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We define, for all t>0, Xt= (−1)NtX0

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Universit´e de Bordeaux Master 2, TD2

Jump Markov processes 2016/17

Exercise 1. Let us consider a Poisson process (Nt)t>1 with intensityλ. Prove that (Nt)t>1 is a jump Markov process with values inN and with transition matrices

Pxy(t) =e−λt(λt)y−x

(y−x)!1{y>x}. Give its infinitesimal generator.

Exercise 2. Let us consider a Poisson process (Nt)t>1 with intensity λ and X0 a random variable independent with (Nt)t>1 and with values in E ={−1,1}. We define, for all t>0,

Xt= (−1)NtX0.

Prove that (Xt)t>1 is a jump Markov process and calculate its transition matrices. Give its infinitesimal generator. This process is called “Telegraph process”.

Exercise 3. [Revisions] For all the following matrices:

1. Show that it is a stochastic matrix, or complete missing values to obtain a stochastic matrix.

2. Draw the relative graph.

3. Give communicating classes.

4. Give closed classes, absorbing states, recurrent and transient states. Indicate if the Markov chain is irreducible or not.

A=

1/2 1/2 0 1/2 0 1/2

0 1/2 1/2

, B =

1 0 0 0

0 0 1 0

1/2 0 0 1/2

0 1 0 0

 ,

C =

? 0 1/12 1/4 1/3

0 ? 0 0 1/4

1/3 1/12 ? 0 1/12

0 1/6 1/4 ? 1/6

0 2/3 0 0 ?

, D=

? 0 0 0 0 0

1/2 ? 1/2 0 0 0

1/2 0 ? 0 1/2 0

0 1/2 0 ? 0 1/2

0 0 0 1/2 ? 1/2

0 0 0 0 0 ?

 .

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Exercise 4. For all the following matrices:

1. Prove that it is an infinitesimal generator.

2. Draw the relative graph and give communicating classes and their properties.

A=

−2 1 1

1 −1 0

2 1 −3

, B =

−2 0 1 0 1

1 −3 0 1 1

0 1 −3 2 0

1 1 0 −2 0

1 0 1 1 −3

 ,

C =

−λ λ 0 0 0

0 −λ λ 0 0

0 0 −λ λ 0

0 0 0 −λ λ

0 0 0 0 0

 .

Exercise 5. Let a jump Markov process (Xt)t>0 and (FtX) his natural filtration. Show that its jump timesTn and the time of the first return to state x, denoted Rx, are stopping times.

Exercise 6. Let us consider two independent Poisson processes (Nt)t>0 and (Nt0)t>0 with intensity λ and µ. We denote (Tn) jump times of the process (Nt)t>0. We set Mn = NT0

n −NT0n−1 for all n >1.

1. Draw one draw of trajectories of (Nt)t>0 and (Nt0)t>0, and for a fixedngive the relative value ofMn.

2. Mn has values in which set?

3. Show that P(Mn+1 =k) =P(M1 =k) and that the law of Mn does not depend on n.

4. Let us consider a random variable X ∼ E(α). Show that for all integer k we have E[Xk] =α−kk!.

5. Deduce the law of M1.

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