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discretized Itô processes

Frédéric Bernardin, Mireille Bossy, Miguel Martinez, Denis Talay

To cite this version:

Frédéric Bernardin, Mireille Bossy, Miguel Martinez, Denis Talay. On mean numbers of passage times

in small balls of discretized Itô processes. Electronic Communications in Probability, Institute of

Mathematical Statistics (IMS), 2009, 14, pp.302-316. �10.1214/ecp.v14-1479�. �hal-00602053�

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Elect. Comm. in Probab.14(2009), 302–316

ELECTRONIC COMMUNICATIONS in PROBABILITY

ON MEAN NUMBERS OF PASSAGE TIMES IN SMALL BALLS OF DISCRETIZED ITÔ PROCESSES

FRÉDÉRIC BERNARDIN

CETE de Lyon, Laboratoire Régional des Ponts et Chaussées, Clermont-Ferrand, France email: frederic.bernardin@developpement-durable.gouv.fr

MIREILLE BOSSY

INRIA Sophia Antipolis Méditérannée, EPI TOSCA email: Mireille.Bossy@sophia.inria.fr MIGUEL MARTINEZ

Université Paris-Est Marne-la-Vallée, LAMA, UMR 8050 CNRS email: Miguel.Martinez@univ-mlv.fr

DENIS TALAY

INRIA Sophia Antipolis Méditérannée, EPI TOSCA email: Denis.Talay@sophia.inria.fr

SubmittedDecember 18, 2008, accepted in final formJune 8, 2009 AMS 2000 Subject classification: 60G99

Keywords: Diffusion processes, sojourn times, estimates, discrete times

Abstract

The aim of this note is to prove estimates on mean values of the number of times that Itô pro- cesses observed at discrete times visit small balls inRd. Our technique, in the infinite horizon case, is inspired by Krylov’s arguments in[2, Chap.2]. In the finite horizon case, motivated by an application in stochastic numerics, we discount the number of visits by a locally exploding coef- ficient, and our proof involves accurate properties of last passage times at 0 of one dimensional semimartingales.

1 Introduction

The present work is motivated by two convergence rate analyses concerning discretization schemes for diffusion processes whose generators have non smooth coefficients: Bernardin et al.[1]study discretization schemes for stochastic differential equations with multivalued drift coefficients;

Martinez and Talay [4]study discretization schemes for diffusion processes whose infinitesimal generators are of divergence form with discontinuous coefficients. In both cases, to have rea- sonable accuracies, a scheme needs to mimic the local behaviour of the exact solution in small neighborhoods of the discontinuities of the coefficients, in the sense that the expectations of the total times spent by the scheme (considered as a piecewise constant process) and the exact solu-

302

1

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tion in these neighborhoods need to be close to each other. The objective of this paper is to provide two estimates for the expectations of such total times spent by fairly general Itô processes observed at discrete times; these estimates concern in particular the discretization schemes studied in the above references (see section 7 for more detailed explanations). To this end, we carefully modify the technique developed by Krylov[2]to prove inequalities of the type

E Z

0

eλtf(Xt)d t≤CkfkLd

for positive Borel functionsf andRd valued continuous controlled diffusion processes(Xt)under some strong ellipticity condition (see also Krylov and Lipster[3]for extensions in the degenerate case). The difficulties here come from the facts that time is discrete and, in the finite horizon case, we discount by a locally exploding function of time the number of times that the discrete time process visits a given small ball inRd. Another difficulty comes from the fact that, because of the convergence rate analyses which motivate this work, we aim to get accurate estimates in terms of the time discretization step. Our estimates seem interesting in their own right: they contribute to show the robustness of Krylov’s estimates.

Let(Ω,F,(Ft)t0,P)be a filtered probability space satisfying the usual conditions. Let(Wt)t0be am-dimensional standard Brownian motion on this space. Consider two progressively measurable processes(bt)t≥0 and(σt)t≥0taking values respectively inRd and in the spaceMd,m(R)of real d×mdimensional matrices. ForX0inRd, consider the Itô process

Xt=X0+ Z t

0

bsds+ Z t

0

σsdWs. (1)

We assume the following hypotheses:

Assumption 1.1. There exists a positive number K≥1such that,P-a.s.,

t≥0, kbtk ≤K, (2)

and

∀0≤st, 1 K2

Zt

s

ψ(u)du≤ Zt

s

ψ(u)kσuσukduK2 Zt

s

ψ(u)du (3)

for all positive locally integrable mapψ:R+→R+.

Notice that (3) is satisfied when(σt)is a bounded continuous process; our slightly more general framework is motivated by the reduction of our study, without loss of generality, to one dimen- sional Itô processes: see section 2.

The aim of this note is to prove the following two results.

Our first result concerns discounted expectations of the total number of times that an Itô process observed at discrete times visits small neighborhoods of an arbitrary point inRd.

Theorem 1.1(Infinite horizon). Let(Xt)be as in (1). Suppose that the hypotheses 1.1 are satisfied.

Let h>0. There exists a constant C, depending only on K, such that, for allξ∈Rdand0< ǫ <1/2, there exists h0>0(depending onǫ) satisfying

hh0, h X

p=0

eph

kXphξk ≤δhŠ

h, (4)

whereδh:=h1/2−ǫ.

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Our second result concerns expectations of the number of times that an Itô process, observed at discrete times between 0 and a finite horizon T, visits small neighborhoods of an arbitrary point ξ inRd. In this setting, the expectations are discounted with a function f(t)which may tend to infinity when t tends to T. Such a discount factor induces technical difficulties which might seem artificial to the reader. However, this framework is necessary to analyze the convergence rate of simulation methods for Markov processes whose generators are of divergence form with discontinuous coefficients: see section 7 and Martinez and Talay[4]. More precisely, we consider functions f satisfying the following hypotheses:

Assumption 1.2.

1. f is positive and increasing, 2. f belongs to C1([0,T);R+),

3. fαis integrable on[0,T)for all1≤α <2, 4. there exists1< β <1+η, whereη:= 1

4K4, such that ZT

0

f1(v)f(v)(T−v)1+η

vη d v <+∞. (5)

Remember that we have supposed K ≥1. An example of a suitable function f is the function tpT1t (for which one can chooseβ=1+ 1

8K4).

Theorem 1.2(Finite horizon). Let(Xt)be as in (1). Suppose that the hypotheses 1.1 are satisfied.

Let f be a function on[0,T)satisfying the hypotheses 1.2. There exists a constant C, depending only on β, K and T , such that, for allξ∈Rd and0< ǫ <1/2, there exists h0> 0(depending onǫ) satisfying

hh0, h

Nh

X

p=0

f(ph)P€

kXphξk ≤δhŠ

h, (6)

where Nh:=⌊T/h⌋ −1and whereδh:=h1/2ǫ.

Remark1.1. Since all the norms inRd are equivalent, without loss of generality we may choose kYk=sup1id

Yi

,Yidenoting theithcomponent ofY.

Remark1.2. ChangingX0intoX0ξallows us to limit ourselves to the caseξ=0 without loss of generality, which we actually do in the sequel.

2 Reduction to one dimensional (X

t

)’s

In order to prove Theorem 1.1, it suffices to prove that, for all 1≤idandhh0, h

X

p=0

ephP

 Xphi

δh

‹

h, or, similarly, for Theorem 1.2

h

Nh

X

p=0

f(ph)P

|Xphi | ≤δh

h.

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Set

Mti:=

Xm

j=1

‚Z t

0

σi jsdWsj

Π.

The martingale representation theorem implies that there exist a process(fti)t≥0and a standard Ft-Brownian motion(Bt)t≥0on an extension of the original probability space, such that

Mti= Z t

0

fsid Bs, and

t>0, Z t

0

(fθi)2= Xm

j=1

Z t

0

€σθi jŠ2

.

Therefore it suffices to prove Theorems 1.1 and 1.2 for all one dimensional Itô process Xt=

Zt

0

bsds+ Zt

0

σsd Bs (7)

such that,∃K≥1,P-a.s.,

t≥0, |bt| ≤K, (8)

and

∀0≤st, 1 K2

Z t

s

ψ(u)du≤ Z t

s

ψ(u)σ2uduK2 Z t

s

ψ(u)du (9)

for all positive locally integrable mapψ:R+→R+.

3 An estimate for a localizing stopping time

In this section we prove a key proposition which is a variant of Theorem 4 in[2, Chap.2]: here we need to consider time indices and stopping times which take values in a mesh with step-sizeh.

We carefully modify Krylov’s arguments. We start by introducing two non-decreasing sequences of random times(θph)pand(τhp)ptaking values inhNas

θ0h =τh0=0

θp+1h =inf{tτhp,thN, Xt

δh}, p≥0 τhp =inf{tθph,thN,

XtXθh

p

≥1}, p≥1.

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Our goal is then to prove the following equality : E

h

+

X

p=0

eph1[δhh](Xph)

=

+

X

p=0

E

1θh

p<+

Zτhp

θph

eηs1[δhh](Xηs)ds

, (11) where

ηs:=hs/h⌋ for alls≥0. (12)

It is easy to see that (11) holds if the sequence

θph

p takes an infinite value in a finite time, or converges to infinity whenp tends to infinity, which is a consequence of Lemma 3.1 (see below).

For the proof of Lemma 3.1, we need the following

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Proposition 3.1. Let(Xt)be as in (7). Suppose that conditions (8) and (9) hold true. Letθ:Ω→hN be a(Ft)-stopping time. Thenτ:=inf{thN,tθ,

XtXθ

≥1}is a(Ft)-stopping time, and E€

1τ<+eτ Fθ

Š≤ 1

ch(µ)eθ1θ <+a.s., (13) where

µ >0and1−−(1/2)K2µ2=0.

Proof. Setπ(z):=cosh(µz)for allzinRand

Luπ(z):=buπ(z) +1

2σ2uπ′′(z).

LetA∈ Fθ. Suppose that we have proven that, for allt>0, etθ≥E€

eτπ(XtτXt∧θ) Ft∧θ

Š. (14)

Then we would have E€

1A1θ <+eθŠ

= lim

t+

1A1θ≤t eθtŠ

≥ lim

t+

1A1θ≤t

eτπ(Xt∧τXt∧θ) Ftθ

ŠŠ

= lim

t+

1A1θ≤t

eτπ(Xt∧τXt∧θ) Fθ

ŠŠ

= lim

t+E 1A1θ≤t eτπ(XtτXt∧θ)

= lim

t+E 1A1θ <+eτπ(1)

≥E 1A cosh(µ)1τ<+eτ ,

and thus the desired result would have been obtained. We now prove the inequality (14).

Fixt≥0 arbitrarily and set

B1:={tθ} ∩ {tτ}={tθ}, and

C1:={t> θ} ∩ {tτ}={t> θ} ∩¦

s∈[θ,t]hN,

XsXθ <

.

The setsB1andC1areFt-measurable. Consequently the set{tτ}isFt-measurable and thusτ is a(Ft)-stopping time.

To show (14), we start with checking that,P-a.s, for all 0≤standz∈R, Z t

s

ψ(u) π(z)Luπ(z)

du≥cosh(µz)

1−−1 2K2µ2

Zt

s

ψ(u)du=0 (15) for all positive locally bounded mapψ:R+→R+. Indeed, for allz∈Randu≥0,

π(z)Luπ(z) =cosh(µz)−µbusinh(µz)−1

2µ2σ2ucosh(µz).

As sinh(µ|z|)≤cosh(µz), we get (15) by using (8) and (9).

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Now, we observe that supθteγXθ is integrable for allγ > 0 since by (9), (bt) and(〈Xt) are bounded. This justifies the following equality deduced from the Itô’s formula : for ally∈R,

etθπ(Xtθ+y) =

etτπ(Xtτ+y) Ftθ

Š

+E Ztτ

tθ

e−s(π(Xs+y)Lsπ(Xs+y))ds

Ftθ

! a.s..

Therefore, in view of (15), there exists a setNy withP(Ny) =0 such that etθπ(Xtθ+y)≥E€

eτπ(Xtτ+y) Ftθ

Š onΩ− Ny. (16) We now use the continuity ofπin order to replaceyby−Xt∧θ. For all positive integerq, letkq(y) be the unique integersuch thatℓ/2qy<(ℓ+1)/2q. Then

π(Xt∧τXtθ) = lim

q+π

‚

Xt∧τkq(Xtθ) 2q

Œ . Therefore, by Fatou’s lemma and (16),

eτπ(Xt∧τXt∧θ) Ftθ

Š≤lim inf

q+

E eτπ

‚

Xtτ+kq(−Xtθ) 2q

Œ

Ftθ

!

≤lim inf

q+etθπ

‚

Xtθ+ kq(−Xtθ) 2q

Œ

=etθ.

We end this section by the following Lemma 3.1. For all p≥0,

E

1θh

p<+eθph

≤ 1

cosh(µ) p

, (17)

whereµis defined as in Proposition 3.1.

Proof. Apply Proposition 3.1 to the stopping timesθphandτhp. It comes E

 1τh

p<+eτhp Fθph

‹

≤ 1

cosh(µ)eθph1θh

p<+P−a.s., from which

E

1θh

p+1<+eθp+1h

≤E

1τh

p<+eτhp

=E

 E

 1τh

p<+eτhp Fθph

‹‹

≤ 1

cosh(µ)E

1θh

p<+eθph

≤ · · · ≤ 1

cosh(µ) p+1

.

In the next section we carefully estimate the right-hand side of (11).

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4 Estimate for the localized problem in the infinite horizon set- ting

In this section we aim to prove the following lemma.

Lemma 4.1. Consider a one dimensional Itô process (7) satisfying (8) and (9). Letθ:Ω→hNbe aFt-stopping time such that Xθ∈[−δhh]almost surely. Letτbe the stopping timeτ:=inf{tθ,thN,

XtXθ

≥1}. There exists a constant C, independent of θ andτ, such that, for all h small enough,

E

‚ 1θ <+

Zτ

θ

eηs1[δhh](Xη

s)ds

Œ

hp

E 1θ <+eθ

. (18)

Proof. To start with, we construct a functionI whose second derivative is1[h,2δh]in order to be able to apply Itô’s formula. LetI :R→Rbe defined as

I(z) =



0 ifz≤ −2δh,

1

2z2+2δhz+2δh2 if −2δhz≤2δh,

hz if 2δhz.

(19)

The map I is of class C1(R)and of classC2(R\({−2δh} ∪ {2δh})). In addition, for allz ∈R, I′′(z) = 1[h,2δh](z) (we set I′′(−2δh) = I′′(2δh) = 1). For h small enough, there exists a constantCindependent ofhsuch that

sup

1δhz1+δh

|I(z)| ≤h, sup

z∈R

I(z)

h. (20) Set

qh:=1θ <+ Zτ

θ

eηs1[δhh](Xηs)ds, (21) and observe that, for alls≥0,

{Xηs∈[−δh,δh]}

{Xηs∈[−δh,δh]} ∩ {Xs∈[−2δh, 2δh]}Š

∪€

{Xηs∈[−δh,δh]} ∩ {Xs/[−2δh, 2δh]}Š , so that

1[δhh](Xη

s)≤1[h,2δh](Xs) +1[δhh](Xη

s)1R\[

h,2δh](Xs). (22)

From (21) and (22),

qhAh+Bh, (23)

where

Ah=1θ <+ Zτ

θ

eηs1[h,2δh](Xs)ds (24) and

Bh=1θ <+ Zτ

θ

eηs1[δhh](Xη

s)1R\[

h,2δh](Xs)ds. (25)

(9)

An upper bound forAh. In view of (9), one has Ah1θ <+K2eh

Zτ

θ

es1[h,2δh](Xs2sds=1θ <+K2eh Zτ

θ

esI′′(Xs2sds.

Notice that (Rt

0e−sI(XssdWs) is a uniformly square integrable martingale. Thus, the limit R

0 esI(XssdWs exists a.s. As I′′ is continuous except at points−2δhand 2δh, an extended Itô’s formula (see, e.g., Protter[5, Thm.71,Chap.IV]) implies

Ah1θ <+K2eh

¨

eτI Xτ

eθI Xθ +

Zτ

θ

esI(Xs)ds

− Zτ

θ

esI(Xs)bsds− Zτ

θ

esI(XssdWs

« . (26) In view of (20) we have|I(Xs)| ≤heven on the random set{τ= +∞}. In addition,

E

– 1τ<

Zτ

0

e−sI(Xs)ds

™

≤ E

– 1τ<

Zτ

0

e−s|I(Xηs)|ds

™

+E

1τ< Z+

0

e−s|I(Xs)−I(Xηs)|ds

.

The first expectation is bounded from above byhsince, for all integerksuch thatθkhτh, one has|Xkh| ≤1+δh. The second one is obviously bounded from above byCp

h. Thus,

AhŠ

h

1θ <+eθŠ

. (27)

An upper bound forBh. SettingMs:=Rs

0σudWu, one has Bh1θ <+

Zτ

θ

eηs1h,+)(

XsXηs )ds

=1θ <+eθ Zτθ

0

eηs1h,+)(

Xs+θXηs )ds

1θ <+eθ Z+

0

eηs1h,+)

Zs+θ

ηs

budu+Ms+θMηs

! ds

1θ <+eθ Z+

0

eηs1hKh,+)€

Ms+θMηs

Šds

1θ <+eθ Z+

0

eηs1h/2,+)€

Ms+θMηs

Šds,

where we have used (8) andhis assumed small enough. We now successively use the Cauchy- Schwarz, Jensen and Bernstein inequalities (see, e.g., Revuz and Yor[6, Ex.3.16,Chap.IV]for the

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Bernstein inequality for martingales):

EBh≤ Æ

E 1θ <+eθ2

v u u tE

Z+

0

eηs1h/2,+)€

Ms+θMηs

Šds

!2

≤p

E 1θ <+eθ v u u tE

Z+

0

eηs1h/2,+)€

Ms+θMηs

Šds

!

≤p

E 1θ <+eθ s

Z+

0

eηsP

‚ sup

ηsus+θ

MuMηsδ2h

Πds

Cp

E 1θ <+eθ s

Z+

0

eηsexp

‚

− 1 8K2

δ2h h

Πds

C p

E 1θ <+eθ exp

− 1 16K2h−2ǫ

.

(28)

One then deduces (18) from (21), (23), (27) and (28).

5 End of the proof of Theorem 1.1

We apply Lemmas 4.1 and 3.1 and the equality (11) and deduce

hE

+

X

p=0

eph1[δhh](Xph)

=

+

X

p=0

E

1θh

p<+

Zτhp

θph

eηs1[δhh](Xηs)ds

h

+

X

p=0

q E

1θh

p<+eθph

h

+

X

p=0

1 cosh(µ)

p

2,

which ends the proof of Theorem 1.1.

6 Proof of Theorem 1.2

In the finite horizon setting, we do not need to localize by means of an appropriate sequence of stopping times as in the preceding section. We may start from

E

h

Nh

X

p=0

f(ph)1[δhh](Xph)

=

Nh

X

p=0

E

Z(p+1)h

ph

fs)1[δhh](Xηs)ds

!

. (29)

(11)

In view of (22) we have E

h

Nh

X

p=0

f(ph)1[δhh](Xph)

≤E Z T

0

fs)1[−2δh,2δh](Xs)ds

! +

Nh

X

p=0

DhpŠ

=:Ah(T) +

Nh

X

p=0

E

Dhp

,

(30)

where for allp∈ {0, . . . ,Nh} Dhp:=

Z(p+1)h

ph

fs)1[δhh](Xηs)1R\[h,2δh](Xs)ds. (31) An upper bound forAh(T).

In view of (9), as the function f is increasing, one has Ah(T)≤K2E

Z T

0

f(s)1[

h,2δh](Xs2sds

! . Since we may have lim

s↑T f(s) = +∞, the proof of Lemma 4.1 does not apply.

Setτy:=inf{s>0 : Xsy=0}. The generalized occupation time formula (see, e.g., Revuz and Yor[6, Ex.1.15,Chap.VI]) implies that

E Z T

0

f(s)1[h,2δh](Xs2sds

!

= Z

R

d y1[h,2δh](y)E Z T

0

f(s)d Lsy(X)

!

= Z

R

d y1[h,2δh](y)E 1τyT ZT

τy

f(s)d Lsy(X)

! ,

(32)

where{Lsy(X) : s∈[0,T],y∈R}denotes a bi-continuous càdlàg version of the local time of the process(Xt)t0.

Our aim now is to bound from aboveE



1τyTRT

τy f(s)d Lsy(X)

‹

uniformly in yin[−2δh, 2δh]. It clearly suffices to show that there exists a constantCT depending onlyβ,K andT, such that

E ZT

0

f(s)d L0s(Y)

!

CT, (33)

where the semimartingaleY is defined asY:=Xy.

Because f is not square integrable over [0,T), we arbitrarily choose γ > 0. Now f is square integrable on[0,Tγ] and the function t7→Rt

0 f(s)d Ls0(Y)is the local time of the local semi- martingale

{f(gt)Yt, t∈[0,Tγ]},

where gt := sup{s < t : Ys = 0} (see, e.g., Revuz and Yor [6, Sec.4,Chap.VI]). The Stieltjes measure induced by the functions7→f(gs)has supportZ :={s≥0 : Ys=0}, and therefore

ZTγ

0

|Yθ|d f(gθ) =0,

(12)

so that Itô-Tanaka formula implies E

ZTγ

0

f(s)d L0s(Y)

!

=E€

|f(gTγ)YTγ

f(g0)|Y0| −E Z Tγ

0

f(gs)sgn((Ys))d Ys

! . (34) Apply Theorem 4.2 of Chap.VI in[6]. It comes:

|f(gT−γ)YT−γ

=E |f(0)Y0+ Z Tγ

0

f(gs)d Ys|

! , from which

|f(gTγ)YTγ

≤|f(0)Y0|+E | Z Tγ

0

f(gssdWs|

! +E |

ZTγ

0

f(s)bsds|

!

CT+K2 Z T

0

f2(gs

ds

!1

2

.

(35)

Coming back to (34) we deduce

E Z T−γ

0

f(s)d L0s(Y)

!

CT+K2 Z T

0

f2(gs

ds

!1

2

. Thus, asβ >1 by assumption, (33) will be proven if we can show that

ZT

0

E˜”

f(gs

ds<+∞, (36)

where ˜Pis the probability measure defined by a Girsanov transformation removing the drift of (Yt, 0≤tT).

SetΛ(t):=〈Yt. Observe that

sup{θs; Yθ=0}= Λ1€

sup{θ≤Λ(s); YΛ−1(θ)=0}Š .

In addition, the Dubins-Schwarz theorem implies that there exists a ˜P-Brownian Motion(B˜t)t≥0 such thatYs=B˜Λ(s). Therefore,

gsu

=P˜

• Λsup1

{t<Λ(s):XΛ−1(t)=0}u

˜

=P˜”

sup{t<Λ(s) : ˜Bt=0} ≥Λ(u)—

=P˜”

inf{t>Λ(u) : ˜Bt=0} ≤Λ(s)—

≤P˜”

inf{t>0 : Yu+B˜u+tB˜u=0} ≤K2(s−u)— , from which

gsu

≤E˜

ZK2(su)

0

1 p

2πθ3|Yu|exp

‚

Yu2 2θ

Œ

C

– exp

‚

Yu2 4K2(s−u)

Ϊ

.

(13)

For 0≤v<sset

mv:=− Zv

0

Yθ

2K2(s−θ)d Yθ.

Itô’s formula applied toh(v,y) = y2 sv yields Yv2

sv= Y02 s +

Z v

0

2Yθ sθd Yθ+

Z v

0

Yθ2

(s−θ)2+ Z v

0

1

sθdYθ, and then

Yv2

4K2(s−v)mv− 1 4K2

Z v

0

Yθ2

(s−θ)2− 1 4K2

Zv

0

1

sθdYθ, Therefore, using (9),

– exp

‚

Yv2 4K2(s−v)

Ϊ

=E˜

exp

mv−1 2〈mv

+1

2〈mv

exp

¨

− Z v

0

Yθ2

4K2(s−θ)2− Z v

0

dYθ

4K2(s−θ)

«™

≤E˜

– exp

¨ mv−1

2〈mv

+1

2 Z v

0

Yθ2

4K4(s−θ)2dYθ

«

exp

¨

− Z v

0

Yθ2

4K2(s−θ)2− Z v

0

4K4(s−θ)

«™

≤E˜

– exp

¨ mv−1

2〈mv

+

Zv

0

Yθ2 8K2(s−θ)2

− Z v

0

Yθ2 4K2(s−θ)2

«™

exp

‚

− Z v

0

4K4(s−θ)

Œ

≤E˜

exp

mv−1 2〈mv

exp

‚

− Z v

0

4K4(s−θ)

Π,

from which

– exp

‚

Yv2 4K2(s−v)

Ϊ

≤exp

‚

− 1 4K4

Zv

0

sθ

Œ

= sv

s 1

4K4

.

Références

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