in systemic sclerosis? A systematic literature review. Semin Arthritis Rheum. 2018.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.semarthrit.2018.02.005.

19. Rosen RC, Cappelleri JC, Smith MD, Lipsky J, Peña BM. Development and evaluation of an abridged, 5-item version of the International Index of Erectile Function (IIEF-5) as a diagnostic tool for erectile dysfunction. Int J Impot Res. 1999;11(6):31926.

20. Merkel PA, Herlyn K, Martin RW, Anderson JJ, Mayes MD, Bell P, et al.

Measuring disease activity and functional status in patients with scleroderma and Raynauds phenomenon. Arthritis Rheum. 2002;46(9):241020.

Walkeret al. Arthritis Research & Therapy (2018) 20:239 Page 8 of 8

Références

Documents relatifs

This observational, prospective, multicentre, non-comparative study of patients undergoing myelosuppressive and intensive chemotherapy for AML who are at high-risk of invasive

These 124 individuals were excluded from subsequent analyses to increase the specificity of cancer diagnoses, except in model 2b, which aimed at optimizing the

The measurement range depends on the power of the light source, the reflection levels of the reference surface and the particles (i.e., particle size), and the collection angle of

Based on a large-scale experiment using a representative panel of the Dutch population, we test if these measures can explain two different types of behavior:

The Trial to Reduce IDDM in the Genetically at Risk (TRIGR) study is an international randomised double-blind controlled intervention trial that was designed to establish

stochastic risk-free interest rate (Longstaff and Schwartz, 1992); connection of debt value to firm risk, taxes, bankruptcy cost and bond covenants (Le- land, 1994); valuation of

Prospective associations between 12 behavioural and clinical risk factors (gender, age, parental history of CVD, non- moderate alcohol consumption, smoking, physical

Adult participants (≥18 years) included in this study were from the observational longitudinal multicenter na- tional Prospective Registry of Early Systemic Sclerosis (PRESS)