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Sustained and self‐terminating atrial fibrillation induced immediately after pulmonary vein isolation exhibit differences in coronary sinus

electrical activity from onset

JOHNER, Nicolas, NAMDAR, Mehdi, SHAH, Dipen

Abstract

Little data exists on the electrophysiological differences between sustained atrial fibrillation (sAF; >5 minutes) vs self-terminating nonsustained AF (nsAF;

JOHNER, Nicolas, NAMDAR, Mehdi, SHAH, Dipen. Sustained and self‐terminating atrial fibrillation induced immediately after pulmonary vein isolation exhibit differences in coronary sinus electrical activity from onset. Journal of Cardiovascular Electrophysiology, 2020, vol.

31, no. 1, p. 150-159

DOI : 10.1111/jce.14296 PMID : 31778260

Available at:

http://archive-ouverte.unige.ch/unige:135846

Disclaimer: layout of this document may differ from the published version.

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1

Sustained and Self-terminating Atrial Fibrillation Induced

Immediately after Pulmonary Vein Isolation Exhibit Differences in Coronary Sinus Electrical Activity from Onset

Short title: Coronary sinus electrograms predict sustained AF

Authors: Nicolas Johner, MD, Mehdi Namdar, MD, PhD and Dipen C. Shah, MD, FHRS.

Affiliations: Cardiology Division, Geneva University Hospitals, Geneva, Switzerland Email: Nicolas Johner: nicolas.johner.ge@gmail.com; Mehdi Namdar:

mehdi.namdar@hcuge.ch; Dipen C. Shah: dipen.shah@hcuge.ch.

Correspondence: Dipen C. Shah, Cardiology Division, Geneva University Hospitals, Rue Gabrielle-Perret-Gentil 4, 1205 Geneva, Switzerland. Tel: +41-223727202/Fax: +41-223727229.

Word count: 5’111

Funding sources: Dipen C. Shah is supported by the Swiss National Science Foundation (Grant #173007).

Disclosures: Nicolas Johner: received educational grants from Boston Scientific, Abbott and Cardinal Health. Mehdi Namdar: received consultant fees and travel grants from Boston- Scientific, Biotronik and Biosense-Webster. Dipen C. Shah received consultant fees from Biosense Webster, Biotronik, St. Jude Medical and Boston Scientific. He has benefited from research grants from Biosense Webster, St. Jude Medical and Boston Scientific via the Cardiology Division, Geneva University Hospitals. He received Speaker Board member fees from Biosense Webster, St. Jude Medical and Boston Scientific.

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2

Abstract

1

INTRODUCTION: Little data exists on the electrophysiological differences between sustained 2

(sAF, >5min) versus self-terminating non-sustained AF (nsAF, <5min). We sought to investigate 3

the electrophysiological characteristics of coronary sinus (CS) activity during post-pulmonary 4

vein isolation (PVI) sAF versus nsAF.

5

METHODS AND RESULTS: We studied 142 patients post-PVI for paroxysmal AF. In a 50- 6

patient subset, CS electrograms in the first 30 seconds of induced AF were analyzed manually.

7

A custom-made algorithm for automated electrogram annotation was derived for validation on 8

the whole patient set. In patients with sAF post-PVI, CS fractionated potentials were ablated.

9

Manual analysis showed that patients with sAF exhibited higher activation pattern variability (2.1 10

vs 0.5 changes/sec, p<0.001); fewer proximal-to-distal wavefronts (25 vs 61%, p<0.001); fewer 11

unidirectional wavefronts (60 vs 86%, p<0.001); more pivot locations (4.3 vs 2.1, p<0.001);

12

shorter cycle lengths (190 vs 220ms, p<0.001); and shorter cumulative isoelectric segments (35 13

vs 44%, p=0.045) compared to nsAF. These observations were confirmed on the whole study 14

population by automated electrogram annotation and sample entropy computation (SampEn:

15

0.29±0.15 in sAF vs 0.15±0.05 in nsAF, p<0.0001). The derived model predicted sAF with 78%

16

sensitivity, 88% specificity; agreement with manual model: 88% (Cohen’s kappa=0.76). CS 17

defragmentation resulted in AF termination or non-inducibility in 49% of sAF.

18

CONCLUSION: In paroxysmal AF patients post-PVI, induced sAF shows greater activation 19

sequence variability, shorter cycle length and higher SampEn in the CS compared to nsAF.

20

Automated electrogram annotation confirmed these results and accurately distinguished self- 21

terminating nsAF episodes from sAF based on 30-second recordings at AF onset.

22 23

(4)

3 1

Keywords: Atrial fibrillation, catheter ablation, coronary sinus, electrograms, prediction model, 2

pulmonary vein isolation, signal processing, inducibility, substrate modification.

3

Abbreviations: AF, atrial fibrillation; AFCL, atrial fibrillation cycle length; AUC, area under the 4

curve; CI, confidence interval; CS coronary sinus; LA, left atrium; nsAF, non-sustained atrial 5

fibrillation; OAT; organized atrial tachycardia; PAF, paroxysmal atrial fibrillation; PV, pulmonary 6

vein; PVI, pulmonary vein isolation; RA, right atrium; ROC, receiver operating characteristic;

7

sAF, sustained atrial fibrillation; SampEn, sample entropy.

8 9 10

Introduction

11

While pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) is the cornerstone of atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation, it is 12

considered likely that additional extra-PV substrate modification can further improve outcomes.

13

The lack of an established ablation endpoint beyond PVI limits patient selection for extra-PV 14

ablation. AF non-inducibility by atrial pacing has been proposed as an endpoint to test the 15

neutralization of the arrhythmogenic substrate(1). We sought to characterize the 16

electrophysiological differences between induced sustained AF (sAF) and self-terminating non- 17

sustained (nsAF) AF after PVI.

18

Very scarce data exists analyzing the electrophysiological properties of sAF versus nsAF in 19

humans(2–5). We hypothesized that post-PVI sAF is maintained longer than nsAF due to more 20

extensive extra-PV – including LA and CS – substrate. Based on this hypothesis, we selected 21

for measurement electrogram characteristics that have been previously associated with AF 22

(5)

4 substrate and/or AF persistence(6–13). A 5-minute cut-off duration was selected empirically to 1

define sAF and the sensitivity of the results to the cut-off value was tested subsequently.

2

The goal of this study was: 1) to investigate the electrophysiological characteristics in the CS of 3

induced sAF (>5 minutes) versus self-terminating nsAF (<5 minutes) after PVI, and 2) to confirm 4

the observations using an automated objective electrogram annotation method.

5 6

Methods

7

Design and study population

8

A retrospective analysis was performed on consecutive patients who underwent a first-ever 9

paroxysmal AF (PAF) ablation between 2009 and 2015 at our institution. Written informed 10

consent was obtained and the study protocol was approved by the institutional review board.

11

Exclusion criteria were the absence of post-PVI induced AF (defined as AF lasting >30 12

seconds), and transition from induced AF to an organized atrial tachyarrhythmia (OAT) within 13

the first 5 minutes of the episode. OATs were excluded by analyzing FF interval regularity and 14

consistency of activation patterns.

15

First, preliminary analysis of candidate electrogram characteristics was performed on a 16

subgroup of 50 patients randomly selected from the study population with a 1:1 ratio of sAF and 17

nsAF (Derivation cohort). Preliminary analysis included manual electrogram annotation as well 18

as simple algorithmic quantification of isoelectric baseline. After identification of the relevant 19

electrogram features which best discriminate sAF and nsAF, a custom-made electrogram 20

analysis algorithm was developed for automated and reproducible electrogram annotation and 21

analysis. Automated electrogram analysis was then tested on the whole study population.

22

(6)

5 Figure 1 summarizes the study flow.

1 2

Electrophysiology study

3

All antiarrhythmic drugs were discontinued 5 half-lives before the procedures, except 4

amiodarone, which was discontinued for ≥72h. A 10-electrode catheter (2-5-2 mm electrode 5

spacing, Abbott, Lake Bluff, IL) was placed with its tip in the distal CS or great cardiac vein and 6

all electrodes within the CS so that the tip of the catheter was placed at 2 o’clock around the 7

mitral annulus on the left anterior oblique view. PVI was performed using a 20-pole circular 8

catheter (Biosense Webster, Diamond Bar, CA) and an irrigated-tip ablation catheter 9

(Thermocool, Biosense Webster)(14). Following PVI, sAF inducibility was tested using a 10

standardized decremental burst pacing protocol. Eight-paced beat sequences were delivered 11

from a CS bipole or the left atrial appendage with 1-2 ms stimulus duration and decremental S1- 12

S1 intervals from 350 ms down to effective atrial refractory period in steps of 10 ms. The test 13

was considered positive when sAF (>5 minutes) was induced, hypothetically indicative of non- 14

PV substrate. In case of non-inducibility, this protocol was repeated to confirm the phenotype.

15

Patients with induced sAF post-PVI underwent selective ablation of continuous or rapid 16

fractionated potentials in the CS with a delivered maximum power of 25 W. The burst-pacing 17

induction protocol was then repeated to evaluate the effect of CS defragmentation on AF 18

inducibility.

19

Endocardial bipolar electrograms were amplified, filtered (band-pass 30-500 Hz) and digitalized 20

at 1’000 Hz (LabSystem Pro, Boston Scientific).

21 22

Manual electrogram analysis: Derivation cohort

23

(7)

6 For each patient, the initial 30 seconds of post-PVI induced AF were analyzed. Near-field 1

electrograms were selected and local activation times were annotated as shown in Figure 2 2

(details in Supplemental Material). Over the 30-second recording, 5 markers of complexity were 3

analyzed: 1) the beat-to-beat CS activation pattern, defined as the pair of electrodes showing 4

the earliest and latest annotated electrogram (Figure 3, Panel A). 2) Local activation pivots(15), 5

defined as wavefronts making a 180° change of direction of activation sequence (Figure 3, 6

Panel B) were characterized based on location and activation sequence. 3) The predominant 7

grade of electrogram organization in the CS was categorized using a modified Wells 8

classification(16) (Figure 4). 4) Mean AFCL was measured separately in the proximal and distal 9

CS bipole during the initial 5 seconds and during seconds 10-25. For all the above-mentioned 10

analyses, activation sequences obscured by far-field ventricular deflections were excluded from 11

analysis. 5) The cumulative duration of isoelectric signal defined as amplitudes <0.04 mV 12

uninterruptedly for at least 40 ms was measured in the proximal and distal CS bipoles using a 13

custom-made algorithm (MATLAB R2014a, The MathWorks, Natick, MA).

14 15

Automated electrogram annotation and analysis

16

Based on the electrogram features of interest identified at preliminary analysis, a custom-made 17

algorithm was designed for automated CS electrogram analysis, including beat-to-beat local 18

activation time annotation, CS activation sequences identification, AF cycle length (AFCL), 19

electrogram organization quantification, and Sample entropy (SampEn) measurement.

20

Automated electrogram analysis and SampEn measurement was performed on the whole study 21

population and also separately on the derivation cohort. SampEn is defined as the negative 22

logarithm of the probability that two segments of the signal which are similar for length m remain 23

similar for length m+1. Therefore, SampEn is a measure of signal predictability, with zero 24

(8)

7 indicating regular periodic signal and progressively greater values indicating random irregular 1

signal. Algorithm details are described in the Supplemental Material.

2 3

Follow-up 4

Patients underwent follow-up visits at 1, 3 and 6 months (accompanied by 24-48h Holter 5

monitoring) and every 6-12 months thereafter, when rhythm monitoring was performed only in 6

case of suggestive symptoms. Recurrent AF and organized atrial arrhythmias were defined in 7

accordance with current guidelines(17). No arrhythmias within the initial 3 months were counted.

8

Patients without any induced AF post-PVI (noAF; N=107, see Study overview, Figure 1) were 9

included in the outcome analysis for comparison as well as to achieve a representative sample 10

of paroxysmal AF ablation patients.

11 12 13

Statistical analysis and model design

14

Continuous variables are expressed as mean (±1 standard deviation) if normally distributed and 15

as median (interquartile range) if not. Categorical variables are expressed as number 16

(percentage of patients). Gaussian distribution was tested using the Kolmogoroff-Smirnov test.

17

Differences between two groups were tested using Student’s t-test for normally distributed 18

continuous variables and Mann-Whitney U test in case of non-normal distribution. The Fischer 19

exact test was used to compare categorical variables. Univariable analyses and multivariable 20

logistic regression were used to identify demographic parameters associated with sAF.

21

Significance was defined at bilateral α<0.05. For prediction models, univariable analyses were 22

(9)

8 performed to preselect covariates. Stronger associations (p<0.2) were included to build the 1

multivariable model, which was designed using backward elimination to maximize area under 2

the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Ten-fold cross-validation was performed to 3

assess the unbiased predictive accuracy. Agreement between automated and manual model 4

prediction was measured by Cohen’s kappa coefficient. Analyses were performed using 5

Statistica 13 (Dell, Round Rock, TX) and STATA 15 (StataCorp, College Station, TX).

6 7

Results

8

Patient demography

9

A total of 263 patients with PAF were assessed for eligibility, 142 of which were included in the 10

study: 76 sAF, 66 nsAF, and 121 were excluded (Figure 1).

11

Patient demographics are summarized in Table 1. Compared to patients with post-PVI nsAF, 12

patients with post-PVI sAF were older, had a longer history of PAF, had a larger LA volume 13

index (LAVI) at echocardiography and more frequently had a history of stroke/TIA. Independent 14

predictors of sAF after adjustment were age, LAVI and a longer history of PAF.

15

Demographics of the derivation subgroup are summarized in Supplemental table 1.

16 17

AF induction and reproducibility

18

The 142 selected AF episodes were induced with an average 226±32 ms S1-S1 interval in sAF 19

(range: 160-350 ms) and 214±22 ms in nsAF (range: 180-300 ms, p=0.008). Of the 142 20

patients, 69 had nsAF or no arrhythmia during the first induction protocol run. When the 21

(10)

9 induction protocol was repeated for reproducibility, 66 (96%) patients remained non-inducible;

1

73 (96%) of 76 sAF episodes were induced on first attempt.

2

The median duration of induced AF was 114 seconds (range: 30-293 seconds) in nsAF and 24 3

minutes 31 seconds (range: 309 seconds – 80 minutes 48 seconds) in sAF. All 66 nsAF 4

episodes terminated spontaneously to sinus rhythm. Seven sAF episodes terminated 5

spontaneously (duration range: 320 – 503 seconds), 48 were terminated by internal electrical 6

cardioversion and 21 terminated during CS defragmentation.

7 8

Effect of CS ablation

9

Of the 76 sAF patients, 65 underwent CS defragmentation, with an average 12.6±7.3 10

radiofrequency pulses corresponding to 8.4±4.9 minutes of radiofrequency time. CS 11

defragmentation resulted in termination to sinus rhythm or non-inducibility in 32 (49%), of which 12

21 (32%) were terminations to sinus rhythm and an overlapping 24 (37%) were non-inducible 13

after defragmentation. Radiofrequency time was shorter in patients with termination or non- 14

inducibility post-CS ablation compared to patients with no effect (7.2±4.7 versus 9.5±4.5 min, 15

p=0.02).

16 17

Manual analysis of coronary sinus electrograms

18

A derivation subgroup of 50 patients was selected randomly for preliminary manual electrogram 19

analysis. A total of 34’866 deflections, accounting for 7’174 AF CS activation sequences, were 20

analyzed on a total of 1500 seconds of recordings. Compared to induced nsAF (N=25), patients 21

with induced sAF (N=25) showed higher activation pattern variability (2.1±1.02 vs 0.5±0.4 22

pattern changes per second, p<0.0001, Figure 5). Analysis of CS activation patterns (Figure 6) 23

(11)

10 showed, in sAF compared to nsAF patients, fewer proximal-distal activation sequences

1

(25%±18% vs 61%±36% of wavefronts, p<0.001), fewer unidirectional activations (60%±16% vs 2

86%±15% of wavefronts, p<0.0001) and a shorter longest sequence of consecutive identical 3

wavefronts (19±15.5 vs 74±40.5 consecutive beats, p<0.0001).

4

There were more numerous pivot morphologies (differing in location and/or activation sequence) 5

in sAF compared to nsAF (4.3±1.8 versus 2.1±1.6 different morphologies, p<0.0001), and more 6

frequent pivoting wavefronts with a distal-proximal-distal activation sequence (0.1 (0.03-0.27) 7

versus 0 (0-0.07) per second, p=0.003), whereas proximal-distal-proximal pivots were evenly 8

distributed (0.2 (0.13-0.77) versus 0.33 (0-0.67) per second, p=0.86).

9

Disorganized activity was more prevalent in sAF compared to nsAF: 15/25 (60%) sAF episodes 10

versus 2/25 (8%) nsAF episodes showed predominantly type II activity, p<0.001. All other 11

episodes showed predominantly type I activity and none showed dominant type III. Segments 12

without organized wavefronts (Wells type III) were absent from nsAF and were present in 13/25 13

(52%) sAF episodes, p<0.0001. In sAF, the duration of uninterruptedly disorganized segments 14

represented a median 1.7% (0-1.7%) of the signal.

15

AFCLs were shorter in sAF compared to nsAF for all combinations of site and time of 16

measurement (p<0.05). AFCL averaged 190±33 ms (range 121-254 ms) in sAF and 220±23 ms 17

(range 187-303) in nsAF, p<0.001 (Figure 5). AFCL did not change significantly from seconds 0- 18

5 to seconds 10-25 for all combinations of site and group (p>0.4).

19

The percentage of cumulative isoelectric periods in the proximal CS (bipole furthest from 20

catheter tip) was smaller in sAF compared to nsAF (35%±18% vs 44%±15%, p=0.045). There 21

was no difference between both groups in the distal CS (bipole closest to catheter tip;

22

56%±15% vs 59%±14%, p=0.392). Intra-patient comparison showed shorter isoelectric signal 23

(12)

11 duration in the proximal CS compared to the distal CS in both sAF (34.6%±17.5% vs

1

55.7%±14.6%, p<0.0001) and nsAF (44.3%±15.1% vs 59.3%±14.4%, p=0.002).

2 3

Preliminary prediction model

4

The derived multivariable logistic regression model’s parameters and coefficients are described 5

in Supplemental tables 2-3.

6

The model predicted sAF with 96% sensitivity and 100% specificity, area under the ROC curve 7

(AUC)=0.98. Ten-fold cross-validation resulted in a mean AUC of 0.93±0.16 (95% confidence 8

interval 0.82-1.03). The model was robust to alternative definitions of sAF ranging from 1 to 15- 9

minute cut-off (see Supplemental Material).

10

For representative examples of nsAF and sAF with corresponding model predictions, see 11

Supplemental Material.

12 13

Automated electrogram analysis

14

Results from manual electrogram analysis were reproduced by automated analysis on the 15

whole sample (N=142) and are summarized in Figure 7: patients with post-PVI induced sAF 16

(N=76) showed higher activation pattern variability (4.4±0.9 vs 3.1±1.2 pattern changes/sec, 17

p<0.0001), fewer proximal-distal activations (11±14% vs 31±30%, p<0.0001), more numerous 18

non-uniform wavefronts (81±16% vs 59±28%, p<0.0001), shorter AFCL (208±19 vs 226±20 ms, 19

p<0.0001) and higher SampEn (0.29±0.15 vs 0.15±0.05, p<0.0001) compared to patients with 20

self-terminating nsAF (N=66). The derived multivariable logistic regression model predicted sAF 21

with 88% specificity, 78% sensitivity, area under the ROC curve = 0.86 (Figure 8, Table 2;

22

(13)

12 Intercept refers to the constant in the regression model and has no clinical correlate). The 1

parsimonious model is reported in Supplemental results (independent predictors of sAF:

2

SampEn and number of proximal-distal CS activations/30 seconds, AUC = 0.85). Ten-fold 3

cross-validation resulted in a mean AUC of 0.85±0.03 (95% confidence interval 0.78-0.91).

4

Agreement between manual and automated model classification on the derivation subgroup 5

(N=50) was 88%, Cohen’s kappa = 0.76 (p<0.0001). Detailed correlations between manual and 6

automated electrogram annotation are reported in Supplemental figures 10-14. The evolution of 7

electrogram characteristics later during sAF episodes is reported in the Supplemental results.

8

Comparison of CS electrogram characteristics between patients in whom AF terminated during 9

CS defragmentation versus those in whom AF did not terminate is also reported in the 10

Supplemental results.

11 12

Long-term outcome

13

Six patients were lost to follow-up prior to the end of the blanking period and were excluded 14

from survival analysis.

15

Among the remaining 243 patients, AF-free survival at 24 months was 82% (200/243 patients).

16

AF recurrence occurred in 20/74 (27%) patients with sustained induced AF post-PVI (sAF), 17

11/66 (17%) patients with self-terminating non-sustained AF post-PVI (nsAF) and 12/103 (12%) 18

patients without induced AF post-PVI (noAF; p for trend = 0.014 by the log-rank test). The rate 19

of AF recurrence increased significantly with post-PVI inducibility phenotype (sAF > nsAF >

20

noAF: HR = 1.56, 95% CI: 1.09-2.23, p=0.016 by Cox regression). AF-free survival did not differ 21

significantly between sAF and nsAF patients (73% vs 83%, respectively, p=0.15 by the log-rank 22

test; HR = 1.70, 95% CI: 0.81-3.54, p=0.16 by Cox regression). AF-free survival was lower in 23

(14)

13 sAF patients compared to nsAF + noAF patients (73% vs 86%, respectively, p=0.016 by the log- 1

rank test; HR = 2.06, 95% CI: 1.13-3.75, p=0.018 by Cox regression).

2 3

Discussion

4

This study demonstrates that sAF induced after PVI for PAF exhibits distinct 5

electrophysiological properties in the CS compared to induced nsAF during the initial 30 6

seconds of the induced arrhythmia. The main findings were that sAF showed: increased CS 7

activation sequence variability, fewer proximal-distal CS activations, fewer organized 8

(unidirectional) activation patterns, more spatially distinct pivot morphologies within the CS, 9

lower grade of organization, shorter AFCL and a lesser isoelectric signal duration in the 10

proximal CS. These observations were first evaluated manually on a patient subgroup and 11

subsequently confirmed by automated electrogram analysis on the whole study population and 12

separately on the derivation subgroup as well. Additionally, follow-up data showed an 13

association between post-PVI AF inducibility and AF recurrence at 24 months.

14

Only four previous studies have compared the electrophysiological properties of sAF and nsAF 15

using heterogenous definitions of sAF, ranging from 5-15 minutes. Karch et al.(3), mapped the 16

right atrium (RA) and found longer AFCL and more organized AF electrograms in nsAF versus 17

sAF, predominantly at the septal RA. Three studies focused on FF intervals and reported 18

shorter AFCL in sAF versus nsAF on surface ECG(2) and endocardial RA and CS(4,5). To the 19

best of our knowledge, the present data uniquely describes beat-to-beat CS activation and 20

electrogram characteristics in post-PVI sAF and nsAF.

21 22

Electrogram characteristics indicative of AF substrate

23

(15)

14 While some electrogram characteristics reported here have not been used previously to predict 1

AF duration or inducibility, their selection was based on the following rationale.

2

Complexity parameters that have been correlated with AF perpetuation or substrate include 3

electrogram fractionation(8,9,11), Wells’ AF types(11), activation pattern variability(9–11), 4

complex activation patterns during AF (including inside the CS)(9–11), as well as automated 5

measures of disorganization such as SampEn(6) and dispersion of dominant frequency 6

distribution(6). Moreover, Kalifa et al.(7) showed that maximal electrogram fractionation and 7

activation pattern variability are found in the immediate vicinity of areas exhibiting maximal 8

dominant frequency, compatible with high-frequency excitation from AF drivers. A shorter AFCL 9

has been associated with electrical remodeling(18) and AF persistence(9,11). Furthermore, 10

Haïssaguerre et al.(19) showed that PVI resulted in AFCL prolongation in the CS, the 11

magnitude of which correlated with AF termination and non-inducibility. Local CS pivots have 12

been attributed to electrically active partial CS-LA connections(15). We hypothesized a 13

correlation between pivot dispersion and CS activation sequence variability, and pivots were 14

analyzed separately to account for locally complex activations. Correlation between the number 15

of distinct pivot morphologies and the number of activation pattern changes was confirmed by 16

linear regression (R=0.63, p<10^-6).

17 18

Anatomic basis of CS substrate

19

The CS represents a convenient and fixed, spatially limited structure with extensive connections 20

to the LA and allowing a view of the electrical activity in the adjacent LA. The CS is surrounded 21

by a myocardial sleeve continuous with the ostial RA myocardium and extending 25-50 mm 22

from the ostium(20). Myocardial connections between the CS and LA have been observed in 23

89-100% of human hearts, with the most common location being the CS midportion(20,21). In 24

(16)

15 an anatomic study of 65 patients using computed tomography(21), 4 morphologic variants of 1

CS-LA connections were identified: 40% of patients had a single connection in the midportion of 2

the CS, 23% had two connections, 15% had complete CS-LA attachment and 11% had no 3

visible connections.

4

CS-LA connections likely play a significant role in AF perpetuation, as evidenced by reports of 5

local reentry mechanisms(12) and CS to LA conduction of local arrhythmias triggering and 6

perpetuating AF(13). Moreover, partial or total CS-LA disconnection results in AF termination 7

and/or decreased AF inducibility(13,22,23), which is consistent with our results.

8

Haïssaguerre et al.(22) reported an increase in AFCL and a decrease in CS activation pattern 9

variability following partial CS-LA disconnection, suggesting a causal relationship between these 10

electrogram characteristics and the extent of CS-LA connections. Therefore, the results of the 11

present study are compatible with more extensive CS-LA connections in sAF compared to 12

nsAF. Of note, in the above-mentioned study, CS ablation resulted in AF termination in 35% of 13

patients, which is consistent with the present report (32%).

14

Activation pattern variability in the CS during rapid pacing has been shown in vitro to be related 15

to intermittent functional block at CS-LA connections resulting in unstable reentrant circuits 16

involving the CS musculature and randomly using variable CS-LA connections(24). In addition, 17

this type of activity was associated with AF-like ECG activity as well as AF induction. Finally, the 18

presence of functional conduction block at CS-LA connections along with a variable CS 19

activation sequence has been shown in humans to be associated with AF inducibility(25) and 20

with a history of AF(26). These studies, as well as the present data (particularly the variability in 21

CS activation patterns and pivot locations), are compatible with a substantial role of non-fixed 22

CS-dependent reentry through varying CS-LA connections in the induction and maintenance of 23

24 AF.

(17)

16 1

Clinical implications

2

The present data suggests that post-PVI sAF inducibility relates to distinct electrophysiological 3

properties of extra-PV substrate. Because continuous and rapid fractionated potential ablation in 4

the CS resulted in AF termination/non-inducibility in 49% of sAF patients, a contribution of the 5

CS to AF maintenance is likely in these patients.

6

The prediction model may serve as a multidimensional measure of AF complexity. The reliable 7

prediction of AF self-termination may have clinical applications particularly in the context of the 8

possible relationship of AF burden with AF-related complications. Finally, one may speculate 9

that catheter ablation of AF sustaining mechanisms or sources should result in similar changes 10

of diminishing electrogram complexity which may therefore provide a definable electrogram 11

based ablation endpoint instead of actual arrhythmia termination.

12

The association between post-PVI AF inducibility and long-term AF-free survival indicates that 13

sAF is related to clinically relevant extra-PV AF substrate. In addition, it supports the use of AF 14

inducibility as a prognostic indicator of rhythm outcomes.

15 16

Study limitations

17

There is an overlap between the characteristics of near-field and far-field electrograms(15,27);

18

therefore, complete discrimination during AF may not be achievable based on bipolar CS 19

electrograms alone. It is likely that a proportion of far-field potentials from the adjacent LA were 20

inappropriately annotated. In addition, various criteria have been used(28) to define local 21

activation time during AF. Therefore, the reported activation sequences should be interpreted in 22

(18)

17 the context of the annotation method used. Of note, alternative definitions of a change of

1

activation pattern were tested and yielded similar results (Supplemental Material).

2

Because this cohort included PAF patients after PVI only, the reproducibility of these results 3

needs to be verified with respect to the broader AF population.

4

Because of the non-randomized stepwise ablation protocol used in the present cohort, the 5

relative contribution of the CS in sAF maintenance cannot be determined from the present data.

6

Further studies investigating these electrogram characteristics at other atrial sites along with the 7

clinical impact of ablation at those sites are needed.

8

The mapping catheter used in this study covers a limited area of tissue with limited resolution.

9

Accordingly, the present electrophysiological findings should be interpreted with caution. The 10

present method, however, identified substantial differences in electrical activity between 11

sustained and self-terminating AF, using readily accessible tools and routine laboratory setup.

12

Implementation of high-density could conceivably add valuable insight but high density mapping 13

during an irregular arrhythmia such as AF is difficult to interpret. Panoramic mapping (body 14

surface ECG mapping) on the other hand has limitations in resolving complex low voltage 15

activation but may merit further study.

16

While CS defragmentation resulted in AF termination or non-inducibility in a substantial 17

proportion of patients, the present study was not designed to assess the utility of such an 18

ablation strategy, which remains to be evaluated prospectively. We acknowledge that the 19

clinical relevance of AF non-inducibility as a procedure outcome in PAF is controversial. While 20

the majority of studies, including the present one, showed an association with arrhythmia-free 21

survival(1), the prognostic accuracy reported in the literature was low and heterogenous 22

definitions of sAF (ranging 1-10 minutes) were used. Therefore, when interpreting the present 23

(19)

18 results, one should keep in mind that, although indicative of worse clinical outcome, post-PVI 1

sAF does not equate clinical AF recurrence.

2

Finally, it should be noted that the comparison of outcomes of sAF versus other patients is 3

confounded by the fact that sAF patients received additional electrogram-guided substrate 4

modification (targeting complex fractionated electrograms in the CS as well as other LA sites in 5

case of persistently inducible sAF) whereas nsAF and noAF patients did not. Under the 6

hypothesis that adjunctive extra-PV ablations are useful for long-term sinus rhythm 7

maintenance, this confounding factor is likely to decrease the difference in AF-free survival 8

between sAF and nsAF + noAF patients. Therefore, this observational analysis should be 9

interpreted with caution and may not be representative of the prognostic utility of post-PVI 10

inducibility testing in general.

11 12

Conclusion

13

Induced sAF shows decreased electrogram organization, more variable activation sequences, 14

shorter AFCL and higher SampEn in the CS compared to self-terminating nsAF in PAF patients 15

after PVI. Automated analysis of CS electrograms within the initial 30 seconds of AF episodes 16

accurately distinguished self-terminating from sustained AF.

17 18 19

Acknowledgments

20

We thank Dr Nicolas Vachicouras for his help in writing Matlab scripts and figure editing.

21

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19 1

2 3 4

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36 37 38

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22

Figure Legends

1

Figure 1. Study overview. AF, atrial fibrillation; nsAF, non-sustained AF; OAT, organized atrial 2

tachyarrhythmia; PVI, pulmonary vein isolation; sAF, sustained AF.

3

Figure 2. Manual electrogram annotation. Electrograms not included for analysis were not near 4

field, within refractory period or inconsistent with the activation sequences. Inset: example of 5

manual approximation of dV/dt.

6

Figure 3. (A) Defining activation patterns. First two activations are “CS5 to CS3”, followed by 7

“CS1 to CS4” patterns, based on the earliest and latest electrograms. (B) Local pivots.

8

Wavefronts bifurcate at CS3, with one arm continuing to CS1 and one pivoting back to CS5 9

(proximal-distal-proximal).

10

Figure 4. Modified Wells AF classification. (1) Type 1: discrete electrograms separated by 11

isoelectric signal. (2) Type 2: discrete electrograms with perturbations of the baseline. (3) Type 12

3: continuous electrical activity.

13

Figure 5. Total number of activation pattern changes in sAF and nsAF. Dots represent 14

individual patients; random horizontal scatter for visibility (A). Mean FF interval in sAF and nsAF 15

at seconds 0-5 and 10-25 (B). Brackets show 95% confidence intervals. AF, atrial fibrillation.

16

Figure 6. Total number of wavefronts (percentage) sorted by CS activation pattern in nsAF and 17

sAF. P value and 95% confidence intervals are shown relative to the number of unidirectional 18

activations. AF, atrial fibrillation.

19

Figure 7. CS electrogram characteristics as measured by the automated electrogram 20

annotation algorithm. AF, atrial fibrillation; CS, coronary sinus; nsAF, non-sustained atrial 21

fibrillation; sAF, sustained atrial fibrillation.

22

(24)

23 Figure 8. Prediction model accuracy. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve of the 1

automated prediction model for predicting sAF (whole cohort, N=142).

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19

(25)

24

Figures

1

Figure 1

2

3 4 5

6 7

(26)

25

Figure 2

1 2

3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

(27)

26

Figure 3

1 2

3

(28)

27

Figure 4

1

2

(29)

28

Figure 5

1

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

(30)

29

Figure 6

1

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

(31)

30

Figure 7

1

2 3 4 5

6 7

8 9 10

11 12

13 14

(32)

31

Figure 8

1

2 3 4

5 6 7

8 9

(33)

32

Tables

1

Table 1. Patient characteristics

All Patients (N=142)

nsAF Group (N=66)

sAF Group (N=76)

P Value

Uni- variable

P Value adjusted

Age (y) 60.2 (±11.3) 57.3 (±10.8) 62.7 (±11.1) 0.004* 0.023*

Male gender 101 (71%) 48 (73%) 53 (70%) 0.69 0.97 Body mass index (kg/m2) 26.4 (±4.7) 26.6 (±5.3) 26.3 (±4.1) 0.75 0.19 History of PAF (mo) 29.5

(12,64.5)

15 (10,48) 45

(18.25,72)

0.035* 0.024*

Medication

Number of failed AADs 1 (1,2) 1 (1,2) 1 (1,1) 0.10 0.081 Concomitant medication

Amiodarone 21 (15%) 10 (15%) 11 (14%) 0.96 0.22 Beta-blockers 44 (31%) 26 (39%) 18 (24%) 0.06 0.11 ACEI and ARB 28 (20%) 14 (21%) 14 (18%) 0.71 0.56 Comorbidity

Arterial hypertension 45 (32%) 21 (31%) 24 (32%) 0.98 0.81

Diabetes mellitus 6 (4%) 3 (5%) 3 (4%) 1.0 0.39

Hypercholesterolemia 35 (25%) 17 (26%) 18 (24%) 0.81 0.46

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33 Structural heart disease 10 (7%) 6 (9%) 4 (5%) 0.51 0.36 Prior stroke/TIA 9 (6%) 1 (2%) 8 (11%) 0.037* 0.29 CHADS2-VASc score ≥ 2 50 (35%) 18 (27%) 32 (42%) 0.07 0.99 Left atrial volume index

(ml/m2)

35.3 (±11.5) 32.2 (±9.3) 37.8 (±12.5) 0.003* 0.016*

Left ventricular function

Normal 138 (97%) 64 (97%) 74 (97%)

1.0 0.81 Slightly reduced 4 (3%) 2 (3%) 2 (3%)

AAD, antiarrhythmic drug; ACEI, angiotensin-converting-enzyme inhibitor; ARB, angiotensin receptor blocker; nsAF, non-sustained AF; PAF, paroxysmal AF; sAF, sustained AF; TIA, transient ischemic attack.

*p<0.05

Other AADs not shown (discontinued).

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

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34

Table 2. Parameters of the final automated model

Parameter Odds ratio Regression

coefficient

P value Number of activation pattern changes (n/30

seconds)

1.016 0.016 0.217

Number of cycles in the longest segment of consecutive activations without change of activation pattern (n)

1.008 0.008 0.866

Number of activations with CS5 to CS1 pattern (n/30 seconds)

0.986 -0.014 0.102

Sample entropy (dimensionless) 1.45*105 11.883 0.001

(Intercept) 0.025 -3.68 0.03

1

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