A
framework
for
the
science
contribution
in
climate
adaptation:
Experiences
from
science-policy
processes
in
the
Andes
Christian
Huggel
a,*
,
Marlene
Scheel
a,
Franziska
Albrecht
b,c,
Norina
Andres
d,
Pierluigi
Calanca
e,
Christine
Jurt
a,e,
Nikolay
Khabarov
b,
Daniel
Mira-Salama
f,
Mario
Rohrer
g,
Nadine
Salzmann
a,h,
Yamina
Silva
i,
Elizabeth
Silvestre
j,
Luis
Vicun˜
a
a,
Massimiliano
Zappa
daDepartmentofGeography,UniversityofZurich,8057Zurich,Switzerland
bInternationalInstituteforAppliedSystemsAnalysis,2361Laxenburg,Austria
c
DepartmentofGeographyandRegionalResearch,UniversityofVienna,1010Vienna,Austria
dSwissFederalInstituteofForest,SnowandLandscapeResearch,8903Birmensdorf,Switzerland
eAgroscope,InstituteforSustainabilitySciencesISS,8046Zurich,Switzerland
fEnvironmentandNaturalResourcesGlobalPractice,TheWorldBank,Washington,DC20433,UnitedStates
gMeteodatGmnbH,8005Zurich,Switzerland
h
DepartmentofGeosciences,UniversityofFribourg,1700Fribourg,Switzerland
i
GeophysicalInstituteofPeru,Lima,Peru
jINCLIMA,PuebloLibre,Lima,Peru
Assignificantimpactsofclimatechangeareincreasinglyconsideredunavoidable,adaptationhas become a policypriority.Itis generally agreedthatscienceis importantfor the adaptationprocess
butspecificguidanceonhowandtowhatdegreescienceshouldcontributeandbeembeddedin
thisprocessisstilllimitedwhichisatoddswiththehighdemandforsciencecontributionsto
climateadaptationbyinternationalorganizations,nationalgovernmentsandothers.Herewe
presentandanalyzeexperiencesfromthetropicalAndesbasedonarecentscience-policyprocess
onthenationalandsupra-nationalgovernmentlevel.Duringthisprocessaframeworkforthe
sciencecontributioninclimateadaptationhasbeendeveloped;itconsistsofthreestages,
including(1) the framing and problemdefinition, (2)thescientificassessmentofclimate,impacts, vulnerabilitiesandrisks,and(3)theevaluationofadaptationoptionsandtheirimplementation.A
largeamountofmethodshasbeenanalyzedforstage(2),andanumberofmajorclimate
adaptationprojectsintheregionassessedfor(3).Ourstudyunderlinestheimportanceofjoint
problemframingamongvariousscientificandnon-scientificactors,definitionof
socio-environ-mentalsystems,timeframes,andamoreintenseinteractionofsocialandphysicalclimateand
impactsciences.Scientifically,thescarcityofenvironmental,socialandeconomicdata inregions
liketheAndescontinuetorepresentalimitationtoadaptation,andfurtherinvestmentsinto
coordinatedsocio-environmentalmonitoring,dataavailabilityandsharingareessential.
Published in (QYLURQPHQWDO6FLHQFH 3ROLF\±
which should be cited to refer to this work.
1.
Introduction
Aseffectivemitigationofclimatechangehasturnedouttobea
major political challenge, and the objective of containing
warmingtobelow+28Cinrelationtopreindustriallevelsis
increasinglydifficulttoachieve(Stocker,2013),adaptationto
bothnegativeandpositiveeffectsofwarmingisunavoidable
andhasbecomeapolicypriority.Infact,overthepastyears,
increasingattentionhasbeenpaidtoadaptation,reflectedin
thenegotiationsoftheUnitedNationsFrameworkConvention
on Climate Change (UNFCCC) (Khan and Roberts, 2013).
Adaptationisrelevantbothforthedevelopinganddeveloped
world, and countries have developed adaptation strategies
and beguntoplan and implement adaptation measuresin
differentsectors,suchaswaterresources,naturalhazardsor
agriculture(Biesbroeketal.,2010;BotzenandVanDenBergh,
2008;Poussinetal.,2012).
It has been recognized that adaptation is a multi-scale
processthatneedstoconsidernotonlydifferentsourcesof
knowledgebutalsosocietalandculturalvalues,objectivesand
risk perceptions of different involved actors (IPCC, 2014).
Adaptationisplace-andcontext-specific,withlocal
govern-ments and communities playinga keyroleinthe process.
How,whenandtowhatdegreescienceshouldinteractandbe
partoftheadaptationprocessisanongoingdiscussionand
hasalsobeenanalyzedforotherenvironmentalfields(Moser
andEkstrom,2010;Paavola,2008;Pohlet al.,2010).Science
playsaparticularroleintheknowledgeproductionprocess
whereothersourcesofknowledgesuchaslocaland
indige-nous knowledge may also be of substantial relevance,
depending on the context (Cash et al., 2003; Ford et al.,
2012; Valdivia et al., 2010; Vogel et al., 2007). Research on
science-policyinteractionshasanalyzedandproposed
differ-ent models. A supply driven model, also termed ‘science
push’,foreseesthatscienceproductionisdrivenbythepursuit
of knowledge with limited applicability to solution of
problems, and thus often limited use for decision-making
(Bielaketal.,2008;Cashetal.,2006;DillingandLemos,2011).In
a demand driven, ‘policy pull’ model the production of
scientificknowledgeiscommissionedbypolicyinsearchof
practical solutions, but various experiences show that the
informationaskedformaynotbecoherentwiththescientific
perspective (Sarewitz and Pielke, 2007). A third approach
combinesthe‘sciencepush’and‘policypull’modelsintoa
co-production,orjointproductionofknowledgewhichimpliesan
iterativecommunicationbetweenscienceandpolicy(Dilling
and Lemos, 2011; Lemos and Morehouse, 2005). Based on
empirical evidence, there is increasingagreement that the
approachofjointproductionofknowledgeisamorefeasible
and successful model to achieve environmental solutions
(Heggeretal.,2012).Thecallisoutforadaptationresearchto
analyzehowdecisionsaremade,and howtofacilitateand
improvethepolicyimplementationunderconstraintsoftime,
information,capacityandresources(Smithetal.,2009).
Inpractice,todate,weobservedastrongdemandbypolicy
for science to develop and contribute primarily toward a
scientific basis for adaptation projects in fields such as
physical climate science, climate impacts, vulnerabilities
and risks.Thescientificbasisistherebyunderstoodas the
dataandinformationthatisgeneratedbyscienceregarding
thenaturalandhumansystems,typicallyincluding
observa-tionsontherecentpast,andprojectionsandscenariosofthe
future. An analysis of the actual adaptation process that
includesadaptation planning and managementunder
con-siderationofdifferentlevelsofgovernanceandlocalactors
hasbeenlessoftenaskedforandconductedbutis
neverthe-lessanessentialelement(Smithetal.,2009).
Thisstudy focuses on the scientific contributionto the
adaptation process, and how the scientific knowledge is
embeddedin thecontext ofthe adaptation process witha
focus on the tropicalAndes. As we will show here,it has
become clear that a framework for the production and
exchangeofscientificknowledgewithinthemultiple
dimen-sionsofadaptationplanningisanimportantneed.Recently
someframeworkshave indeedbeen proposed(seea
corre-spondingassessmentin(IPCC,2014),althoughsomeofthem
maylackspecificityintermsofthematicandmethodological
guidanceandregionalorlocalcontext.Severalinternational
organizationsanddevelopmentagencies,aswellastechnical
andscientificinstitutionsinfacthavecalledfor
methodologi-calguidance.ArecentinitiativeinvolvingtheWorldBank,the
AndeanCommunityofNations,theSwissFederalAgencyfor
the Environment, the Swiss Agency for Development and
Cooperation,andascientificconsortiumofSwissandAustria
basedresearchinstitutionsapproachedtheissue.Thefocusof
thestudywasonthetropicalAndesregion,yetwithaneyeon
apossibleapplicationoftheframeworkandmethodologyin
othermountainregions.Theselectionofthethematicscope
andscientificdisciplineswasbasedontheirimportance for
the Andes region and defined by the involved actors.
Accordingly,thefocuswasonclimatology,waterresources,
agricultureand food security, ecosystems, natural hazards
andrisks.Social,cultural,economicandpoliticalaspectswere
consideredascross-runningissuesimplyingahighly
inter-disciplinaryapproach.Itisrecognizedthatthethematicscope
defined here cannot encompass all potentially relevant
aspectsbutathematicconcentrationwasregardednecessary
forthesakeoffeasibility.
Theobjectivesofthispaperare:(i)developingaframework
forthesciencecontributionintheadaptationprocessinthe
Andescontext;(ii)providingevidenceandanalyzing
experi-ences for the different stages of the framework; and (iii)
putting the Andes experiences and framework in a larger
climateadaptationcontext.Theseobjectivesimplyacertain
hybridcharacterofthispaper,bypresentingaframeworkand
discussing its implementation, but also including review
elementsonthestateofmethodsindifferentthematicfields
intheAndesregionandpartlybeyondtheregion.
Accordingly, the paper is organized as follows: we first
introduce the Andes region and the policy context within
which the framework was developed (Section 2). We then
describe the framework, along with its different stages,
including the framing and problem definition (Section 3),
thescientificassessmentofclimate,impacts,vulnerabilities
andrisks(Section4),andtheevaluationofadaptationoptions
andtheirimplementation(Section5).ForSections4and5we
buildon,and reviewexistingexperiencesfromscienceand
adaptationprojectsintheAndesregion,andanalyzetheuseof
scientificinformationintheseprojects.Weemphasizethatwe
concentrate on the science contribution in the adaptation
process;othercomponentsofadaptationmaybeequallyor
moreimportantbutarenotamainfocushere.Assuchthe
implementation of adaptation is beyond the scope of this
study but we include it in the framework because of its
fundamentalimportanceintheadaptationprocessandcycle.
In Section 6 we critically analyze the framework and the
relatedexperiencesinclimateadaptationintheAndes,and
identifykeygapsandneeds,andeventuallyputthisinalarger
(global) context.We are wellaware that all three subjects
addressed inSections3–5would meritaseparatestudy,at
least.However,weareconvincedthatthereisanaddedvalue
of integrating the complete process into one study, even
thoughsimplificationswillbenecessary.
2.
Study
region
and
science-policy
context
WeprimarilyfocusontropicalAndeanmountainand
high-mountain regions and exclude coastal or tropical forest
regionswhichalsoformpartofalltropicalAndeancountries
andaresimilarlysubjecttoadaptationinterests(Fig.1).Inthe
tropicalAndeanmountainsareas,theexposureand
vulnera-bilityofpeople toclimaticchange isgenerallyhigh dueto
often extremeconditions such ashigh climaticvariability,
steeptopography,remotesettingandhighlevels ofpoverty
(CAN,2008;Magrinetal.,2014;Salzmannetal.,2009).Rural
mountain communities in the Andes are in fact often
characterized by limited livelihood options and adaptive
capacityisconfinedby limitedinformation,pooraccess to
services and often inequitable access to productive assets
(GentleandMaraseni,2012;Lynch,2012;McDowellandHess, 2012;Sietzetal.,2012;YoungandLipton,2006).Furthermore,
dueto theirmore remotelocation mountain regions often
disposeofonlysparseclimaticandenvironmentalscientific
observations,adeficiencythatisparticularlypronouncedin
developing countries. These are important limitations for
elaboratingascientificbasisforclimatechange adaptation
planningandimplementation(Salzmannetal.,2009,2014).
ThisstudywasdevelopedinthecontextoftheAdaptation
totheImpactsofRapidGlacierRetreatintheTropicalAndes
project(PRAA)andinvolvedthefourcountriesoftheAndean
CommunityofNations(CAN),i.e.Bolivia,Colombia,Ecuador
andPeru.Thegoverningandexecutingpoliticalbodyofthe
projectwastheGeneralSecretariatoftheCAN.IntheCAN,any
regionaldecisionneedstoconciliateinterestsandexperiences
fromdifferentactorsandrealities.Thisimposeschallenges
andmightrequiretheuseofconsensus-buildingapproaches
andtools.FurtheractorsweretheMinistriesofEnvironment
ofthefourAndeannationalgovernments,plusanumberof
technical national government institutions such as the
nationalmeteorologicalandhydrologicalservices,orthecivil
defenseagencies.FromEuropeanumberofSwissandAustria
based universities and research institutions joined the
process. TheWorld Bank played a supervision roleof the
project,andactedastheimplementingagencyfortheGlobal
EnvironmentalFacility(GEF),whichprovidedtheGrantfunds
fortheproject.
3.
Framing
and
scoping
process
Aframeworkisoneofthecriticalelementsinaprocesswhere
scienceinteractswithpolicyandsociety(Dewulf,2013).Inour
casetheframeworkwasdevelopedduringanumberof
face-to-faceworkshopstakingplaceovermorethanoneyear.Fig.2
displays the result of this scoping exercise visualizing
differentstepsoftheadaptationprocessandtheembedment
ofthescientificcontributioninthecontextofdifferentactors,
includinglocalcommunities,governmentsandprivatesector,
withessentialsocial,cultural,economic, politicaland legal
dimensions.
In our framework the framing, scoping and problem
definition,andthedefinitionofthepertinent
socio-environ-mentalsystemsrepresentthefirststage.Weidentifiedthe
following questions that should be addressed at the first
stage:
Whatsocio-environmentalsystemsareatstakeandhoware
theydefined?
Which actors (e.g. local communities, institutions) are
involvedorrelevant?
What is the social, cultural, political and environmental
context ofthe actors (historically and at present)? What
Fig.1–MapofthetropicalAndesregionandcountries,
indicatingthelocationoftheclimateadaptationprojects
analyzedinTable1:(1)PRAA;(2)PACC;(3)Proyecto
Glaciares;(4)INAP;(5)MacizoColombiano;(6)PPCR;(7)
IMACC.Backgroundimageistheprecipitationclimatology
forthemonthofJune,basedonTRMM3B43V7datafrom
1998to2013.
changescanbecomeimportantinthefuture,whataretheir consequences?
Aretheexpectationsbythedifferentactorsinlinewiththe
scientificstate-of-the-art, in terms of methods,available
data,andtimeframe?
Studies of the dynamic social, political, cultural and
economiccontext,includingperceptionstudiescanidentify
socialandculturalaspectsoflocalenvironmentalchangeand
risks (Adger et al., 2013; Carey et al., 2012a,b) that are
important for the framing process. The objectives among
theactorsinvolvedinclimateadaptation,infact,cangreatly
diverge(Heggeretal.,2012;WeichselgartnerandKasperson,
2010). The definition of objectives and problem framing
thereforemustnecessarilybeajointprocessthatinvolvesa
rangeofstakeholdersandactors,wheretheinclusionoflocal
peopleandinstitutionshasbeenshowntoenhance
adapta-tionimplementationandreducesocialconflicts(Dewulf,2013;
Lynch,2012).
Theframingprocess (firststage) mayoverlaptime-wise
withthenext,second stagewhichconsistsofthescientific
assessments.Thislevelisexpectedtoproducetherequired
understanding of the socio-environmental systems, as
de-fined in the framing process, for past, present and future
conditions(seeSection4formoredetails).
Thethirdstagewhichmayalsooverlapwiththescientific
assessmentincludestheevaluationofadaptationoptionsand
eventually decisions on adaptation measures. The close
interactionbetweenvariousactorsgeneratedatthefirststage
ofthe process(framing,problemdefinition)isfacilitatinga
morecoherentandconcerted,andthususeful,processneeded
forthe developmentofadaptation strategiesand measures
(BrownandWilby,2012;Huggeletal.,2012;McNie,2007).The
open circle in Fig. 2 indicates the iterative nature of this
processwhich represents animportant finding frommany
adaptationexperiencesintheAndesandotherpartsofthe
world,asalsoemphasizedintherecentIPCC5thAssessment
Report(IPCC,2014).
Fig.2alsoincludesanindicativetimeframeofthedifferent
stepsoftheprocess.Thisaspecthasoftenbeenneglectedor
underestimatedinthepast,andexperiences(seealsoTable1)
showthatthedifferenttimeframesoftheinvolvedactorscan
be a major barrier to a successful science contribution in
adaptation(seeSection5).
4.
Scientific
assessments
Inthissectionwefocusonthescientificassessmentasamain
componentofthesciencecontributionwithintheframework
process(Fig.2).Wedistinguishtwomainlevelsthatinclude
the thematic studies and can broadly be sketched as
observationbased (level 1) and projection(scenario) based
(level2)(Fig.3).Theoutcomeofthefirst,observationbased
level,essentiallyresultsinanimprovedunderstandingofthe
relevantsystems,theirvulnerabilities,sensitivities,resilience
andadaptivecapacities.Theidentificationofcritical
knowl-edgegapsanduncertaintiesissimilarlyimportant.
Inthe second, projectionbased level,basic information
comesfromarangeofscenarios forthefuture.Howthese
scenarios are generated (e.g. by participatory methods,
analysisofdriversofchange,etc.)(Kriegleretal.,2012;O’Neill
et al., 2014) should be consistent with the definition of
objectivesandproblemframing.Thescenariooutcomeneeds
tobetranslatedor propagatedinto therelevant topicsand
disciplines.Again,whichmethods areusedforthisprocess
essentiallydependsontheinitialproblemframing,available
data and information, resources available etc. Adaptation
involves essential social questions, which should be
ade-quatelyconsidered inthe scientificassessment and
knowl-edgeproduction.Hereweenvisionthehumandimensionas
runningacrossthedifferentthematicaspects,eventhoughin
the structure that follows social, cultural, economic and
political aspects are addressed in a separate section. We
therebyemphasizetheimportanceofputtingthe scientific
resultsandmodelsintherespectivesocial,cultural,economic
andpoliticaldynamiccontext.
Foreachthematicaspect(seealsoFig.3)wereviewand
analyze the state of methods and results that has been
producedsofarinthetropicalAndes.Thisanalysishasbeen
doneduringtheaforementioned workshopsand additional
onlinemeetingsinvolvingAndesandEuropebasedexperts.As
aresultfivedraftdocumentswereproduced,criticallyrevised,
discussed, adapted,complementedand brought inits final
formthateventuallywasapprovedbyallfourgovernmentsof
Fig.2–Visualizationoftheframeworkforaclimate
adaptationprocesswithsciencecontribution.Threemain
stagesaredistinguishedandindicatedasboxes,where
bluedenotesprocesseswithastrongpolicyand
stakeholdercomponent,andgreenwithastrongerfocus
onscience.Thedashedarrowindicatestheiterative
natureoftheadaptationprocess.Arrowsattheright
provideanapproximatedurationoftherespectivestageof
theframework.(Forinterpretationofthereferencesto
colorinthisfigurelegend,thereaderisreferredtotheweb
versionofthisarticle.)
Table 1 – Analysis of science-policy interaction and context of selected major climate adaptation projects in the tropical Andes with an explicit science component.
Project name and duration
Main funding/policy institutions
Countries and sectors involved
Objectives Scientific input
(type and methods); interdisciplinary scope
Joint knowledge production process: problem framing and
system definition Use of scientific information for adaptation measures PRAAa 2008–2014
World Bank, Andean Community of Nations, national governments
Bolivia, Ecuador, Peru, (Colombia)
Glaciers, water resources, ecosystems, agriculture
To contribute to strength-ening the resilience of local ecosystems and economies to the impacts of glacier retreat in the tropical An-des, through the implemen-tation of specific pilot adaptation activities that illustrate the costs and ben-efits of adaptation
Climate trend analysis National-scale climate scenario projections based on Global Circulation Model from the Earth Simulator at MRI Japan; statistical and dynamic down-scaling
Local-scale analysis of socio-economic conditions
Mostly disciplinary scope
Problems framed under a pilot project approach, de-fined within a specific water catchment.
Connecting knowledge gen-eration community with large users (such as water utility companies, national to municipal governments, NGOs); and beneficiaries (farmers, small-scale irriga-tion and water supply asso-ciations)
Scientific information gen-erated by the project used to better inform specific pilot adaptation measures, as input for policy and planning, such as: provin-cial government’s climate change strategies, land-use planning, and catchment management plans. Scientific information also used for raising awareness through different mass media products
PACCb
2008–2012 Swiss Agency for
Development and Cooperation, national/provincial gov’ts
Peru: Cusco and Apurı´-mac regions
Disasters, water resources, agriculture
To understand vulnerabil-ities related to climate change, develop tools and capacities to address cli-mate impacts
Climate trend and climate sce-nario projections at regional scale
Sector/system analysis per scientific discipline
Interdisciplinary interaction re-latively late in process
Broad categories of systems defined, reconciliation pro-cess between science and policy during workshops, limited problem framing
Scientific information used for provincial government adaptation strategies. Practical adaptation actions at local level with limited connection to scientific stu-dies.
Glaciaresc
2011–2015 Swiss Agency for
Development and Cooperation, national/provincial gov’ts
Peru, Ancash and Cusco regions
Glaciers, water resources, disasters, agriculture
To improve the adaptation capacities in view of glacier retreat in Peru, including the institutional, technical and research capacities
Climate and glacier trend ana-lysis at regional level
Scientific basis of early warning and risk reduction at local level Interdisciplinary analysis of so-cio-environmental systems (incl. ethnographic studies)
Problem framing between science and executing NGO, with involvement of muni-cipalities and local commu-nities.
Due to data limitations sys-tems initially only broadly defined, later adjusted.
Local-scale climate risk studies used for adaptation measures; limited use of regional-scale scientific in-formation INAPd 2006–2011 World Bank, national gov’t Colombia Macizo de Chingaza, National Park Nevados Glaciers, water resources, agriculture, health
To support Colombia’s ef-forts to define and imple-m e n t s p e c i fi c p i l o t adaptation measures and policy options to meet the anticipated impacts of cli-mate change
Efforts focused on high mountain ecosystems and Caribean islands
Climate trend analysis National-scale climate scenario projections based on Global Circulation Model from the Earth Simulator at MRI Japan; statistical and dynamic down-scaling
Hydrological monitoring and modeling
Disciplinary and partly inter-disciplinary scope
System definition in line with those defined for Co-lombia’s National Commu-nication to the UNFCCC, i.e. high mountain ecosystems, island areas and human health.
Scientific committee invol-ving experts from different disciplines accompanying the process
Scientific information used for, inter alia: (i) mainte-nance of environmental services and adaptive land-use planning in high moun-tain ecosystems; (ii) pre-paration of malaria and dengue early warning sys-tem
Community-based project components with broad connection to scientific in-formation
Macizo Colombiano 2008–2011
United Nations (UNEP, UNICEF, FAO), national gov’t
Colombia, Upper Cauca river catchment Water resources, ecosystems
To support integrated management of ecosystems in view of climate adapta-tion, land-use planning and empowerment of local ac-tors
National level: generation of climate and water resrouce scenarios; analysis of vulner-abilities and risks in selected catchments
Local level: basic information for early warning, including the use of new hydrometerological stations
Framing and problem defi-nition in participatory ap-p r o a c h e s w i t h l o c a l communities
Knowledge dialog between different actors
Vulnerability and risk ana-lysis information and re-lated knowledge dialog used for implementation with local communities
PPCRe
Ongoing World Bank,
national gov’t
Bolivia, Rio Grande basin
Water resources
To support the implemen-tation of Bolivia’s Strategic Program for Climate Resili-ence by strengthening in-stitutional capacity; and supporting its implementa-tion river basin manage-m e n t i n t h r e e p i l o t catchments of the Rio Grande basin
Evaluation of water resources in selected river basins under climate change scenarios River basin plans formulated through a participatory process taking into account the impacts of climate change for water resources management for dif-ferent stakeholders
Framing and scoping by participatory process invol-ving a wide range of stake-holders of the river basin
Use of hydro-meteorologi-cal information (observa-tions and projec(observa-tions) for river basin planning pro-cess of stakeholders Prioritization of implemen-tation activities according to their relevance for cli-mate adaptation IMACCf 2012–2014 Interamerican Development Bank, Ministry of Environment of Peru Peru´, Ancash Water resources, disasters
To improve people’s lives, to implement adaptation measures with public sector i n v o l v e m e n t a n d t o strengthen regional capaci-ties
Climate and glacier trend ana-lysis at regional level
High mountain ecosystem ana-lysis, including water quality and biological indicators Social and institutional system analysis; scientific basis of early warning and risk reduc-tion at local level
Problem framing between science and public sector (local and national level) with involvement of local municipalities and commu-nities
Watershed-scale climate risk studies used for adap-tation measures
Remote sensing studies to support management plans Development of public in-vestment projects
a PRAA: Adaptation to the Impact of Rapid Glacier Retreat in the Tropical Andes. bPACC: Climate Change Adaptation Program, Peru.
c Glaciares project: Climate change adaptation and disaster risk reduction due to deglaciation of the Andes Cordilleras, Peru. dINAP: Integrated National Adaptation Project, Colombia.
e PPCR: Pilot Project on Climate Resilience, Bolivia.
fIMACC: Implementation of adaptation measures in selected catchments, Peru.
the Andes countries (for a complete documentation see (AndesPlus,2013).
Where possible the policy needs in terms of scientific
informationwereconsideredtohighlightthelinksbetween
scienceandpolicy.Duetolimitationsinspacewecanprovide
hereonlyasummarywhichshouldbecomprehensive,yetto
somedegreeneedstobeselective,consideringthebreadthof
researchinallthedifferenttopics.
4.1. Climatology
Inlinewiththegeneralconceptofthescientificassessment
wedistinguishbetweenclimateobservationsandprojections.
Thepastclimaterecordisafundamentalbasisforanyanalysis
inviewofclimatechangeadaptationandatthesametimea
challengeintheAndes,primarilybecauseofthe
aforemen-tioned limited availability of long-term, quality-checked
climatestationdata.Tocopewithlimiteddatabases(Schwarb
et al.,2011)presentedtools and methodsforchecking and
homogenizationofclimatestationdata asprovidedby the
national meteorological services, and related to ongoing
initiatives on climate services ofthe World Meteorological
Organization(WMO).
Additionaldatafromsatelliteproductssuchasfromthe
TropicalRainfallMeasurementMission(TRMM)(Lavadoetal.,
2009;Scheelet al., 2011;Zulkafliet al.,2013),or reanalysis
products(Hoferetal.,2010;Salzmannetal.,2013)havebeen
usedintheAndestocomplementthegroundstationdata.All
thesedatasetshavecertainpotentialandlimitationswhose
discussionisbeyondthescopeofthisstudybutdataquality
andreliabilityisacentralissuetoallofthem.
For climate projections both dynamical and statistical
downscaling of General Circulation Models has been
per-formedfortheAndesregion,forinstancewiththePRECISor
WRFmodels(Sanabriaetal.,2009;UrrutiaandVuille,2009),or
statisticalmethods(MinvielleandGarreaud,2011).
Neverthe-less, for statistical downscaling long-term, plausible and
homogeneoushistoricaldataseriesareanimperative
require-ment.However,inthetropicalAndeslongdecadaltimeseries
without significant gaps or inhomogeneities are quite rare
Fig.3–Exampleofamethodologicalsequenceofascientificassessment.Level1referstoobservationbasedstudieswhile
level2primarilyincludesprojection-basedapproaches.Themaingreenboxcorrespondsto,andexpandsonstage2
(middlebox)inFig.2.Tomaintainacomprehensiveperspectiveoftheprocesstheintersectionwiththecomponentswith
strongpolicyandstakeholderinvolvementareshownaswell(topandbottomblueboxes).(Forinterpretationofthe
referencestocolorinthisfigurelegend,thereaderisreferredtothewebversionofthisarticle.)
(Schwarbetal.,2011)andcancomplicateadequatestatistical downscaling.
Climateextremesareessential fortheunderstandingof
manyclimateimpacts, andthereforeimportanttoanalyze.
Standard extremeweatherand climateindiceswere
devel-opedbyClivar(ClimateVariabilityandPredictabilityProject),
and (Skansiet al., 2013) have found warmingand wetting
signalsoverSouth America,yet withnoclear precipitation
trendsoverthetropicalAndes.However,fromatotalof287
stations,forthetropicalAndesonly20stationsover2000masl
and12over3000maslwereavailableforanalysis,highlighting
theexacerbationofdatascarcityathigherelevations.
4.2. Waterresources
WaterresourcesareoffundamentalimportanceintheAndes.
Thereiswidespreadconcernthatimpactsofclimatechange
willnegativelyaffectwaterresourceavailability,andpeople
andeconomythatrely onthem(Buryet al.,2011;Buytaert
etal.,2011;Vergaraetal.,2007).Aparticularfocusisonareas
thatdependonmeltwaterfromglaciers,especiallyduringthe
dry season in large parts of Peru, Bolivia and Ecuador.
However,theexactcontributionofglacierandsnowmeltto
runoffisstillinsufficientlyunderstood.
Hence,bothforscienceandpolicyacriticalquestionishow
to determine present and future water resources and the
effectsof climatechangewith afocus on changingglacier
contribution to runoff. Glaciological studies in the Andes
investigated processes and changes across various scales,
fromdocumentingglacierchangesfromColombiatoBolivia
(Ceballosetal.,2006;Salzmannetal.,2013;SilverioandJaquet, 2005;Sorucoetal.,2009),toenergyandmassbalancestudies
onindividualglaciers(Favieretal.,2004;Francouetal.,1995;
Wagnon et al., 1999; Winkler et al., 2009). A number of
hydrologicalmodelshavebeenappliedtosimulatingrunoff
fromglacierfedcatchments(Baraeretal.,2012;Kaseretal.,
2003)includinganumberofstudiesthathaveusedcoupled
climatemodeldatatorunhydrological modelstoestimate
changes in future water resources (Andres et al., 2014;
Chevallieretal.,2011;Condometal.,2012;Juenetal.,2007; Lavadoetal.,2011).Amainlimitationforsuchstudiesisscarce
dataavailability,especiallyconcerningrainandrunoffgauges
overclimaticallyandhydrologicallysignificanttimeperiods.
Inaddition towaterquantity, thequality ofwaterisof
majorimportancetolocalpeople,andisinfactamajorissue,
e.g.inrelationwithminingactivities(BebbingtonandBury,
2009). Waterisalsoaneminentlysocialissueandconflicts
overwaterhavearisen inmanypartsoftheAndes. Power
discrepancies and inequalities play an important roleand
need to be addressedin water policies and regulations to
reduceandavoidconflicts(Careyetal.,2012a,b;Lynch,2012).
Fromapolicyperspectivewaterresourcemanagementisa
maininterest,recognizingthevariousdriversandstressors,
both natural and human, that act on water resources.
Available documents and experiences reported during the
workshops suggest that recent years have seen enhanced
effortsonwaterresourcemanagementbybothscienceand
policy,withanincreasingnumberofstudiesthatlinkacross
scientific disciplines and institutions (Carey et al., 2014;
Harriman,2014).
4.3. Agricultureandfoodsecurity
Agricultural production and food security under changing
climaticconditionsisofessential importanceinthe Andes,
fromsubsistencefarmingintheAltiplanoregionofPeruand
Boliviatocashcropssuchasquinoaorcoffeeinthecordillerasof
PeruandColombia.Policyisinterestedinchangingcropyields
under climate change, the importance of crop pests and
diseases,andmoregenerallyhowtoassesseconomicoutput
and food security. Climate variability and change act as
additional stressors on top of historically developed social,
political and economic structures, including land rights,
distribution,accessandmarginalization.Inmanyregions(e.g.
theAltiplano)agriculturalproductionisalreadyatitslimitsand
additionalstressorscantipthesystem(Sietzetal.,2012).
Scientificcontributionsinthisfieldincludetheapplication
ofcropmodelsconsidering phenological phasesand water
requirements(Geertsetal.,2006,2008;Stedutoetal.,2009),or
the assessment of vectors forpests and diseases (Gregory
etal.,2009).Pilotadaptationexperienceshavebeengenerated
at many locations,from Colombia through Peru to Bolivia
(Perezetal.,2011;PNUD,2011).
Large-scale integrated assessment models focusing on
agricultureproductionunderclimatechangescenarios,such
asapplied in severalother regions worldwide(Rosenzweig
etal.,2013)areyetlargelymissingintheAndes.
4.4. Naturalhazardsandrisks
Policy makers at different administrative levels and other
stakeholdersneedtoknowwhereandtowhatextentnatural
hazardsandrisksarelocated,bothinpresentandfuture,and
towhatextentclimatechangeexacerbatesthefrequencyor
magnitudeofclimaticextremeeventsand
hydrometeorologi-calhazardsingeneral.IntheAndes,sciencehasaddressed
theseissuesonlyinalimitedwaysofar.Disasterdatabases
areanimportanttooltobetterunderstandwhereandwhena
specificdisaster occurs.Across theAndes,Desinventar isa
primarydatabase(DesInventar,2013;Marulandaetal.,2010),
complemented by disaster databases at the nationallevel.
However,consistencyofthedisasterrecordacrosstimeand
differentdatasourcesislimitedandrepresentsabarriertoa
morecomprehensiveunderstanding(Huggeletal.,2014).
Awealth ofcasestudiesexistonsusceptibility, triggers,
andeffects ofalarge rangeofhazardprocesses, including
rainfall triggered landslides and debrisflows, ice/rock
ava-lanches,glacierlakeoutburstandrainfallfloods(e.g.Evans
etal.,2009;Piersonetal.,1990;Terlien,1997;Thouretetal., 1990;Vilimeketal.,2005).Studiesthatfocusonpolicyrelevant
aspectssuchashazardandriskmapping,orproduceabasis
forearlywarningsystemsaremorerarebutcorresponding
effortshaverecentlybeenstrengthened(Huggeletal.,2010;
Ku¨nzleretal.,2012;Schneideretal.,2014;Thouretetal.,2013).
Due to widespread poverty in the Andes, the social
dimensionofvulnerabilitytoclimatichazardsisofparticular
interestto policyand developmentplanners. Infact,there
existsalargeamountofstudiesonvulnerabilities,andsocial
andinstitutionalaspectsofriskperceptionandmanagement
intheAndesregion(e.g.CardonaandCarren˜o,2011;Nathan,
2008) but onlya fewhave been publishedin international
journals while the majorityarestudies performed bylocal
non-governmentalorganizationsoruniversitiesthatareoften
difficulttoaccess.
4.5. Ecosystems
Ecosystemservicescanbuildanimportantpillarinclimate
adaptation.Howthesecanbepreservedorenhancedunder
multiple stresses and drivers, including effects of climate
change,tosecuresupportingwell-being,reducingpovertyand
risks, and providing sustainable goods and services is
therefore of majorinterest (Carpenter et al., 2009; Fischlin
et al., 2007). Several critical Andean ecosystems, such as
paramos(highAndeanmoorlands)orAndeanforests,deliver
significant benefits in terms of water supply, water flow
regulation,anderosioncontrol,tonamebutafew(Anderson
et al.,2011; Buytaertetal., 2011). Agood understandingof
these services, and howthey willbe impacted by climate
changeandeconomicactivity,bothqualitativelyand
quanti-tatively,becomesthuscrucialintheadaptationdebate.
Overthe pastyears, severalprojectsinthe Andes have
generatedtangibleexperiencesinecosystemadaptationand
in strengthening the resilience of ecosystems and their
services. Someofthe mostoutstandingprojectshave been
theIntegratedNationalAdaptationPilot(INAP)inColombia,or
theaforementionedPRAAprojectinBolivia,EcuadorandPeru,
which have been based on science and local knowledge,
fosteringknowledgegenerationanddissemination(Andrade
etal.,2011)(Table1).Bothinitiativesappliedaparticipatory
and culturally sensitiveapproach topromoteresilient
eco-systemsandprovidebenefitstovulnerablepeople.Inviewofa
systematicevaluationofadaptationoptions(seealsoSection
5)modelswouldberequiredtointegratebio-physical,social
andeconomicaspectsinorder toprovide stakeholdersand
decision makerswithsufficient knowledge.While inother
regionsofthe worldintegratedassessment modelssuchas
GLOBIOM, G4M or EPIC have been used to assess future
scenarios of adaptation options (e.g. strict biodiversity
protection, nodeforestation) and tosupport corresponding
policydecisions(Havlı´ket al.,2011;Strassburgetal.,2012),
suchmethodsarebasicallystillmissingforthetropicalAndes.
Suchmodelscanalsodeliverbetterestimatesofecosystem
services to set in place appropriate offset schemes, for
example the Socio Bosque program in Ecuador, or the
environmental service payments in Bogota to protect the
nearbyparamoinChingaza.Theseprogramsaswellaspilot
experienceswiththeEPICmodelmadeinthecontextofthis
study indicate the importance of considering the specific
characteristicsoflocalAndeanecosystemsandagricultural
systemsfromsubsistencetoexport-orientedfarming,butalso
aspectsoflimitedavailabledatawhenapplyingsuchmodels.
4.6. Social,cultural,economicandpoliticalaspects
Thepreviousthematicaspectssuchaswaterresources,food
security or natural hazards and risks have a fundamental
socialcomponent.Forinstance,howtorespondtowhichrisks
doesnotonlydependontherisksthemselvesbutiscritically
shapedbythedynamiccultural,social,economic,politicaland
environmentalcontext.Thesocialsciencestudiestherefore
needtorunacrossthethematicaspects,andassuchcanexert
acertainintegrativerole.Withinthisprocess,theimpactsof
globalandnational-scaledriversonlocalprocessesandthe
roleoflocalandscientificknowledgeforclimateadaptation
needto be reasonably understood. Thenumber ofstudies
concerningthesocialandculturaldimensionisincreasingbut
yetthereisaneedtofurtherdeepentheunderstandingofthese
topics, particularly in their specific local context where
concreteadaptationstrategiesareputintopractice.
There is a considerable interest of policy makers and
adaptationprojectsforsocalled‘toolkits’toassessperceptions
andvulnerabilitiesincommunitybasedapproaches,suchas
e.g.CRISTALandCVCA(Daze´ etal.,2009;IISD,2012).Thesetools
offer a rapid appraisal to analyze risks and vulnerabilities
withincommunitiesinaspecificcontext.Nevertheless,data
collectionmethodsofthesetoolkitsareoftennotsuitablefor
adequatelyunderstandingdecision-makingprocesses,power
relationsand openand/orlatentsocial or politicalconflicts
withinorbetweeninstitutions.Suchissuesareoftenrelatedto
trust and distrust among the actors and institutions, and
specific interests and cultural values, within or between
institutions,andtheirunderstandingthusrequires
consider-ationofthefullrangeofactors,includingthepowerlessones.
Forprovidingasoundscientificbasisforclimateadaptation
though,thereisaneedtoapplymorein-depthmethodssuch
as ethnographies, participant observation, narrative and
historicalanalysis,or mentalmodelstoexploreknowledge
systems(Adgeretal.,2013;Barnesetal.,2013).Thesemethods
allow to identify social, cultural, political and economic
aspectsthatarecrucialfortheadaptationprocess,butalso
particularlyimportant forjoint knowledge production
pro-cessesbecausetheyfacilitatetherecognitionofdifferencesin
actorperspectives(HeggerandDieperink,2014).Furthermore,
amutualunderstandingofthecultural,social,politicaland
economicbackground,oftheconstraintsthattheactorsface
onthe adaptationpathwayand theperceptionsthey have,
enhancestrustamongthem. However,asstressedbyAdger
et al., 2013 there is no simple blueprint in terms of
methodology,andtheconsiderationofmultipleandmarginal
voicesintodecision-makingishighlychallenging.
5.
Adaptation
options
and
implementation
Developmentandevaluationofadaptationoptions,andtheir
implementationrepresentsthethirdstageoftheframework
(Fig.2).Itisabroad,complexandyoungfieldbutwitharapidly
growingbodyofliteraturewhichwecannotcapturehereinits
full breadth. Obviously, the implementation of adaptation
measuresisbeyondthescientificcontributiontoadaptation
andthereforebasicallyalsobeyondthescopeofthisstudy.
Herewefocusinsteadontheanalysisofrecentmajorclimate
adaptationprojectsinthetropicalAndeswheretherehasbeen
asciencecontribution.Weconsiderthisparticularly
worth-while because the documentation of this process across
adaptationprojectsinthisregionisunderdevelopeddespite
recenteffortsintheIPCC(Magrinetal.,2014).
AsindicatedinFig.2adaptationdecisionsarenottakenina
vacuumbutinadynamicsocial,cultural,economic,political
andlegalcontext. Climate(change)typically representsone
amongmanydriversofchange,andstressors,resultinginrisks
(oropportunities)that are perceiveddifferentlybydifferent
actorsandstakeholders.Mostprojectsanalyzedhere
concen-trated on adaptation measures that can be viewed as
vulnerabilityreduction,andenhancementofadaptive
capaci-tiesandgovernance.Inseveralcasesclimatevariabilityand
extremeswereconsideredamoreimmediatepriorityforthe
stakeholders as compared to longer term climate change
projections. All the projects have local and national scale
components and address multiple sectors, with water
resourcesbeingadominantissueinmanyprojects,reflecting
theimportanceofwaterfortheAndesregion.Inseveralprojects
scientificinformationwasusedtosupportthedevelopmentof
nationalorprovincialadaptationstrategies.Effortswerealso
madetousescientificinformationforevaluationofadaptation
optionsbutdifficultieswerefound atthelocallevel,mainly
because scientific assessments struggled with the lack of
availabledata,especiallyoverlongerperiodsoftime.Instead,
severalprojectsappliedmorepracticalapproaches,applying
participativemethodsandtoolswithlocalcommunities(see
alsoSection4.6).Especiallyforwaterresources,andagriculture
andfoodsecurity,manyprojectsimplementedsuchadaptation
strategies with local communities but with limited or no
connectiontoscience.Yet,therearesome exampleswhere
sciencehassubstantiallycontributedtotheimplementationof
adaptationmeasures,e.g.forearlywarningandriskreduction
measures(Schneideretal.,2014).Furthermore,manyprojects
implementedadaptationmeasurestoimproveenvironmental
monitoringnetworks.Scienceanddifferentlevelsofpolicyand
otheractorsusuallyjointlyevaluatedoptions,anddecidedon,
whereandwhatsortofequipmenttoinstall.
Oneimportantbarriertosuccessfuladaptation
implemen-tationwehaveseenacrossmostprojectsaredifferenttime
framesbetweenpolicyandotheractors,andscience.Policy
anddecisionmakersatvariousadministrativelevelsareoften
insufficiently awareof thetime neededto producea solid
scientificbasis,andhence,scientistswereunabletomeetthe
time frames expected from policy makers or adaptation
practitioners. Thetimeperiods inFig. 2areindicativeand
essentiallydependontherespectivecontextandprojects.In
the Andescountries, more than inEurope or the U.S., the
termsoflocal,provincialandnationalgovernmentsexerta
majorinfluenceonadaptationplanningandimplementation,
and science cannot act independentlyof those terms in a
concerted adaptation process. The terms are typically 4–5
years,andideallyareconsideredintheprocess.Eventually,it
is important to recognize the iterative character of the
adaptation option and implementation process. This is
especiallyimportantinviewoftheuncertaintiesinherentto
the scientific knowledge and socio-economic processes
(Websterand Jian,2011),and thus representsa strategyto
manageuncertainties(Gersoniusetal.,2013;Hallegatte,2009)
6.
Discussion
6.1. ReflectiononAndesexperiences
The framework for the science contribution in climate
adaptationthatwasdevelopedwiththeAndeangovernments
distinguishes three main stages (Fig. 2): (1) framing and
problem definition; (2) scientific assessments of climate
impacts, vulnerabilities and risks with an interdisciplinary
perspective;and(3)adaptationoptionevaluationand
imple-mentation.Thisframeworkisbasicallyinlinewithsimilar
conceptsthathavebeenassessedanddevelopedrecentlyby
theIPCC(IPCC,2014),wherethecompleteadaptationprocess
isframed underarisk managementscheme withmultiple
feedbacksanditerations.Duringtheassessmentofthe
state-of-the-artinthisfieldinthetropicalAndesregionwehave
identifiedthefollowinggapsandkeyissues,asrelatedtothe
aforementionedstagesoftheframework:
Thereisaneedformoreconsistencyincommonproblem
framing,terminology,objectives,timeframes,andtypeof
resultsbetweenscience,andpolicyandlocalactors(stage1);
There is a need for a more sustained interaction and
communicationofsciencewiththediverserangeofactors
thathaveastakeinadaptation(stages1and3);
Limitationsindataavailabilityanddatasharingcontinueto
persist,bothatcountryandregionalAndeanlevel.
Equip-mentforenvironmentalmonitoringisofteninsufficientbut
recentlyimprovingduetomultipleefforts(stage2);
The interdisciplinary scope of science studies and the
interaction among disciplines arepredominantly notyet
developedtoalevelthatallowsscientistsandpolicymakers
toapproachtheproblemsintheirfullcomplexity(stage2);
There isalackofappropriate monitoringandevaluation
tools,whichrendersthelearningandstock-takingprocess
ofthedifferentexperienceschallenging(stage3).
SomeoftheabovepointsarerelevantbeyondtheAndes
regionandaretakenoninthenextsection.Otherissuessuch
aslimitedenvironmentalmonitoringdataandnetworksare
alsoalimitationinmanyotherregions,andexacerbatedin
mountainandhighmountainregions(Salzmannetal.,2014).
Methodsthatweredevelopedinregionswithdense
monitor-ingnetworksneedtobeadapted.Examplesofstudieswith
methods adapted to the Andean context in the field of
climatologyandwaterresources,forinstance,werepresented
by(Buytaertetal.,2009;Lavadoetal.,2009;Salzmannetal., 2013;Scheeletal.,2011)intermsofcombinationofmultiple
datasets,andby(BuytaertandBeven,2011;Chevallieretal.,
2011;Condometal.,2012)intermsofappropriatecomplexity
formodelingstudies.
The identification of methods that are adapted to the
Andean context, or locally developed, was one of the
important issues for the scientific assessment of impacts,
vulnerabilities and risks (stage 2, Fig. 3). The process of
achieving a consensus between Andes and Europe based
expertsfromscienceandgovernmentsonmethodologiesand
conceptsineachthematicfieldwasnotstraightforwardanda
challengingscience-policyprocessinitself.Itwasstartedbya
presentation of an initial compilation of methods by the
internationalresearchteamtotheAndesexperts,primarily
along disciplinary lines; followed by a comparison with
locally/regionally(Andes)availablemethods.Methods
adjust-edto the Andean context werethen jointly identifiedand
definedthroughareviewprocessofseveraldraftdocuments,
which concluded in a final document that was eventually
officially approved by the four national governments of
Colombia,Ecuador,PeruandBolivia(AndesPlus,2013).
Theappropriateconsiderationofarichandsteadilygrowing
Andeanexperiencerepresentedamajorchallengethroughall
stages(1)–(3).However,muchoftheknowledgeproductionand
adaptation processesin the Andesare, however,not
suffi-ciently documented and rarely published in international
journals.Well-established,long-term,sustainablemonitoring
andevaluationschemesofexperiencesarealsobroadlylacking
asindicated above.Therecapitulationoftheseexperiences
with local experts was a fundamental aspect but also a
challenge.Forinstance,manyadaptationexperienceshavea
practical focus, often implemented by non-governmental
organizations,withmethodsthatarenotnecessarilyinline
with standards ofscientific rigor.We have found that the
distinction between scientific and practical approaches in
adaptation is often not clearly defined, and hence, the
integrationofsuchdiverseapproachesisdemanding.
6.2. GeneralimplicationsofAndesexperiences
Adaptationplanningisoftencategorizedintotop-down and
bottom-upapproacheswherethefirstonetypicallyrefersto
climatescenarioandimpactdrivenassessments,andthelatter
startswithvulnerabilityassessments,oftenwithqualitative
andparticipatorymethods,basedonwhichadaptationoption
arethenevaluated(WilbyandDessai,2010).Recentresearch
suggeststhatinfacttheintegrationofthetwoapproachesisa
moresuccessfulmodel(Bhaveetal.,2014).Ourframeworkin
in-linewiththeseproposalsasitcombinesimportantelements
frombothapproaches.Someofthethematicscientific
assess-ments (see Figs. 2 and 3) include elementsof a top-down
approachwhiletheframingandproblem/objectivedefinitionis
reflectingaspectsofabottom-upapproach.Furthermore,the
integrativeandcross-thematicnatureofthesocialaspectsin
ourframeworkcontributetoensureanappropriate
consider-ation of the human dimension of adaptation. Top-down
approacheshavebeencriticizedtoneglectthisdimension.It
isinterestingtonotethatouranalysisofadaptationprojectsin
thetropicalAndes(Section5)hasshownthatoftensomesortof
blendedapproachisapplied,motivatedorconstrainedbythe
lack of local data. Some of those project activities were
decoupled from science. While actually not all types of
adaptationmayneedascientificcontributionweconsiderthat
science can oftenenhance the joint knowledge production
process.In-depthsocialsciencestudies,forinstance,areableto
shedlightonpowerrelations,interestsandvaluesofvarious
actors and institutions, thus contributing to socially more
concertedadaptation.However,wealsorecognizethatinthis
contextthescience-policyprocesscanbeparticularlydelicate
asimportantpoliticalinterestsmaybeatstake.
Moregenerally,wenotethatthereisarichandgrowing
literatureontheproductionofknowledgebasedonscientific
understandinganda rangeofothersourcesinan
environ-mentaland climateadaptation context.Scholarsreflect on
both theoretical and practical aspects, with a majority of
studiesbasedonexperiencesfromEuropeandNorthAmerica
(Cashetal.,2006;DillingandLemos,2011;Heggeretal.,2012; Lemos and Morehouse, 2005). Similar experiences from
regionssuchasSouth Americaareavailableyettoalesser
degreealthough theyare ofgreat importanceforregional,
nationalandlocaladaptationpolicy(Lynch,2012).
Recent research has identified a number of functional,
structural,andsocialbarrierstoajointproblemframingand
knowledgeproduction,thataccordinglymaybegroupedin(1)
divergentobjectives,needs,scope,andpriorities;(2)different
institutionalsettingsandstandards,andtimeframes;and(3)
differingculturalvalues,understanding,andmistrust(Hegger
etal.,2012;WeichselgartnerandKasperson,2010).
Concerningthefirstgroupofbarriersouranalysisofmajor
adaptationprojectsintheAndeshasshownthatinpractice
reconciliationofobjectivesandscopeisonlyrarelydonetothe
extentitwouldbebeneficial(Table1).Acomplicatingfactor
therebyisthattheaforementionedthreegroupsofinhibiting
factorsarehighlyinterdependent,i.e.reconcilingobjectives
andneedscannotbeachievedwithoutaddressingdifferences
suchasintermsofinstitutionalsettings,timeframes,cultural
valuesandtrust.
Whilesomeoftheseissuescanbeapproachedinamore
systematicway(e.g.timeframes),thisismuchmoredifficultfor
others(e.g.culturalvaluesandtrust)whichmakestheprocess
notfullycontrollableorpredictable.IntheAndes,aswellasin
otherregions,climateadaptationtakesplaceontheregional,
national or local level, with a variety of actors (e.g. CAN,
internationalcooperation,developmentbanksontheregional
level;localgovernments/communities,non-governmental
or-ganizationsonthe local level).Accordingly, thereisawide
rangeofaspectstoconsiderwhenobjectivesandneedsare
reconciledonthedifferentlevelsandbetweenactors.Inour
framework(Figs.2and3)wehavenotexplicitlydistinguished
betweenthedifferentadministrativeandspatiallevels,mainly
tomaintainitsgeneralapplicabilityand constrainthe
com-plexity.Infact,giventhecurrentdiscussionsinliterature,and
basedonourownexperienceinotherregions,weanticipate
thattheframeworkmaybeusefulbeyondtheAndesregion.
7.
Conclusions
and
recommendations
Inthispaper,wehavepresentedandanalyzedaframework
forthesciencecontributionembeddedinthebroaderclimate
adaptation process. It was developed in a joint process
involving representatives of the four governments of
Colombia, Ecuador, Peru and Bolivia, the CAN, the World
Bank,andscientistsbothfromtheAndesregionandEurope.
Three main stages, from problem framing and scientific
assessments to adaptation implementation, are
distin-guished.Appropriatelyputtingtheprocessintotherespective
dynamicsocial,cultural,economic,politicalandlegalcontext
isoffundamentalimportancebuthighlychallenging.Clearly,
moreresearchonanalyzinganddocumentingsuchprocesses
andexperiencesisneeded.
Theconsistencyofmanyelementsanalyzedhereforthe
AndeswiththerecentassessmentbyIPCC,2014indicatesthat
whileadaptionisoftenalocalprocess,aspectsofscience-policy
interactionintheframeofadaptationareofmoreuniversal
significance.Specifically,ourstudyunderlinestheimportance
ofjoint problemframing, definition ofsocio-environmental
systems,timeframes,andamoreintenseinteractionofsocial
andphysicalclimateand impactsciences.Scientifically,the
scarcityofenvironmental,socialandeconomicdatainregions
liketheAndescontinuetorepresentalimitationtoadaptation.
Investmentsintosocio-environmentalmonitoringcan
there-forebeseenasaviablelow-regretadaptationmeasures.
Acknowledgements
ThisstudywasundertakeninthecontextoftheAndesPlus
initiative of the PRAA project, coordinated by the Andean
CommunityofNationsandtheWorldBank,withfundsfrom
theGlobalEnvironmentFacility.TheSwissFederalOfficefor
theEnvironmentandtheSwissAgencyforDevelopmentand
Cooperationprovidedsubstantialsupportat variousstages.
Weappreciatethecollaborationandinteractionwithalarge
numberofexpertsfromtechnicalandscientificinstitutionsof
thenationalgovernmentsofBoliviaColombia,Ecuadorand
Peru,andnon-governmentalorganizations.
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