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BAYESIAN INFERENCE FOR PARAMETER IDENTIFICATION IN COMPUTATIONAL MECHANICS

Hussein Rappel, Lars A. A. Beex, Jack S. Hale, and Stéphane P. A. Bordas.

Faculty of Science, Technology and Communication, Campus Kirchberg, University of Luxembourg.

DETERMINING PATIENT-SPECIFIC MATERIAL PARAMETERS

Sample

Mathematical model Test data

Inference Engine

Material parameters Numerical simulation

The usual approaches that can fill in the Inference Engine box are:

I Least squares method (LSM),

I Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) and

I Bayesian inference (BI).

LEAST SQUARES APPROACH

y

x R =

N

P

i

=

1

( y

i

− ax

i

)

2

The least squares method aims to minimise the residual R which is squared difference between the measured data (red dots) and model

response (straight line). Some important points about this approach are:

I Easy to implement,

I Its out put for the parameter is number and

I The accuracy depends on the number of measurements and the employed model for regression.

MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION

π(obs|para)

para

para

estimated

likelihood

The idea of the maximum likelihood approach is to find the parameters in way that maximise the probability density function π ( obs | para ) . Some

important points about MLE are:

I Considers the experimental noises,

I Its out put for the parameter is number and

I The accuracy depends on the number of measurements and the employed model for regression.

BAYESIAN INFERENCE

Data

tumor Arm

function Leg function

BI

Model

Material model Uncertainty

model

Prior

A priori knowledge

Posterior

Updates

Feedback

The Bayesian method is an alternative approach which updates ones original belief based on new observation, uncertainty model and

mathematical model.

WHAT DOES BI OFFER?

https://sofile.wordpress.com/tag/bayesian/

RESULT

Rappel et al. 2016 ( http://hdl.handle.net/10993/28631 )

(Left) The prior, the posterior and the value predicted by least squares

method. (Right) The measurements, and the stress-strain curves created using the posterior in left.

I The strain at which a measurement is made has a considerable influence on the posterior and

I The posterior also includes the estimate value by least squares method.

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