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HAL Id: hal-02510389

https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02510389

Preprint submitted on 17 Mar 2020

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On metastability

Laurent Miclo

To cite this version:

Laurent Miclo. On metastability. 2020. �hal-02510389�

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On metastability

Laurent Miclo

Institut de Mathématiques de Toulouse, UMR 5219, Toulouse School of Economics, UMR 5314

CNRS and University of Toulouse

Abstract

Consider finite state space irreducible and absorbing Markov processes. A general spectral criterion is provided for the absorbing time to be close to an exponential random variable, whatever the starting point. When exiting points are added to the state space, our criterion also insures that the exit time and position are almost independent. Since this is valid for any exiting extension of the state space, it corresponds to an instance of the metastability phenomenon. Simple examples at small temperature suggest that this new spectral criterion is quite sharp. But the main interest of the underlying quantitative approach, based on Poisson equations, is that it does not rely on a small parameter such as temperature, nor on reversibility.

Keywords: metastability, finite absorbing Markov process, exit time, exit position, spectral quan- titative criterion, first Dirichlet eigenvalue, quasi-stationary distribution, Poisson equation, eigentime identity, small temperature.

MSC2010: primary: 60J27, secondary: 60E15, 15A42, 60J35, 60J45

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1 Introduction

The metastability phenomenon occurs when a system relatively quickly reaches an apparent equi- librium, independent from the initial state, before this stochastic balance vanishes in a somewhat unpredictable way. This behavior can be found in various domains, such as physics, chemistry, bio- chemistry, neuroscience, population dynamics, economics, politics or even (personal?) history. The simplest mathematical model is based on absorbing finite Markov processes, when a quasi-stationary distribution is (almost) attained before the final absorption. The goal of this paper is to give a surprising simple spectral characterization of metastability in this Markovian context.

More precisely, consider a sub-Markovian generator LBpLpx, yqqx,yPV on a finite state space V which contains at least two points (otherwise Theorem 1, Theorem 3 and Corollary 4 are trivially true withΣ:“0). It is a matrix whose off-diagonal entries are non-negative and whose row sums are non-positive. We assume that L is irreducible, in the sense that for any x ‰y PV, there exists a path pxkqkP

J0,lK (where J0, lK B t0,1, ..., lu) going from x to y: x0 “ x, xl “ y and Lpxk, xk`1q ą 0 for all kPJ0, l´1K. For any xPV,XxBpXxptqqtPr0,τxq will stand for an associated Markov process starting fromx, up to its vanishing timeτx.

Consider Λ the multiset of the eigenvalues of ´L counted with their algebraic multiplicities. By Perron-Frobenius’ theorem, Λ contains an eigenvalue λ0 ě 0 which is strictly smaller than the real parts of all the other elements of Λ. It is sometimes called the first Dirichlet eigenvalue or the exponential survival rate of L, see for instance the book [3] of Collet, Martínez and San Martín.

In particular, the algebraic multiplicity ofλ0 is 1. To avoid a trivial statement below, we assume that Lis strictly sub-Markovian, in the sense that λ0 ą0.

Perron-Frobenius’ theorem also insures the existence and uniqueness of a probabilityνonV, called thequasi-stationary distribution, such that

νL “ ´λ0ν (1)

For more details about the eigenmeasure ν, which gives positive weights to all the elements ofV, we refer again to the book of Collet, Martínez and San Martín [3].

To state our main result, we need to introduce another spectral quantity. Consider δV the set of interior exit points:

δV B

#

ωPV : ÿ

yPV

Lpω, yq ă0 +

When a Markov process Xx, x P V, associated to L visits a point of δV, there is a positive probability that it vanishes at its next attempt to jump. Let us transform this Markov process into an ergodic one, by requiring that instead of vanishing, a new position is chosen according to ν. It amounts to replace the sub-Markov generatorL by the Markov generatorLr defined by

@ x‰yPV, Lpx, yqr B Lpx, yq ` ˇ ˇ ˇ ˇ ˇ

ÿ

zPV

Lpx, zq ˇ ˇ ˇ ˇ ˇ

νpyq (2)

(the entries ofLr on the diagonal are deduced from the fact that the row sums vanish).

For x‰y PV, Lpx, yqr is different fromLpx, yq if and only if xPδV, in which case the vanishing rate|ř

yPV Lpx, yq|is dispatched into the jump rates |ř

yPV Lpx, yq|νpyq. For ωPδV, denote Vω: B Vztωu

which is non-empty, due to the hypothesiscardpVq ě2. EndowVω:with the sub-Markovian generator L:ω BpL:ωpx, yqqx,yPV:

ω BpLpx, yqqr x,yPV: ω.

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Consider Λ:ω the multiset of the eigenvalues of ´L:ω counted with their algebraic multiplicities.

Since there is no reason for L:ω to be reversible (even when L is assumed to be reversible), a priori the elements ofΛ:ωare complex numbers whose real part is positive, by strict sub-Markovianity ofL:ω, namely

Λ:ω Ă tzPC : <pzq ą0u

Since the entries of the matrixL:ω are real-valued, the setΛ:ω is stable by complex conjugation, so that the following quantity is positive

Σ:ω B ÿ

λPΛ:ω

1

λ (3)

Consider the probabilityζ defined on δV by

@ ωPδV, ζpωq B ˇ ˇ ˇ

ř

yPV Lpω, yq ˇ ˇ ˇνpωq ř

wPδV

zPV Lpw, zq|νpwq (4)

Finally introduce

Σ: B ÿ

ωPδV

Σ:ωζpωq (5)

The interest of this quantity comes from the following surprisingly simple bound about metasta- bility:

Theorem 1 We have

sup

xPV

sup

tě0

|Prτxąts ´expp´λ0tq| ď 4λ0Σ:

The interpretation of this result is as follows. For any ω P δV, the quantity Σ:ω measures how difficult it is to reach the interior exit boundary point ω for the underlying process. Then Σ: stands an average over all the ω P δV: it measures the difficulty of “internal mixing”. The quantity 1{λ0 quantifies the difficulty of getting out of the state space. Thus the above result states that when it is easier to mix than to exit, a metastability phenomenon occurs for the exit time (and the exit position according to the following bounds) and this principle can be quantified in a very clear and spectral manner.

With respect to the informal definition of metastability given at the beginning of this introduction, this theorem does not deal with the fact that an apparent equilibrium has been relatively quickly reached, but only with its vanishing in an unpredictable way (due to the memoryless property of the exponential distribution). In the present setting, the apparent equilibrium corresponds to the quasi-stationary distribution. To quantify the fact it has almost been attained well before the process vanishes, we can introduceconditioned strong quasi-stationary times: starting fromxPV, they are stopping timesςxďτx(with respect to the filtration generated byXxand independent noise) such that conditioned by ςx on tςx ăτxu, the law of Xςx is the quasi-distribution ν. Taking into account that on tςx ăτxu,Xςx is independent from ςx and distributed according to ν implies thatτx´ςx is conditionally distributed according to an exponential random variable of parameterλ0. In particular, if λ0Σ: is very small, due to Theorem 1, ςx will have to be negligible with respect to τx on tςx ăτxu. Thus we would have a spectral characterization through the quantity λ0Σ: of the full metastability phenomenon if the following result was true:

Conjecture 2 For any xPV, there exists a conditioned strong quasi-stationary time ςx such that sup

xPV

Prςx“τxs ď Cλ0Σ:

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whereCą0is a universal constant.

˝ When Prςx “ τxs “ 0, ςx is called a strong quasi-stationary times. Such times where con- structed in [7] for birth and death processes starting from the non-absorbing boundary of their finite segment state spaces. For more general approaches that can be used for conditioned strong quasi- stationary times, see Fill [8] and [16]. Conditioned strong quasi-stationary times were formally intro- duced in Manzo and Scoppola [13] in the context of metastability. We will not investigate further the notion of conditioned strong quasi-stationary times in this paper. Instead we will study the behavior of the exit position distribution. The fact that the latter can be almost independent from the starting point, forany absorbing extension ofL, as explained below, should be equivalent to the metastability ofLas mentioned above Conjecture 2. Proposition 23 and Remark 29, valid in the small temperature framework of Section 5, are strong hints in this direction.

The bound of Theorem 1 extends into a similar result for the exit time and position couple. Denote V¯ BV \ BV, where BV is a non-empty set not intersecting V. Be careful about the distinction: δV consists ofinternal boundary points, while the elements ofBV will beexternal boundary points (even if it would be sufficient to choose a setBV in bijection withδV, each internal boundary point leading to exactly one external boundary point). Consider a Markov generatorL¯ BpLpx, yq¯ x,yPV¯ onV¯ which is anabsorbing extension ofL:

@ x, yPV ,¯ Lpx, yq¯ “

"

Lpx, yq , whenx, yPV 0 , whenxP BV

The weights pLpx¯ 1, y1qqx1PV, y1PBV enable, for any x P V, to extend Xx into a Markov process X¯x B pX¯xptqqtě0 taking values in V¯ in the following way: the value X¯xxq “ y is chosen with the probability measure proportional topLpX¯ xx´q, yqqyPBV, and afterward we takeX¯xptq “ Xxxq for alltěτx.

Consider the probability measure µdefined on BV by

@yP BV, µpyq B 1 Z

ÿ

xPV

νpxqLpx, yq¯ (6)

whereZ is the normalizing constant:

Z B

ÿ

xPV, yPBV

νpxqLpx, yq¯

which is positive, due to the sub-Markov assumption. Up to removing from BV the points y P BV such thatµpyq “0, we can assume thatµ gives a positive weight to all points ofBV.

Recalling the definitions (3) and (5) we introduce another probability χ onBV:

@ ωP BV, χpωq B 1:

ř

xPδV Σ:xνpxqLpx, ωq¯ (one would have noted that for any x P δV,

ˇ ˇ ˇ

ř

yPV Lpx, yq ˇ ˇ ˇ “ř

ωPBV Lpx, ωq¯ , so that ZΣ: is indeed the normalizing constant in the above formula). Since the quantities Σ:x are positive on δV and that the support of µisBV, we get that the support ofχ is alsoBV.

The distribution of the exit couple satisfies:

Theorem 3 We have

sup

xPV, yPBV, tě0

ˇ ˇ ˇ ˇ

Prτxďt, Xxxq “ys ´ p1´expp´λ0tqqµpyq χpyq

ˇ ˇ ˇ

ˇ ď 12λ0Σ:

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In practice, V will be a subset of a larger state space andBV will be the set of nearest (outward) neighbors ofV in this bigger space. Theorem 3 and the assumption thatλ0Σ:is small will then enable to replace V by a single point in order to reduce the state space, leading to a controlled clustering procedure for Markov processes.

Despite numerous investigations of metastability, see e.g. the book of Bovier and den Hollander [1]

or the recent paper of Di Gesù, Lelièvre, Le Peutrec and Nectoux [4], as well as the references therein (even if these two works are mainly dealing with continuous frameworks), both bounds of Theorem 1 and 3 seem to be new. They are in fact generalizations of some estimates of [15], which was restricted to the reversible and small temperature setting, and without spectral interpretation of the bounds.

For x PV, let µx be the distribution of the exit position, namely the law of Xxxq. It becomes closer and closer to µ, asλ0Σ: goes to zero, as an immediate consequence of Theorem 3, by lettingt go to infinity and summing over yPV the bound

|Prτxďt, Xxxq “ys ´ p1´expp´λ0tqqµpyq| ď 12λ0Σ:χpyq

Recall that the total variation norm between two probability measures γ1, γ on the same finite spaceV is given by

›γ1´γ›

tv B ÿ

yPV

ˇ

ˇγpyq ´γ1pyqˇ ˇ

Corollary 4 We have

sup

xPV

x´µ}tv ď 12λ0Σ:

Typically, the above results are to be applied to families of absorbed Markov processes pLpnqqnPN

on respective state spacespVpnq,qnPN and metastability will occur if

nÑ8lim λpnq0 Σpnq: “ 0

Then for large n, the exit time is close to an exponential random variable and the exit time and position are almost independent.

This behavior is radically opposite to the cut-off phenomenon, see for instance the review by Diaconis [5]. Or at least to its sub-Markovian version, where the absorbing times are investigated instead of the more classical mixing or strong stationary times (of course there are relations between these absorbed and ergodic versions, see for instance Diaconis and Fill [6]). A strong stationary time is a finite stopping timeσ such that σ is independent from the stopped position which is furthermore distributed according to the stationary distribution. In the cut-off phenomenon for strong stationary times, they become asymptotically deterministic, while in metastability, the absorbing times become asymptotically totally impredictable exponential times.

The metastability phenomenon is illustrated in Section 5 by very simple examples on two-point or three-point state spaces at small temperature. It provides a hint of the sharpness of Corollary 4 and of the results of next section, while discussing that of Theorem 1. The situation of generalized Metropolis algorithms will be treated in a future manuscript, including an investigation of quasi-invariant proba- bility measures at small temperature (which requires some care, see Lemma 30 at the end of the present paper). The traditional Metropolis algorithms (where an additional reversibility assumption is made) could be treated with the help of the computations of [15], which served as a distant model for the present paper. Nevertheless, our motivation here is to go beyond such small temperature settings and to propose a general spectral criterion for metastability for irreducible finite sub-Markovian processes, in particular the reversibility is now completely removed, due to the introduction of the important quantityΣ:, as shown by Theorems 1 and 3.

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The plan of the paper is as follows. The next section present some estimates on the solutions of Poisson equations, which are at the heart of our approach. Sections 3 and 4 respectively deal with the proofs of Theorems 1 and 3. Section 5 is devoted to the explicit treatment of the generic two-point state space case at small temperature, as well as of some three-point state space examples, which despite their apparent simplicity, already displays important features of more general cases.

2 Poisson equation

The main ingredient in the proofs of Theorems 1 and 3 is an estimate on the solutions of some Poisson equations. Let us present them in a general finite framework.

Let Lr B pLpx, yqqr x,yPV be an irreducible Markov generator on a non-empty finite state space V. Denote by rπ its unique invariant measure and let us fix a point ω PV. Let ϕbe the unique function onV solution to the Poisson equation

#

Lrϕsr “ 1tωu´rπpωq rπrϕs “ 0

(7) Our purpose in this section is to give some bounds on }ϕ}8. To do so, we need to introduce the following objects, similarly to the introduction, except we will not putωin index ofV:andL:, because ω is fixed in Theorem 5 below. Consider V: B Vztωu and L: the absorbing sub-Markov generator pL:px, yqqx,yPV: BpLpx, yqqr x,yPV:. LetΛ: be the multi-set consisting of the spectrum of ´L: with its algebraic multiplicities. Note that by irreducibility of L,r 0RΛ:, which enables us to introduce

Σ: B ÿ

λPΛ:

1 λ The main result of this section is:

Theorem 5 We have

}ϕ}8 ď 2rπpωqΣ:

The proof of this result will require two steps presented in the next subsections, first a rough bound that will next be refined.

2.1 A rough estimate

ConsiderΛr the multiset consisting of the spectrum of´Lr with its algebraic multiplicities. By Marko- vianity and irreducibility ofL,r 0PΛr with multiplicity 1. DenoteΛr˚BΛzt0ur and

Σr˚ B ÿ

λPΛr˚

1 λ

More generally than (7), we consider for any xPV, the solution ϕx of the Poisson equation

#

Lrϕr xs “ 1txu´rπpxq πrϕr xs “ 0

(8) The interest of these objects is:

(8)

Proposition 6 We have

}ϕ}8 ď max

xPVx}8 ď Σr˚

in particular the last r.h.s. is real (this can also be seen from the complex conjugation stability of Λr˚) and positive (as soon asV is not reduced to a singleton).

Proof

Fory PV, consider Xry BpXryptqqtě0 be a Markov process starting from y and whose generator isL.r Forx, yPV, define the absorption time

τryx B infttě0 : Xryptq “xu

Applying the martingale problem to the function ϕx up to the timeτryx^t, with given tě 0, we get

ϕxpXrxpt^τryxqq “ ϕxpyq ` żt^rτyx

0

Lrϕr xspXrxpsqqds`Mt^rτyx

“ ϕxpxq ´νpxqpt^rτyxq `Mt^rτyx wherepMtqtě0 is a martingale. Taking expectations, we deduce

ErϕxpXrxpt^rτyxqqs “ ϕxpyq ´νpxqErt^rτyxs

Since V is finite and Lr is irreducible, ϕx is bounded and rτyx is a.s. finite, so we can let t go to infinity in the above formula and obtain

ϕxpxq “ ϕxpyq ´νpxqErrτyxs

In particular for anyx, yPV, we have ϕxpxq ďϕxpyq. Sinceνrϕxs “0, it follows that αx B ´ϕxpxq ě 0

ForxPV fixed, integrating the relations

@ yPV, ϕxpyq “ ´αx`νpxqErrτyxs (9) with respect to νpyq, we get

0 “ νrϕxs

“ ´αx` ÿ

yPV

Errτyxsνpxqνpyq namely

αx “ ÿ

yPV

Errτyxsνpxqνpyq (10)

The eigentime identity (for a simple proof see e.g. [17]) asserts that

@yPV, ÿ

xPV

Errτyxsνpxq “ Σr˚

thus summing with respect toxPV, we obtain ÿ

xPV

αx “ Σr˚

(9)

and in particular

@xPV, αx ď Σr˚ (11)

Coming back to (9), we deduce

@xPV, }ϕx}8 ď αx_max

yPV νpxqErrτyxs According to the eigentime identity, we have

maxyPV νpxqErrτyxs ď max

yPV

ÿ

xPV

νpxqErrτyxs

“ Σr˚

and it remains to take into account (11) to deduce the desired bound.

2.2 A refined estimate

To prove Theorem 5, we consider an extensionVp BV\t¯ωu, whereω¯ RV, endowed with the irreducible generatorLpBpLpx, yqqp x,yPV defined by

@x‰yPV ,p Lpx, yqp B

$

’’

&

’’

%

Lpx, yqr , if x, yPV

a , if x“ω and y“ω¯ rπpωq , if x“ω¯ and y“ω 0 , otherwise

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The invariant measureπp associated toLp is given by Lemma 7 We have

πp “ rπ`aδω¯

1`a Proof

Denote µBrπ`aδω¯, we have to check that µLp“0. We consider three cases.

• ForxPVztωu, we have

µLpxqp “ ÿ

yPVp

µpyqLpy, xqp

“ ÿ

yPV

µpyqLpy, xqr

“ ÿ

yPV

rπpyqLpy, xqr

“ 0

• Forω, we have

µLpωqp “ µpωqp Lpp ω, ωq `¯ µpωqLpω, ωq `p ÿ

yPVztωu

µpyqLpy, ωqr

“ aπpωq `r rπpωqpLpω, ωq ´r Lpω,p ωqq `¯ ÿ

yPVztωu

πpyqr Lpy, ωqr

“ arπpωq ´rπpωqa` ÿ

yPV

µpyqLpy, ωqr

“ 0

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• Forω, we have¯

µLp¯p ωq “ µpωqLpω,p ωq `¯ µp¯ωqLpp ω,¯ ωq¯

“ rπpωqa´arπpωq

“ 0

Consider ϕpthe unique function solution of the Poisson equation

"

Lrp ϕsp “ 1ωu´πpp ωq¯

πrp ϕsp “ 0 (13)

Since ω¯ is only in relation with ω, it is possible to make a direct link betweenϕand ϕ.p Lemma 8 On V, we have

ϕ “ ˆ

1`1 a

˙

πpωqpψr ´πrψsqr where ψ is the restriction of ϕpto V.

Proof

Let us computeLrψsr . We consider two cases.

• ForxPVztωu, we have

Lrψspxqr “ Lrp ϕspxqp

“ ´pπpωq¯

“ ´ a 1`a

• Forω, we have

Lrψspωqr “ Lrp ϕspωq ´p Lpω,p ωqp¯ ϕpp ωq ´¯ ϕpωqqp

“ ´pπp¯ωq ´Lpω,p ωqp¯ ϕp¯p ωq ´ϕpωqqp To evaluate the last quantity, note that

1´πpp ωq¯ “ Lrpp ϕsp¯ωq

“ Lp¯p ω, ωqpϕpωq ´p ϕpp ωqq¯ so that

Lrψspωqr “ ´pπpωq `¯ Lpω,p ωq¯

Lp¯p ω, ωqp1´pπp¯ωqq

“ ´ a

1`a ` a rπpωq

1 1`a

“ a

p1`aqrπpωq ´ a 1`a Thus we have

Lrψsr “ a

p1`aqrπpωq1tωu´ a 1`a

“ a

p1`aqrπpωqp1tωu´rπpωqq

(11)

It means that rπpωq1`aa pψ´rπrψsq is solution to the Poisson equation (7), which amounts to the announced result.

Consider Λp the multi-set consisting of the spectrum of ´Lp with its algebraic multiplicities. By irreducibility ofL,p 0PΛp with multiplicity 1. DenoteΛp˚ BΛzt0up and

Σp˚ B ÿ

λPΛp˚

1 λ

Applying Proposition 6 to ϕpthe solution of the Poisson equation (13), we get that

}ϕ}p 8 ď Σp˚ (14)

From Lemma 8, we deduce that

}ϕ}8 ď 2 ˆ

1` 1 a

˙

rπpωqΣp˚ (15)

Theorem 5 will be a consequence of

Proposition 9 Assume that all the eigenvalues ofL: are of (algebraic) multiplicity 1. Then we have

aÑ`8lim Σp˚ “ Σ:

In fact we think this convergence holds without the assumption that the eigenvalues of L: are of (algebraic) multiplicity 1. The proof of Theorem 5 would then be immediate. Nevertheless the proof of Proposition 9 without its multiplicity assumption requires more care than is really necessary for our purpose. Before proving Proposition 9, let us deduce Theorem 5 in general:

Proof of Theorem 5

LetI be the (convex) set of all irreducible generators on V and I0 be the subset of K PI such that all the eigenvalues ofK:BpKpx, yqqx,yPV: are distinct. Let us check that I0 is dense in I. Fix some KPI and ą0. Consider B the set of matricesKr BpKpx, yqqr x,yPV such that

@x‰yPV, Kpx, yq ă Kpx, yq ăr Kpx, yq `

@ xPV, Kpx, xq “ ´r ÿ

yPVztxu

Kpx, yq

Clearly, B Ă I and to obtain the desired density, it is sufficient to show that pBX I0q: ‰ H, where pBX I0q: is the image of BX I0 by the mapping I Q K ÞÑ K:. Note, on one hand, that pBX I0q: “B:XJ, where J is the set of V:ˆV:-matrices whose eigenvalues are distinct, and on the other hand, that B: is an open subset in the set of V:ˆV:-matrices. It is then well-known that J is dense in the set of all V:ˆV:-matrices, this ends the proof of the density of I0 inI.

Let Lr P I be fixed as in Theorem 5 and consider pLrpnqqnPN be a sequence of elements of I0 converging towardL. We denote byr prπpnqqnPNand pϕpnqqnPN the corresponding sequences of invariant probability measures and solutions to the Poisson equation (7). Resorting, for allnPN, to the explicit tree description ofπrpnqin terms ofLrpnq(see e.g. Lemma 3.1 of Chapter 6 of Freidlin and Wentzell [9]), we get

nÑ8lim rπpnq “ rπ

Taking into account the uniqueness of the solution of (7), it easily follows that

nÑ8lim ϕpnq “ ϕ

(12)

and in particular

nÑ8lim

›ϕpnq

8 “ }ϕ}8 From (15) and Proposition 9, we have for any nPN,

›ϕpnq

8 ď 2rπpnqpωqΣpnq: (16) where Σpnq: is the trace of the inverse of the matrix ´Lrpnq:. Taking the inverse of a matrix is a continuous operation (among invertible matrices), so we deduce that

nÑ8lim Σpnq: “ Σ: Finally passing to the limit in (16), we get the desired bound.

The phenomenon behind the convergence of Proposition 9 is that foraą0large,|V|´1eigenvalues fromΛp˚ converge toward the eigenvalues ofΛ: and the remaining eigenvalue fromΛp˚ diverges toward

`8.

First, let us give a non-linear characterization of the spectrum of Λp˚.

Lemma 10 A complex number z P Cztrπpωqu is an eigenvalue of ´Lp if and only if there exists a function f ‰0 on V such that

Lrfr s “ ´zf ´ az

rπpωq ´zfpωq1tωu (17)

The number πpωqr is an eigenvalue of ´Lp if and only if it is also an eigenvalue of ´L:. Proof

Consider an eigenvalue pλ P Cztπpωqur of ´Lp and fpa corresponding eigenfunction. Denote f the restriction offpto V. Applying the relationLrp fps “ ´pλfpat ω, we get¯

rπpωqpfpωq ´fppωqq¯ “ ´pλfpp¯ωq (18) namely

fpωq “

˜

1´ pλ πpωqr

¸

fppωq¯ (19)

and sinceλp‰rπpωq, we deduce that

fpωq ´fppωq¯ “ ´ λp

rπpωq ´pλfpωq (20)

From

Lpfppωq “ ´λpfppωq we deduce

Lrfr spωq `apfpp¯ωq ´fpωqq “ ´pλfpωq

(13)

i.e., taking into account (20),

Lrfr spωq “ ´pλfpωq ´ apλ

rπpωq ´pλfpωq

For x P V:, we have Lrfr spxq “ Lrp fspxq “ ´p pλfpxq, so that (17) is satisfied on V. Note that if f “0, then from (19) we would getfppωq “¯ 0(recall thatpλ‰rπpωq) and by consequencefp“0, which is not allowed.

Conversely, considerzPCztrπpωquand a functionf ‰0 on V such that (17) is satisfied. Defining fpvia

@xPV ,p fppxq B

$

&

%

fpxq , if xPV

rπpωqfpωq

πpωq´zr , if x“ω¯

and reversing the above computations, we get thatfpis an eigenvector ofLpassociated to the eigenvalue

´z.

Next assume that rπpωq is an eigenvalue of ´L, letp fpbe an associated eigenvalue and denote f the restriction of fpto V. From (18), we deduce that fpωq “ 0. Furthermore, we have for x P V:, L:rfspxq “Lrfr spxq “Lrp fpspxq “ ´rπpωqfpxq. It follows that f is an eigenfunction of L: associated to the eigenvalue ´rπpωq. Conversely, ifrπpωq is an eigenvalue of´L: with associated eigenvectorf, it is sufficient to consider the functionfpdefined by

@ xPV ,p fpxqp B

# fpxq , if xPV: 0 , if xP tω,ωu¯ to get thatLrp fps “ ´rπpωqfp.

There is probably an extension of Lemma 10 concerning the Jordan blocs of L, but such a resultp will not be useful for us, due to the multiplicity assumption in Proposition 9. Under this hypothesis, we will see below that for a ą 0 large enough, all the eigenvalues of Lp are distinct. The following result is the crucial step in this direction.

Lemma 11 Considerηą0andλ‰0an eigenvalue of´L:. Under the assumption of Proposition 9, there existsAą0large enough such that for allaąA, there exists an eigenvalue of´Lpin the complex disk of center λand radius η.

Proof

Ifλ“rπpωq, according to Lemma 10,λis also an eigenvalue of´Lpfor allaą0. From now on, assume that λ‰πpωqr . There is another situation where the result is obvious. Denoteµ the (non-negative) measure on V: given by pLpω, xqqr xPV:. Let ξ be an eigenvector of ´L: associated to λ. If µrξs “0, thenλis also an eigenvalue of ´Lp for all aą0. Indeed, note that (17) applied at ω amounts to

µrfs `Lpω, ωqfr pωq “ ´ ˆ

z` az rπpωq ´z

˙

fpωq (21)

(recall thatLpω, ωq “ ´r ř

xPV:Lpω, xq).r Thus considering f defined by

@ xPV, fpxq “

"

ξpxq , if xPV: 0 , if x“ω

(14)

we get that (21) is satisfied.

Since fpωq “0, (17) is just asking forL:rfspxq “ ´zfpxq for xPV:, and this is true withz“λ.

Let us now consider the situation where µrξs ‰ 0. Up to normalizing ξ, we furthermore assume thatµrξs “1. We are looking for a solution pz, fq of (17) equally normalized byµrfs “1.

Let us change the notations, defining B1{a,r B afpωq and g BpgpxqqxPV: BpfpxqqxPV:. The conditionµrfs “1 translates intoµrgs “1 and (17) withµrfs “1is equivalent to the system

$

’&

’%

L:rgspxq `Lpx, ωqrr `zgpxq “ 0, @ xPV: 1`

´ z

rπpωq´z `pz`Lpω, ωqqr

¯

r “ 0 µrgs “ 1

(22)

Consider D B

"

p, z, gq P r0,`8q ˆ pCztrπpωquq ˆRV

: : z

πpωq ´r z`pz`Lpω, ωqq ‰r 0

*

and define the mappingF BpFxp, z, gqqxPV : DÑRV via

@ xPV,@ p, z, gq PD, Fxp, z, gq B

# L:rgspxq ´Lpx, ωqr rπpωq´z

z`pz`Lpω,ωqqprr πpωq´zq `zgpxq , whenxPV:

µrgs , whenx“ω

With this notation, the system (22) can written Fp, z, gq “

ˆ 0 1

˙

where the 1 corresponds to the ω coordinate (and 0 is the null vector in RV:).

Note that

Fp0, λ, ξq “ ˆ 0

1

˙

thus the implicit function theorem enables us to deduce the desired theorem as soon as we will have shown that the Jacobian matrix ∇F B pBzF,p∇gpxqFqxPV:q is non degenerate at the point p0, λ, ξq. We compute that

BzFp0, λ, ξq “ ˆ ξ

0

˙

@xPV:, ∇gpxqFp0, λ, ξq “

ˆ L:p¨, xq `λδx µpxq

˙

To check that∇Fp0, λ, ξq is invertible, considerps, hq PRˆRV: such that

∇Fp0, λ, ξq ¨ ps, hq “ 0

According to the above computations, this equation can be written under the following system:

"

L:rhspxq `λhpxq `sξpxq “ 0, @ xPV:

µrhs “ 0 (23)

Under the assumption of Proposition 9, the equation L:rhs `λh “ ´sξ

(15)

implies thath belongs to the vector space generated by ξ. To see it, just decomposeh into a basis of RV

: consisting of eigenvectors ofL:and take into account that the multiplicity of´λis one. It follows thatL:rhs `λh“0and thuss“0. Let bPRbe such thath“bξ. We deduce thatµrhs “bµrξs “b, so the second equation of (23) implies that b“0 and finallyh“0. Thus we haveps, hq “ p0,0q and

∇Fp0, λ, ξq is non degenerate, as desired.

Remark 12 It is the nonlinearity of (17) that leads to the above technical arguments. Had a traditional linear eigenproblem been considered, we could have directly resorted to the results of Kato [12]. Note nevertheless that for“0,∇F has the same form as if we had been treating a usual linear eigenproblem.

˝ We can now come to the

Proof of Proposition 9 Define

B mint|λ| ^ |λ´λ1| : λ‰λ1:u

which is a positive quantity according to the assumption on the multiplicity of the elements ofΛ: and to the fact that0RΛ:. ConsideringηB{2in Lemma 11, we deduce that there existsAą0such that for any aąAand any λPΛ:, there exists an eigenvalue of´Lp in the disk centered atλof radius η.

By definition ofη, this eigenvalue is not null and all these eigenvalues are distinct for differentλPΛ:. This gives us cardpV:q “ cardpVq ´1 distinct elements from Λp˚. To see that the missing element is going to infinity asagoes to infinity, it sufficient to consider the trace of´L, which is equal top

trp´Lqp “ a`πpωq `r trp´Lq “r a`πpωq ´r ÿ

xPV

Lpx, xqr

These observations imply the convergence stated in Proposition 9, as well as the fact that foraą0 large enough, all the eigenvalues of Lp are distinct.

3 Exit time

Our main goal here is to prove Theorem 1 via manipulations of Poisson equations and taking into account the estimate of Theorem 5.

Instead of working with the vanishing Xx, for x P V, it is often more convenient to resort to conservative Markov processes, obtained by adding a cemetery point to the state space. So let be given8 RV and associate to it an ergodic Markov generatorL˘BpLpx, yqq˘ x,yPV˘ onV˘ BV \ t8uvia

@x‰yPV ,˘ Lpx, yq˘ B

$

’&

’%

Lpx, yq , if x, yPV

´

´

Lpx, xq `ř

yPVztxuLpx, yq

¯

, if xPV and y“ 8

aνpyq , if x“ 8

where a ą 0 is fixed for the moment being. This “extension” of the absorbed Markov generator L into an ergodic Markov generatorL˘ is completely different to the passage fromLr toLpin the previous section. In some sense, the former isglobal while the latter was local.

For x PV, let X˘x B pX˘xptqqtě0 be a Markov process starting from x and whose generator is L,˘ and consider the absorption time

˘

τx B infttě0 : ˘Xxptq “ 8u

(16)

Note that the stopped processes pXxpt^τxqqtě0 and pX˘xpt^τ˘xqqtě0 have the same law and in particularτx and τ˘x have the same distribution.

The interest of L over L˘ is that we can consider ψ˘ the function on V˘ solution of the Poisson equation

# Lr˘ ψs˘ “ 1t8u´πp8q˘

˘

πrψs˘ “ 0

whereπ˘ is the invariant probability of L˘ and 1t8u is the indicator function of 8.

Let us apply to ψ˘ the martingale problem associated withL. We have for any˘ xPV˘ andtě0, ψp˘ X˘xptqq “ ψp˘ X˘xp0qq `

żt

0

Lr˘ ψsp˘ X˘xpsqqds`M˘t

“ ψpxq `˘ żt

0

1t8upX˘xpsqq ´πp8q˘ ds`M˘t

wherepM˘tqtě0 is a martingale. Replacet byt^τ˘x, to get ψp˘ X˘xpt^˘τxqq “ ψpxq `˘

żt^˘τx

0

1t8upX˘xpsqq ´πp8q˘ ds`M˘t^˘τx

“ ψpxq ´˘ πp8qpt˘ ^˘τxq `M˘t^˘τx Taking expectations, we obtain

Erψp˘ X˘xpt^τ˘xqqs “ ψpxq ´˘ πp8qErt˘ ^τ˘xs (24) Before going further, let us explain heuristically how (24) can be exploited. The underlying principle is that under appropriate conditions,ψ˘is close to´p1´πp8qqa˘ ´11t8u. So if carelessly we replace ψ˘ by´p1´πp8qqa˘ ´11t8u in (24), we get for any xPV,

@ tě0, Er1t8upX˘xpt^τ˘xqqs « 1t8upxq ` a˘πp8q

1´πp8q˘ Ert^τ˘xs namely

@ tě0, Pr˘τxďts « a˘πp8q

1´πp8q˘ Ert^τ˘xs (25) A true identity in (25) would imply that˘τxis a exponential random variable of parametera˘πp8q{p1´

˘

πp8qq(see e.g. [15]). These approximative considerations also suggest an identification ofa˘πp8q{p1´

˘

πp8qq with λ0. Indeed, consider X˘ BpXptqq˘ tě0 a Markov process whose initial law is ν and whose generator isL. One property of the quasi-stationary distribution˘ ν is that the first hitting time τ˘ of 8 byX˘ is distributed as an exponential random variable of parameterλ0 and thus

@tě0, Pr˘τ ďts “ λ0Ert^τ˘s

Comparing with (25), which is also “valid” whenX˘x is replaced byX, we get˘ a˘πp8q{p1´˘πp8qq «λ0. It would follow thatτ˘x is almost an exponential random variable of parameterλ0 for all xPV.

We now come to more rigorous computations. We begin by computingπ˘ in terms of λ0 andν:

Lemma 13 We have

˘

π “ ν` pλ0{aqδ8

1`λ0{a ÿ

xPV

νpxqLpx,˘ 8q “ λ0

(17)

Proof

It is sufficient to show that πˇL˘“0, whereπˇBν` pλ0{aqδ8. We begin by showing that

νL˘ “ ´λ0ν`λ0δ8 (26)

where ν is extended as a probability onV˘ giving the mass 0 to 8. Indeed, note that for x PV, we have

νLpxq˘ “ ÿ

yPV

νpyqLpy, xq˘

“ ÿ

yPV

νpyqLpy, xq

“ νLpxq

“ ´λ0νpxq

It follows that there exists a number α PR such that νL˘ “ ´λ0ν`αδ8. To compute α, note that Lr1˘ V˘s “0, so thatνrLr1˘ V˘ss “0 andα“λ0, proving (26).

As a consequence, we get that

• fory ‰ 8,

ÿ

xPV˘

ˇ

πpxqLpx, yq˘ “ pλ0{aqLp8, yq `˘ ÿ

xPV

νpxqLpx, yq˘

“ λ0νpyq ` pνLqpyq˘

“ λ0νpyq ´λ0νpyq

“ 0

• for8,

ÿ

xPV˘

ˇ

πpxqLpx,˘ 8q “ pλ0{aqLp8,˘ 8q ` ÿ

xPV

νpxqLpx,˘ 8q

“ ´λ0` pνLqp8q˘

“ ´λ00

“ 0

The previous computation also shows the last equality of the above lemma.

As suggested by the heuristic presented before Lemma 13, the function

φ˘ B ψ˘`1´πp8q˘ a 1t8u

should play an important role. Note that according to Lemma 13, we have a πp8q˘

1´πp8q˘ “ aλ0

a “ λ0 in concordance with the “arguments” preceding Lemma 13.

Lemma 14 We have

Lr˘ φs˘ “ p1´πp8qq˘ a

ÿ

xPV

Lpx,˘ 8q1txu´πp8q1˘ V

(18)

Proof Note that

Lr1˘ t8us “ ÿ

xPV

Lpx,˘ 8q1txu´a1t8u

Indeed, we compute that

Lr1˘ t8usp8q “ Lp8,˘ 8q

“ ´ ÿ

yPV

Lp8, yq˘

“ ´aÿ

yPV

νpyq

“ ´a and we clearly have for any xPV,Lr1˘ t8uspxq “Lpx,˘ 8q.

Taking into account that by definition

Lr˘ ψs˘ “ p1´πp8qq1˘ t8u´˘πp8q1V

we deduce that

Lr˘ φs˘ “ Lr˘ ψs `˘ 1´πp8q˘

a Lr1˘ t8us

“ p1´πp8qq˘ a

ÿ

xPV

Lpx,˘ 8q1txu´πp8q1˘ V

It follows that Lr˘ φsp8q “˘ 0, namely

φp8q˘ “ νrφs˘ (27)

This observation leads us to introduce a new generatorLr onV. DenoteFpVqthe set of real functions defined on V. Anyf PFpVqis extended into a function fron V˘ by imposing

fp8qr B νrfs We consider the generator Lr given by

@ f PFpVq,@xPV, Lrfr spxq B Lr˘ frspxq

The generator Lr is the Steklov operator associated to L˘ and to the “boundary” V of V˘, since fr can be seen as the “harmonic extension” of f (for more details about this point of view, see [10]). It follows that the invariant probability measure of Lr is the normalization of the restriction of π˘ to V, namelyν. More explicitly, Lr is described by (2).

Denote φ the restriction ofφ˘on V. Due to (27),φrcoincides withφ, so by definition of˘ L, we getr onV:

Lrφsr “ p1´πp8qq˘ a

ÿ

xPV

Lpx,˘ 8q1txu´πp8q1˘ V

or equivalently

Lrφsr “ 1 a`λ0

ÿ

xPV

Lpx,˘ 8qp1txu´νpxqq (28)

(19)

As in (8), for any xPV, consider the solution ϕx of the Poisson equation

"

Lrϕr xs “ 1txu´νpxq

νrϕxs “ 0 (29)

so that (28) implies that

φ “ νrφs ` 1 a`λ0

ÿ

xPV

Lpx,˘ 8qϕx (30)

Indeed, we get

Lr

«

φ´ 1 a`λ0

ÿ

xPV

Lpx,˘ 8qϕx ff

“ 0 thus by irreducibility ofL,r φand a`λ1

0

ř

xPV Lpx,˘ 8qϕx coincide up to an additive constant, which is necessarilyνrφs.

The next result shows that φcan be completely expressed in terms ofpϕxqxPV. Lemma 15 We have

φ “ λ0

pa`λ0q2 ` 1 a`λ0

ÿ

xPV

Lpx,˘ 8qϕx

Proof

It follows from Lemma 13 and (27) that

˘

πrφs˘ “ aνrφs `λ0φp8q˘ a`λ0

“ νrφs By definition of φ, we also have˘

˘

πrφs˘ “ ˘πrψs `˘ 1´πp8q˘ a πp8q˘

“ 1´˘πp8q a πp8q˘

“ λ0{a p1`λ0{aq2

1 a

“ λ0

pa`λ0q2 so we get

νrφs “ λ0

pa`λ0q2 and finally the announced result.

Lemma 15 shows that to estimateφ(and by consequence the crucialφ), we just need to investigate˘ the solutionsϕx of the Poisson equation (29), forxPV such thatLpx,8q ą0, namely forxPδV.

With the notation of the introduction and from Theorem 5, we have

@ ωPδV, }ϕω}8 ď 2νpωqΣ:ω (31)

Putting together the above computations, we get:

(20)

Corollary 16 We have

›φ˘

8 ď λ0

pa`λ0q2 ` 2λ0

a`λ0Σ: Proof

By definition ofφ, we have

›φ˘

8 “ }φ}8_ ˇ ˇ ˇφp8q˘

ˇ ˇ ˇ

“ }φ}8_ |νrφs|

“ }φ}8 It follows from Lemma 15 and (31) that

}φ}8 ď λ0

pa`λ0q2 ` 1 a`λ0

ÿ

ωPδV

Lpω,˘ 8q }ϕω}8

“ λ0

pa`λ0q2 ` 2 a`λ0

ÿ

ωPδV

νpωqLpω,˘ 8qΣ:ω

ď λ0

pa`λ0q2 ` 2λ0 a`λ0

ÿ

ωPδV

Σ:ωζpωq

“ λ0

pa`λ0q2 ` 2λ0 a`λ0

Σ:

where the last identity of Lemma 13, as well as (4) and (5), were taken into account.

Coming back to (24), we deduce that for any xPV and any tě0,

ˇ ˇ ˇ

ˇEr18pX˘xpt^τ˘xqqs ´18pxq ´ a˘πp8q

1´πp8q˘ Ert^τ˘xs ˇ ˇ ˇ

ˇ ď 2 a 1´πp8q˘

›φ˘

8

namely

|Pr˘τx ďts ´λ0Ert^τ˘xs| ď 2a 1´˘πp8q

ˆ λ0

pa`λ0q2 ` 2λ0 a`λ0Σ:

˙

“ 2pa`λ0q

ˆ λ0

pa`λ0q2 ` 2λ0 a`λ0

Σ:

˙

“ 2λ0

pa`λ0q `4λ0Σ:

Remark that the l.h.s., λ0 and Σ:do not depend on the choice of a, so we can let a go to infinity to get

|Pr˘τxďts ´λ0Ert^τ˘xs| ď 4λ0Σ: (32) which is the desired bound of Theorem 1.

Instead of Theorem 5, we could have used Proposition 6 in the proof of Corollary 16. Then we end up with

›φ˘

8 ď λ0

pa`λ0q2 ` Σr˚ a`λ0

ÿ

ωPδV

Lpω,˘ 8q (33)

(21)

where, as in Subsection 2.1,

Σr˚ B ÿ

λPΛr˚

1 λ Λr˚ B Λzt0ur

andΛr is the multiset consisting of the spectrum of´Lrwith its algebraic multiplicities (which contains 0 with multiplicity 1, by Markovianity and irreducibility).

From (33), we deduce as above, that for any xPV,

|Pr˘τx ďts ´λ0Ert^˘τxs| ď 2λ0

pa`λ0q `2Σr˚ ÿ

ωPV

Lpω,˘ 8q

Lettingago to infinity, we get an alternative bound to Theorem 1:

|Prτxďts ´λ0Ert^τxs| ď 2Σr˚ ÿ

ωPδV

˜

|Lpω, ωq| ´ ÿ

yPV

Lpω, yq

¸

(34)

Let us give an alternative description ofΣr˚. ConsiderΛ the multiset consisting of the spectrum of

´Lwith its algebraic multiplicities. By irreducibility of L,λ0 PΛ with multiplicity 1, but 0 does not belong to Λ, becauseL is a strictly sub-Markovian generator. Denote Λ˚ BΛztλ0u and

Σ˚ B ÿ

λPΛ˚

1

λ (35)

We have

Σ˚ “ Σr˚

This result is an immediate consequence the following result, which is interesting in itself.

Proposition 17 We have Λr˚ “Λ˚. Proof

Consider λ PΛ˚ and let f be an eigenvector associated to λfor ´L: we have Lrfs “ ´λf. Extend f into f˘, the function on V˘ coinciding with f on V and such that f˘p8q “0. Then on V, we have Lrfs “Lr˘ fs. It follows from (1) that˘

νrfs “ ´1

λνrLrfss (36)

“ λ0

λνrfs

Since λ‰ λ0, we deduce that νrfs “ 0, namely fr“f˘and Lrfs “ Lrfr s. Thus λ PΛr and since λ‰0, we getλPΛr˚.

A similar reasoning is also valid if we consider a multiplicity of λcoming from a Jordan block of

´L. Indeed, it is sufficient to see that if Lrfs “ ´λf`g, with νrgs “0, thenνrfs “0. This is true, since (36) still holds.

It follows that apart from their respective eigenvalues 0 and λ0, Lr and L have the same spectral structure, namely Λr˚“Λ˚.

(22)

Thus (34) can be rewritten under the form

|Pr˘τxďts ´λ0Ert^τ˘xs| ď 2Σ˚ ÿ

ωPδV

˜

|Lpω, ωq| ´ ÿ

yPV

Lpω, yq

¸

(37) This bound is more explicit in terms of L, since it only uses its spectrum (and not the spectra of the L:ω for ω P δV) and is generically as good as Theorem 1 on two-point state spaces at small temperature, see Remark 25 of Section 5. But in Remark 29, we will check on an example that this is no longer true for larger state spaces.

Remark 18 The partial equality of spectra presented in Proposition 17 suggests that there could exist an intertwining betweenL and L, namely we could find a Markov kernelr K from V to V such that either

LKr “ KL (38)

or

LK “ KLr (39)

Nevertheless this is wrong: for (38), multiply on the left by ν, the invariant probability of L, tor get νKL “ 0, meaning that the probability νK is invariant for L. But there is no such invariant probability, since L is strictly sub-Markovian. Concerning (39), multiply on the left by the quasi- stationary measure ν to obtain ´λ0νK “ νKL. Sincer νK is a probability distribution, it is not 0, so that it is an eigenvector of Lr associated to the eigenvalue ´λ0. It follows that λ0 P Σr˚, namely λ0˚, a contradiction.

Yet there exists an intertwining relation from L˘ to L, i.e. a Markov kernelr K (also called a link) from V˘ to V such that LK˘ “ KL. Furthermore there is such a relation withr K of rank |V| ´1.

Indeed, note that the spectrumΛ˘ of ´L˘ is equal toΛ\ t0u as multisets: 0PΛ˘ by Markovianity and the eigenvectors ofL are extended into eigenvectors of L˘ by imposing they vanish at8 (the same is true for the vectors associated to Jordan blocks). Following the arguments of [18], a linkK of rank

|V| ´1can be constructed by perturbing the Markov kernel fromV˘ toV whose lines are all equal toν.

As shown in general by Diaconis and Fill [6], an intertwining relation from an absorbed process to an ergodic process can be used to construct strong stationary times from absorption times. Here this is quite simple: from a Markov processX˘ associated toL, construct a Markov process˘ Xr associated toLr by redistributing the position according toν instead of hitting8. It appears then that the absorption time for X˘ (i.e. the hitting time of 8) is a strong stationary time for X.r

˝

4 Exit position

Here we prove Theorem 3. The arguments follow those of the previous section, with similar notations, that coincide should we haveBV “ t8u. We preferred to separate the treatment of the exit time and of the exit position for the sack of clarity for the former.

As in Section 3, we begin by transformingL¯ into an ergodic Markov generatorL˘ BpLpx, yqq˘ x,yPV¯. Let be given a positive number aą0. We define L˘ by only modifying the rows indexed byBV:

@x‰yPV ,¯ Lpx, yq˘ B

"

Lpx, yq , ifxPV and yPV¯ aνpyq , ifxP BV andy PV¯

where we recall thatν is the quasi-stationary measure of the sub-Markovian generatorL.

By irreducibility, L˘ admits a unique invariant probability π. Let us compute it in terms of˘ ν and µ:

(23)

Lemma 19 We have

˘

π “ aν`λ0ř

ωPBV µpωqδω

a`λ0 Proof

Define

@ ωP BV, αω B 1 a

ÿ

xPV

νpxqLpx, ωq¯

We begin by showing that πˇL˘ “0, whereπˇBν`ř

ωPBV αωδω.

• For anyω0P BV, we have ˇ

πLpω˘ 0q “ ÿ

xPV

νpxqLpx, ω˘ 0q ` ÿ

ωPBV

αωLpω, ω0q

“ ÿ

xPV

νpxqLpx, ω¯ 0q `αω0Lpω0, ω0q

“ aαω0´αω0a

“ 0

• For anyx0PV, we have ˇ

πLpx˘ 0q “ ÿ

xPV

νpxqLpx, x˘ 0q ` ÿ

ωPBV

αωLpω, x0q

“ ÿ

xPV

νpxqLpx, x0q ` ÿ

ωPBV

αωaνpx0q

“ ´λ0νpx0q `νpx0q ÿ

ωPBV

αωa

˜ ÿ

ωPBV

αωa´λ0

¸ νpx0q To conclude thatˇπLpx˘ 0q “0, it remains to see that

ÿ

ωPBV

ω “ λ0 (40)

By definition, we have

ÿ

ωPBV

ω “ ÿ

ωPBV

ÿ

xPV

νpxqLpx, ωq¯

“ ÿ

xPV

νpxq ÿ

ωPBV

Lpx, ωq¯

“ ´ÿ

xPV

νpxq ÿ

yPV

Lpx, yq¯

“ ´ ÿ

xPV

νpxq ÿ

yPV

Lpx, yq

“ ´ ÿ

x,yPV

νpxqLpx, yq

“ λ0

ÿ

yPV

νpyq

“ λ0

(24)

Recalling the definition of µin (6), note that

@ ωP BV, αω “ Zµpωq a From (40), we deduce that Z “λ0, so thatπˇ“ν`λa0 ř

ωPBV µpωqδω and the desired result follows by normalization.

For any ωP BV, consider the solution ψ˘ω of the Poisson equation:

# Lr˘ ψ˘ωs “ 1tωu´πpωq˘

˘

πrψ˘ωs “ 0

As in the previous section, the idea is that ψω is close to´1ap1ω´πpωq˘ 1BVq, when λ0Σ: is small.

Let us first heuristically deduce Theorem 3 from this belief.

For x P V, let X˘x B pX˘xptqqtě0 be a Markov process associated to the generator L˘ and starting fromx. Let τ˘x be its hitting time ofBV. From the martingale problem satisfied byX˘x, there exists a martingalepM˘tqtě0 such that for any tě0,

ψ˘ωpX˘xpt^τ˘xqq “ ψ˘ωpX˘xp0qq ` żt^˘τx

0

Lr˘ ψ˘ωspX˘xpsqqds`M˘t^˘τx

“ ψ˘ωpxq ` żt^˘τx

0

1tωupX˘xpsqq ´πpωq˘ ds`M˘t^˘τx

“ ψ˘ωpxq ´πpωqpt˘ ^τ˘xq `M˘t^˘τx

Taking expectation, we get

Erψ˘ωpX˘xpt^τ˘xqqs “ ψ˘ωpxq ´πpωqErt˘ ^˘τxs (41) According to the expected behavior ofψω, we should have

@ tě0, Er1tωupX˘xpt^τ˘xqq ´πpωq1˘ BVpX˘xpt^τ˘xqqs « 1tωupxq ´˘πpωq1BVpxq `a˘πpωqErt^τ˘xs namely

@ tě0, PrX˘xp˘τxq “ω, τ˘x ďts ´πpωqPr˘˘ τxďts « a˘πpωqErt^τ˘xs According to Section 3, we also have

Ert^τ˘xs « Pr˘τxďts λ0

so that

@ω P BV,@ tě0, PrX˘xp˘τxq “ω, τ˘xďts ´πpωqPr˘˘ τx ďts « a˘πpωq λ0

Pr˘τxďts i.e.

@ ωP BV,@ tě0, PrX˘xp˘τxq “ω,τ˘x ďts « λ0`a

a πpωqPr˘˘ τx ďts

It would mean that X˘xpτ˘xq and τ˘x are almost independent and the distribution of the former is given by

@ ωP BV, PrX˘xp˘τxq “ωs « λ0`a a ˘πpωq

“ µpωq

(25)

where Lemma 19 was taken into account.

Let us now come to more rigorous computations. As suggested by the above heuristic, for any fixedω P BV, we should investigate the function

φ˘ω B ψ˘ω`1

ap1tωu´πpωq1˘ BVq Lemma 20 We have

Lr˘ φ˘ωs “ 1 a

ÿ

xPV

pLpx, ωq ´¯ πpωq˘ Lpx,¯ BVqq1txu´˘πpωq1V

where Lpx,¯ BVq “ř

wPBV Lpx, wq.¯ Proof

Note that

Lr1˘ tωu´πpωq1˘ BVs “ ÿ

xPV

pLpx, ωq ´¯ πpωq˘ Lpx,¯ BVqq1txu´ap1tωu´˘πpωq1BVq (42) Indeed, we compute that for anywP BV,

Lr1˘ tωuspwq “ Lpw, ωq˘

“ 1tωupwqLpω, ωq˘

“ ´1tωupwq ÿ

yPV

Lpω, yq˘

“ ´a1tωupwqÿ

yPV

νpyq

“ ´a1tωupwq and similarly, for anywP BV,

Lr1˘ BVspwq “ ÿ

w1PBV

Lpw, w˘ 1q

“ Lpw, wq˘

“ ´a

Furthermore, we clearly have for any xPV,Lr˘ 1tωu´πpωq˘ 1BVspxq “Lpx, ωq ´¯ ˘πpωqLpx,¯ BVq and (42) follows.

Taking into account that by definition

Lr˘ ψ˘ωs “ 1tωu´πpωq˘ 1BV ´πpωq˘ 1V

we deduce that

Lr˘ φ˘ωs “ Lr˘ ψ˘ωs ` 1

aLr1˘ tωu´πpωq1˘ BVs

“ 1 a

ÿ

xPV

pLpx, ωq ´¯ Lpx,¯ BVqq1txu´πpωq1˘ V

It follows that Lr˘ φ˘ωspwq “0for any wP BV, namely

@ wP BV, φ˘ωpwq “ νrφ˘ωs (43)

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