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Table of Contents

Acknowledgements v

Summary x

List of Tables xix

List of Figures xx

Chapter 1. Introduction 1

1.1 Motivation . . . 1

1.2 Scope of chapters . . . 3

1.3 Ice sheets and glaciers . . . 4

1.3.1 Surface mass balance . . . 5

1.4 Ice as a climate archive . . . 6

1.4.1 The Mid-Pleistocene Transition . . . 6

1.4.2 The Beyond Epica Oldest Ice project in a nutshell . . . 8

1.5 Characteristics of polythermal glaciers and ice sheets . . . 10

1.5.1 Polythermal structure . . . 11

Chapter 2. The thermodynamics and thermomechanics of ice 15 2.1 Thermal regimes . . . 16

2.1.1 Thermal conduction and Fourier’s law . . . 16

2.1.2 Vertical advection . . . 19

2.1.3 Dirichlet and Neumann boundary conditions . . . 21

2.1.3.1 Surface temperature . . . 23

2.1.3.2 Geothermal heat flux . . . 24

2.1.4 Derived temperature profile . . . 29

2.1.5 Three dimensional advection . . . 30

2.2 The pressure melting point . . . 31

2.3 Mechanical regimes . . . 32

2.3.1 Stress . . . 32

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2.3.2 Strain . . . 33

2.3.3 Frictional heating . . . 33

2.4 Additional sources of heat: latent heat . . . 35

2.5 Mechanical models . . . 37

2.6 Thermomechanical ice-flow models . . . 39

Chapter 3. The climate memory of an Arctic polythermal glacier 42 3.1 Introduction . . . 42

3.2 Field data and radar analysis . . . 43

3.3 Modelling englacial temperature change . . . 48

3.4 Validity of the diffusion model . . . 51

3.5 Reconstructing ELA trends . . . 56

3.6 Discussion . . . 59

3.7 Conclusions . . . 60

3.8 Appendix: Model description . . . 62

Chapter 4. Constraints on thermodynamical modelling of the Antarctic Ice sheet 65 4.1 The Antarctic Ice Sheet in a nutshell . . . 66

4.1.1 Deep ice core sites . . . 67

4.2 Antarctic Ice Sheet geometry . . . 70

4.3 Surface ice velocity and ice flow . . . 73

4.4 Mass balance . . . 75

4.4.1 Surface air temperature . . . 75

4.4.2 Surface mass balance . . . 76

4.5 Geothermal heat flux . . . 78

4.5.1 Overview . . . 78

4.5.2 Current data sets . . . 80

4.5.3 Greenland data . . . 85

4.6 Subglacial lakes . . . 86

4.7 Antarctic Ice Sheet reconstructions of the last 1.5 Ma . . . 89

Chapter 5. Using ice-flow models to evaluate potential sites of million year-old ice in Antarctica 93 5.1 Introduction . . . 95

5.2 Why obvious drill sites are unsuitable . . . 97

5.3 Uncertainties in Antarctic GHF and the location of oldest ice . . . 100

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5.3.1 Data sets and model setup . . . 100

5.3.2 Results . . . 102

5.4 Thermomechanical ice-flow modelling . . . 104

5.4.1 Model description . . . 105

5.4.2 Velocity field . . . 106

5.4.3 Input data calibration . . . 108

5.4.4 Subglacial lake correction . . . 109

5.5 Ensemble model results . . . 110

5.6 Discussion and conclusions . . . 112

Chapter 6. Promising Oldest Ice sites in East Antarctica based on thermody-namical modelling 117 6.1 Introduction . . . 119

6.2 Thermodynamical modelling . . . 124

6.2.1 Steady-state model . . . 124

6.2.2 Transient model description . . . 125

6.2.3 Model forcing . . . 126

6.2.4 Limit values of GHF . . . 127

6.2.4.1 Constraints on GHF . . . 128

6.2.5 Constraints on Oldest Ice candidate sites . . . 129

6.3 Results . . . 131

6.3.1 Large-scale GHF probability distributions . . . 131

6.3.2 Small-scale GHF probabilities and Oldest Ice: Dome Fuji and Dome C . . . 133

6.4 Discussion . . . 138

6.4.1 Surface temperature forcing . . . 138

6.4.2 Limits on Gpmpcalculation . . . 139

6.4.3 Steady-state model comparison . . . 140

6.5 Conclusion and implications for Oldest Ice candidate sites . . . 143

6.5.1 Dome Fuji . . . 143

6.5.2 Dome C . . . 144

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Chapter 7. Discussion 145

7.1 Oldest Ice site developments . . . 145

7.1.1 Dome C . . . 145

7.1.2 Dome Fuji . . . 150

7.1.3 Dome A . . . 152

7.1.4 South Pole . . . 154

7.1.5 Blue ice and debris glaciers . . . 155

7.2 Oldest Ice constraints . . . 156

Chapter 8. Conclusion and perspectives 157 8.1 General findings . . . 157

8.2 Future work . . . 159

References 162

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