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HAL Id: hal-01458498

https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01458498

Submitted on 6 Jun 2020

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CLIMASTER: climatic change, farming systems, natural resources and regional development

Philippe Mérot, Chantal Gascuel, Samuel Corgne, Daniel Delahaye, Alexandre Joannon, O. Planchon, J.P. Arrondeau, P. Desnos

To cite this version:

Philippe Mérot, Chantal Gascuel, Samuel Corgne, Daniel Delahaye, Alexandre Joannon, et al.. CLI- MASTER: climatic change, farming systems, natural resources and regional development. Agriculture, Water Management and Climate Change, Mar 2008, Bath, United Kingdom. pp.1. �hal-01458498�

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CLIMASTER: “Climatic change, farming systems, natural resources and regional development”

P. Merot, C. Gascuel-Odoux, S. Corgne, D. Delahaye, A. Joannon, O. Planchon, J.P. Arrondeau, P. Desnos

Farming Systems

Regional development

Relevant variables

Additional effects

Water, Landscape management Agricultural development

Animal breeding Pasture

Originality of the project

Farming Systems

Regional development

Relevant variables

Additional effects

Water, Landscape management Agricultural development

Animal breeding Pasture

Originality of the project

Climate change

Natural Resources

Erosion, nutrient fluxes,…

Most of the papers

Climate change

Natural Resources

Erosion, nutrient fluxes,…

Most

of the

papers

(3)

CLIMASTER: “Climatic change, farming systems, natural resources and regional development”

Hypothesis:

• Farmers and water managers have already taken account of some impacts of climatic changes, especially those linked to extreme conditions. Analysing them allows to better anticipate the adaptations and their impacts.

Objectives:

• To address the interactions between the climatic change, the farming systems, the natural resources and the

regional development.

• To develop a shared perspective on climate changes between scientists, stakeholders and citizens: 10

research teams and 15 structures devoted to territorial

development and farmer advising.

(4)

CLIMASTER: “Climatic change, farming systems, natural resources and regional development”

WP 1. To assess the regional climatic changes: trends, variability and extreme events and effects

WP 2. To analyse the way farmers account for climatic changes in their practices. Survey & Remote sensing WP 3. To analyse the impact of climatic changes on the

natural resources, mainly soil and water quality. C &

erosion. N, DOC and SS.

WP 4. To analyse the position of farmers in a

sociological and psycho-sociological perspective

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0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180

1971/72 1973/74 1975/76 1977/78 1979/80 1981/82 1983/84 1985/86 1987/88 1989/90 1991/92 1993/94 1995/96 1997/98 1999/00 2001/02

flux spécifiques (kg/ha/an)

30 catchments 60% of the regional surface water

Aurousseau et al.

Trends

Farming System N Fertilisation increasing Starting point

1976 : Climate A dry summer

Cycles Climate (NAO) Cycles of rainy years

N kg/ha/year 1972 to 2004

Before 76: supply limited process, controlled by annual mineralisation, Temp

After 76 : transport limited process, controlled by Rainfall and N storage in shallow GW

Y = 0,09 X + 4,89 R2= 0,72

Y = 0,15 X + 4,90 R2= 0,47

Y = 0,15 X + 3,72 R2= 0,78

4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

1971

1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977

1978 1979 1980 1981

1982 1983

1984 1985 1986

1987 1988

1989 1990

1991 1992

1993 1994 1995

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Brooken Scar Léguer Yar

Moyennes glissantes sur 3 ans

Y = 0,09 X + 4,89 R2= 0,72

Y = 0,15 X + 4,90 R2= 0,47

Y = 0,15 X + 3,72 R2= 0,78

4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

1971

1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977

1978 1979 1980 1981

1982 1983

1984 1985 1986

1987 1988

1989 1990

1991 1992

1993 1994 1995

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

COD (averageper year, mg/L)

Brooken Scar Léguer Yar

3 years moving average

Y = 0,09 X + 4,89 R2= 0,72

Y = 0,15 X + 4,90 R2= 0,47

Y = 0,15 X + 3,72 R2= 0,78

4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

1971

1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977

1978 1979 1980 1981

1982 1983

1984 1985 1986

1987 1988

1989 1990

1991 1992

1993 1994 1995

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Brooken Scar

Y = 0,09 X + 4,89 R2= 0,72

Y = 0,15 X + 4,90 R2= 0,47

Y = 0,15 X + 3,72 R2= 0,78

4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

1971

1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977

1978 1979 1980 1981

1982 1983

1984 1985 1986

1987 1988

1989 1990

1991 1992

1993 1994 1995

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Brooken Scar Léguer Yar

Moyennes glissantes sur 3 ans

Y = 0,09 X + 4,89 R2= 0,72

Y = 0,15 X + 4,90 R2= 0,47

Y = 0,15 X + 3,72 R2= 0,78

4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

1971

1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977

1978 1979 1980 1981

1982 1983

1984 1985 1986

1987 1988

1989 1990

1991 1992

1993 1994 1995

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

COD (averageper year, mg/L)

Léguer Yar

Moyennes glissantes sur 3 ans

Y = 0,09 X + 4,89 R2= 0,72

Y = 0,15 X + 4,90 R2= 0,47

Y = 0,15 X + 3,72 R2= 0,78

4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

1971

1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977

1978 1979 1980 1981

1982 1983

1984 1985 1986

1987 1988

1989 1990

1991 1992

1993 1994 1995

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

COD (averageper year, mg/L)

Brooken Scar Léguer Yar

3 years moving average

DOC, mg/l average per year 1971-2000

Similar analysis

Farming system (manure) Organic matter in soil Wetland Management

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180

1998_1999 1999_2000 2000_2001 2001_2002 2002_2003 2003_2004 2004_2005 2005_2006 2006_2007 2007_2008 2008_2009 2009_2010 2010_2011 2011_2012 2012_2013 2013_2014

kgNha-1

déstockage flux arrivant à la rivière

-20 0 20 40 60 80 100

1998_1999 1999_2000 2000_2001 2001_2002 2002_2003 2003_2004 2004_2005 2005_2006 2006_2007 2007_2008 2008_2009 2009_2010 2010_2011 2011_2012 2012_2013 2013_2014

kgNha-1

déstockage flux arrivant à la rivière

The future depends on the past…1999-2014

Ratio of N stored in GW / total N fluxes (Durand et al.)

1) High N input and high N storage 2) High N input and low N storage WET DRY - 30% of N input

WET DRY

-

30% of N input

Climate

and

resilience

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