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On the decadal scale correlation between African Dust and Sahel rainfall: the role of Saharan heat Low-forced winds

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HAL Id: insu-01246623

https://hal-insu.archives-ouvertes.fr/insu-01246623

Submitted on 19 Dec 2015

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On the decadal scale correlation between African Dust

and Sahel rainfall: the role of Saharan heat Low-forced

winds

Weijie Wang, Amato Evan, Cyrille Flamant, Christophe Lavaysse

To cite this version:

Weijie Wang, Amato Evan, Cyrille Flamant, Christophe Lavaysse. On the decadal scale correlation

between African Dust and Sahel rainfall: the role of Saharan heat Low-forced winds. AGU Fall

Meeting 2015, Dec 2015, San Francisco, United States. pp.A23C-0318, 2015. �insu-01246623�

(2)

On the decadal scale correlation between African dust and Sahel rainfall:

the role of Saharan Heat Low-forced winds

Introduc)on

By mass, aeolian dust is the most pervasive aerosol in the atmosphere. The presence of suspended dust affects the local energy balance through direct and indirect effects, modifies the hydrological cycle via radiative forcing and modification of cloud microphysical properties, and is a vehicle for the long-range transport of nutrients to global oceans and terrestrial land surfaces.

North Africa is the world’s largest dust source; accounting for more than 55% of the global dust emissions. Long-term in-situ observations at and coral reef proxy and satellite have shown that dust emission from North Africa peaked during the mid-1980s and has followed a downward trend through at least the late 2000s. Studies have found dust cover over the Atlantic is anticorrelated with precious-year Sahelian precipitation. However, there are several aspects of such a theory that are not consistent. For example, satellite imagery suggests that the vast majority of dust-emitting regions lie to the north of the vegetated region of the Sahel. Here we reconcile this contradiction by showing that both Saharan surface wind fields over the major regional dust emitting regions, and the northward propagation of the monsoon flow and thus Sahel rainfall, are forced by the thermodynamic state of a meteorological feature termed the Saharan Heat Low.

The$Saharan$heat$low$(SHL)

The$SHL$is$defined$as$the$atmospheric$thickness$between$the$700$hPa$and$925hPa levels,$using$geopotenDal$height$from$ERA$Interim$reanalysis.

PrecipitaDon

The$VersionM2$Global$PrecipitaDon$Climatology$Project$(GPCP).

Dust$aerosol$opDcal$depth

Retrieved$from$satellite$radiance$measurements$from$the$Advanced$Very$High ResoluDon$Radiaometer$(AVHRR).

Dust emission rates

Derived from Spinning Enhanced Visible and Infrared Imager infrared dust index images.

Winds

ERA Interim reanalysis

Data,and,Methods

Upper: Seasonal (June-August) time series of Zhl (red), precipitation (P, blue) and td (yellow). The monthly mean precipitation series is averaged over 5° W to 20° E, 10° to 20° N, and td is averaged over 10° to 65° W and 0° to 30°N. The thin lines are the seasonal means and the thick lines are the 5-season smoothed time series (via a 1-4-7-4-1 filter).

Weijie Wang, Amato Evan, Cyrille Flamant and Christophe Lavaysse

contact: wjwang@ucsd.edu

Results

Conclusion

Left: Climatology (A) and anomaly (B) of precipitation and winds. (A) Map of annual dust emission, climatological precipitation and 925 hPa climatological wind vectors. Dust emission rates are derived from Spinning Enhanced Visible and Infrared Imager infrared dust index images in units of % of annual North Africa dust emission. The magenta contours are precipitation in units of mm day-1 averaged for the summertime from 1979 through 2012 and wind vectors in units of m s-1 are averaged for the same period of time. The red circle indicates the location of the SHL during the summer. The brown boxes are the major dust hotspots of the Bodélé Depression (14° to 24° E, 14° to 21° N), the depression in the lee of Aïr and Adrar Mountains (2° to 10° E, 16° to 24° N), and the Mauritania and Western Sahara source region (12°W to 2° E, 18° to 27° N). (B) Map of the coefficients of the regression of the 925 hPa climatological wind vector, the wind speed and precipitation onto Zhl for the summertime from 1979 through 2012. Shaded regions with color contours are statistically significant at the 90% level.

Climatology (A) and anomaly (B) of precipitation and winds

We show that interannual variability in Sahelian rainfall, and surface wind speeds over the Sahara, are the result of changes in lower tropospheric air temperatures over the SHL. As the SHL warms an anomalous tropospheric circulation develops that reduces windspeeds over the Sahara and displaces the monsoonal rainfall northward, thus simultaneously increasing Sahelian rainfall and reducing dust emission from the major dust “hot-spots” in the Sahara.

Left: Histogram counts (per 0.2m/s) of 10 m wind speed from ERA-Interim reanalysis for the 300 strongest (red) and weakest (blue) phases of the SHL in the Bodélé Depression (A), a depression in the lee of Aïr and Adrar Mountains (B), and the Mauritania and Western Sahara (C) in the summertime from 1979 through 2012. The means of the wind speed for strong and weak SHL are statistically significantly different in ABC based on the 2-tailed t-test. Shown in panels DEF are the wind speed histogram differences for the warm minus cool SHL cases. The grey shaded region represents wind speed threshold for dust emission.

Right: Difference in aerosol optical depth (DAOD) for 300 warmest minus 300 coolest SHL from MODIS Aqua Version 5.1 over North Africa from 2003 through 2014.

Histogram count of 10m wind speed

MODIS Aqua Deep Blue

Publica)on

W. Wang, A. T. Evan, C. Flamant, C. Lavaysse, On the decadal scale correlation between African dust and Sahel rainfall: The role of Saharan heat low–forced winds. Sci. Adv. 1, e1500646 (2015).

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