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Appendix 3 Table A3.1. Output logistic regression

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Appendix 3

Table A3.1. Output logistic regression AQF ~ Site + Spring + (1 | SwanID). Site B, C and D stands for Estonian coast, Gulf of Finland and Dvina Bay, respectively, with Site E (Cheskaya Bay) being the standard. Results visualized in Figure 1 main text.

Estimate Std. Error z value P (Intercept) -0.486 0.360 -1.349 0.177 Site B 1.634 0.475 3.443 0.001 Site C 0.163 0.404 0.404 0.686 Site D 1.153 0.437 2.638 0.008 Spring 2018 0.809 0.376 2.152 0.031 Spring 2019 0.523 0.388 1.348 0.178

Table A3.2. Output logistic regression AQF ~ Number + Spring + (1 | SwanID). ≥1, ≥2 and ≥3 stands for at least one, two and three sites, respectively, with ≥4, at least four sites, being the standard. Results visualized in Figure 2 main text.

Estimate Std. Error z value P (Intercept) -2.985 0.714 -4.179 0.000

≥1 6.797 1.293 5.258 0.000

≥2 4.318 0.798 5.410 0.000

≥3 2.564 0.622 4.123 0.000

Spring 2018 1.486 0.570 2.609 0.009 Spring 2019 1.068 0.645 1.656 0.098

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