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Modeling the fish community population dynamics and forecasting the eradication success of an exotic fish from an alpine stream

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Academic year: 2021

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Fig. 1. Section of the Logan River in northern Utah, USA, considered in this study. The section of the Logan River which is considered in this study (thick line) includes the mainstem river which is upstream the most upstream barrier in the river (Third da
Fig. 2. Observed and modeled trout densities at steady state. The mean (dots) of 2001–2009 density data of the exotic (dark red) and the native (dark green) species are estimated at the 5 sampling sites, which are located along the river mainstem (dotted l
Fig. 3. Estimated values of model parameters. The prior distribution of model parameters (marginal priors in green) update into a posterior distribution (estimated marginal posteriors in black) via calibration in a Bayesian framework
Fig. 5. Examples of system response to the mechanical removal. Simulated densities (z-axis) for the native (green) and the exotic (orange) species are represented over time and along the river mainstem
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